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Climate Change Bill

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Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 6,382 Mod ✭✭✭✭Macha


    mgmt wrote: »
    The ESB made megabucks on the back of carbon.
    http://www.rte.ie/news/2009/0724/electricity.html
    No they have not. Eamon Ryan brought in the Carbon Windfall Levy to clawback any revenues:

    http://www.dcenr.gov.ie/Press+Releases/Carbon+Windfall+Levy+signed+into+law.htm
    mgmt wrote: »
    Ok, 1000s of your fellow citizens are fleeing this country because there is no work. You then agree with carbon taxes, that will make this country more uncompetitive and will drive us further under the foot of Europe and the IMF.
    Carbon taxes will not make us more uncompetitive. If you look at the National Competitiveness Council’s report “Cost of Doing Business in Ireland 2010”, you will see that property costs and labour costs are by far and away the most important costs to any business in Ireland. Energy costs are important to energy-intensive sectors like the pharma & agri section but even still with these sectors, energy costs are in 4th place as a priority.
    mgmt wrote: »
    Nice scare story.
    This is not the forum for debating the established science of climate change but I recommend that you read the IPCC's WG II report on Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability:

    http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg2/en/contents.html

    If you find any specific flaws in the science, please feel free to comment in the Sustainability Forum.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 251 ✭✭EastTexas


    Macha wrote: »

    You haven't proven that carbon taxes and trading are a profit scheme at all and you have conveniently lauded ei.sdraob's mention of nuclear and ignored my comment that there are issues in relation to the grid and costs! Selective reading at its best.

    No worries, it’s not selective reading, I just don’t see the need to respond to everything I read. :)
    People are entitled to their opinions and it’s not for me to challenge them all.

    I don’t have to prove it, it’s self evident.
    R.I.P.: Al Gore’s Chicago Climate Exchange Has Died
    This would have been the US Version of the European Carbon Exchange.

    “A funny thing happened on the way to the CCX’s highly anticipated looting of taxpayers and consumers – cap-and-trade imploded following its high water mark of the House passage of the Waxman-Markey bill.
    With ongoing economic recession, Climategate, and the tea party movement, what once seemed like a certainty became anything but.
    CCX’s panicked original investors bailed out this spring, unloading the dog and its across-the-pond cousin, the European Climate Exchange (ECX), for $600 million to the New York Stock Exchange-traded Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) – an electronic futures and derivatives platform based in Atlanta and London. (Luckier than the CCX, the ECX continues to exist thanks to the mandatory carbon caps of the Kyoto Protocol.)”
    The ECX may soon follow the CCX into oblivion, however – the Kyoto Protocol expires in 2012. No new international treaty is anywhere in sight.”


    http://www.nationalreview.com/planet-gore/252703/rip-al-gores-chicago-climate-exchange-has-died-greg-pollowitz


    From what I remember Goldman Sachs also had 16% share in the carbon scheme.
    But after the people stood up and said no carbon taxes, they all ran away, no longer interested in saving the weather/ climate. :D
    So it was all about the money.

    If I agreed with nothing else with the TeaParty.
    Standing up to this monster and calling it out for what it is, I will be eternally grateful and to the hackers publishing the Climategate emails and with that providing a deeper insight of what is really going on.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,361 ✭✭✭mgmt


    Macha wrote: »
    No they have not. Eamon Ryan brought in the Carbon Windfall Levy to clawback any revenues:

    http://www.dcenr.gov.ie/Press+Releases/Carbon+Windfall+Levy+signed+into+law.htm

    Ok, I havn't looked at this in great detail but the RTE report gave a figure of €220million being overcharged in 2008 alone. The Irish Times states that the windfall levy will 'claw back' a grand total of €175million. Regardless, this claw back is still a unnecessary tax on the struggling people of this country
    Macha wrote: »
    Carbon taxes will not make us more uncompetitive. If you look at the National Competitiveness Council’s report “Cost of Doing Business in Ireland 2010”, you will see that property costs and labour costs are by far and away the most important costs to any business in Ireland. Energy costs are important to energy-intensive sectors like the pharma & agri section but even still with these sectors, energy costs are in 4th place as a priority.
    For large energy users, the price of electricity decreased by more in Ireland (-24 per cent) than in any other benchmarked location in 2009. Ireland is now the sixth most expensive of the 14 benchmarked countries. Although electricity costs for SMEs also fell between 2008 and 2009 (-15 per cent), Ireland is the third most expensive location benchmarked.
    http://www.forfas.ie/media/NCC100722-costs_of_doing_business_in_ireland_2010.pdf

    Nice one, 3rd and 6th!!. Lets increase the carbon taxes.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 6,382 Mod ✭✭✭✭Macha


    mgmt wrote: »
    Ok, I havn't looked at this in great detail but the RTE report gave a figure of €220million being overcharged in 2008 alone. The Irish Times states that the windfall levy will 'claw back' a grand total of €175million. Regardless, this claw back is still a unnecessary tax on the struggling people of this country
    With a yawning public deficit, I fail to see how we can't afford not to increase taxes. The idea that we cannot increase taxes is a fantasy, pure and simple. But it would appear that your opposition to a carbon tax is part of a more general opposition to taxes in general. That's not a discussion I'm going to get into here as it's for another thread.
    mgmt wrote: »
    Nice one, 3rd and 6th!!. Lets increase the carbon taxes.
    Again, you conveniently ignore what I just said about the relative importance of energy costs versus other costs of doing business. There's selective reading and then there's completely ignoring facts put in front of you that don't suit your argument.

    According to SEAI in their latest report on energy prices in Ireland released a few weeks ago:
    Ranking EU electricity prices from highest to lowest, Ireland was in the middle (15th out of 27) for medium business consumers and in the lowest
    (least expensive) third for the largest business consumers.

    This is the most up-to-date analysis available.

    I might add re: your other post that if I had €1 for every time someone either says that environmental solutions are either a) all about the money or conversely b) economically unviable, I would be rich indeed. I wish people would make their minds up..!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 696 ✭✭✭DaSilva


    conorhal wrote: »
    I'm personally tired of the bankrupt thinking of the Green party who's sole solution to any issue appears to be tax it or subsidize it, how exactly is that supposed to drive innovation?
    Please tell us the exact formula you seem to have for innovation.
    conorhal wrote: »
    Subsidies and government programs never deliver innovation they deliver the Trabant.
    Government programs have delivered:
    The modern computer. (British in WW2)
    The atomic bomb. (USA in WW2)
    Nuclear power. (USA after WW2)
    The internet (not the www) (USA in the 60's)
    GPS system (USA 70's)
    and many many more...

    Note, I am not claiming that government alone invents things, I'm not even claiming that government is worse/better and inventing things, just disproving your overly simplistic view that things only get invented because a company dangles a money carrot in front of someone, which leads me to believe you have never really known any scientists.
    conorhal wrote: »
    Only three things drive innovation: necessity, competition and a profit motive. If there is no competition there is no requirement for innovation or improvement, if there is no profit motive but rather a scheme that merely hands you wads of cash to continue producing crap, then crap you shall receive.
    This is wrong too, check out Steve Wozniak, the tech genius partner of Steve Jobs. He invented the apple computer, Jobs who is an amazing business man amongst other things is what made Apple the company it is, but Wozniak is what made Apple. He never cared about making money, he just wanted to make cool computers, he is now a billionaire and a teacher, yes a teacher!

    The guys who invented the spreadsheet (Excel is a modern version of what they created) gave it away for free! The spreadsheet is considered one of the most important aspects of the computers proliferation into business, and they gave it away for free.
    conorhal wrote: »
    And what exactly is wrong with private industry motivated by profit?
    Absoloutely nothing is wrong with it, I know there is a danger of thinking I am trying to make out private venture/innovation is somehow greedy or bad, I don't think that. I disagree that this is the only cause of innovation however.
    conorhal wrote: »
    There are many necessities that are delivered by private industry, we all need to eat and we all need shoes but we don’t all buy our footwear in state shoe shops and eat in state canteens, and if we did, can you imagine how grim such places would be.
    Why would everything be grim? This is nonsense. This is some made up idea that everything the government produces comes in grey and it really has nothing to do with what we are talking about.
    conorhal wrote: »
    So I see no reason why we shouldn’t be looking to private industry for innovative solutions to the climate crisis. AS I said, if you put the billions (even perhaps trillions) spent on pointless carbon trading ( a prime example of the tax and subsidize model) and spent it on university research departments and venture capital funds we might actually see some innovation from the garden shed inventors that you mention, instead we insist on pork barrel spending.

    I think the fundamental purpose of these bills is not some attempt at speeding up innovation, rather it is an attempt to slow down the problem of climate change, so that innovation may pass it out. There are many huge collaborative public and private research projects out there trying to come up with alternative solutions, check out ITER as one of many examples.

    We might find a solution tomorrow, or in fifty years, policies like these are I think intended to allow more time to innovate before we have a major crisis.

    I think the general public would very much benefit from a stronger understanding of science especially energy (This is a stupid fact, but one that illustrates how weird everything is, also it is not feasible to extract the energy I'm talking about: the atomic energy of a cup of water is equal to the chemical energy of about one million barrels of oil).

    I'm off on a huge rant and I apologise for anyone trying to read and understand my point, I am just arguing that the premise that private industry is better at innovating is wrong. I am not saying the government is better, but you are ignorant if you don't think private industry much like the government frequently impedes innovation.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    Macha wrote: »
    Yes, China needs to cut its emissions but that doesn't remove our obligations to cut our emissions.

    Our obligations are based on the notion that we are a rich country
    Now that IMF are in town and we owe a metric **** load on every level (state,company and personal) in strong currency we cant devalue
    its time to reconsider this notion
    as for China they are sitting on pile of money, maybe they should start paying... but like US they are concerned with keeping people employed, a concept alien to our politicians who are blinkered by ideological drivel and not their duty to the people who elected them.


    aside: its worse than that we are borrowing at very high interest only to hand over hundreds of millions a year to wind industry, thats madness they could and should raise capital much cheaper on their own.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,104 ✭✭✭✭djpbarry


    EastTexas wrote: »
    2nd somebody else already answered one of your questions
    Hint: look for the phrase: “Yeah took me 2 seconds” up thread.
    No, they didn’t answer the question. Nor have you. Because we both know that you can’t.
    EastTexas wrote: »
    3rd, I already stated that I won’t discuss smoking (a health issue) on the climate thread.
    I never asked you to discuss smoking. I asked you whether the possibility exists that the scientific community is largely agreed on the subject of climate change, given that scientists are largely in agreement on a wide range of other issues.
    EastTexas wrote: »
    "What scientists are being told to “shut up” exactly?"
    It's in my post you quoted from
    By claiming the debate is over
    Specifically, what scientists are being told to "shut up"? Let's have some names.
    EastTexas wrote: »
    Nuclear technology has come a long way...
    No it hasn’t. The basic design of commercial nuclear reactors has hardly changed at all over the last 50-60 years.
    EastTexas wrote: »
    ...I will be eternally grateful and to the hackers publishing the Climategate emails and with that providing a deeper insight of what is really going on.
    Which is? What exactly?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,104 ✭✭✭✭djpbarry


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    Based on a project cost estimate in China? It’s also worth pointing out that there are as yet no AP1000’s in use.
    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    ...transmission losses are usually 20-30% of generation so having it close makes sense.
    You want to minimise transmission losses by favouring a centralised, nuclear-based system versus a distributed generation network?
    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    the onus of proof and doing the cost/benefit analysis is not on me
    You made a pretty specific claim about nuclear power – I simply asked for figures to back it up.
    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    Our obligations are based on the notion that we are a rich country
    Ireland’s obligations are based on the fact that Ireland consumes a whole lot of energy per head of population.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    djpbarry wrote: »
    Based on a project cost estimate in China? It’s also worth pointing out that there are as yet no AP1000’s in use.

    its being build by US company, another 14 are being planned in US and this summer one got the go ahead in Georgia and building begins (they already have several plants there). Thats only one of many nuclear technologies (a 3rd gen ultra-safe variant), there is fluoride, thorium and pebble bed variations that also have passive safety systems
    djpbarry wrote: »
    You want to minimise transmission losses by favouring a centralised, nuclear-based system versus a distributed generation network?
    majority of the industry and the population is in Dublin, makes sense to have majority of the power and saves dozens of billion on new cables, alternatively plonk it next to moneypoint.

    aint that the arguments Greens (who are all mostly from Dublin) make for centralising everything to avail of public transport, economies of scale etc? no hypocrisy there no :rolleyes: its ok to cover the countryside in expensive wind generators and pylons as long as its not in the D4 backyard :rolleyes: they of course don't all have to be build in one place
    djpbarry wrote: »
    You made a pretty specific claim about nuclear power – I simply asked for figures to back it up.
    And I did, for the money we already pissed away on wind we could have been running the country carbon free of nuclear, cheaply and reliably by now

    Once again the figures should be coming from the wind lobby and the greens they are the ones pissing our (expensively borrowed) money away. as we seen on recent primetime they simply dont know, which raises the question as to why exactly we are paying the head of eirgrid so much money?

    now where is the cost/benefit analysys with figures as to how much this wind subsidisation and programme will cost us all? where is the research?? all there is is fluff
    djpbarry wrote: »
    Ireland’s obligations are based on the fact that Ireland consumes a whole lot of energy per head of population.

    and we could have completely cut out carbon out of our generation by now, but instead we build windmills (from China mostly) that cant even power a small town, only 200MW at the time of this post ~15% of installed capacity that cost billions already directly and god knows how much indirectly

    now please show us a graph illustrating how wind makes energy cheaper in Ireland :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 696 ✭✭✭DaSilva


    ei.sdraob, some people who are concerned about climate change and would support this bill are not against nuclear power, though it does have logistical problems as a solution to Ireland. I'm personally one of them. However there is a very strong anti nuclear position in Ireland that would need to be overcome first. So although I think you have a valid point in nuclear versus wind power, it doesn't mean we should go with either nuclear or stick with fossil fuels.
    There wouldn't in my opinion, be much support for the Nuclear or "f*ck it" stance.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    here is some horrific math

    Pete_Cavan wrote: »
    We have capacity for 1379MW from wind and a 5MW wind farm would expect to cost in the region of €7-10 million and all the cost is upfront. So our current wind capacity cost us between €1.9 and €2.8billion. Today, wind only generated 1.35% of peak demand. The most energy wind farms have ever generated is 1196MW so that means we have spent between €256million and €366million on wind turbines that have not produced any energy at all. Of course those promoting SOI spread these costs over a long period of time, however, in this time new technologies generating energy on demand will have developed making SOI obsolete long before the costs are recovered.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 251 ✭✭EastTexas


    djpbarry wrote: »
    Specifically, what scientists are being told to "shut up"? Let's have some names.
    No it hasn’t. The basic design of commercial nuclear reactors has hardly changed at all over the last 50-60 years.
    Which is? What exactly?

    So is the basic design of the combustion engine but they still have come along way in the past 50 and 60 years in car design ranging from safety to performance

    Climategate
    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055746390
    50 page thread, you moderated it.
    Specifically trying to get rid of an inconvenient editor at scientific publications for permitting the publishing of findings from scientists disagreeing with the theory.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    DaSilva wrote: »
    ei.sdraob, some people who are concerned about climate change and would support this bill are not against nuclear power, though it does have logistical problems as a solution to Ireland. I'm personally one of them. However there is a very strong anti nuclear position in Ireland that would need to be overcome first. So although I think you have a valid point in nuclear versus wind power, it doesn't mean we should go with either nuclear or stick with fossil fuels.
    There wouldn't in my opinion, be much support for the Nuclear or "f*ck it" stance.

    I know, its just frustrating that we spend so much money on an ideologically driven spinning nonsense, and the plan is to derive most of our power from this, yet of course no cost estimates are provided yet we have nice linear graphs of wind energy generation going forward decades (hey nice linear forward projections by a subsidised industry worked out great before for this country)

    when for the same amount of money we could have got most if not all of our energy needs from a technology that's 70 years old by now
    as for Irish people being anti-nuclear, well ****ing idiotic hypocrites the ones who think in that way considering most of the population is living close to sevel plants already and when wind turbines froze last month it was UK nuclear that partly powered this country (oh and UK and likes of France are well on their way of meeting their targets in large part thanks to nuclear power)
    if carbon is such a problem then its bloody annoying as a pragmatist to think that we could have been well on the way of cutting most our carbon by now if only it wasnt for fluffy greens and their pupeteers in the wind industry.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,104 ✭✭✭✭djpbarry


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    its being build by US company, another 14 are being planned in US and this summer one got the go ahead in Georgia and building begins (they already have several plants there). Thats only one of many nuclear technologies (a 3rd gen ultra-safe variant), there is fluoride, thorium and pebble bed variations that also have passive safety systems
    Is there a pebble-bed or fluoride-thorium reactor in use anywhere in the world?
    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    majority of the industry and the population is in Dublin, makes sense to have majority of the power and saves dozens of billion on new cables...
    And the other three reactors that you propose buying?
    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    And I did, for the money we already pissed away on wind we could have been running the country carbon free of nuclear, cheaply and reliably by now
    You’ve shown nothing of the sort. You’ve suggested that we could by now be running the country with a nuclear reactor design that is not yet in commercial use anywhere in the world - that’s pie in the sky stuff. Oh and nuclear is not “carbon free” – let’s nip that one in the bud.
    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    here is some horrific math
    Pete_Cavan wrote: »
    We have capacity for 1379MW from wind and a 5MW wind farm would expect to cost in the region of €7-10 million and all the cost is upfront. So our current wind capacity cost us between €1.9 and €2.8billion.
    Quick back-of-an-envelope calculation:

    Let’s say that the installed wind capacity produces, on average, 413 MW. Let’s say the lifespan of a turbine is 20 years. If the total cost of installation is €2.8 billion, that works out at about €338 per kW per annum over a turbine’s lifetime, or just under 4 cents per kWh.
    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    Pete_Cavan wrote: »
    Today, wind only generated 1.35% of peak demand. The most energy wind farms have ever generated is 1196MW so that means we have spent between €256million and €366million on wind turbines that have not produced any energy at all.
    That’s pretty disingenuous, don’t you think?
    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    Pete_Cavan wrote: »
    Of course those promoting SOI spread these costs over a long period of time, however, in this time new technologies generating energy on demand will have developed making SOI obsolete long before the costs are recovered.
    Obsolete? Maybe. Decommissioned? Unlikely.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,104 ✭✭✭✭djpbarry


    EastTexas wrote: »
    Specifically trying to get rid of an inconvenient editor at scientific publications for permitting the publishing of findings from scientists disagreeing with the theory.
    Really? I must have missed that. Do feel free to point it out though, on the relevant thread of course.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,361 ✭✭✭mgmt


    djpbarry wrote: »
    Quick back-of-an-envelope calculation:

    Let’s say that the installed wind capacity produces, on average, 413 MW. Let’s say the lifespan of a turbine is 20 years. If the total cost of installation is €2.8 billion, that works out at about €338 per kW per annum over a turbine’s lifetime, or just under 4 cents per kWh.

    + cost of maintaining and replacing the turbines
    + cost of maintaining and replacing the braking system
    + cost of financing the investment
    + rental fees of land

    = :eek:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    djpbarry wrote: »
    Is there a pebble-bed or fluoride-thorium reactor in use anywhere in the world?

    pebble bed reactor is being build in China and there was one in Germany running without issues for 20 years during 70s and 80s, its not new technology

    djpbarry wrote: »
    And the other three reactors that you propose buying?
    I don't propose buying anything with public money, unlike the Greens who are willing to destroy the economy and make everyone pay so the pockets of wind industry can be lined at no risk to them,
    I propose actually examining all alternatives and doing cost benefit analysis instead of rushing blind into wind at the expense of the whole economy
    nuclear seems like a cheap, low risk option and there are plenty of technological variations in the area. Countries such as France are doing quite well thanks to nuclear


    djpbarry wrote: »
    we could by now be running the country with a nuclear reactor design that is not yet in commercial use anywhere in the world - that’s pie in the sky stuff.

    those are 3rd gen reactors, there are plenty of 2nd gen reactors running in UK and France, last I checked both countries are doing rather well and are not nuclear wastelands


    djpbarry wrote: »
    Oh and nuclear is not “carbon free” – let’s nip that one in the bud.

    the amount of carbon used in construction of the plant and mining of the ore is minimal, breeder reactors can make better use of the fuel and reprocess it over and over

    windmills are not carbon free either, windmills dont grow out of the ground like trees they require plenty of energy, steel and concrete to construct, and the rare earth elements needed for the magnets require stupendous amounts of ore to be processed at great harm to the environment (in China of course), they are called rare earth since they are rare in the ores

    oh and all the new pylons needed to connect farms in back arse of nowhere are not exactly carbon free either :rolleyes:

    considering that the country now has a target of generating most of its energy from wind, its scary to see that there is no studies or cost/benefit analysis's done, and the likes of Eirgrid cant even tell the people how much of their money they will waste over coming decades on new connections :rolleyes:

    recent primetime programme on subject came up with estimate of over 11 billion which is crazy amounts of course footed by everyone but the wind companies.


    djpbarry wrote: »
    Let’s say that the installed wind capacity produces, on average, 413 MW. Let’s say the lifespan of a turbine is 20 years. If the total cost of installation is €2.8 billion, that works out at about €338 per kW per annum over a turbine’s lifetime, or just under 4 cents per kWh.

    but we are not paying anywhere near 4c :rolleyes:, with the number of turbines installed in Ireland there has been no corresponding decrease in prices, the only decreases we seen was due to gas price reductions but even then regulator keeps the price high to subsidiese wind :rolleyes: countries such as Denmark despite having decades headstart compared to us and actually manufacture own turbines still have the highest electricity cost in EU :rolleyes:
    djpbarry wrote: »
    That’s pretty disingenuous, don’t you think?

    its reality take your head out of sand, without interconnectors wind cant work, using interconnectors blows the energy independence argument out of the water :rolleyes:


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 6,382 Mod ✭✭✭✭Macha


    mgmt wrote: »
    + cost of maintaining and replacing the turbines
    + cost of maintaining and replacing the braking system
    + cost of financing the investment
    + rental fees of land

    = :eek:
    90% of costs of wind are in construction. There's also the benefit of wind producers being able to offer a very stable price. Energy price fluctuations are par for the course when based on fossil fuels.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    Macha wrote: »
    90% of costs of wind are in construction. There's also the benefit of wind producers being able to offer a very stable price. Energy price fluctuations are par for the course when based on fossil fuels.

    Good for the wind generators

    now why the hell are we subsidising them :rolleyes:

    they can and should be able to raise capital cheaper on their own than the state who is getting money at 7% only to hand over some of it in subsidies


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 6,382 Mod ✭✭✭✭Macha


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    Good for the wind generators

    now why the hell are we subsidising them :rolleyes:

    they can and should be able to raise capital cheaper on their own than the state who is getting money at 7% only to hand over some of it in subsidies
    You could equally ask why we subsidise fossil fuels.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,124 ✭✭✭Amhran Nua


    Macha wrote: »
    You could equally ask why we subsidise fossil fuels.
    Indeed, the biggest complaint renewable proponents often have is that the playing field should be levelled by removing fossil fuel subsidies.

    subsidies.jpg

    From here, although the situation has improved somewhat since that was commissioned. But you have a few increasingly discredited but very vocal fossil fuel supporters like Richard Tol who would rather commit hara kiri than admit that it's cheaper just to pluck energy out of thin air than to prospect, explore, fail at a cost of billions, keep trying, extract the energy with multi billion euro installations, transport it via suboceanic pipelines or gigantic freighters, pay import tarriffs, store it in extremely expensive dockside facilities, burn more of it to get to petrol stations or power plants, then lose about half of whatever dregs of efficiency you have left by burning it in internal combustion engines of one stripe or another, never mind the external costs involved.

    Right now, as we speak, Dutch wind turbines are storing their energy in Norwegian lakes, and yet initiatives like Spirit of Ireland are met with howls of resistance from self anointed experts. An interconnector evens out the flow of supply, but it doesn't obviate the need for local wind turbines or other renewable sources, it just means we buy energy when its cheaper to do so and sell it when we have a surplus, and for a country like Ireland that should not be hard to do. We're sitting right in the teeth of the huge wind and ocean current that keep Northern Europe out of an ice age.

    climate_windmap01.gif

    From Met Ireland, the circled number is the percentage calm.
    On average there are less than 2 days with gales each year at some inland places like Kilkenny but more than 50 a year at northern coastal locations such as Malin Head. Indeed the north and west coasts of Ireland are two of the windiest areas in Europe and have considerable potential for the generation of wind energy.
    And yet you have people like Richard Tol who have gone on record as publicly saying that Ireland has no special advantages when it comes to wind power generation. Insanity.

    It can't work well in small scattered patches, any more than putting gas turbines on every roof in Ireland and pumping natural gas to them would be optimal, but the more of them you build, the better it scales up and the more even and cheaper per unit the power supply gets. This is the general idea behind the European supergrid concept.

    Nuclear is fine as far as it goes, I've no ideological objections to it, but for Ireland its not the optimal solution, leaving us dependent yet again on fuel imports from abroad, With wind and related renewables we can build turbines and export them as well as energy, getting the industry off to a start by building out our domestic market. There is still a lot of research to be done on floating anchored deep sea turbines as well, another area Ireland could excel. We already have plenty of installed natural gas capacity as a backup, so nuclear wouldn't even be needed for that purpose, although the last time I checked we only had a couple of days supply on hand at any given time, yet another reason to go green.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,361 ✭✭✭mgmt


    Amhran Nua wrote: »
    Right now, as we speak, Dutch wind turbines are storing their energy in Norwegian lakes, and yet initiatives like Spirit of Ireland are met with howls of resistance from self anointed experts. An interconnector evens out the flow of supply, but it doesn't obviate the need for local wind turbines or other renewable sources, it just means we buy energy when its cheaper to do so and sell it when we have a surplus, and for a country like Ireland that should not be hard to do. We're sitting right in the teeth of the huge wind and ocean current that keep Northern Europe out of an ice age.

    And yet you have people like Richard Tol who have gone on record as publicly saying that Ireland has no special advantages when it comes to wind power generation. Insanity.


    The problem with wind is that it simply does not work. I would really like it to be the answer to all our problems but it is not. Spirit of Ireland is on par with Steorn. You cannot flood our valleys with salt water.

    Wind production in Ireland today:
    windj.jpg

    http://www.eirgrid.com/operations/systemperformancedata/windgeneration/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 696 ✭✭✭DaSilva


    mgmt wrote: »
    The problem with wind is that it simply does not work. I would really like it to be the answer to all our problems but it is not. Spirit of Ireland is on par with Steorn. You cannot flood our valleys with salt water.

    Wind simply does not work. You must explain this.
    mgmt wrote: »
    Picture of power generation going both under and over forecast values.

    What are you showing here? That wind is variable? What a headline.

    *Excuse my sarky tone, but the post I am replying to is somewhat infuriating, big claims and NO substance.*


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,361 ✭✭✭mgmt


    DaSilva wrote: »
    Wind simply does not work. You must explain this.



    What are you showing here? That wind is variable? What a headline.

    *Excuse my sarky tone, but the post I am replying to is somewhat infuriating, big claims and NO substance.*

    Ok wind is currently producing 28MW out of installed plant of 1500MW. How is that worth the investment and the subsidies? Wind is a nice feel good product. This is the reason why Guinnesses has a token wind turbine on the quays. Totally useless but good for image. http://maps.google.com/maps?f=q&source=s_q&hl=en&geocode=&q=dublin&sll=37.0625,-95.677068&sspn=37.819897,86.572266&ie=UTF8&hq=&hnear=Dublin,+County+Fingal,+Ireland&ll=53.3467,-6.289295&spn=0.000439,0.001321&t=h&z=20&layer=c&cbll=53.3467,-6.289295&panoid=4k3A30IcOx18yn08VGse6g&cbp=12,212.68,,0,-7.79

    The Green Party have bought into this bubble and we will be forced to pay for this mistake for decades.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,124 ✭✭✭Amhran Nua


    mgmt wrote: »
    The problem with wind is that it simply does not work. I would really like it to be the answer to all our problems but it is not. Spirit of Ireland is on par with Steorn. You cannot flood our valleys with salt water.

    Wind production in Ireland today:


    http://www.eirgrid.com/operations/systemperformancedata/windgeneration/
    Great, but that's only one day. There are plenty of periods where wind produces vastly more energy, if you look at previous months. Wind works best when it is widely installed, just like gas turbines work best when they are centralised rather than having one on every roof. This is where the interconnector comes in handy as well, which has already been pointed out.

    As for SoI, if they are so pie in the sky why are the Chinese, hardly icons of inefficiency, rolling out PSH facilities as fast as they can? PSH is cropping up all over Europe as well, and it will be to our great detriment if we miss yet another boat.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,124 ✭✭✭Amhran Nua


    mgmt wrote: »
    Ok wind is currently producing 28MW out of installed plant of 1500MW. How is that worth the investment and the subsidies? Wind is a nice feel good product. This is the reason why Guinnesses has a token wind turbine on the quays. Totally useless but good for image.
    Really?
    What is the current installed wind capacity of Ireland?

    The current* grid connected and operational installed wind capacity on the island of Ireland is 1746.7 Megawatts (MW) which will on average generate 4,743,339 Megawatt hours (MWh) in a year given a 31% load**or capacity factor.

    Sustainable Energy Ireland's 2008 Report, "Energy in the Residential Sector" report states that the average household consumed 5.591 MWh in 2006.page 27 If we assume that electricity consumption growth is roughly similar as previous years (around 3%) this means that in 2010, wind energy accounts for the electricity needs of over 753,000 domestic households in Ireland.

    *Figures correct on 19/07/10.
    ** A 31% load factor or capacity factor means that we assume that the actual output or electricity generation over the year from wind generation is 31% of its maximum capacity.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,124 ✭✭✭Amhran Nua


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    recent primetime programme on subject came up with estimate of over 11 billion which is crazy amounts of course footed by everyone but the wind companies.
    Actually a full transition to wind based renewables would cost more like €30 billion. Shocking figure, boo, but hold on, thats only about six years of energy/oil/gas/etc imports as things stand right now, and if you think that bill is going down you've another think coming. This is particularly important with the rise and rise of electric vehicles, which are already being mass produced in the far east (short run electric, long run diesel hybrids). Those things work on every level, they're even having to add speakers to the outside to make noise since they are too quiet.

    If we manufacture the components and turbines domestically, you could probably cut a quarter off that bill, plus you have an export based industry in place for the green-hungry international markets, on top of energy exports.

    And that's if you don't even start looking at cutting edge tech like the wide-open floating turbine area.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 696 ✭✭✭DaSilva


    I just did a quick graph of the wind data on Eirgrid and it doesn't seem like their forecasts are that off. Average MW in 2010 was 297megawatts, while an average of 318 was forecast. 297megawatts of 1260.4 total capacity is about a 23% capacity factor which is on the lower end, but within the general range, maybe 2010 was a bad year for wind? (I don't really know what all this means, just going by Wikipedia)

    5CZbM.png

    1qSEL.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2 Richard Tol


    Wind may be free, but wind turbines are not. At present, wind power cannot compete without subsidies. I have argued against the subsidies for wind and peat, rather than against wind and peat per se.

    Ireland has a better wind resource than most countries, but even here wind cannot be harvested on a commercial basis. Ireland does not make much money from designing, manufacturing or building wind turbines or indeed any other renewable energy device.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    Amhran Nua wrote: »
    Actually a full transition to wind based renewables would cost more like €30 billion. Shocking figure, boo, but hold on, thats only about six years of energy/oil/gas/etc imports as things stand right now, and if you think that bill is going down you've another think coming. This is particularly important with the rise and rise of electric vehicles, which are already being mass produced in the far east (short run electric, long run diesel hybrids). Those things work on every level, they're even having to add speakers to the outside to make noise since they are too quiet.

    If we manufacture the components and turbines domestically, you could probably cut a quarter off that bill, plus you have an export based industry in place for the green-hungry international markets, on top of energy exports.

    And that's if you don't even start looking at cutting edge tech like the wide-open floating turbine area.

    Erm for 30 billion we could build enough nuclear reactors to power the country completely and export some more (7x 1100 MW reactors for circa 10 billion, and it even cover the peaks!)
    And have 20 billion left to spend on other things, or even better not borrow this money in first place
    Tho sure whats 20 billion nowadays, back of the couch pocket change :rolleyes:

    10 billion in 10 years and we are carbon free when it comes to generation (its a win win for the economy and the environment), and have plenty left over for all those electric car dreams

    The maths with wind is rotten and I dont understand how a nationalist like yourself does not understand that importing Chineese/Danish turbines does not create jobs here, once off installation jobs is not what the country needs, with cheap electricity we could attract **** loads of companies to setup datacenters here and then become a real "smart" economy, none of this pissing money into the wind craick


    Arguing with environuts nowadays is like arguing with FFers and their construction industry buddies 5 years ago, exact same arguments and denial and levels of back-scratching, you think we would have learned


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