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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Summer 2026 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

13

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,126 ✭✭✭pureza


    A chart like that would equate to about 35c or higher in inland south Leinster,certainly bringing a new Irish all time heat record



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,494 ✭✭✭Dazler97




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 985 ✭✭✭midlander12




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,751 ✭✭✭highdef


    If it's a non humid 35°, a lot of people like it, including me.

    I could ask, why would anyone want temperatures below 20°? To me, below 20° is quite cool for me. I only begin to feel comfortably warm when the temperatures approaches 25°



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,757 ✭✭✭esposito


    A lot of us weather enthusiasts want that all time Irish highest temperature record from 1887 (33.33c) to be broken. In saying that, 35c and high humidity would be quite uncomfortable.
    34c and no higher would do nicely this summer.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,669 ✭✭✭Marty Bird


    Higher would do nicely. I’d love 40c with gin blue skies.

    🌞6.02kWp⚡️3.01kWp South/East⚡️3.01kWp West



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    All well and good people wanting crazy temperatures in this country but with no air conditioning etc. Good luck if that ever happens here........



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    I only start to feel comfortably warm when its gets to around 17c 😜



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,669 ✭✭✭Marty Bird


    Bill an iced cold one in the hand is all that’s needed keep you nice and cold 🥶

    🌞6.02kWp⚡️3.01kWp South/East⚡️3.01kWp West



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 217 ✭✭MetLuver


    Simply because we've never had it before. It would be uncomfortable yes but that's why god invented watermelon and cold showers 😄

    Seriously think it would be awesome to experience in our homeland, our local trip to Tesco's in the searing Nevada heat ... Who wouldn't be a bit curious about how that would unfold?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24 Mickyjoek


    Could we stick to the thread title please.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,598 ✭✭✭OldRio




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,494 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    To beat our record temperature it's been in place since 1887



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,494 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    What are models looking like this evening for the next 5 to 10 days hopefully still warm to hot



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,472 ✭✭✭BrentMused


    It was 45 degrees C when I was in Vegas last summer. Walked outside at one stage and within 30 seconds could feel my eyelids starting to sting and burn 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,659 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    GFS 12z OP goes very warm to hot. Goes for serious hot air advecting our way by mid to later next week similar to UKMO. It takes until the final few days of June to get cooler air in, high pressure keeps attempting to rebuild and then develops over Scandinavia. Fair bits of cloud cover limiting the potential somewhat but 30C+ possible by Thursday. Then goes bang at the weekend.

    ICON shows a rather warm flat westerly for the start of the week and then high pressure attempts to build over the country by the end but never getting the very hot air in so it's upper teens to low 20s generally at most.

    GEM updating as we speak… very warm with mid to upper 20s Mon/Tue (probably over the top, even shows a 30C on Tuesday!). Wednesday a little cooler but hot air knocking on the door to the south. It's attempting to go north with the ridging stretched from the Atlantic to the continent. Doesn't get the 20C+ air in but shows 30C potential by Thursday.

    UKMO doesn't go the lengths of the 0z but has the very hot air knocking on the door to the southwest with a strong ridge by Thursday.

    Vast majority of the GEFS 12z going for very warm 850s again from Monday to at least Friday, still updating.

    image.png
    Post edited by sryanbruen on

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 985 ✭✭✭midlander12


    So what? And BTW, I'd query the veracity of that 1887 temp given the technology in use at the time. I've experienced 35C and above occasionally on holidays. Horrible.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,659 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Going back to that insane UKMO 0z (and GFS 12z to some extent but slightly less).

    Somebody made this time series of 850hPa temp for May-September from 1959-2021 based on ERA5 analysis for Dublin before the July 2022 record heat. An example of an ECM forecast was included from the time and labelled the previous notable high spikes in 850hPa temps in June 2019, August 2003 and August 1961. The ECM forecast ended up being very close to the reality. The UKMO solution would go above this red line and would be HISTORIC. But it was an extreme scenario.

    image.png

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,126 ✭✭✭pureza


    you’d query a temperature recorded inside a Stevenson screen?

    Get up the yard with that

    It’s more likely that there were so few of them back then versus now,that even higher temperatures somewhere around that day remained unrecorded

    Most models are suggesting we will import hot uppers created where you’d expect them to be created

    Just like severely cold air imported in late February 2018,this has implications in terms of the very unusual (for us) extreme temperatures possible beneath it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 985 ✭✭✭midlander12


    Maybe so, but it's unusual that it took until 1976 or 1995 before anything similar was recorded.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,126 ✭✭✭pureza


    I think even comparing the amount of official temperature recording stations today with what was there in 1976 or 1995 is apples and oranges

    We have a huge capacity improvement in recording in the last decade covering a much better geographical area with literally dozens of met Éireann ACS’s dotted all over the country

    There is no ‘maybe so’ about the depth of recording today,it’s definitely so

    Ergo it’s not unreasonable to assume that somewhere in the country may have had higher extremes before,there were just not the facilities to record where it may have happened

    Anyhow this is all off topic

    Next week and beyond will be interesting for weather nerds



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,916 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Subtle changes this evening make less of the heat Monday to Wednesday. None of the models repeat last nights 00z run!! The Ecm might have another go late next week, but for now this chart shows the uncertainty

    copyImage.gif


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,380 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    im getting a maxium of between 14 and 17 degrees next week from the latest ECM, oh well, there ya go.

    looks historic and record breaking in the uk next week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 985 ✭✭✭midlander12


    My 'maybe' related to 1887, not today, but anyway off-topic as you say.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 13,942 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    France seems to have been subjected to heatwaves over the last few years (or more, remember the big one back in 2003?), and this upcoming one could be fairly extreme for them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,420 ✭✭✭PukkaStukka


    I don't care how hot it gets once the eventual breakdown is an explosive thundery one



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21 Ncl1989


    think I saw on X that robbies weather guy showed a map of cape that he has never seen before, looks nuts to my untrained eye

    https://x.com/i/status/2067606146576183548


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,420 ✭✭✭PukkaStukka




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,659 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    That was the extreme UKMO scenario this morning that showed record-breaking hot air aloft. You could have all the cape in the world and the cap won't be broken so no thunder activity. It did look ripe for at least some thundery activity though by the 25th June as gradients go very slack and pressure drops.

    GFS 12z looks pretty thundery to my amateur eye by the end of next week into the following weekend with some lows coming up against a Scandi high and very warm air embedded. Admittedly thunderstorms are far far from my expertise so don't take my word for it.

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 13,549 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The trend certainly looks likely mainly warm to hot in the week coming. Finer details to be worked out of course but certainly looks like temps very possibly getting into the mid 20's at times in parts of the country and a strong indication of mid to high 20's could be reached and as sryanbruen said above about the positioning of the Scandi HP, which is helping to draw up those very warm 850hpa temps and models showing LP's could be possibly nearby sending in their associated fronts leading to the recipe for big thunderstorms. A very interesting set up for the weather watcher.

    I think the models are fairly aligned showing we could get some high temperatures by the end of the week .

    modez_20260623_1200_animation (1).gif

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    Post edited by Meteorite58 on


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