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Aer Lingus Fleet/ Routes Discussion Pt 2 (ALL possible routes included)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭goingnowhere


    EI did the math on this and stuck with A330's

    Cheaper to buy/lease

    A330 is optimised for medium haul. A350 economics improve the further you fly but cost of ownership is a problem

    Sticking with A330 is a problem as the NEO only comes with RR engines and EI has been a GE house for decades (the A32x CFM is a GE joint venture)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 41,968 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Newer aircraft and engines obviously, but the empty weight of a 757 is nearly 20% more than a 321LR even though the payload is much the same. 50t vs 59t

    I'm partial to your abracadabra
    I'm raptured by the joy of it all



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,005 ✭✭✭LiamaDelta


    I had a quick look at Lynne Embelton and Sean Doyle's linkedin. Talk about uninspiring. Neither of them have worked anywhere else other than British Airways. Doyle was 20 years in BA then 1 year at EI then back to BA. Embelton 30 years in BA then over to EI. It's absolutely no wonder what it has become and doesn't look great for the future.



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 10,347 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tenger


    100% agree. Its not a very simple equation.
    But if 6 of those 14 A330 were NEO it would make a difference. The NEO makes that better fuel burn on longer sectors, of which EI only have 3 destinations in that category.

    Chatting to an EI skipper about 2 years ago. he make a very simple comparison. An A330neo is 250M, and A350 is 310M. Over 20 years service that A350 has to make 3 million extra a year to justify the investment.

    On the other hand, EI have boxed themselves into a corner. Yes, the A330 has been very good to them over the last 30 years. However they now find themselves in a sitaton where it is no longer produced, and the available leasing opportities/2nd land airframes are rapidly depleting. Couple that with the fact that the CFM6 is no longer produced and EI may find themselves struggling to find spare parts for in over the next 5-8 as they transistion to the A330neo



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,155 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    And EI already have pretty much all the late CF6 builds - Trents ruled the latter years. Nothing there to lease



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  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 10,347 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tenger


    An extra detail I wasn't aware of.

    Am I right in thinking that the Airbus model numbers indicate engine type?

    A330-302 is CF6.

    A330-303 is Trent or RR?

    Post edited by Tenger on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,630 ✭✭✭EchoIndia


    A330-30x: CF-6

    A330-32x: P&W PW4000

    A330-34x: RR Trent 700

    All Airbus airliners use this type of variant designation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,155 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    If you look at a production list you'll see the only other semi substantial number of CFMs in the latter years in any volume went to Level and Iberia. And the last civilian original A330s at all went to EI! Had the 9th built and the last built (shared serial numbers with A340s so MSN54 is only the 9th)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 41,968 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    CFMs are those tiddly little things found on the wings of 73s and A32s and A34s 😀

    The 340s were so much quieter in the cabin than 330s, there was only a little engine mounted next to the cabin instead of a massive one

    I'm partial to your abracadabra
    I'm raptured by the joy of it all



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,010 ✭✭✭HTCOne


    Being beholden to RR has historically been a problem, their delays essentially killed any chance of the L1011 being successful (gave the DC10 a headstart on orders), and mucked up the A340 twice; a brand new RR engine was supposed to be on the A342 and A343 before RR pulled the plug and the CFM56 had to be used resulting in it being rather underpowered. Then delays and reliability issues for the Trent 500 damaged the A345 and A346 no end. In recent years the on-wing time for the Trent XWB on the A350 has been putting airlines off, particularly United overall and Emirates for the -1000 in particular.

    The Trent 1000 on the 787 has caused so many problems that even BA are walking away from it and ordering GE of late. At least airlines can source an alternative on that aircraft.



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  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 10,347 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tenger


    Oh, that is interesting. I always assumed that the A340 production was a slightly later thing.
    I worked on MSN054(SHN), 055 (DUB), 059 (ORD), 070 (ORK), and 086 (JFK).
    And I remember the excitment around the arrival of EI-LAX in 1999.

    A former life!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,797 ✭✭✭California Dreamer


    Folks, can I just say for the record, the discussion and debate seen here over the past couple of weeks has been brilliant. Some of the best I have seen in a while and no stupid bickering over insignificant things.

    Not to throw a spanner in the works, BUT I seem to vaguely remember a conversation or a story that I was told a few years ago that due to the engine issues there was discussion to move the 330 fleet to the 788 & 789. Serious cost involved and maybe it was really pie in the sky but if someone wanted to crunch the numbers on what it would cost, I am all ears!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 260 ✭✭BestWestern


    18240.png

    Aer Lingus American load factors for the twelve months to March 2026.

    18241.png

    And how they compare to the competition.

    18242.png

    And their relative size in comparison.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭goingnowhere


    Load factor doesn't tell everything, ORD has a lot of high value cargo.

    MSP is no good as long as Delta hang around and DEN has never really worked out. Jetblue isn't in good shape, hasn't been profitable in 7 years and is running at massively negative margins. Can't see them lasting much longer sadly

    The real money burn is on EU flights, been on flights will less than 50 onboard in May. You can't sustain that



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 260 ✭✭BestWestern


    Of course load factor isn't everything, and also bear in mind that EIs aircraft have denser configurations than their competitors.

    For example, no premium economy and no all aisle access J class.

    We'd also need to bear in mind that EIs profit margin is excellent in comparison to it's peers (TP, DL, OS, SN).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭goingnowhere


    EI compared to non IAG airlines is extremely good, there is almost 20% difference compared to B6, who are running -10% while EI is close to +10% margin. The dark clouds are forming so getting primed now is good. EI's exposure to US is a huge concern, but there is still strong traffic coming out of the US.

    Problem is EI was doing well, got assigned new aircraft but now has those on the balance sheet, a lot of 321LR/XLR's

    EI needs to get the A330NEO in the fleet to replace the -200's and older -300's, someone needs to get a handle on the EU service to provide a product which justifies a higher cost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,576 ✭✭✭Blut2


    BNA ahead of some of the old regulars like IAD, ORD, PHL, and SFO is pretty impressive for a new route to a second tier US city.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,010 ✭✭✭HTCOne


    Country music is very big in rural Ireland. Hopefully it doesn't fizzle out as people get their fix in the coming years. The best time to hit LAS is April/May and Sept/Oct as its too hot in peak summer and too cold in winter. EI only operate it until late April IIRC.



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 10,347 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tenger


    I wonder how well year round Vegas would do compare the the DEN/LAS split over the last 2 years.

    While Vegas is very hot in the summer the shows, casinos and attractions are still a draw.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 412 ✭✭Qaanaaq


    I would guess that IAD is probably higher on yield.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 360 ✭✭jwm121


    How big of a roll does the short haul network play into this? If Aer Lingus had the opportunity of having a smaller, younger fleet of short haul aircraft to enhance frequency, destinations and better connection times would we be seeing a lot of the same issues? Or would they still struggle to compete? The European network is such a let down when you look at the great expansion in the US.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,797 ✭✭✭California Dreamer


    If I were looking at EI over the next five years, the questions would be:

    1. Can North Atlantic demand stay strong enough to support the growth strategy?
    2. Can the A321XLR network mature into consistently profitable routes?
    3. Can EI improve its European product enough to justify its pricing premium?
    4. How quickly can the oldest A330-200s be replaced by A330neos?

    The short-haul network is absolutely critical to EI. In fact, I'd argue it's one of the most underappreciated parts of the airline's business. But they treat it a lot of the time like the problem child. How many times have we seen over the years how they have screwed the traveling public on fares, routes, catering, downgrading the loyalty programme. Do I need to go on?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 62 ✭✭StakeholderValue


    At what point do IAG clear out the very top of EI management and replace with competent business people focused on running the airline and improving the passenger experience. Seems like EI focus at the moment is to plant seeds for an attack on staff this winter. Bizarre way to run a business.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 249 ✭✭notuslimited


    Having been around the senior levels in organisations, I think it’s fair to say that boards and CEO’s keep a very close eye on the performance of their senior leadership team. Where performance slips, the underperforming senior manager is out the door in double quick time. I simply cannot believe that IAG are in any way different. Perhaps the senior leadership team in EI are performing exactly in line with IAG’s expectations. Who knows??. Willie Walsh’s input was interesting in terms of what he said and the timing. The writing seems to be in the wall for turbulent industrial relations in the next 12 months.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,576 ✭✭✭Blut2


    EI's profit margin greatly exceeding all of their competitors, despite having fairly restrictive controls placed on them by IAG in regards to things like fleet expansion/upgrading, would suggest their management is doing well I would have thought.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41 irishAvflyer


    https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2026/0618/1579112-tribunal-hears-of-second-wording-error-in-aer-lingus-report/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,797 ✭✭✭California Dreamer


    That's certainly one interpretation, although Aer Lingus' history would suggest that rapid decision-making has never been one of its defining characteristics. Whether the issue is industrial relations, strategic direction, fleet planning or organisational change, the company has traditionally moved at a much slower pace than many of its competitors.

    For that reason, I'm not convinced that any concerns about management performance would necessarily result in swift action.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 734 ✭✭✭Nibs05


    There’s already been some managers let go, outsourcing ground operations seems the next thing Aer Lingus are looking at, all though how well catering went and still issues with that who knows, either way they can only chop so much until it becomes a unorganised mess.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,005 ✭✭✭LiamaDelta


    I think this is the whole point. They have a CEO that has only worked in one other airline, an airline well known for just eroding standards and cost cutting rather than growth through better service or innovation. I don't know any of the senior management but if that's what you have at the top then that's what you'll get at senior management level. They see the only way to achieve the margin required by the parent group is by cutting costs rather than offer something more to attract more passengers or leverage higher paying passengers. As mentioned already here, they are achieving a margin of 11% which is not all bad. This whole idea at IAG that every airline can meet the same margin is somewhat silly. They possibly can but they can't all do it the same way. London to New York alone is worth over 4 billion euro and BA/AA have 50% of that market, with 30% premium seats.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 468 ✭✭sherology


    Has there been any movement or announcements on the new long haul business class/premium product being retrofitted this winter? Is that still happening?



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