The Football Tips Thread V

SheldonC17 · 04-02-2014 12:03AM

SheldonC17 wrote: »

Chelsea over 4 corners @ evens

Easy winner here at a good price!:pac:

SheldonC17 · 04-02-2014 02:13AM

Dempsey wincast tomorrow night @ 13/5

bradlente · 04-02-2014 02:34AM

bradlente wrote: »

Mikel to be shown a card 3.75.Might be jumping the gun going before line-ups but if he starts there's a good chance he'll see a card.Should be a lot tackles flying about in midfield tonight.

Yeah this was very dumb.

inforfun · 04-02-2014 09:07AM

francie81 wrote: »

Was thinking strongly of going with Feyenoord tomorrow @8/15 against Roda who are apparently missing many key players, thoughts?

Roda are without Fledderus ( Midfielder, important with corners and free kicks, takes them all) Demouge (cfwd, terrible player but always gets the best out himself against Feyenoord), (Nemeth, another cfwd, never convinced me) and Dijkhuizen (rightback)

Feyenoord without Mathijssen but if there is one position where Feyenoord doesnt have problems replacing players it is in central defence. Got 5 good ones.

Expect a scrappy match, must win for both for different reasons.
Makkelie in charge so there is every chance the match is nver gettign any flow because the guy likes to hear his whistle a lot.
It has also been 4 matches now where he didnt sent some one off...... which is rather remarkable with him.

Roda does get a lot of cards: 4x straight red ( 3 of them collected by Demouge and Dijkhuizen who are both out as mentioned) and 2x a player was sent of with 2 bookings.

Feyenoord has had 3 sending offs this season of which 2 came in 1 match.

Makkelie also has handed out most penalties (13) in the Eredivisie so if the odds are nice, red card YES and penalty YES are nice side bets.

Feyenoord matches has seen 9 penalties, Roda's 8.

Roda got screwed this weekend though getting a penalty rewarded against them that never was so i fear a Feyenoord player will have to be shot with an AK-47 before they get one. At the other hand, Makkelie is a bit special.

As for goals, Feyenoord - Roda usually sees quite a few of them, but it is a bit different when they play at Roda. (0-1/0-0/0-3 in the last 3 seasons) And because it is the Eredivisie, odds on goals are pretty terrible usually.

So.. enough typing. Might do something later on the other Erededivisie matches.

Lasagna Diarra · 04-02-2014 10:32AM

inforfun wrote: »

Roda are without Fledderus ( Midfielder, important with corners and free kicks, takes them all) Demouge (cfwd, terrible player but always gets the best out himself against Feyenoord), (Nemeth, another cfwd, never convinced me) and Dijkhuizen (rightback)

Feyenoord without Mathijssen but if there is one position where Feyenoord doesnt have problems replacing players it is in central defence. Got 5 good ones.

Expect a scrappy match, must win for both for different reasons.
Makkelie in charge so there is every chance the match is nver gettign any flow because the guy likes to hear his whistle a lot.
It has also been 4 matches now where he didnt sent some one off...... which is rather remarkable with him.

Roda does get a lot of cards: 4x straight red ( 3 of them collected by Demouge and Dijkhuizen who are both out as mentioned) and 2x a player was sent of with 2 bookings.

Feyenoord has had 3 sending offs this season of which 2 came in 1 match.

Makkelie also has handed out most penalties (13) in the Eredivisie so if the odds are nice, red card YES and penalty YES are nice side bets.

Feyenoord matches has seen 9 penalties, Roda's 8.

Roda got screwed this weekend though getting a penalty rewarded against them that never was so i fear a Feyenoord player will have to be shot with an AK-47 before they get one. At the other hand, Makkelie is a bit special.

As for goals, Feyenoord - Roda usually sees quite a few of them, but it is a bit different when they play at Roda. (0-1/0-0/0-3 in the last 3 seasons) And because it is the Eredivisie, odds on goals are pretty terrible usually.

So.. enough typing. Might do something later on the other Erededivisie matches.

What about unders then? Under 3.5 @ 1.60 is tempting

inforfun · 04-02-2014 10:57AM

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

What about unders then? Under 3.5 @ 1.60 is tempting

Went through the results of the last 5 or 6 years.
2x it went over 3.5 but once that was because of an early red card for Roda and a late one for Feyenoord.
But under Koeman, Feyenoord played 2x there, 0-0 and 0-1.

Some stats, if you decide to go for it.
Might be handy to know when you are considering laying at 1 point:

Roda has scored in each of their last 12 matches
Feyenoord is the first half top scorer in the eredivisie
Roda has conceded more goals inthe last 10 minutes of matches than any other club in the Eredivisie

But you know my thoughts about unders .....

Lasagna Diarra · 04-02-2014 01:43PM

I'm gonna chance it anyway, not often you see odds on under 3.5 that high.

Under 3.5 in the Feyenoord game @ 1.60

inforfun · 04-02-2014 02:01PM

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

I'm gonna chance it anyway, not often you see odds on under 3.5 that high.

Under 3.5 in the Feyenoord game @ 1.60

Good luck.

Dont see 4 goals in Vitesse - AZ either btw.

PuntersAdvice · 04-02-2014 03:52PM

DEN HAAG V HERACLES

Over 2.5 goals

1.6 (Boylesports)

Stake: 1 point

francie81 · 04-02-2014 06:18PM

inforfun wrote: »

Expect a scrappy match, must win for both for different reasons.

So even going huge on a Feyenoord straight ain't worth a risk based on that stat infor?

francie81 · 04-02-2014 06:39PM

Any thoughts on PSG tonight Blanc expected to field a strong team?

DominicKid · 04-02-2014 06:53PM

Fulham
Psg
Over 1.5 goals udinese v fiorentina
Oxford United Double Chance
5/1

P.Walnuts · 04-02-2014 07:03PM

DominicKid wrote: »

Fulham
Psg
Over 1.5 goals udinese v fiorentina
Oxford United Double Chance
5/1

Poor Infor :rolleyes:

Lasagna Diarra · 04-02-2014 07:13PM

francie81 wrote: »

Any thoughts on PSG tonight Blanc expected to field a strong team?

There's lots of pressure on Blanc cuz the owners want PSG to win at least 2 domestic competitions, and they're already out of the French Cup. If they beat Nantes tonight, they'll be in the final of the League Cup. Word is if they lose tonight, he won't have a say in the future signings (he's the one who wanted the club to sign Cabaye).

So huge pressure on Blanc whereas Nantes will want to atone for their 4-0 defeat vs PSG a few weeks ago...

probable line up (Cavani is injured)
Paris SG : Douchez – Van der Wiel, Alex, Thiago Silva, Maxwell – Verratti, Thiago Motta, Matuidi – Lucas, Ibrahimovic, Lavezzi.

P.Walnuts · 04-02-2014 07:26PM

Lee Gregory (Halifax) anytime @ 2.20

Ok, Gregory has 17 goals this season from 22 starts, and he has scored in each the last 7 home games. Halifax have scored 41 goals in 16 games. Salisbury have conceded 21 goals in 13 away games. Gonna keep an eye out for any reports on the pitch, and wait for line ups.

inforfun · 04-02-2014 07:26PM

francie81 wrote: »

So even going huge on a Feyenoord straight ain't worth a risk based on that stat infor?

Sorry, only reading this now.

Didnt expect the early start myself ...

francie81 · 04-02-2014 07:47PM

inforfun wrote: »

Sorry, only reading this now.

Didnt expect the early start myself ...

And am sick I never backed them:rolleyes:

Lamposts · 04-02-2014 08:33PM

SheldonC17 wrote: »

Dempsey wincast tomorrow night @ 13/5

6 - Clint Dempsey has scored six goals in his last five FA Cup games. Saviour.

On this as well.

inforfun · 04-02-2014 08:36PM

inforfun wrote: »

Roda are without Fledderus ( Midfielder, important with corners and free kicks, takes them all) Demouge (cfwd, terrible player but always gets the best out himself against Feyenoord), (Nemeth, another cfwd, never convinced me) and Dijkhuizen (rightback)

Feyenoord without Mathijssen but if there is one position where Feyenoord doesnt have problems replacing players it is in central defence. Got 5 good ones.

Expect a scrappy match, must win for both for different reasons.
Makkelie in charge so there is every chance the match is nver gettign any flow because the guy likes to hear his whistle a lot.
It has also been 4 matches now where he didnt sent some one off...... which is rather remarkable with him.

Roda does get a lot of cards: 4x straight red ( 3 of them collected by Demouge and Dijkhuizen who are both out as mentioned) and 2x a player was sent of with 2 bookings.

Feyenoord has had 3 sending offs this season of which 2 came in 1 match.

Makkelie also has handed out most penalties (13) in the Eredivisie so if the odds are nice, red card YES and penalty YES are nice side bets.

Feyenoord matches has seen 9 penalties, Roda's 8.

Roda got screwed this weekend though getting a penalty rewarded against them that never was so i fear a Feyenoord player will have to be shot with an AK-47 before they get one. At the other hand, Makkelie is a bit special.

As for goals, Feyenoord - Roda usually sees quite a few of them, but it is a bit different when they play at Roda. (0-1/0-0/0-3 in the last 3 seasons) And because it is the Eredivisie, odds on goals are pretty terrible usually.

So.. enough typing. Might do something later on the other Erededivisie matches.

2-1 Feyenoord
Penalty (Roda) and under 3,5 for Lass

That was penalty no 5 Roda got from Makkelie.
And to be honest, could have been a sending off as well with that penalty

PuntersAdvice · 04-02-2014 08:37PM

PSG full strength team... worth a bet at 1.5. Won the last 5 meetings.

Lasagna Diarra · 04-02-2014 08:43PM

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

I'm gonna chance it anyway, not often you see odds on under 3.5 that high.

Under 3.5 in the Feyenoord game @ 1.60

FT 1-2

P.Walnuts · 04-02-2014 08:50PM

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Lee Gregory (Halifax) anytime @ 2.20

Ok, Gregory has 17 goals this season from 22 starts, and he has scored in each the last 7 home games. Halifax have scored 41 goals in 16 games. Salisbury have conceded 21 goals in 13 away games. Gonna keep an eye out for any reports on the pitch, and wait for line ups.

In after 3 mins

:D:

Shane St. · 04-02-2014 09:24PM

Real to beat Atletico 2mrw?
Will both teams put out full strength teams?

SheldonC17 · 04-02-2014 09:28PM

Shane St. wrote: »

Real to beat Atletico 2mrw?
Will both teams put out full strength teams?

Was thinking of backing Madrid myself, Ronaldo available before suspension and also Bale returning they'll want to win at home. Big price for Real Madrid at home.

inforfun · 04-02-2014 10:41PM

inforfun wrote: »

Good luck.

Dont see 4 goals in Vitesse - AZ either btw.

Vitesse - AZ 0-2

Didnt check the H2H but Vitesse hasnt won at home against AZ since 2007 ... missed chance for a DC at least.

TheChevron · 04-02-2014 11:03PM

I done a double - Under 3.5 in the Feyenoord game and the Vitesse Game.

SheldonC17 · 05-02-2014 02:05AM

Both Teams to score double tomorrow night:
Preston v Nottingham Forest ( Preston have scored in 9/10 last home games, same for Notts away)
Dumbarton v Livingston ( happened four of the last 5 meetings between the two)

massdebater · 05-02-2014 02:46AM

SheldonC17 wrote: »

Both Teams to score double tomorrow night:
Preston v Nottingham Forest ( Preston have scored in 9/10 last home games, same for Notts away)
Dumbarton v Livingston ( happened four of the last 5 meetings between the two)

Just be wary of the first one - they drew 0-0 in the reverse fixture a couple of weeks ago. As for the Dumbarton v Livingston match, over 2.5 might be best (happened in last 6 meetings between the two teams) and is a slightly better price than both teams to score.

Lemlin · 05-02-2014 09:27AM

Real Madrid vs Athletico Madrid
Under 2.5 goals is evens on Bet365. Has occurred in Madrid's last three home games against Athletico. Athletico are also missing Villa and it is expected that Ancelotti will play Arbeloa and Coentrao in a slightly more defensive line up.

inforfun · 05-02-2014 09:36AM

"Early" match in Holland tonight is Cambuur - PSV

Let it drop somewhere on the forum already i very much like the Cambuur DC which i took a few days ago @2.05

When just looking at statistics this season, it is a no brainer.

Cambuur is in 15th place but if you just look at a ranking for home matches, they would be in 9th with w6-d1-l3. Away from home they havent won a single match, picking up 3 points only.
Those 3 matches they lost were against Ajax, Twente and Feyenoord and certainly against Ajax and Twente they deserved more.
PSV would be in 11th position in the league table made of away matches only wit ha w2-d2-l7 record which is nothing short of embarrassing.

Cambuur missing 2 regulars tonight due to suspension, PSV not missing anyone apart from the couple of players they miss for months already.

Cambuur played pretty good away to Twente last sunday but lost 3-1, while PSV didnt do so well away to RKC, 2-0 loss.

The main reason why Cambuur has the home record they have is their artificial pitch. The matches they lost at home was mostly due to them not taking their chances but they have sorted that out a bit during the winterbreak by getting 2 forwards in, Elvis Manu and Ogbeche who were on the score sheet in their last home game against Heerenveen.
When looking at goals scorers i would pick on off these guys.

Might be another under 3,5 for Lass but i am less convinced for that as with vitesse - AZ last night while the odds are pretty terrible. So i will not advise this one.

Referee for tonight is Vink who isnt too generous with his cards.
Only 2 sending offs this season when he was in charge but .... 1 came in a Cambuur match (at home against Ajax) and the other one was a home match of PSV.
Also just 1 penalty given by Vink apparently this season. No no bets for me on the cards/penalties.

The Football Tips Thread V

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