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Season bet

  • 31-12-2013 7:28pm
    #1
    kryogen
    Closed Accounts Posts: 25,953 ✭✭✭✭


    Did a bet a while ago when arguing about where I think Man United will finish this season, put my money where my mouth was, mentioned it and put up the screenshot in the United thread in the soccer forum and have been thinking Id like to have a place to track the odds shifting (with the firm I have the bet with) and maybe to jot down my thoughts on the bet throughout the rest of the season. So yeah, that's basically what this is, a bet blog. Just the one bet in play and not much to talk about really!

    kEjUYGR.png


    As you can see, the bet was done in the middle of august when we were going through a very rough patch and people were constantly writing the team off, hence the argument, hence the bet


Comments

  • #2
    kryogen
    Closed Accounts Posts: 25,953 ✭✭✭✭kryogen


    The current odds with Bwin on the bet right now is 1.90 so a half point move so far, in the right direction thankfully!


  • #3
    Collie D
    Registered Users Posts: 11,298 ✭✭✭✭Collie D


    Are you planning to lay this off at some point or just wanting to make sure that from a bookies' point of view you're going in the right direction?

    I actually backed United @ 15.5 yesterday with a view to lay off at 7.2. They were 23.0 on 20/12 and I was predicting them to take all twelve points over Xmas period so I am feeling a bit silly for not backing them then as a win over Spurs today will probably drop them closer to 12.0 at which point I could have laid for free roll. Bad gambling on my part but I think I can pull some value from this. Plus I have City to win title in a treble and the thought of cheering them on as a United fan bothered me :mad:

    EDIT: I see your bet is currently priced at 11/10. With United only three points outside the top four I may have a go at that. Thanks for highlighting this for me. Have ton of bets on today so will see how they work out before going in.


  • #4
    kryogen
    Closed Accounts Posts: 25,953 ✭✭✭✭kryogen


    Will update this at some stage later or tomorrow possibly


  • #5
    kryogen
    Closed Accounts Posts: 25,953 ✭✭✭✭kryogen


    Finally getting around to updating this

    Ok, the form has continued the same way more or less which is a slight concern but still pretty confident in this coming in, they won 5 of the last 7 Premier League games, and its important the team wins the next 3 heading into the Arsenal game

    Rooney and VP are both close to returning which will be a timely boost, could save the season in fact! Just keeping them fit will be a huge part of getting the top four. For whatever reason its not looking as likely that players will be signed in January even though I think a couple would really boost the team and give everyone a lift but this squad is more then good enough as is.

    Liverpool slipped up but salvaged a point which isnt great, Spurs kept doing what they have been doing in beating the weak teams, they will fall down in the bigger games and Everton will hopefully run out of steam soon, they have impressed though it must be said with their consistency

    They are now best priced 10/3 for a top four finish and I am strongly considering going in again, if it touches 4/1 at some stage before the next game I will be all over it.

    Just think its too big a price............................to hell with it!

    Another 50 staked at 100/30 to return 216.67

    Total staked 153.07

    Total potential return 465.67


  • #6
    kryogen
    Closed Accounts Posts: 25,953 ✭✭✭✭kryogen


    Aside from our own result its been a decent weekend for the bet in reality, both Liverpool and Everton dropped points to weak opposition, both were lucky to get draws from what I saw too which is positive in that hopefully the purple patch is coming to an end or the blip is arriving, whatever way you want to put it.

    Already plenty of firms have trimmed United again to 5/2 and 9/4, Ladbrokes still going 10/3

    Cant believe the value they are offering, imo of course.


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  • #7
    kryogen
    Closed Accounts Posts: 25,953 ✭✭✭✭kryogen


    Since the odds are likely to be trimmed again in the coming days and weeks hopefully with the rivals having tough games and United have easier games on paper I am backing it again while it is still 11/4 on bet365 as I have a spare 33.87 in the account

    FlUGio2.png


  • #8
    Collie D
    Registered Users Posts: 11,298 ✭✭✭✭Collie D


    No idea why I'm not backing this myself....good luck!


  • #9
    kryogen
    Closed Accounts Posts: 25,953 ✭✭✭✭kryogen


    Collie D wrote: »
    No idea why I'm not backing this myself....good luck!

    Too much sense :)

    If Mata does come on board that is obviously going to be a huge boost too which is what the squad has been crying out for

    Fingers crossed


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