Call it!

PopeBuckfastXVI · 31-05-2012 09:32PM #1

All over now bar the counting, lets see your predictions.

Mine is Yes 46 : No 54

drunkmonkey · 31-05-2012 09:35PM

Yes 62 No 38

Technocentral · 31-05-2012 09:37PM

57% Yes, 43% No.

I consulted The Count off Sesame Street to check those figures added up before posting them this time.

jmcc · 31-05-2012 09:39PM

~50% turnout:

No 50.25
Yes 49.75

55% Turnout:
Yes 52%
No 48%

Regards...jmcc

Seth Brundle · 31-05-2012 09:40PM

Yes: 37%
No: 32%
No but I'll vote yes next time: 31%

rabjoshu · 31-05-2012 09:40PM

Yes 45 No 55

oscarBravo · 31-05-2012 09:41PM

Yes 50.5%, no 49.5%, followed by claims that the government don't have a mandate to ratify with such a narrow margin and low turnout.

Scioch · 31-05-2012 09:59PM

51.9% Yes - 48.1% No

Pretty close I'd imagine if its a poor turnout.

steelcityblues · 31-05-2012 10:04PM

53.2% YES - 46.8% NO.

Hope I am wrong, though.

[-0-] · 31-05-2012 10:06PM

48% turnout.
No 55 Yes 45.

steelcityblues · 31-05-2012 10:07PM

drunkmonkey wrote: »

Yes 62 No 38

I think I can safely say, you will be wrong.

gandalf · 31-05-2012 10:20PM

No 55% Yes 45%

49% turnout

Atlantis50 · 31-05-2012 10:21PM

Yes victory by 2 to 3%.

Permabear · 31-05-2012 10:23PM

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20Cent · 31-05-2012 10:24PM

yes 52
no 48

Richard Hillman · 31-05-2012 10:26PM

No 54% Yes 46%

ninebeanrows · 31-05-2012 10:28PM

Yes: 61.4% No 38.6%

reverselogic · 31-05-2012 10:35PM

Permabear wrote: »

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The problem is, it wasn't a poll conducted by the Government. It was the Government that were polled!

Edit: Also, my guess is 61% No - 39% Yes.

steelcityblues · 31-05-2012 10:37PM

Permabear wrote: »

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Quick question - do you trust the government?

Permabear · 31-05-2012 10:39PM

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Permabear · 31-05-2012 10:41PM

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ninebeanrows · 31-05-2012 10:41PM

Permabear wrote: »

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think they are just citing an out of date report, which was taking the latest opinion poll as valid data!

steelcityblues · 31-05-2012 10:43PM

Permabear wrote: »

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Only because they are usually wrong, as it is. Mainstream media nearly always takes governments words.Thought a libertarian like yourself would know all of this.

glenkeo · 31-05-2012 10:44PM

Yes 63 no 37

Turn out around 50% same has most other ref bar one (nice1 or lisbon1) which was around 43 % and a no

nkay1985 · 31-05-2012 10:47PM

Yes 54.5% - No 45.5%

My name is URL · 31-05-2012 10:53PM

Permabear wrote: »

This post had been deleted.

I have a suspicion that those figures are based on a polling forecast which was published in the Telegraph yesterday

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/9301109/Dublin-forecasts-60pc-of-voters-will-back-EU-fiskalpakt.html

Could be wrong though.

Ozymandius2011 · 31-05-2012 10:54PM

David McCullagh has tweeted that no reputable company did an exit poll this week, according to Spotty on politics.ie. I am sick of this lazy journalism where elements of the media report rumours as facts. Euronews is doing the same.

My prediction is 52% Yes 48% no but as I have a bet on a no vote and want to retain Irish sovereignty I hope for a no vote. I am disappointed at the low turnout in places like Donegal and that the turnout in hotbeds of Federalism in parts of Dublin was no lower.

31-05-2012 10:57PM

What a bloody shambles the media and their cohorts in this country are that none could get their **** together for an exit poll.

Anyway, 55-45 no.

Ozymandius2011 · 31-05-2012 11:05PM

David McCullagh arguing with Bruno Waterfield on Twitter on whether the 60:40 poll exists. Waterfield saying “I’m making my own calls”. Oddly Waterfield claims its ‘presumably based on reports from returning officers’. http://twitter.com/#!/brunobrussels

mike65 · 31-05-2012 11:11PM

57/43 yes.

meglome · 31-05-2012 11:19PM

I'll have to admit given the sea of poop on this treaty I have never been sure of a Yes. I'm still thinking 57:43 no, though I hope I'm wrong.

And me a big Yes whore

Call it!

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