The Football Tips Thread V

Lamposts wrote: »

L Insigne @ 5/2
Anytime Goalscorer
Swansea v Napoli

Scored a brace in the last game and he's class on Football Manager 2014.

Terrible, terrible night. Soz if anyone followed.

Unusual odds on Pirin v Cherno more in Bulgaria the home side are useless 2 draws and 13 defeats in their last 15 games. Cherno sit in 6th spot they shud be winning but they have 6-7 players sold since the jan window and a couple of teenagers in their squad today which may explain the odds but theyv gone in from 11/2 into 9/2 on hills and Pirin are drifting on the betfair exchange all morning from 2/7 out to 11/10 ,dodgy league but away win might be worth a tenner at 9/2 on WH

Hills have Giroud at 4/6 to start against Sunderland, surely after the disaster that happened against Munich this is a cert?

buckfasterer wrote: »

Sky Sports News saying now that Wenger has said he's starting.

The website says "It is likely Giroud will be involved tomorrow. Resting him was part of a refreshment plan."

Just put 100e on - fingers crossed!

DominicKid wrote: »

any news on schalke v mainz?

http://espnfc.com/uk/en/preview/369699/preview.html?soccernet=true&cc=5739

Paddy power have a special on City, Arsenal and Chelsea all to win at 5/2. Accumulated normally it'd be 3/2. That's brilliant value.

I think Leicester look a cert tomorrow; Ipswich's top goal scorer is ruled out and they don't look very threatening at all without him.
Leicester also have a great home record with just the one loss to Forest this season and I can't see them being held goal-less.

I think Reading are going to out-gun an average rovers side, winning last 3/4 (loss coming after red card very early) and they made light work of promotion hopefuls QPR last week.

Burnley v Forest - BTTS Yes - Burnley's striking force of Vokes and Ings continue to terrorize defences in the championship and forest have looked leaky lately. BTTS comes up an awful lot in forest games and I don't think it will be any different here.
Forest have scored in their last 12 championship games and Burnley in 11/14. I think 5/6 here is a great bet.

My final selection - BTTS NO - Chelsea v Everton: With Lukaku unavailable I think everton might struggle to score at stamford bridge..
Everton are winless in their last four away matches in the Premier League and have lost their last two without scoring.
The Blues also have the best defensive record in the top flight, conceding only 21 goals in 26 games and keeping 11 clean sheets.
I have won a good bit of money backing Chelsea Win-To-Nil this season and this bet is available at 6/4. I'm going to go for the safer BTTS No - In the event of a 0-0 Draw. Terry is back for Chelsea and I can see them coming back strong after the defeat to City.

Leicester - 8/13
Reading - 1/1
Forest/Burley - BTTS YES - 5/6
Chelsea/Everton - BTTS NO - 5/6

The 4-Timer comes out at slightly under 10/1.
Forest/Burnley BTTS & Leicester Win is my double at 2/1.
Good luck chaps.

Under 2.5 in Valenciennes vs Sochaux @ 1.57
Valenciennes 2-1 @ 7.75

HUGE game for both teams with a lot at stake. Both teams are fighting for survival, if Valenciennes win, they'll leave the relegation zone and leave Sochaux (direct opponents for survival) 6 points behind; if Sochaux win, they'll go level on points with Valenciennes and will have a realistic chance of survival, a loss for Sochaux would be a disaster for them, a draw would be okay. This should be a very tight game, with only one goal (if any) deciding the outcome of this game, under 3.5 is almost a sure bet imo.

I've already said many times that Sochaux have improved a lot since they signed a new GK, LB, CB, and DM, their defense is pretty decent atm, while their attack is still ineffective; they did well away to Lyon and Lille - much stronger teams than Valenciennes.

Real Madrid v Elche

Madrid seem to have come back from the winter break much more of a team and have been quite solid at the back. The stats back this up. Out of the 13 games played since the winter break they have kept 11 clean sheets. Add to this Elche being one of the lowest scoring teams in the league.
Real Madrid to win to nil @ 1.61

Also 11 of them 13 games have seen under 3.5 goals. The unders market is good value with any game madrid are involved in. Bearing in mind Ronaldo and Modric, probably madrids two most important players, are out of this game.
Madrid and Under 3.5 goals @ 2.30

Even under 4.5 seems good value and may be a decent one to put in accas @1.44

My two afternoon Bundesliga bets

Raffael anytime @ 3.00

8 of his 10 league goals this season have come in 11 home games. Hoffenheim concede an average of over 2 goals a game at away

Ramos anytime @ 2.75

Scored 7 in last 6 away games, 14 for the season overall. Stuggart lost their last 6 and concede almost 2 goals a game at home

Have not had good luck posting in this thread compared to the banter thread, lets hope the luck changes

New manager at Fulham, Felix Magath has a tough guy reputation and has made the Fulham side do extra training. It was also mentioned in the press that if he has to win by just one goal then so be it.

I think that Fulham could play more defensively so I am taking the following bets.

West Brom v Fulham under 2.5 @evens, looks value.
" No goalscorers" @9/1 is worth a small bet.

All prices P/P .

hupskip wrote: »

Hills have Giroud at 4/6 to start against Sunderland, surely after the disaster that happened against Munich this is a cert?

Winner winner

hupskip wrote: »

It was under specials on the Arsenal vs Sunderland section. He is named to start - if he gets injured in the warm up I will lose the head!

Must have been taken down after Wengers comments, definitely wasn't there when I looked for it.

Nice winner!