Can the book be beaten ...long term?

del roy · 14-02-2014 01:41PM

Having a discussion last night about this thread and there was a few different views about it, I do not want to come across as if I am waiting for the guy to fail but alot if not all of it is down to pure luck, simple as that for me.

Unless you get info about a certain horse then every time you back it you are guessing whether it is trying or not,
other views were that he has a knack of skill for reading the races, don't want to knock anyone but I really think the word "skill" should not be used in studing form for horse racing.

Anyway I am up nearly 2k following him so whatever it is I hope it stays with him.

Pinesky · 14-02-2014 03:37PM

2nd 16/1
Well done

del roy · 14-02-2014 03:59PM

2.30 ghostrain 1pt e/w 16/1 2nd

Bank +184.6pts
Starting bank 100pts
Profit +84.6pts

hawaii501 · 14-02-2014 04:03PM

Great tipping so far, have only backed one horse but long may it continue.

del roy · 14-02-2014 04:40PM

cheers pinesky,

yes, hawaii501 good tipping so far but judging by his results for the last three years he must have got an unexpected flyer this year but todays placed bet take me a little past the 2k mark so thats great for me but anyone thinking of joining in now should bear in mind the auld saying

if you were not at the wedding don't go to the funeral,

Colonel Sanders · 14-02-2014 06:14PM

His performance so far has been outstanding

Judging by the results I think its safe to say he's most likely a +EV punter. Based on that I think he'll continue to achieve +ive RoI, just not as high as has been the case so far

del roy · 14-02-2014 07:12PM

yes colonel I agree
as I said he must be really pleased with the start he got although he has never said when he went -18pts he must have been cursing himself for starting this thread.

Can I also add that he texts me the bets I never talk to him but I must admit I did not think there would be so many bets.
35 in just over two months and don't forget he took some time out, I just think if he hits a losing run that 84pts will disappear fairly quick.

I know he reads this thread and I hope he does not take my ramblings on here as slagging his way of betting but anyone who can make money as easy as he seems to on horse racing interests me (and my pocket)

Nonoperational · 14-02-2014 07:14PM

Good read too. Cheers.

paddy no 11 · 14-02-2014 07:21PM

Yeah, great thread, think someone should open a book on how many points he finishes on.

Hulk Hands · 15-02-2014 12:17AM

Are the odds he's backing at consistently beating sp by a decent margin? That might look a simplistic method of ensuring profit but it's the most accurate. By sp time (betfair sp at least) the market has generally righted itself. Someone who constantly beats that price by a decent margin will profit. Granted there are people who can back and win in the 5 mins before the off, but they are few and far between

del roy · 15-02-2014 01:02PM

Yes hulk some shorten, some don't but a few lads thought some of it maybe info
Ref..mr marker the other day last two races pulled up pulled up and then he picks it the night before 14/1 into 8/1, some guess that one.

del roy · 15-02-2014 01:57PM

2.50 scruffy tramp 2pts win 4/1
3.05 xaarcetet 1pt e/w. 14/1
3.15 bygone sovereign 1pt e/w. 12/1

del roy · 15-02-2014 04:40PM

-6pts....Saturday. :mad:

del roy · 15-02-2014 07:16PM

Bank +178.6pts
Starting bank 100pts
Profit +78.6pts

del roy · 16-02-2014 12:27PM

no bets today or tomorrow

del roy · 17-02-2014 09:48PM

1.45. Shan valley 3pts win 5/1

del roy · 18-02-2014 03:53PM

Thought the shan was gonna collect there but not to be.

Bank +175.6pts
Starting bank 100pts
Profit +75.6pts

del roy · 19-02-2014 09:26AM

3.55 Dundee 2pts e/w 9/1

del roy · 19-02-2014 12:26PM

think we will have to pm all the regulars

9/1 into 13/2 :mad:

kiers47 · 19-02-2014 02:50PM

I'm on Matthew Reilly in the same race. Looks fairly wide open as races go.

del roy · 19-02-2014 03:04PM

think we will have to pm all the regulars

9/1 into 13/2

only joking btw

I can't see a few on here changing the odds maybe the stable fancy it today.

As Kiers said it's a very open race.

del roy · 19-02-2014 05:24PM

3.55 Dundee 2pts e/w 9/1 a bad 4th
while stable mate pisses in at 22/1

"them horse's would tame lions" who said that

Bank +171.6pts
Starting bank 100pts
Profit +71.6pts

del roy · 19-02-2014 06:59PM

Saturday 3.50 BETBRIGHT CHASE

Baile Anrai 2pts e/w 14/1

This is an ante post bet.

This is the only bet until next Monday as he is away.

sopretty · 19-02-2014 07:05PM

I think a certain criminal attempted to prove that gambling was a profitable endeavour.

Nulty · 19-02-2014 07:41PM

del roy wrote: »

think we will have to pm all the regulars

9/1 into 13/2

only joking btw I can't see a few on here changing the odds maybe the stable fancy it today.

As Kiers said it's a very open race.

ATR tipster put it up this morning

del roy · 19-02-2014 07:53PM

What time did he put it up Nulty as there was plenty of 9/1 about this morning,
we now know why.

mulbot · 19-02-2014 10:54PM

sopretty wrote: »

I think a certain criminal attempted to prove that gambling was a profitable endeavour.

bertie?:D

sopretty · 19-02-2014 11:08PM

mulbot wrote: »

bertie?:D

No. But he didn't win his case lol. JG

del roy · 20-02-2014 09:01AM

sopretty wrote: »

I think a certain criminal attempted to prove that gambling was a profitable endeavour.

and he did n't even count the losers :eek:

what chance have we got.

del roy · 22-02-2014 02:11PM

See Laddies have just cut Tapestry to 5/1 joint fav for the 1000

Can the book be beaten ...long term?

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