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Are china going to take over the world?

135

Comments

  • Posts: 31,828 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Are china going to take over the world?

    Not so sure about China, but Porcelain is already everywhere. :pac:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,940 ✭✭✭4leto


    Yes it all sounds lovely but their real estate bubble is a serious concern. Their economy is not as robust as many would seem to want to believe.

    Yes its a worry for the world they are the second biggest economy now. There are other concerns, water for one, their agricultural land is in serious degradation and Taiwan, Sino Japanese relations, and the demographic imbalance caused by the 1 child policy (to many men).

    I was reading some article written by some nobel economist and of the BRIC countries Brazil and India are the only true economies. China maybe interfering and undervaluing their currency. Although costs there are cheaper they couldn't be that cheap. I suppose we will see.

    But at the moment I think they will go from strength to strenght:(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 670 ✭✭✭Naomi00


    The Chinese wanted to buy Coillte (and block off all the land from the public and use it to build multi-storey car parks, no idea why) and the ESB, so it wouldn't surprise me if they wanted to 'take over' Ireland...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,425 ✭✭✭gargleblaster


    4leto wrote: »
    China maybe interfering and undervaluing their currency.
    There's no 'may be' about it, really, is there? The yuan may not be pegged anymore but the floating peg still gives them an advantage.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,940 ✭✭✭4leto


    Well their costs are cheaper, everything is cheaper, so a yuan or renminbi will go further in China. But the Americans accuse them off doing so.

    And they have a lot of savers and the reason which is odd for a supposedly communist country there is absolutely no social welfare safety net. They have to save for their old age, ill health, unemployment, everything.

    Like imagine we had no social welfare or state pensions, we wouldn't be able to drink our money, we to would be great savers and our banks would be in a better position, Well perhaps not, god love us but we are just not that bright.


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,386 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    4leto wrote: »
    An excellent and interesting post China does have nationalism problems but there is a pan Chinese feeling so perhaps some regions may push for independence but not the Cantonese and the mandarin speaking regions which are the main industrial areas also the vast majority of Chinese so it would still be a very populace nation.
    Oh sure the Han Chinese are the main drivers, but those pesky non Han are already causing waves beyond Bejing and watch that get larger. Then there is their "own people", the peasants, the ones left behind. The ones that were left behind before and that didn't go so well. When Mao said "A Single spark can start a prairie fire" he was specifically referring to these people.
    Also I keep hearing this which I think is a kind or racism. Chinese may not have the big companies, brands or trade marks now. But they will, they are people just like us westerners they can be equally as creative and they can certainly learn from our business models.
    Oh the people part I agree with, the culture behind the people, not so much. Maybe they will this time, but I'm doubtful. Classic example: In the early naughties one enterprising Chinese chap hit on the idea of getting his fellows from bikes to mopeds and to that end ripped off a Honda moped design. Actually called it Hondra or somesuch. OK well dodgy, but... So his little enterprise went pretty well locally. Then other bright sparks thought "aha!" and started up their own honda rip off and sold them. Pretty soon, within the year they were all selling at loss.
    Incidently I am tapping this out on an Acer which is a piece of crap but a Chinese company
    Well they're a Taiwanese company and Taiwan is quite different culturally.
    also my runners are also a Chinese brand again crap but very cheap.
    Crap but cheap kinda sums things up. And that's cool, but in my humble one of the fallouts from the current economic "difficulties" will be a return to not so crap, costs a little more, but lasts longer notions. Again in my humble I reckon we're on the brink of a couple of changes in that respect. Less buying into the blind consumer paradigm.
    They recently built a stealth fighter from parts they back engineered from the downed bomber that was shot down in the old Yugoslavia.
    Exactly. They didn't come up with it themselves. Hey that's cool, artists copy, great artists steal, but great artists make it better in the process. They failed on the latter. And that's just the stuff the yanks(and Russians) allow onto the open media. What you're publicly seeing now in US stealth tech is at least a decade behind of what they're working on/have flown. You may know of the Stealth F117, the one shot down in Yugoslavia? Well it first flew in 1977. It was a disco plane :D. It wasnt until over a decade later before they went public. So they've just back engineered(half arsedly too) a flying Saturday Nigh Fever glitterball.
    They sent up there own rocket for a pittance
    Easy to do when workers are so cheap.
    The US new moon rocket Ares 1 cost 350 million Chinas Chang'e 1 cost 120 million They are targeting Mars by 2050.
    They can target all they like. Ditto with a moon shot. Near earth orbit is by comparison a walk in the park(and they did it by ripping off the Russian tech). Think of it like paddling on the beach. A moonshot is like actually swimming beyond the surf. If they make a decent effort? Then I say fair play, but if they do, watch the US/Russians blast right by them. I'll put money on it. A mars shot? That's beyond swimming in the surf that's more like swimming the english channel.
    And we can't compete with them they have no environmental costs or social costs, that can't go on but it doesn't look like its changing soon.
    It's already causing serious problems and not just save the whale hippie problems, but problems with humans exposed to it.
    Also they are turning out 1000s of graduates a year. These by western standard are not great graduates but its as Stalin said there is quality in quantity.
    Only when it comes to tanks. Otherwise quality always trumps in the end. Including tanks. The Russians fcuked up the Germans in the 40's when it came to quantity. Which is the richer nation today?
    I do fear them.
    I don't. We've been here before. 17/18th century industrial types said similar and is the world Chinese today? No. It's "European" in flavour. We don't dress like Mandarins, they dress like western business men and drive western style cars and use western invented phones and PC's and watch and listen to western type media.
    Not so sure about China, but Porcelain is already everywhere. :pac:
    :D yea and the porcelain(and silk) historical example is where you may be able to see the past make seeing the future more easily. The Chinese flooded the market with cheap porcelain. Hence we call the good stuff "china" to this day. Then the west thought "hang on the fuc..". Discovered how to do it and beat them at their own game, hence we also call ceramics "delph" to this day. From Delft in the Netherlands. Basically and historically we're better thieves. And innovators. All down to culture. They had printing before us(though it was actually developed by Koreans first), but when we got our hands on it it went batshít and global, because we had a simpler alphabet and competition from our neighbours. Ditto with gunpowder. The west went in and dominated China with the gunpowder they invented first.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,940 ✭✭✭4leto


    I still maintain if you have capital you will have R and D, the west and mainly the US spend vast amounts on R and D and the Chinese do plaguerise that, but so what.

    They will start bringing out there own stuff. I seen some nuclear reactors they are experimenting on and they are impressive.

    And if you want to believe their culture stifles individual ambition to form the next great tech company, I am sorry but I regard that as naive.

    As for their graduates they wont win university challenge, but they can still launch a moon shot, that I am pretty sure.

    As for Mars in general it is not possible now for anyone Occident or orient it needs a big tech leap or a **** lot more capital then even China could and has mustered.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 114 ✭✭Caulego


    No, they won't take over the world, though they will probably saturate it in monosodium glutamate and soy sauce..yum! Now where is that takeaway menu?....


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,386 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    4leto wrote: »
    I still maintain if you have capital you will have R and D, the west and mainly the US spend vast amounts on R and D and the Chinese do plaguerise that, but so what.
    The so what is that they don't significantly improve on it.
    They will start bringing out there own stuff. I seen some nuclear reactors they are experimenting on and they are impressive.
    And again ripped off tech.
    And if you want to believe their culture stifles individual ambition to form the next great tech company, I am sorry but I regard that as naive.
    Watch and see.
    As for their graduates they wont win university challenge, but they can still launch a moon shot, that I am pretty sure.
    Again watch and see. I'll put money down now that the next moonwalker won't be Chinese.
    As for Mars in general it is not possible now for anyone Occident or orient it needs a big tech leap or a **** lot more capital then even China could and has mustered.
    No it is possible now technologically speaking. Von Braun's team reckoned it was possible before 1980. All it requires is the will. The technology is there today.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 842 ✭✭✭mr.wiggle


    I for one would welcome our new overlords.

    Yes, I can see an upside to having 'my rights' trampled on by these stern looking troops

    female-soldiers-red-marching-china-60th-anniversary-national-day-parad.jpg


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,801 ✭✭✭✭suicide_circus




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,940 ✭✭✭4leto


    Wibbs wrote: »
    The so what is that they don't significantly improve on it.
    And again ripped off tech.

    Watch and see.

    Again watch and see. I'll put money down now that the next moonwalker won't be Chinese.

    No it is possible now technologically speaking. Von Braun's team reckoned it was possible before 1980. All it requires is the will. The technology is there today.

    Watch and see
    If you believe the Chinese culture to be inferior in creativity, then you believe that. But they are the same as us with the same mental abilities, but now they have the capital.
    So watch and see

    As for their nuclear tech well it is not ripped off just invested in, a reactor that wont melt down ever, although they are building 300 nuclear power stations but with western technology.

    As for Von Brauns Mars shot no-way is it possible with existing tech for the simple reason space gets to hot outside the magnetosphere, if you spend to long out there you would be ripped apart by radiation so the craft would need shielding. Shielding is heavy and it costs about 10,000 to get a litre of water up there.

    But a moon shot,,, I go all conspiracy on you,,,I just simply do not believe the Americans gave up on theirs, surely they know space will be a prominent arena in the next superpower war.

    I genuinely believe that tech leap I am talking about is coming out of the "ranch". So I agree with you about the moon.

    I remember a Reagan speech when America feared the Japanese buying up America and at the time they were.

    Our Asians are better then their Asians, (not the exact word I am working with a dodgy memory) Asians and Chinese tend to be good at Tech, probably something to do with Paddy Fields and their number system as Malcoln Gladwell suggests ( OK dodgy) but the Cantonese are known as the Jews of the East, they have a business and work ethic tradition, they are successful wherever they go. Now they don't have to leave home.
    Watch and see.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 604 ✭✭✭Lanaier


    Jeepers creepers,
    it's a Frankie Boyle joke from tv,
    a bit like the one on Father Ted from tv,;)
    no need to get your knickers in a twist.:rolleyes:
    I've also not been on boards that long so wouldn't have spotted it's already been said, it ain't no thing.

    Pet peeve, I may have overreacted.

    Still, it's idiotic.
    Now you know.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 604 ✭✭✭Lanaier


    hellboy99 wrote: »
    If they give me an Asimo robot, one of their funny robot pets (of which they have many) and super speed broadband to "sweeten the deal" then I for one welcome our new masters :D:p

    Those things are all Japanese.

    Chinese internet is famously awful, it's a massive pain just to get an 8mb connection. In fact I don't know anyone other than myself who has a connection faster than 2mb, that includes some businesses. My last office had a 20mb (for the whole office) and that cost an arm and a leg.

    Simply searching for harmless topics on Google will often 404 here as the GFW works overtime.

    It's not as bad for blocking stuff as people seem to believe but it's more of a giant cluster**** and I assume someone somewhere is just barely in control of it...sort of.

    In fact, just previewing this post 404'd on me.
    Not because Boards is blocked, because the net here is just a big incompetent mess.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,560 ✭✭✭southsiderosie


    4leto wrote: »
    Watch and see
    If you believe the Chinese culture to be inferior in creativity, then you believe that. But they are the same as us with the same mental abilities, but now they have the capital.
    So watch and see

    It's not just capital. To be innovative AND a dominant market player, you need capital and a strong intellectual property regime. China is very good at commoditization. But there is a hell of a lot of dodgy research going on there, and if you have a great idea, good luck trying to profit from it as you will have 100 knockoff competitors in 6 months, triggering a race to the bottom.
    4leto wrote: »
    As for their nuclear tech well it is not ripped off just invested in, a reactor that wont melt down ever, although they are building 300 nuclear power stations but with western technology.

    Given the recent high speed rail debacle, and other recent infrastructure failures, I think the fact that there are 300 nuclear power stations being built in mainland China is a cause for serious concern.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,250 ✭✭✭ardinn


    If they try we can just send in Dirk Kuyt!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 31 One up the


    Yes but only after two thirty


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 604 ✭✭✭Lanaier


    4leto wrote: »
    Also I keep hearing this which I think is a kind or racism. Chinese may not have the big companies, brands or trade marks now. But they will, they are people just like us westerners they can be equally as creative and they can certainly learn from our business models. Incidently I am tapping this out on an Acer which is a piece of crap but a Chinese company also my runners are also a Chinese brand again crap but very cheap.


    I'm sorry, but not with the way they are educated and the mindset they are brought up with .

    Wibbs wrote: »
    Oh the people part I agree with, the culture behind the people, not so much. Maybe they will this time, but I'm doubtful. Classic example: In the early naughties one enterprising Chinese chap hit on the idea of getting his fellows from bikes to mopeds and to that end ripped off a Honda moped design. Actually called it Hondra or somesuch. OK well dodgy, but... So his little enterprise went pretty well locally. Then other bright sparks thought "aha!" and started up their own honda rip off and sold them. Pretty soon, within the year they were all selling at loss.


    And that's not merely a localized incident, that's practically the business model here.
    That is the reason you see entire streets of shops selling the same stuff in any Chinese city.
    One guy has an idea and opens a shop selling sinks and bathroom accessories, next thing you know there are 5 identical shops right next to him and nobody making any money, it's baffling.

    I have several friends in the F&B business, until very recently you needed a Chinese partner to open a business here (it's still prohibitively expensive to go it alone), and in every single case (not most of them....not 99%) the Chinese partner waited till the place was a success, screwed over the foreigner (who often has no legal legs to stand on) and proceeded to run the place into the ground.... thinking they could just copy what they saw without any experience.

    Savvy foreigners here design their business plans around this fact, they prepare to be screwed and copied in advance.

    -

    You may be able to youtube a show called "The peoples Republic of Capitalism", (it's a 4 parter) in one episode they follow a famous Chinese "entrepreneur" of LiFan motors (I think) who just reverse engineers Japanese engines and puts them in his own bikes.

    When questioned about his methods - that the Americans are afraid he'll copy their tech- he doesn't even understand the concept of the question, the idea that he's just stealing.
    He merely says, "If you don't sell your stuff to us we'll get it from someone else and you'll loose out"

    (take the commentary about Chinese loving and admiring American goods with a grain of salt, they go overboard on that point several times)

    4leto wrote: »
    And if you want to believe their culture stifles individual ambition to form the next great tech company, I am sorry but I regard that as naive.


    Absolutely couldn't disagree more.
    What you're saying makes sense, it's the right thing to say and it should be the way things are but it's just totally wrong.
    I wish you were right.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 31 One up the


    Lets set this straight, do they actually eat dogs and kill their kids if they have too many of them in one go??


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 604 ✭✭✭Lanaier


    Sorry for the multiple posts.
    4leto wrote: »
    Also they are turning out 1000s of graduates a year. These by western standard are not great graduates but its as Stalin said there is quality in quantity.

    Not worth the paper they're printed on in many cases.
    Corruption permeates every aspect of the society including education.

    Cheating is rife, one of the reasons copying is so prevalent in business is because it's the way they are brought through the education system.

    Cheaters prevail, those who copy and bribe pass the tests get the high scores ( and there is often MASSIVE pressure to get the high scores).
    Of course there are genuinely great minds in that mix but they are terribly stifled by a system that caters to cheaters.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 604 ✭✭✭Lanaier


    One up the wrote: »
    Lets set this straight, do they actually eat dogs and kill their kids if they have too many of them in one go??


    Yes both those things happen.
    Neither of them are very common.

    Dog eating is only done in certain parts of China and usually only on one special holiday. Most Chinese people would not eat a dog, but many do yes (it's more of a Korean thing?).

    As for the second thing, a 5th of the population of the world is in China, there are some amazingly horrible people here of course.
    Yes kids have been sold or killed if they didn't turn out right (ie if they were female) by people in the middle of nowhere.
    I would say that it's pretty rare now but wouldn't say that it doesn't still happen.


  • Moderators, Music Moderators Posts: 35,948 Mod ✭✭✭✭dr.bollocko


    Crap troll banned.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,386 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    4leto wrote: »
    Watch and see
    If you believe the Chinese culture to be inferior in creativity, then you believe that.
    Nope I believe that theyre inferior in exploiting creativity.
    As for their nuclear tech well it is not ripped off just invested in, a reactor that wont melt down ever, although they are building 300 nuclear power stations but with western technology.
    Be afraid, be very afraid.
    As for Von Brauns Mars shot no-way is it possible with existing tech for the simple reason space gets to hot outside the magnetosphere, if you spend to long out there you would be ripped apart by radiation so the craft would need shielding. Shielding is heavy and it costs about 10,000 to get a litre of water up there.
    Nope. Shielding doesn't have to be that heavy.http://www.gizmag.com/demron-lightweight-lead-free-radiation-proof-suit/9300/ http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2002/16sep_rightstuff/
    But a moon shot,,, I go all conspiracy on you,,,I just simply do not believe the Americans gave up on theirs, surely they know space will be a prominent arena in the next superpower war.
    Yep they did. They even lost many of the plans for the saturn V in an office move.
    I remember a Reagan speech when America feared the Japanese buying up America and at the time they were.
    And they didn't "take over the world" and they had a far better business model.
    Our Asians are better then their Asians, (not the exact word I am working with a dodgy memory) Asians and Chinese tend to be good at Tech, probably something to do with Paddy Fields and their number system as Malcoln Gladwell suggests ( OK dodgy)
    If they're so good at tech and Europe and the Americas are not, how come the tech they're building was invented and largely still being designed outside of China?
    but the Cantonese are known as the Jews of the East, they have a business and work ethic tradition, they are successful wherever they go. Now they don't have to leave home.
    Watch and see.
    One big diff(as Lanaier has described) is in the Jewish diaspora you don't rip off your own. It happens but it's major no no. Ditto with the Irish/Italian/Russian/etc Diaspora to a lesser degree. The Chinese are much more likely to go down this route. A race to the bottom against each other, like the moped example I gave. Lanaier who appears to live and work there I'm sure could give you many more examples of this.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,940 ✭✭✭4leto


    It's not just capital. To be innovative AND a dominant market player, you need capital and a strong intellectual property regime. China is very good at commoditization. But there is a hell of a lot of dodgy research going on there, and if you have a great idea, good luck trying to profit from it as you will have 100 knockoff competitors in 6 months, triggering a race to the bottom.



    Given the recent high speed rail debacle, and other recent infrastructure failures, I think the fact that there are 300 nuclear power stations being built in mainland China is a cause for serious concern.

    It is just capital, capital is the main driving force in any successful business venture. I give you the example of the main innovators of the last century, the Americans. But lets look at that. What America had over its competitors is the venture capitalists.

    You could say the Jet engine was patented in Britain developed in Germany but marketed successfully in the US. Computers first used in Britain to break the German Enigma codes but again developed and marketed by the Americans.

    Drugs and big Pharma although around since Aspirin they really formed a new industry with the discovery of Peniscillian again British.

    The internet again British although American innovators have developed each of these examples I have given and come up with their own. You have to see my point. The most important component in any business or new industry is capital.

    Now the Chinese have capital, so let us watch the new developments in knocked off tech.

    As for the recent failure in their high speed rail, Jesus come-on look at the amount of failures in Europe's "normal rail", I could spam this thread with rail European and western railway failures and crashes.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,940 ✭✭✭4leto


    Wibbs wrote: »
    Nope I believe that theyre inferior in exploiting creativity.

    Be afraid, be very afraid.

    Nope. Shielding doesn't have to be that heavy.http://www.gizmag.com/demron-lightweight-lead-free-radiation-proof-suit/9300/ http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2002/16sep_rightstuff/

    Yep they did. They even lost many of the plans for the saturn V in an office move.

    And they didn't "take over the world" and they had a far better business model.

    If they're so good at tech and Europe and the Americas are not, how come the tech they're building was invented and largely still being designed outside of China? One big diff(as Lanaier has described) is in the Jewish diaspora you don't rip off your own. It happens but it's major no no. Ditto with the Irish/Italian/Russian/etc Diaspora to a lesser degree. The Chinese are much more likely to go down this route. A race to the bottom against each other, like the moped example I gave. Lanaier who appears to live and work there I'm sure could give you many more examples of this.

    A race to the bottom that doesn't really matter as to who get to the bottom first and that is my fear, it will be China and there is nothing we can do about it. As for future industry (supposedly green industry, but I don't think so) China does have a massive advantage. The Arabs have the oil but China has the rare earths, which they are refusing to export on the grounds of preserving them (that is what they say) but we all know China and its environmental policy is not about preserving anything.

    I don't know why people feel we are superior here in the west, we are not, this world was always about capital, you could do a history of Empires solely based on that thesis, China have the capital and the venture capitalists plus an unlimited educated hard working work force. So we are fukced and that is what I believe and this thread has not convinced me otherwise.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,940 ✭✭✭4leto


    Lanaier wrote: »
    I'm sorry, but not with the way they are educated and the mindset they are brought up with .





    And that's not merely a localized incident, that's practically the business model here.
    That is the reason you see entire streets of shops selling the same stuff in any Chinese city.
    One guy has an idea and opens a shop selling sinks and bathroom accessories, next thing you know there are 5 identical shops right next to him and nobody making any money, it's baffling.

    I have several friends in the F&B business, until very recently you needed a Chinese partner to open a business here (it's still prohibitively expensive to go it alone), and in every single case (not most of them....not 99%) the Chinese partner waited till the place was a success, screwed over the foreigner (who often has no legal legs to stand on) and proceeded to run the place into the ground.... thinking they could just copy what they saw without any experience.

    Savvy foreigners here design their business plans around this fact, they prepare to be screwed and copied in advance.

    -

    You may be able to youtube a show called "The peoples Republic of Capitalism", (it's a 4 parter) in one episode they follow a famous Chinese "entrepreneur" of LiFan motors (I think) who just reverse engineers Japanese engines and puts them in his own bikes.

    When questioned about his methods - that the Americans are afraid he'll copy their tech- he doesn't even understand the concept of the question, the idea that he's just stealing.
    He merely says, "If you don't sell your stuff to us we'll get it from someone else and you'll loose out"

    (take the commentary about Chinese loving and admiring American goods with a grain of salt, they go overboard on that point several times)





    Absolutely couldn't disagree more.
    What you're saying makes sense, it's the right thing to say and it should be the way things are but it's just totally wrong.
    I wish you were right.

    If they successfully reverse engineer a toyota avensis (my last and brilliant car) but make it cheaper" hey" they have a new customer. Isn't that the way markets work.

    Look at the Samsung and the innovators Apple debacle, Samsung are copying Apple innovation but they have become a market leader. Besides Apple copied a lot of their tech from Zerox, Creative and many more.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,636 ✭✭✭maninasia


    Solnskaya wrote: »
    I can't see China taking over the world, everything they make is shoite of the highest order and the quarrity just aint there. What I can see is the axis of influence shifting away from Europe and the west in general towards an emergent East. Simply due to population densities and economies of scale the Eastern nations including the Middle East and India will be the economic center of the world in the next few decades and the west will decline in influence. Already this shift is happening-there are more commercial airline flights in the east than the west and stock exchanges are starting to shift their focus away from the west to become eastern-centric.
    Theres more of the feckers than us, is basically what I'm saying. Actually, I think we in Ireland will see that it is the Indians that take over, not the chinese. In five years, you will struggle to find a non-Indian grocery/convenience store or fuel station. Britain is saturated, the flow is towards the fresh meat in Ireland, and if you look around, it's already happening.

    No one country is going to take over the world. The example of India outpacing China is pretty laughable if you have actually spent anytime in either country. China is decades ahead of India in many ways (this is not to say India is not going to rise quickly or become more important all around, but they are not in any way comparable at present).

    http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2011/01/16/top-10-powerful-countries-2011/
    'This is of great import since educational levels are the single biggest influence on growth prospects. China has 10x more manufacturing output, 6x more Internet users and 3x more infrastructure spending.'
    The world is going multipolar and many new players are coming on the scene be it Brazil or Iran or Turkey or India or Indonesia and others I can't even predict yet. China is going to be one of the biggest players amongst them with it's strong scientific and industrial base and huge consumer market but is possibly going to drop back in influence a little as these players rise up more.

    China is a huge country with regional variations, some areas of China have very strong industrial hubs that have a capability to produce innovative new companies if they get things right. To give some good examples from Taiwan which is culturally Chinese in the main with some significant influences from Japan and the West- HTC, Acer, Giant, Asus. Okay HTC didn't invent the smartphone (nor did Apple) and Giant didn't invent bicycles (nor did Trek). But they sure make some of the best smartphones and bicycles worldwide! In addition I have noticed that the example of what Apple did in integrating hardware and software and the marketing domination of Apple has really forced some of these companies to sit up and take notice. They are slowly changing their old mindsets in order to compete with the American consumer giants. There are 100s of other world leading companies in their respective niches but you won't know about them as they focus on manufacturing prowess rather than direct marketing.

    In China most of the companies will focus on both the developing market worldwide and the domestic market. I wouldn't always classify things made by Chinese companies as knock-offs although many are, often they are simply cheaper made alternatives made for lower income groups that are not going to be marketed in the West anyway simply because of quality regulations and the market conditions there.

    I think the number of 300 nuclear stations is exagerrated regarding China, I don't remember the number being that high.. It's also unfair to criticise too much as the newer reactors generally have higher safety standards. I do worry about the reactors along the coast a bit though.

    Politically China is not interested to be the world cop, both its citizens and government, they are very interested in being the regional big brother though and are very strident in defense of what they see as their own 'territory'. They are not willing to bow down and not have an aircraft carrier or stealth aircraft or spy satellites just because they are not Western. They have also studied how the US backs up it's country's interests with it's huge military-industrial complex. We can see the influence of China heavily in Asian nations already, millions are learning Mandarin Chinese (e.g Korea, Vietnam, Indonesia, Japan) and Chinese tourists and investment are becoming a huge factor in the region especially in South East Asia. Even Australia is propped up by Chinese demand at present. China, due to it's relatively comprehensive education system, advanced infrastructure and huge industrial investment is going to have a massive middle class (numbering in the 100s of millions!) and that is where it's economic power and advanced industrial power will lie.

    So to summarise, it's not going to take over (in terms of the US influence in the 20th century for example) but it is also going to continue be very influential and powerful.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,940 ✭✭✭4leto


    Lanaier wrote: »
    Sorry for the multiple posts.



    Not worth the paper they're printed on in many cases.
    Corruption permeates every aspect of the society including education.

    Cheating is rife, one of the reasons copying is so prevalent in business is because it's the way they are brought through the education system.

    Cheaters prevail, those who copy and bribe pass the tests get the high scores ( and there is often MASSIVE pressure to get the high scores).
    Of course there are genuinely great minds in that mix but they are terribly stifled by a system that caters to cheaters.

    Maybe but you don't have to be a great engineer these days, everything is on the internet, besides if you have the capital just hire them from the west. Which for now is what they are doing.

    Take Edison he never invented anything, apart from the research centre, but he did gather the capital and he was a hell of a marketeer. China doesn't have to market anything because they can do it all so cheaply.

    I am not defending or praising China, I hate their record on human rights and I think they are a bad force for human progression, but I just see them as the coming empire, their culture is not western religious based on individual rights, its alien and it seems solely based on the right of might and I fear them.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 977 ✭✭✭gk5000


    What about Taiwan?

    China claims it as part of their sovereign territory, a bit like we used to with Northern Ireland, It's at least as intractible or worse for the Chinese as the US can't sail Carrier fleets around NI. So by definition they can't control the world until they take over (reunite!) Taiwan. And it may be a good thing for us that they have this ball and chain.

    Also the tread title should really say... Are CCP going to take over the world? It's the Chinese Communist Party who actually control China.
    They have the advantages and disadvantages of this single party state,allowing speed and concentration on single areas, but not as broad as may be healthy longterm, and can easily travel speedily and deeply into a dark alley. And I would not like to get on the wrong side of the party as an individual because you would have very few rights.

    That said, they have been very sucessful on their economy for the past 30-40 years and this has been good for most people's welfare in China.

    It shall be more difficult for them to progress onwards and upwards from now, as they were starting from a very low base; and it may be difficult to manage an eventual plateau as opposed to increasing growth.

    So, who knows? I think they have momentum for the next 10, 20 years or so.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 977 ✭✭✭gk5000


    4leto wrote: »
    Maybe but you don't have to be a great engineer these days, everything is on the internet, besides if you have the capital just hire them from the west. Which for now is what they are doing.

    Take Edison he never invented anything, apart from the research centre, but he did gather the capital and he was a hell of a marketeer. China doesn't have to market anything because they can do it all so cheaply.

    I am not defending or praising China, I hate their record on human rights and I think they are a bad force for human progression, but I just see them as the coming empire, their culture is not western religious based on individual rights, its alien and it seems solely based on the right of might and I fear them.

    At some point and in some industries they would have to become the front runner - and that's a very hard position to maintain. You can only copy so long to where you have copied everything, caugh up; become the leader. Then u must inovate to stay ahead of the pack while they have the free ride in your slipstream - copy your innovations - or you stagnate and lose.


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