Gameweek 19 Matchday Thread

G1032 wrote: »

How high do you think you can finish? I've moved up to 238,000 but an wondering how far more up I can actually go. I would suspect I've no chance of a top 15,000 finish and still no chance of winning PL. I'm about 110 points behind now but was 150 or so 4 weeks ago

one step at a time.

my next aim is 250,000. then 100k. that's my minimum aim really. if I can get there, then 50k. then see what happens.

i didn't pick the greatest original team and I fúcked up my wildcard in GW3. only started recovering really about GW12 or so. bringing Suarez in on his return was my first decent decision of the season tbh.

getting the January WC right is vital for me.

Wonder how well I can recover then from 800k odd, after being 200-300k odd around GW 8-9.

:eek:

I just went into free fall when Suarez came back and didn't get him quick enough.

RossieMan wrote: »

after Jan its very hard to gain places, unless you take serious risks and they pay off.

Most people who still play will end up with 7-8 of the same players, so you'll only gain very slightly each week.

I can't see myself getting much higher, its all downhill from here

I rose 100k places in the last 7 GWs last season and had I another 7 I believe I'd have gotten a good bit higher again. Granted I was in 158k moving to 58k and it did involve a lot of risks but I did what was needed.

roryc wrote: »

Really??? A zombie team could make that! In reality top 1% is the minimum you should be looking at. My aim every year is to make the top 0.3% which is top 10k. Anybody checking this forum on a daily basis should be able to make this with a bit of effort.

top 30,000 minimum? jesus that would be impressive.

I can't see how i'll move up, everyone above me has practically all the same players. I'm more interested in winning both the leagues i'm in, which im currently top of, just about.

carraig2 wrote: »

Last year was my first year and I just want to better that score my problem is I take too many hits have made 30 transfers in 18 weeks

I have also made bang on 30

carraig2 wrote: »

Couple of times they work, like last week dzeko and walcott for negredo and ramsey. A lot of times though I take a hit to get in someone I can't afford with one trsnsfer so I not alone range a bit but I downgrade.

I'm going to do a bit of maths later and see what my net points is from my transfer hits on the week I made them. I honestly wouldn't be surprised if it was positive.

CSF wrote: »

This is true of course, but how do you know this.....:eek:

You posted your team somewhere i think, in the Cup thread i guess...
Still doing fine with all those hits.

wonski wrote: »

You posted your team somewhere i think, in the Cup thread i guess...
Still doing fine with all those hits.

Haha I posted my opponent's team. Naturally my team was easily enough found from there. Thanks. I do get carried away with myself with transfer hits, but at the same time I try to do them only where I've calculated the probability of a net success in my favour. Doesn't always work out as I calculated though.

I did the calculations there, and it is similar enough to what I thought. I've taken a whopping 68 points in deductions over a course of 19 gameweeks. When you remove the 1st week where you can't take a hit, and wildcard week where the same applies, that averages at exactly 1 points hit every week.

FPL suicide you might say.......but actually not so much. When the accumulated points deductions are added to the points I would have gotten anyway (the transferred out players or where those players did not play, the substitute that would have come in) this total comes in 10 points less than the total of the players I brought in on these respective gameweeks (again on the rare occasions I transferred players in and they didn't play, I've taken the points I got from the resulting substitute)

Obviously I appreciate this doesn't tell the full tale for both pros and cons. On the plus side, many of those transfers I brought in were captained that week (including Suarez and Aguero on bumper weeks) and I haven't counted the double points for these players as the stats just get way messier. On the negative, many of the net successes revolved more around 1 of the 2 players brought in so in some cases that gain could have been done without the need for a hit. But sure your total score reflects all that, plus what these transfers did in the weeks after their first week in, so those stats aren't entirely necessary.

Best week was GW 10 when I brought in Aguero and Nastasic vs Norwich for an accumulated 32 points, plus another 18 Aguero captain points. Biggest net loss was the most recent week when I took a 12 point hit, letting Koscielny and Lukaku leave on 17 points between the 2 of them while Yaya Toure came in and didn't even play. Dzeko was 1 of the 4 players in though as captain and if I hadn't brought him in 1 point Negredo was being captained.

In a nutshell, I don't think points hits are the enemy they frequently are made out to be on here, use them wisely and not for small transfers and they can be your best friend.

RossieMan wrote: »

i've made 33 transfer so far, not sure how many hits that is, but i've easily lost 30-40 points on poorly times transfers.

I started fairly brightly and haven't done bad since, but my captains choices have been shocking.
That's where i've lost out big time this season. Following the crowd seems to be a success.

Could be any amount of hits from 16 to 32.