The Football / Soccer Tips Thread

Smithwicks Man · 03-11-2011 10:29pm

robbie1977 wrote: »

Yardie Im surprised you did'nt see this lunatic who's in charge of the
Birmingham match.

http://www.soccerway.com/referees/marcin-borski/34981/

Alternative card index 60pts or more on PP is 13/5 :eek:

Thank you very much!

Great evening for a change!

:D

Leeg17 · 03-11-2011 10:39pm

*pops head in*

Haven't bet in a while, but a friend showed me a MLS match at 12:30am with Houston (WWDWW) playing against Philadelphia Union (WDWDL).

Stuck €10 on at evens for Houston to win.

SteelyDanJalapeno · 03-11-2011 10:42pm

super-rush wrote: »

Tempted to add Chelsea and Newcastle to that.

That will be the game that breaks the camels accumulator......

SlowJack · 03-11-2011 10:56pm

Soby wrote: »

You just know one of these supposed "BIG" teams will mess up

Nah, reckon we will be fine, good luck....;)

Meglamonia · 03-11-2011 11:29pm

Any tips for the MLS games tonight?

seklly · 03-11-2011 11:31pm

Leeg17 wrote: »

*pops head in*

Haven't bet in a while, but a friend showed me a MLS match at 12:30am with Houston (WWDWW) playing against Philadelphia Union (WDWDL).

Stuck €10 on at evens for Houston to win.

Looks decent odds for the home team on a good run of form. Only thing is Houston don't have to win after winning the first leg 2-1. Philadelphia have to score though which should leave them open to the counter.

Headshot · 04-11-2011 12:39am

LOI fans thoughts on this

Galway United v Monaghan United Match & Total Goals Doubles Monaghan United to win and 5 or more total goals in the match (4/1)

Galway have to attack and they are capable of scoring but Monaghan are just a miles better team (anyone is a miles better team than Galway lol)

That's how I see it

thoughts ?

stingerro · 04-11-2011 12:54am

Over 1.5 goals Friday candidates:

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Dinamo Dresden (1.17)
BW Linz vs First Vienna (1.19)
WAC St.Andra vs LASK Linz (1.16)
Audax Italiano vs Nublense (1.22)
Venlo vs Excelsior (1.19)

(NEW) Under 3.5 goals Friday candidates (used same criteria as with over 1.5 tips):

Podbeskidzie vs Gornik Zabrze (1.21)
Frejus Saint-Raphael vs Luzenac (1.24)

(NEW) Team-candidate to score over 1.5 goals on Friday: (rule is that this team have to be a big favourite<1.50 plus they have to score over 1.5 in last 6 games home or away - depends when they are playing)

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Dinamo Dresden (1.40).

Gavin "shels" · 04-11-2011 1:00am

Headshot wrote: »

LOI fans thoughts on this

Galway United v Monaghan United Match & Total Goals Doubles Monaghan United to win and 5 or more total goals in the match (4/1)

Galway have to attack and they are capable of scoring but Monaghan are just a miles better team (anyone is a miles better team than Galway lol)

That's how I see it

thoughts ?

Monaghan are already 2-0, I really can't see them going out for the kill, they'll score early I'd say and then nick one in the 2nd half.

I honestly can't see 5 or more goals in the match. Over 2.5 or 3.5 maybe?

Maybe wait for team news, both Galway and Mons were missing a good few first teamers on Tuesday, nearly sure Galway had to bring in some Under 19 players to fill the bench against Shams in Tallaght last Friday and possibly on Tuesday.

Headshot · 04-11-2011 2:31am

This looks good for later

Fortuna Dusseldorf 3/10 (win)
Esbjerg 4/9 (win)
Gent 4/9 (win)
Over 2.5 Goals 8/13 (LOI match)

madma · 04-11-2011 2:59am

re: mexican game the other night

so how many got some funds from 365?

im still mailing them have sent 3 mails basically ranting.. .was getting differnt people's replies but last one was from the supervior. just the usal why voided and terms & conditions. no offer of anything from them. too late now i suppose

yesno1234 · 04-11-2011 3:13am

madma wrote: »

re: mexican game the other night

so how many got some funds from 365?

im still mailing them have sent 3 mails basically ranting.. .was getting differnt people's replies but last one was from the supervior. just the usal why voided and terms & conditions. no offer of anything from them. too late now i suppose

Did you say that as others have gotten bonus funds you expect the same and if not you will be bringing your custom elsewhere.

grohlisagod · 04-11-2011 3:15am

Adam Johnson Anytime at 7/4 is tempting me, as is Clint Dempsey/Bobby Zamora at 9/4.
Johnson's recent goalscoring record is excellent and I fancy him to start on Saturday, especially with Silva a slight doubt. I also reckon Fulham will score against Spurs and I always feel those 2 are the most likely.

madma · 04-11-2011 3:20am

yesno1234 wrote: »

Did you say that as others have gotten bonus funds you expect the same and if not you will be bringing your custom elsewhere.

I didnt but im going to say that in the next email. they'll probably ask for names but ill just say that i know for a fact that they've been given.

hope to get something as i lumped on the 0-0. would have been 850 profit!!

Have said everything like dont want to have to go down the road of closing account and bad mouthing them and going to the media etc.

same responses really every time

im gonna keep at them! would love to know what exactly to say to get something out of them

Leeg17 · 04-11-2011 3:21am

Leeg17 wrote: »

*pops head in*

Haven't bet in a while, but a friend showed me a MLS match at 12:30am with Houston (WWDWW) playing against Philadelphia Union (WDWDL).

Stuck €10 on at evens for Houston to win.

Yay, made 40% bank technically

inforfun · 04-11-2011 7:15am

stingerro wrote: »

(NEW) Team-candidate to score over 1.5 goals on Friday: (rule is that this team have to be a big favourite<1.50 plus they have to score over 1.5 in last 6 games home or away - depends when they are playing)

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Dinamo Dresden (1.40).

Funny that.
Last night after the matches finished i put down an accumulator that will run friday/sunday all with bets on certain teams to score over 1,5 based on exactly those criteria.

Worked out @27 or something for a 10fold accumulator.
It is just a 1st attempt and will see how many come in and fine tune it. Less matches most likely.

stingerro · 04-11-2011 10:10am

inforfun wrote: »

Funny that.
Last night after the matches finished i put down an accumulator that will run friday/sunday all with bets on certain teams to score over 1,5 based on exactly those criteria.

Worked out @27 or something for a 10fold accumulator.
It is just a 1st attempt and will see how many come in and fine tune it. Less matches most likely.

Will you publish it on regular basis? If yes, I could concentrate on over 1.5 and under 3.5 goals, it takes enough time :rolleyes:

inforfun · 04-11-2011 10:34am

See how it will turn out with this one. Might break this 10 fold one up in 2 or 3 seperate ones and post those.

Stupid thing is that everything i post here, fails miserably.
I am not superstitious but i am getting there

stingerro · 04-11-2011 10:45am

inforfun wrote: »

See how it will turn out with this one. Might break this 10 fold one up in 2 or 3 seperate ones and post those.

Just tell me if you are going post this games for the weekend or not (don't care if you will split them into shorter combos or not), so I will know if I have to research it or not. Are you going through all leagues, or just the major ones?

grohlisagod · 04-11-2011 11:26am

I think Bilbao on the Asian handicap is quite generous. +1.5 at 2.10
Considering Bilbao are coming into a bit of form, and they're always strong at home. Also Barca have been less than impressive on the road recently in La Liga.

Head to head:http://www.soccerway.com/matches/2011/11/06/spain/primera-division/athletic-club/futbol-club-barcelona/1140748/head2head/

Lasagna Diarra · 04-11-2011 11:59am

treble of:
Fenerbahçe
Jablonec (Czech league)
Stuttgart win or draw

@4.14

MoscowFlyer · 04-11-2011 12:46pm

My customary Jupiler League Ov 2.5 goals bet. All matches. Around 10.5/1

Gavin "shels" · 04-11-2011 1:04pm

Paddy Power offering 25% bonus on anytime goalscorers of 4 or more in the EPL.

Just done a €5 bet of my winnings on a dog today on a 5-fold.

Van Persie
D Bent
Suarez
Rooney
D Ba

stingerro · 04-11-2011 1:14pm

Something to consider for red cards hunter, not sure if you can get a market for Belgium league online though:

btw u know i like stats so for tonite @ Hent Mechelen we have Delferière as ref : in 2011, 28 matchs in all competitions = 113 yellows + 12 red cards (red card in the match= yes @ 3.5 could be tried)

SteelyDanJalapeno · 04-11-2011 1:16pm

Gavin shels wrote: »

Paddy Power offering 25% bonus on anytime goalscorers of 4 or more in the EPL.

Just done a €5 bet of my winnings on a dog today on a 5-fold.

Van Persie
D Bent
Suarez
Rooney
D Ba

Nice, gonna go for a look now, but i'd fancy

RVP
Sturridge
Suarez
Bent

SteelyDanJalapeno · 04-11-2011 1:18pm

stingerro wrote: »

Something to consider for red cards hunter, not sure if you can get a market for Belgium league online though:

Average of just over 51pts per game

Headshot · 04-11-2011 1:39pm

Danish 2nd Division Matches Esbjerg v Fredericia
04-11-2011 17:30
Win-Draw-Win
Esbjerg @ 4/9
League of Ireland Play-Offs Galway United v Monaghan United
04-11-2011 19:45
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/13
Belgian Premier League Gent v Yellow-Red Mechelen
04-11-2011 19:30
Win-Draw-Win
Gent @ 2/5
German Bundesliga 2 Matches Fortuna Dusseldorf v Dynamo Dresden
04-11-2011 17:00
Win-Draw-Win
Fortuna Dusseldorf @ 1/3

Accumulator (4)
1 line at €10.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: €10.00
Potential returns: €43.56

keysersoze0330 · 04-11-2011 1:54pm

Im liking the 11/10 Boylesports about Monaghan -1. PP odds are a pathetic 10/11. Aslo the 8/13 is good as an alternative in case Galway score 1

Nuri Sahin · 04-11-2011 2:41pm

Looking at Stuttgart, Gent, Fortuna Düsseldorf and Sparta Rotterdam for tonight. Just thinking a couple of combinations for bets now.

Single on Sturrgart @ 13/8 and a treble on the other 3 teams @ 2/1, couple of 25s on e,

inforfun · 04-11-2011 3:28pm

stingerro wrote: »

Just tell me if you are going post this games for the weekend or not (don't care if you will split them into shorter combos or not), so I will know if I have to research it or not. Are you going through all leagues, or just the major ones?

This is what i selected.
Left out usual suspects as Real and Barca as the odds were not worth it:

Works out @27.28

Did see a few other candidates when i put this together that had odds going to @1.72/1.83 and even over evens who should be capable of the 2 or more as well.
Left them out as i just want to see how many i can hit from this selection and then see from there.

Went through, let call them, Western European leagues and all of their division. Would have taken Zwolle for example if they had be playing someone else than Willem II for example. Zwolle over 1,5 is @1.44 but Willem II is only 2 places behind them.
Looked for more distance in the league standings with most of them. Some i didnt care too much as either the club needing to score scores a lot anyway or the opponents leak goals no matter what.

magherakid · 04-11-2011 3:31pm

keysersoze0330 wrote: »

Im liking the 11/10 Boylesports about Monaghan -1. PP odds are a pathetic 10/11. Aslo the 8/13 is good as an alternative in case Galway score 1

Liking the even money with Boylesports on Wolves to beat Wigan

SteelyDanJalapeno · 04-11-2011 3:32pm

Skybet gave me a tenner free bet the other day, managed to turn this into 32 euro so far,
gonna try get it too 200!

if i bet at lest 10 euro per day i'll get another 20 free this month, any sensible bets today?

Fancy Fortuna over 1.5 @ 4/9?

stingerro · 04-11-2011 3:41pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Skybet gave me a tenner free bet the other day, managed to turn this into 32 euro so far,
gonna try get it too 200!

if i bet at lest 10 euro per day i'll get another 20 free this month, any sensible bets today?

Fancy Fortuna over 1.5 @ 4/9?

Just read the preview for this match by one 2nd Bundesliga tipsters, they should easily cover it, play with the strongest line up and are generally on fire recently.

Inforfun - good job, even if I'm quite skeptical regarding first 3 matches. I will probably look at this tomorrow using my system approach, as I for example can see that Chelsea wouldn't qualify, because losing 0:1 at QPR would killed their chances to be on the list.

SteelyDanJalapeno · 04-11-2011 3:45pm

Over 2.5 goals in the match has slightly better odds, @ 1.57

is that being greedy?

stingerro · 04-11-2011 3:48pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Over 2.5 goals in the match has slightly better odds, @ 1.57

is that being greedy?

Yes

. But maybe this link will help you making the right decision, look for Benny1887 post - http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showthread.php?p=1711750#post1711750

SteelyDanJalapeno · 04-11-2011 4:03pm

Well that preview would convince the pope to back them

FootieMad20 · 04-11-2011 4:03pm

Views on galway/monaghan tonight lads?

mullaghmore · 04-11-2011 4:09pm

Going to head into it hopefully will see a few goals can't see galway scoring more than one goal maybe it'll finish 2-1 monaghan or 1-1??

looks like 3 galway teams in division 1 next year! :eek:

MikeyGorse · 04-11-2011 4:13pm

Arsenal @ 4/11
Arsenal v West Brom
Match Betting

Man City @ 3/10
Q.P.R. v Man City
Match Betting

Chelsea @ 1/2
Blackburn v Chelsea
Match Betting

Sheff Wed @ 8/11
Sheff Wed v Brentford
Match Betting

Huddersfield @ 2/5
Huddersfield v Walsall
Match Betting

Paris St Germain @ 7/5
Bordeaux v Paris St Germain
Match Betting

Bayer Leverkusen @ 4/6
Bayer Leverkusen v Hamburg
Match Betting

Total stake € 5.00
Estimated return € 128.60

Warper · 04-11-2011 4:16pm

Double of Charlton 4-6 and Huddersfield 2-5 = 1.33 to 1 with PP (just under 11-8)

Gavin "shels" · 04-11-2011 4:20pm

mullaghmore wrote: »

looks like 3 galway teams in division 1 next year! :eek:

Be surprised if Salthill hang around, anyway they should be ejected from the League tbh. Facitilies down there don't meet any of the requirements on the FAI rule book.

Headshot · 04-11-2011 4:22pm

extra time taking their damn sweet time with that preview

Gillington · 04-11-2011 4:25pm

Gillington wrote: »

Taking these and Lazio to win

Europa League Matches Lazio v FC Zurich
03-11-2011 18:00
Win-Draw-Win
Lazio @ 2/5

Europa League Matches Sporting Braga v NK Maribor
03-11-2011 20:05
Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1/5

Europa League Matches Fulham v Wisla Krakow
03-11-2011 20:05
Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1/5

Europa League Matches Anderlecht v Sturm Graz
03-11-2011 20:05
Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1/5

Cheers Stinggerro.

Too late for Fortuna Dusseldorf action for me,1/3 now on PP not worth it.

Yardie · 04-11-2011 4:27pm

Premiership Cards and Corners:

Just a brief report as all bookies prices aren't up yet-

QPR vs Man City 4 out of 5 QPR home games 50 points or more. Only 2 out of 5 City away games 50 or more which isn't great but with Martin Atkinson in charge tomorrow this one is very likely to see plenty of cards. The crowd are very close to the pitch in Loftus Road so will be a hostile environment for City in the evening kickoff so I can see the likes of Balotelli getting wound up no end and with antagonists like Barton on the pitch against his former club their will hopefully be plenty of niggle, particularly if Gareth Barry starts. Both teams last home/away league matches saw over 100 points.

Bet 365 have over 4.5 cards @ 5/6 which worth taking but I'll be looking for juicier price in this one. Sky bet over 55 points @ 7/4 is interesting but will wait to see what PP offers. If Barry starts I will definitely be taking him to be booked @ 5/2 on Skybet. He'll be keen to put the boot into Barton after some of Barton's recent comments.

Blackburn/Chelsea

Both sides have plenty of lads capable of picking up cards. Blackburns average card index at home is 46 whereas Chelsea's average is over 50 but this is slightly skewed by QPR game. Mike Dean is in charge who is normally good for cards but as we saw last Monday he punished very little in the Stoke/Newcastle game Over 45 points is13/10 on Vic Chandler but will again wait to see what PP offer. Not overly confident on this but one of the more likely for cards this weekend.

Arsenal vs West Brom

Arsenal average 8 corners per game @ home, West Brom average 5.4 corners away from home. I expect this game will be competitive with both teams applying pressure so should see plenty of corners.I really like Over 10.5 corners @ 4/5 on Vic Chandler Over 12 @ 13/8 worth considering on Coral

Wolves vs Wigan

Wolves matches are usually brilliant for corners @ Molineaux as they play with width and whoever they up against always fancy their chances and give it a right go. Every Wolves home game has had 12 or more corners, with an average of 15. Every Wigan away game has has 10 or more corners with an average of 12.6. Over 12 corners is 11/8 on William Hill

Good luck lads.

Derek! · 04-11-2011 4:41pm

I went for an over 1.5 accum today, not great odds as youd expect

Karlsruher v FC Ingolstadt
Fortuna Dusseldorf v Dynamo Dresden
Helmond Sport v BV Veendam
Cambuur Leeuwarden v MVV Maastricht

€36 returns €63.79

SteelyDanJalapeno · 04-11-2011 4:42pm

I look forward to your posts everyday Yardie,

anyway actually having a small bit on Galway? for the odds and the importance of the game for them I think i might.

Skybet giving me a home win at 7.00

SteelyDanJalapeno · 04-11-2011 4:52pm

For anyone tailing Komso, he's going over 3.5 in the Galway game tonight......

04-11-2011 4:54pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

For anyone tailing Komso, he's going over 3.5 in the Galway game tonight......

Where you see that? Only tip I see is Ferreira and guimares game?

seathestar · 04-11-2011 4:56pm

Over 1.5 Accum for Sat/Sun French Leagues 1/2

Reims/Istres
Amiens/Chateroux
Auxerre/Toulouse
Lorient/Ajaccio
Bordeaux/PSG

Pays just over 4/1

SteelyDanJalapeno · 04-11-2011 4:57pm

slookie wrote: »

Where you see that? Only tip I see is Ferreira and guimares game?

He's got a succesful account on Betrush too,

http://www.betrush.com/pick,Galway_Monaghan,19696.html

The Football / Soccer Tips Thread

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