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Share Picks 2026

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,172 ✭✭✭Bacchus


    The intense bull run needs a bit of tempering, and nothing short of a blow out quarter earnings is going to lead to more gains. Obviously hard to call the top of this thing. Dell had a blowout earnings. Broadcomm stayed in line. Growth story is still intact but it might all be priced in now. So this little pull back might help cool things off, might see another run up to next earnings…. and TBH if we do I might consider cashing in more. My feeling is that in 2027 the AI story is going to shift. The true costs of running these services and models will start to be passed on to customers and that might give a short term boost to earnings but I think it might see a more conservative approach to AI which in turn would decimate the growth story. Still loads of growth to be had, the genie is out of the bottle, but I think it will become more conservative which will obviously affect those sky high valuations.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,661 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Qouting myself here to correct something but SpaceX will not go into the S&P500 index on a quick path as expected as the exception was voted down on 4th June (nor will OpenAI or Anthropic); it will be included in the Nasdaq top 100 in 15 days however in case your funds track that one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,637 ✭✭✭py


    In the same boat. I jumped out of a number of positions a few weeks back and got into a number of smaller AI companies (GLW, MRVL, OCC & PRY). Friday was a white knuckle ride but I'm holding firm and expect a number of more days like that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,888 ✭✭✭JVince


    Jumped back into Intel at just over $100 the other day. There's a very upbeat feeling in their Leixlip campus - obviously many have share options that are worth a nice few bob, but someone I know who works there says its not just that and its more a feeling that they are going to see huge growth and there's no-one wanting to leave now. (huge change from last year when many were looking to exit). The likely Google deal and a potential Apple deal will be very positive when dealing with other customers and potentially lead to momentum on the manufacturing side

    Also have walked away from Nestle with a very small profit. Other costs, retail price concerns and consumer demand are taking from the benefits of lower sugar, cocoa & coffee prices.

    I now see Microsoft as really good value. (moved my Nestle funds into it at 402) Still growing, profitable and likely will be a leader in AI. Valuation under 3T, P/E 23 and still a growth story, so likely relatively little on the downside at current price and plenty on the upside.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,172 ✭✭✭Bacchus


    Thanks for sharing. I've always liked Intel (used to work for them).

    My mindset at the moment though is that the AI bubble is on a knife edge. Nothing but perfect execution from here on out in earning will sustain the valuations. AVGO was the first shot across the bow that the market was getting too far ahead of itself. This pull back is fine and healthy but I'm cautious about entering anything here when it's so hard to call when the sentiment will shift.

    Just anecdotally from my current company. We have (in fairness to leadership) killed it when it comes to our AI strategy. On our latest quarterly all hands, you could hear the language shift from our CTO. The "free ride" is over. The true cost of using AI is going to start being passed on to customers. It's like the last 2 years have been a "loss leader" in AI, getting companies hooked on it and now we will start to see increasing costs. Conversations internally are for the first time asking how many tokens are teams using, what are they using them for, etc. My gut feeling is that there'll be an initial nice rise in earnings as customers struggle to adapt quickly and get caught with big AI bills. That will cause a reevaluation within companies about how they are using AI and managing rising costs, which may cause a retreat from AI and in turn cause fear in the markets that this whole AI thing isn't currently as sustainable as everyone thought. The big problem of course is timing when the market figures this out and acts. That's the falling knife I don't want to be buying into. I still think, with a 5-10 year horizon any solid AI plays will return nice growth but this recent pull back is the first evidence that the explosive growth stage is ending.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,837 ✭✭✭MfMan


    The World Cup, the biggest global sports tournament of them all, kicks off today. Flutter expect an average of 100,000 wagers a minute; they have strengthened nicely this past week, albeit down sharply in the past 6 months alone. Worth a flutter? (ahem)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,075 ✭✭✭1123heavy


    I invested in a World Cup pie on T212 .. nothing but intra day noise just yet



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,529 ✭✭✭littlevillage




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,075 ✭✭✭1123heavy


    Are you on trading 212? A "pie" is basically a portfolio of multiple company stocks and/or ETFs. You designate a % weighting to each stock, depending on how much you want it to influence your investment. I have another of 50 of the top S&P 500 companies, all weighted at 2% each.

    There are thousands on there. A World Cup pie is simply a portfolio consisting of companies that are sponsoring the World Cup, such as Coca Cola, Lenovo, McDonalds etc



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 24,784 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    When the World Cup is over, stocks in the runner up country could be a good investment😊

    https://www.ajbell.co.uk/news/winning-football-world-cup-investment-strategy



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 855 ✭✭✭chrisd2019


    Volume might not result in profit, especially with the current long competition.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    Rode the rocket up on RKLB until few weeks ago

    Now getting the hell out and not touching Elons IPO

    People don’t FOMO buy!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 294 ✭✭Layne


    My thoughts too. The valuation is mad based on the underlying fundamentals. PS ratio in the 90s afaik.

    My worry is if it tanks it will drag everything else down with it. So from that point of view I hope it goes well though I won't be getting involved myself.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,661 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    It's not a question if it will crash; between this one, ChatGPT, Antrophic etc. there will be a crash (that will drag not only all of them down but everything else around it). The fact so many companies have actively gone and got cash injections (incl. the likes of Google etc.) shows that everyone are worried the cash will dry up shortly and getting in while the market is hot. Most I've seen expect it before the end of the year (which combines as well with Trump losing the house, possibly senate so the whole budget for 2027, new laws etc. will be a complete mess to pile on to the issues coming) but as always no one can say when except "we think it will be soon". Having said that I live by the fact markets can remain irrational for longer than you can afford or expect them to be (hence my buy and forget approach to it all).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,172 ✭✭✭Bacchus


    If there's another bull run up to the next round of earnings reports, I'm going to take some more profits. I'm holding on to some unrealized losses too, to offset CGT.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,757 ✭✭✭silliussoddius


    Wasn't the Tesla valuation a bit mad, and he constantly failed to deliver on robo-taxis. But I suppose irrationality has to have limits.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,180 ✭✭✭antimatterx


    Space X will no doubt be a good business, but I’m not buying IPO. I’ll wait for the inevitable 50% crash in 12 months.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,812 ✭✭✭PowerToWait


    Why'd youy sell? You don't see it getting back to 150s? I'm holding since $21 but only 70 shares. Still stings a bit to see it in freefall.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,075 ✭✭✭1123heavy


    Well done to whoever it was that recommended Reddit a few weeks ago. A handy profit could have been made had I listened!



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,661 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Is it though? If you take their market share claims for their AI (since that's by far the biggest chunk of it's valuation) they think any individual globally earning over $12k a year (not a high bar I hope we can all agree and about 1 billion people total) will spend $26.5k a year (and every year) on buying AI services from SpaceX (that's 3x the amount of money spent globally on food as a reference).

    bild.png

    And this is only SpaceX expected spendings by individuals; now scale that up for the other AI companies as well and please make the math work…



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    Will probably buy back after a month it’s good to take profits every so often, offset losses and reevaluate

    Surprised no one mentioned that the Trump admin potentially just popped the AI bubble by blocking Anthropic and setting a precedent now

    Something that happened literally hours after Trumps buddy raked in trillions

    And smells awfully like a shakedown, where companies will now have to add the cost of bribing Trump dynasty onto their cost side alongside even more uncertainty



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,757 ✭✭✭silliussoddius


    Think this is more of a spite move, Anthropic has agreed to rent space from unused data center capacity from Space X so I don’t see how this would be a move to prop up AI or Musk.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,976 ✭✭✭Roberto_gas


    Bought few spaceX yday..already 12% up...not holding at all for long term..its basically a internet service provider thru starlink at this stage !



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,541 ✭✭✭✭Thargor


    Was tempted to throw in 5k and pull it the second Id made enough for a new gaming pc but I just couldn't bring myself to do it, too sketchy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,976 ✭✭✭Roberto_gas




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,541 ✭✭✭✭Thargor


    Did the same thing with Tesla back in the day, watched it IPO on Google Finance and watched it for weeks afterward, had 10k ready to go in my broker account which I think was with Goodbodys back then, never pulled the trigger even though I knew I should have, that would be worth 3 million now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,529 ✭✭✭littlevillage


    Same as that. Picked up a few shares on Friday, complete FOMO on my part I have to admit..... not planning on holding long term, but up 15% already, so if that were to become lets say 40 or 50% profit....then I'll be dumping them



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,976 ✭✭✭Roberto_gas




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,529 ✭✭✭littlevillage


    SpaceX tipping along nicely again today. It will be included in the Nasdaq 100 around 3rd July...Will presumably mean plenty of demand leading into that.



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