The Football Tips Thread V

PuntersAdvice · 19-01-2014 09:47PM

bradlente wrote: »

On Bilbao to win the second half again tomorrow.Valladolid's 2nd half record is something like 2-4-4 I think (Checked last week) and Bilbao's home 2nd half is something like 8-2-0,It might even be 9-1-0 I can't remember.It's still going @1.7 anyway which isn't bad,Valladolid can be hard to break but Bilbao's record speaking for itself right now.

Real Sociedad have similar home 2nd half stats as Bilbao.

bradlente · 20-01-2014 12:03AM

PuntersAdvice wrote: »

Real Sociedad have similar home 2nd half stats as Bilbao.

Up against Elche next week who are 3-3-3 away from home.Would like a bit closer to evens than what's going round now(1.8)Might have another look in the week anyway.

RoadWars2013 · 20-01-2014 12:46AM

Everton VS Westbrom

1) Everton to win @ 2.15
Everton have won 5 put of their last 8 games in the premier league drawn 2 and lost won. They have beaten Man united and drawn to arsenal in that time.
West brom have won 1 out of their last 8 games drawn 3 and lost 4.
So a Everton win at above evens seems great value.

2) Everton to score in both halves @3.25
Everton have achieved this in 3 of their last 8 games. While 2 games were against united and arsenal. This has happened to west brom in 3 out of their last 8 games so I reckon @ 3.25 it is worth something.

3) Everton to win 2-1 @ 9.50
No real stats behind this I just fancy it so here is my reasoning for it.
Everton have a strong attack and I think they will just edge it, but I fancy Westbrom to score so a small stake at this is worth it.

Maybe Both teams to score @ 1.68 is a safer bet. But sometimes you need to take a risk to win big

P.Walnuts · 20-01-2014 12:53AM

RoadWars2013 wrote: »

Everton VS Westbrom

1) Everton to win @ 2.15
Everton have won 5 put of their last 8 games in the premier league drawn 2 and lost won. They have beaten Man united and drawn to arsenal in that time.
West brom have won 1 out of their last 8 games drawn 3 and lost 4.
So a Everton win at above evens seems great value.

2) Everton to score in both halves @3.25
Everton have achieved this in 3 of their last 8 games. While 2 games were against united and arsenal. This has happened to west brom in 3 out of their last 8 games so I reckon @ 3.25 it is worth something.

3) Everton to win 2-1 @ 9.50
No real stats behind this I just fancy it so here is my reasoning for it.
Everton have a strong attack and I think they will just edge it, but I fancy Westbrom to score so a small stake at this is worth it.

Maybe Both teams to score @ 1.68 is a safer bet. But sometimes you need to take a risk to win big

Everton have won 4 out of 10 away games

West Brom have lost 4 out of 10 home games

I wouldn't be going too heavy on Everton

RoadWars2013 · 20-01-2014 12:56AM

I'd agree with you normally but west brom in such a and run of form and Everton needing the win to go above liverpool I think they will win.

Gavin "shels" · 20-01-2014 01:30AM

RobbingBandit wrote: »

Only wish I had put €10 on it now, first time in nearly 6 months I have won a score cast.

Just an opinion, but that sums up for the majority why accumulators and big odds bets don't make it profitable. If you done 3 score-casts a week, only 6 months that's €72. You made €50 on this.

bradlente · 20-01-2014 03:23AM

Under 2.5 21/20 in the EPL game tomorrow.History of unders between the two sides and there haven't been many goalfests in eithers matches lately.Only 3/10 WBA home games have gone over this year and 4/10 for Everton away,5/6 of Evertons last away games have been under.The joint best defence in the league fighting for 4th place away to joint 8th best defence (conceded as many as Pool,Newcastle and Hull)who have a new manager and will want to impress,Hard to see what will give.

Both teams have drawn the most games in the league this year as well (8 and 9)so 3.5 looks ok there.With a tiny bit on the 0-0 too.:P

(cue epic goalfest)

inforfun · 20-01-2014 05:45PM

Dutch beloften
Jong Roda - Jong Feyenoord
Pick: Roda DC
Odds; @3
Bookie: Bet365

Was thinking about this one for a bit and came to the conclusion that although it is not @10 like i had at Jong Feyenoord - Jong Utrecht for the Utrecht DC this looks a good bet anyway.

Jong Roda - Jong Feyenoord > Jong Roda DC @3

Reason is that Feyenoord has sent 2 regulars from this team out on loan. Elvis Manu who has been on the socresheet in about every match and Jordy van Deelen, Solid defender.
Now the rest is speculation but there is nothing that can make me think different.
2 other players will be missing for Feyenoord who have been very important for the results.
1 i am 99.9% sure he will not play, Sven van Beek because it would be stupid to play him. Wednesday is Ajax - Feyenoord for the cup and Stefan de Vrij is suspended for that one and Van Beek will be his replacement. So they are hardly going to play him tonight.
Same goes for John Goossens who replaced Boetius yesterday who went off injured. Nothing read about him not available yet but i can only imagine he is at best doubtfull for Ajax - Feyenoord so i dont think they ll risk him (Goossens) playing tonight.

Roda not great but from their home matches i can see only 1 really bad result, 1-4 loss against NAC. They did rather well against 2 other teams from the top of the league with draws.
They played earlier a 1-1 at feyenoord this season

I went big (my big) on this @3

Got nothing else i nthe Beloften tonight. All or nothing with this bet.

Reason for me is the transfer window, players have moved and i will have a look at it for a week or 2 how this has affected teams.

Just read the line up for AZ for example and cant get away from the impression they have a lot of other players as well. But cant see them not winning at home to Almere but it might be closer than expected.

Courtesy Flush · 20-01-2014 08:58PM

bradlente wrote: »

Under 2.5 21/20 in the EPL game tomorrow.History of unders between the two sides and there haven't been many goalfests in eithers matches lately.Only 3/10 WBA home games have gone over this year and 4/10 for Everton away,5/6 of Evertons last away games have been under.The joint best defence in the league fighting for 4th place away to joint 8th best defence (conceded as many as Pool,Newcastle and Hull)who have a new manager and will want to impress,Hard to see what will give.

Both teams have drawn the most games in the league this year as well (8 and 9)so 3.5 looks ok there.With a tiny bit on the 0-0 too.:P

(cue epic goalfest)

Yeah going for Under 2.5 in this also. 20/21 now on Betfair , just under evens

Lasagna Diarra · 20-01-2014 09:15PM

An interesting game in the French Cup tomorrow:
Sète (5th division) vs Jura Sud (4th division)

Sète are top of the league with 12 wins in 13 games! They've done pretty well in the Cup so far beating Grenoble (4th div) 1-0 and Carquefou (3rd division) 2-0

Their opponents Jura are one division above but they're not doing well, and have won only once away from home this season. The odds are probably high cuz Jura knocked out a 2nd division team in the previous round (but that was at home)

Highlights from Sète's last Cup game: http://www.foot-national.com/foot-sete-carquefou-l-exploit-de-sete-en-video-53183.html

Sète @ 2.50
DNB @ 1.70
Under 2.5 @ 1.53 (from what I've read they were happy to sit back and defend the whole game once they scored vs Carquefou)

bradlente · 21-01-2014 12:02AM

bradlente wrote: »

Under 2.5 21/20 in the EPL game tomorrow.History of unders between the two sides and there haven't been many goalfests in eithers matches lately.Only 3/10 WBA home games have gone over this year and 4/10 for Everton away,5/6 of Evertons last away games have been under.The joint best defence in the league fighting for 4th place away to joint 8th best defence (conceded as many as Pool,Newcastle and Hull)who have a new manager and will want to impress,Hard to see what will give.

Both teams have drawn the most games in the league this year as well (8 and 9)so 3.5 looks ok there.With a tiny bit on the 0-0 too.:P

(cue epic goalfest)

bradlente wrote: »

On Bilbao to win the second half again tomorrow.Valladolid's 2nd half record is something like 2-4-4 I think (Checked last week) and Bilbao's home 2nd half is something like 8-2-0,It might even be 9-1-0 I can't remember.It's still going @1.7 anyway which isn't bad,Valladolid can be hard to break but Bilbao's record speaking for itself right now.

3 outta 4 ain't bad :-)

deadeye187 · 21-01-2014 11:26AM

Going for a four fold tonight:

City

Peterborough

Gateshead

Roma v Juve BTTS @ 5.90

City I think will have enough to get the win tonight. Maybe West Ham will want to focus on the PL now and may not risk some of the bigger players!

Peterborough with their win against Tranmere after four straights losses might have their tails up, they still have the 4th best home record in the lge, while Notts Co. are in good for themselves having won the last 3, but their away from is terrible with the 3rd worst record in the lge winning only 2 and drawing 2 out for 14 on the road!

Gateshead are in good form having lost only 1 in the last 10 games unbeaten in 7. Welling lost 4 out of the last 10 and not having the worst away record, this game is going to be close and I think home advantage will be the deciding factor!

Roma v Juve BTTS (coppa Itaila) I think will happen here, does Lge form have anything to do with the cup? I think both teams will score, Roma have conceded only 2 goals at home all season but Juventus have scored 20 goals in 10 games on the road, you would think that BTTS is more likely to happen than not!

Again this is a four fold so small stake on it €10....

Lasagna Diarra · 21-01-2014 11:41AM

Another French Cup bet:

Croix IC (5th division) vs Lille - Croix to score a goal @ 2.10

- Croix are unbeaten this season
- they've scored 28 goals in 12 games so far
- it's a local derby
- Several Croix players used to play for Lille's youth team so they'll have extra motivation for this game

Smithwicks Man · 21-01-2014 07:52PM

Juve XI: Storari; Barzagli, Bonucci, Chiellini; Isla, Vidal, Pirlo, Marchisio, Peluso; Quagliarella, Giovinco.

Roma XI: De Sanctis; Maicon, Benatia, Castan, Torosidis; Nainggolan, De Rossi, Strootman; Florenzi, Totti, Gervinho.

Strong line-ups in the Coppa Italia game tonight

mike65 · 21-01-2014 08:04PM

22 J. Jääskeläinen
8 R. Raţ
28 R. Johnson
5 J. Tomkins
26 J. Cole
18 A. Diarra
4 K. Nolan
14 M. Taylor
21 M. Diamé
15 R. Morrison
9 A. Carroll

0 C. Pantilimon
6 J. Lescott
22 G. Clichy
38 D. Boyata
33 M. Nastasić
14 Javi García
15 Jesús Navas
25 Fernandinho
64 Marcos Lopes
16 S. Agüero
9 Negredo

mailburner · 21-01-2014 08:13PM

Smithwicks Man wrote: »

Juve XI: Storari; Barzagli, Bonucci, Chiellini; Isla, Vidal, Pirlo, Marchisio, Peluso; Quagliarella, Giovinco.

Roma XI: De Sanctis; Maicon, Benatia, Castan, Torosidis; Nainggolan, De Rossi, Strootman; Florenzi, Totti, Gervinho.

Strong line-ups in the Coppa Italia game tonight

big price juve at 2s?
are these played over two legs?

peace2804 · 21-01-2014 08:16PM

mailburner wrote: »

big price juve at 2s?
are these played over two legs?

Only from the semi final so no.

user2011 · 21-01-2014 08:18PM

I'd be fearing the no cards bet in this match with Carroll there, he'll be a bit of handful for the CB's could get himself or the CB's on a card.

bradlente · 21-01-2014 08:33PM

user2011 wrote: »

I'd be fearing the no cards bet in this match with Carroll there, he'll be a bit of handful for the CB's could get himself or the CB's on a card.

Ravel's a big mad eejit as well.

user2011 · 21-01-2014 08:45PM

bradlente wrote: »

Ravel's a big mad eejit as well.

Plus ex United player.

I picked Carroll because his style is abrasive and never changes plus he is 5/1 to be booked with Betvictor and Nastasic is 11/2 skybet. Carroll may look to pick on him instead of Lescott.

Lasagna Diarra · 21-01-2014 09:11PM

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

An interesting game in the French Cup tomorrow:
Sète (5th division) vs Jura Sud (4th division)

Sète are top of the league with 12 wins in 13 games! They've done pretty well in the Cup so far beating Grenoble (4th div) 1-0 and Carquefou (3rd division) 2-0

Their opponents Jura are one division above but they're not doing well, and have won only once away from home this season. The odds are probably high cuz Jura knocked out a 2nd division team in the previous round (but that was at home)

Highlights from Sète's last Cup game: http://www.foot-national.com/foot-sete-carquefou-l-exploit-de-sete-en-video-53183.html

Sète @ 2.50
DNB @ 1.70
Under 2.5 @ 1.53 (from what I've read they were happy to sit back and defend the whole game once they scored vs Carquefou)

Sète won 2-0, all 3 bets came in

deadeye187 · 21-01-2014 10:48PM

deadeye187 wrote: »

Going for a four fold tonight:

City

Peterborough

Gateshead

Roma v Juve BTTS @ 5.90

City I think will have enough to get the win tonight. Maybe West Ham will want to focus on the PL now and may not risk some of the bigger players!

Peterborough with their win against Tranmere after four straights losses might have their tails up, they still have the 4th best home record in the lge, while Notts Co. are in good for themselves having won the last 3, but their away from is terrible with the 3rd worst record in the lge winning only 2 and drawing 2 out for 14 on the road!

Gateshead are in good form having lost only 1 in the last 10 games unbeaten in 7. Welling lost 4 out of the last 10 and not having the worst away record, this game is going to be close and I think home advantage will be the deciding factor!

Roma v Juve BTTS (coppa Itaila) I think will happen here, does Lge form have anything to do with the cup? I think both teams will score, Roma have conceded only 2 goals at home all season but Juventus have scored 20 goals in 10 games on the road, you would think that BTTS is more likely to happen than not!

Again this is a four fold so small stake on it €10....

Not to be...the Posh made hard work but got there in the end. City done what city does. Gateshead, well I knew this would be so tight and maybe they shaded it but could not force the winner. Roma v Juve(BTTS) well that disallowed goal was border line at best, but have Tevez and Llorente both on the bench maybe goals would be hard to get from a mean Roma back line!

lucky my double of city & the posh came...by luck!

Lasagna Diarra · 21-01-2014 11:26PM

Balagne Ile Rousse (5th division) vs Bordeaux

amateur teams from the 4th and 5th division usually know how to raise their game vs Ligue 1 teams and rarely get thrashed; today's games between amateurs and pros:
-Concarneau (4th div) vs Guingamp : 1-1 in normal time
- Croix IC (5th div) vs Lille: 0-3
In the previous round, 4th and 5th div teams did well vs Ligue 1 teams:
Raon L'etape (4th div) vs Bordeaux : 1-2
Yzeure (4th div) vs Lorient : 1-0
Romorantin (4th div) vs Toulouse : 1-2
Rodez (4th div) vs Montpellier : 0-2

Ile Rousse are a Corsican team and it's never easy to win in Corsica (Bordeaux lost 1-0 away to Bastia at the weekend), they've been preparing for this game for a while, they even rested players in their league games to prepare for tomorrow's game, their coach said he's analyzed every single Bordeaux game this season.
Bordeaux have trouble scoring at the moment and their new signing Hoarau (striker) is out injured.

Under 3.5 @ 1.45
Under 2.5 @ 2.05

Smithwicks Man · 22-01-2014 04:32PM

Thoughts on Monaco? Strong line-up out with Falcao, Toulalan and Moutinho starting.

Is -2 @ 6/4 a bit greedy?

munsterlegend · 22-01-2014 05:55PM

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Balagne Ile Rousse (5th division) vs Bordeaux

amateur teams from the 4th and 5th division usually know how to raise their game vs Ligue 1 teams and rarely get thrashed; today's games between amateurs and pros:
-Concarneau (4th div) vs Guingamp : 1-1 in normal time
- Croix IC (5th div) vs Lille: 0-3
In the previous round, 4th and 5th div teams did well vs Ligue 1 teams:
Raon L'etape (4th div) vs Bordeaux : 1-2
Yzeure (4th div) vs Lorient : 1-0
Romorantin (4th div) vs Toulouse : 1-2
Rodez (4th div) vs Montpellier : 0-2

Ile Rousse are a Corsican team and it's never easy to win in Corsica (Bordeaux lost 1-0 away to Bastia at the weekend), they've been preparing for this game for a while, they even rested players in their league games to prepare for tomorrow's game, their coach said he's analyzed every single Bordeaux game this season.
Bordeaux have trouble scoring at the moment and their new signing Hoarau (striker) is out injured.

Under 3.5 @ 1.45
Under 2.5 @ 2.05

Went safe and backed under 3.5 goals. Cue a french goal fest!

Smithwicks Man · 22-01-2014 07:25PM

mailburner wrote: »

big price juve at 2s?
are these played over two legs?

Sorry, I was busy last night. Juve only had half a team ut but they were still big enough at 2's for the players the had playing

Smithwicks Man wrote: »

Thoughts on Monaco? Strong line-up out with Falcao, Toulalan and Moutinho starting.

Is -2 @ 6/4 a bit greedy?

Wasn't too greedy at all

seanhynes · 22-01-2014 08:24PM

Phil Bardlsey to be booked 21/10 has a few recently and he shud be fired up playing ageing his old employers and he was carded in the league meeting in October ,hate cards in england bets but why not looks ok

Irish94 · 22-01-2014 08:29PM

Do away goals count in the Capital One Cup?

United are 10/11 to qualify in normal time?

Lasagna Diarra · 22-01-2014 08:30PM

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Balagne Ile Rousse (5th division) vs Bordeaux

Under 3.5 @ 1.45
Under 2.5 @ 2.05

0-0 after 120 min, I guess that calls for a BOOM!

Lasagna Diarra · 22-01-2014 08:39PM

PSG : Douchez - Van der Wiel, Marquinhos, T.Silva, Digne - Verratti, Matuidi, Pastore - Lucas, Cavani, Ménez.

Montpellier : Pionnier - Deplagne, El Kaoutari, Congré, Tiéné - Stambouli, Saihi, Cabella, Niang - Montaño, Camara

Montpellier with a surprisingly very attacking line up, 3 strikers plus 1 attacking midfielder. Their 2nd choice GK is playing, he's absolutely terrible.
PSG with their 2nd choice keeper too, he usually concedes whenever he starts.

Montpellier to score a goal @ 1.80

The Football Tips Thread V

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