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Ireland Team Talk XII: Farrell's First Fifteen

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,899 ✭✭✭Downlinz


    Considering Joe McCarthy got a central contract after just 6 starts in the Six Nations I'd say that point is complete nonsense.

    The reality is Lowe played in the same position with the exact same size and kicking profile as Jacob Stockdale so was never considered essential enough to central contract even if he was marginally preferred.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,548 ✭✭✭clsmooth


    Amateur hour from the IRFU and Humphreys with how Lowe was treated withdrawing his agreed +1 year extension to the RWC and then trying to lowball him by cutting his salary by 50%. That’s the most insulting thing. It’s an appalling look for Irish rugby.

    Jury is well and truly out on Humphreys. Giving the U20s gig to his mate was one thing. We had a disastrous year which was unsurprising as Doak hadn’t exactly a good track record before the appointment.

    Cutting the 7s program and how the players were blind sighted by the announcement (as per Terry Kennedy) was another mistep. But messing around experienced players will hurt Irish rugby in the short (with team morale this summer/and squad depth at the next RWC) and long term (who wants to stay with an employer who may very well mess them around when you’re at your most vulnerable as a player?). We saw Murray and POM get messed around. Think we’ll see more players with something still to offer jumping before pushed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,686 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    Lowe being "marginally preferred" to Stockdale might be the biggest understatement, and least informed opinion this forum has seen in quite some time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,548 ✭✭✭clsmooth


    Lowe marginally favoured over Stockdale? That’s like saying NZ have a marginally better RWC record than Ireland 😀



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    A neat comparable is Mack Hansen, a guy who has made 12 Six Nations starts (from a possible 25) over the past few years, but was added to a CC.

    This is a great example of what is often the issue with your arguments on here FTD.

    You clearly have the crux of a point with regards Lowe.

    But instead of just elaborating on your completely legitimate argument, you’ve cherry-picked Hansen’s 6N’s starts.

    Why? Because Hansen has missed lots of 6 Nations minutes thru injury in the last while.

    Its so obvious and transparent.

    There is no argument where Hansen isn’t absolutely a Farrell favourite and deserving of his Central Contract. I bet you agree with that.

    There’s absolutely a credible argument that Lowe should have been too.

    But instead of making that argument, you cherry pick Hansen’s 6 Nations stats and completely omit the injury context.

    Post edited by aloooof on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,599 ✭✭✭mr_edge_to_you


    Your last point here is the interesting one.

    EoS mentioned this on the Indo Sport podcast last week. If both club and country wanted to keep James Lowe and he wanted to stay, you make a deal happen.

    In my line of work, when all the parties want a deal, we go back and forth until we get one done.

    Sounds like this one sits with the IRFU but they were happy to Leo/Leinster to take the flak/heat.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,456 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    Marginally preferred?

    • James Lowe - 46 caps - 3,464 mins (since. Nov 2020)
    • Jacob Stockdale - 11 caps - 789 mins (over the same time period)

    Hardly the picture of someone “marginally” preferred?

    Looks pretty clear cut to me.

    The Stockdale who burst on the scene in 2018 was an elite winger, but the version of him we’ve seen for the past few years is not remotely at Lowe’s level, and I don’t mean that to be disparaging to Stockdale.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,374 ✭✭✭bingobango12


    Farrell to bring in the non Leinster players who are in the frame for the summer tour to a 3 day training camp on Monday according to Murray Kinsella.

    He says it’s expected to be less than 15 players with 32/33 to be named next week. 17+ Leinster players then with less than 15 from the other 3.

    LH: O’Toole Bohan Hooker: Stewart TH: Illo 2nd Row: Murray Izzy Beirne BR: Prendergast Timoney Ward Jansen SH:Casey Doak OH: Crowley Centres: McCloskey Postlethwaite Aki Back 3: Baloucoune

    18 names above I think are all in with a good shot, so minimum of 4 won’t be chosen if Kinsella is correct. Maybe Stewart, Murray (Beirne if injured obviously), 1 of Ward/Jansen and Postlethwaite (McCloskey if injured) the 4 least likely for me. All the above though deserving of a place in the squad in my opinion.

    If Beirne is injured and only Casey + Crowley travel, that must be the lowest ever representation for Munster, and must be enough for Flanagan to fall on his sword.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    I think we certainly do seem to have a bit of a misunderstanding as there are a lot of factual inaccuracies and misrepresentations in your post.

    For starters “[centrally contracted players] rarely play for the Province”.

    Thats not even remotely accurate. It’s so inaccurate it’s barely worth going into the stats on this.

    Leinster having more than others doesn't affect the development of players in that province. That is totally seperate budget.

    It’s not a separate budget anymore. That’s literally the whole genesis of this whole conversation.

    So even if all of the four provinces had the same number of central contracts over the last 15 years, would it have meant that Munster would have produced more players for Ireland? I think we all know the answer is no.

    I don’t think anyone has argued the provinces should have the same number of central contracts. But equally, if you plugged the Leinster schools system over the last 15 years into the Munster academy would the distribution of CC’s still be the same in favour of Leinster as it is today? I think we all know the answer is no.

    Would Munster have spent the money on NIQ.

    Would Munster have spent Central Contract money on NIQ’s…? I don’t think even Munster are such a nefarious organisation to be able to get around that one…

    I think we know the answer is yes. Proof was when they got external money and went out and splashed it all on two NIQ's

    It sounds like you’re unaware the external money was provided specifically to sign those NIQ’s. It was not provided to Munster for them to do with as they wish. Kinda quashes that argument.

    How does Munster spending money on NIQ help the IRFU or Ireland?

    I think there’s a place in Irish rugby for NIQ signings for every province. Judging by the above, you don’t seem to think there is.

    But are you going to be consistent with your argument and say how does Leinster spending money on NIQ’s help the IRFU or Ireland?? I’m willing to bet you’re not.

    the current one is working, Ireland have never been so competitive, they have won multiple 6 nations and the U20 level has been excellent bar one bad year

    Exactly. And all of this was achieved before there was such a disparity in Central Contracts. So why is it now deemed necessary? Nobody has answered this yet.

    So overall you’ve been way off. On a number of things.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,456 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    The very fact he’s missed so many games in such a short window is actually the strongest argument for why he shouldn’t arguably be on a central contract. And yeah, he’s a high quality player but he’s not a nailed on starter even when healthy - he plays the same position as Robert Baloucoune and Tommy O’Brien, either of whom could very credibly start ahead of him.

    You focus on that side of my point though with your usual nitpicking, but ignore the actual central point - that James Lowe very clearly should have been on a central contract (and had he been a player for any other province he almost certainly would have been).



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,085 ✭✭✭50HX


    Thats v selective to talk about him not being a nailed on starter now.

    Hansen & Lowe both have the same ire test minutes last season.

    Injury has hampered both this season.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 263 ✭✭JeanRasczak


    The budget for development is seperate to the budget to run the provinces. So in terms of "factual inaccuracies and misrepresentations" well I think you need to look in the mirror

    A central contract for a player has absolutely no affect on the budgets over the last 15 years for the provinces. The only reason it became such a discussion point was provincial supporters wanted the IRFU to give them more money so they could buy more players. It was nothing to do with development of players

    Now as I posted already the IRFU and Humphreys have said they have killed the 7s program and the change in the central contracts is to give more money to the other 3 provinces, not Leinster, to develop more players. Not his exact words but what this entire thing is around

    As I said to you already I have yet to see a plan from the IRFU on this, how this is going to work? or if they have any idea if giving more money, after all the millions already given to the provinces, if it will actually mean they produce more players.

    So the point I made is still 100% correct, even if the IRFU had given all the provinces equal central contracts over the last 15 years they would still have not produced any more players than they did because its totally seperate budgets.

    In terms of NIQ, all the provinces have NIQ's, Leinster for many years picked up a decent squad player NIQ till Barrett etc came along recently with the move to Aviva. When Munster got a huge investment, maybe they would use it wisely and invest in the academy program, no chance.

    The external money by the way, according to Jackman, when it came in again was used against the academy. So more "factual inaccuracies and misrepresentations". The money was not given to Munster only to sign a big name NIQ. You just dreamed that up

    The last one, why was it deemed necessary to change the system? well you would need to ask Humphreys that but from a lot of people I talk to, the guy is incompetent and best description is the IRFU version of John Delaney. I already listed out all his failing since he took over. I personally cannot explain wwhy he would make that decision but then again, he has made so many clangers since he took over this is just the latest 7

    Anyway I think we are done here



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,456 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    Hansen isn’t the point here - I don’t begrudge him his contract, he’s a high quality player, I’m just saying there is no argument whatsoever that stands up to scrutiny that Lowe shouldn’t have been on one for the past 3+ years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 263 ✭✭JeanRasczak


    Aki missed more didn't he and still got a central contract?

    Bala and O'Brien are both not the most reliable players in terms of injury to be fair and neither have the impact that Lowe still has on games. He was best player v Italy and started the game v England before he got injured so clearly was in the picture for Ireland.

    Even if this contract was not a central contract I have no idea how he wasn't on one already, especially when you consider he wasn't even able to player for Ireland and Farrell was taking him from Leinster and putting him into training camps



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    I haven’t “ignored the actual central point”. I’ve literally said you have the crux of an argument. That’s the opposite of ignoring the central point.

    But the broader point is, why fixate on just Hansen’s 6 Nations minutes? It’s completely arbitrary.

    Or, rather, when Hansen has missed a bulk of 6 Nations minutes because of injury, but still has strong minutes in the AI’s etc. it’s the opposite of arbitrary and is in fact completely selective. Which is exactly my point.

    FWIW, I think Hansen is still absolutely a nailed on starter in Farrell’s eyes, even if Robert Baloucoune and TOB have had excellent seasons and are fit. Two players who are historically more injury prone than Hansen, fwiw.

    In particular, I always thought Baloucoune’s injuries were what held him back, when he was getting painted on here as having a career of mediocrity earlier this season.

    But I would certainly have any combination of all 3 ahead of Lowe as starting wingers. In which case, maybe Lowe isn’t the loss he’s being painted to be.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,456 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    You might, I’m not so sure Andy Farrell would though. Lowe is a very different player to all of them, and remains an extremely effective winger.

    Balacoune has, because of injuries, effectively has had a career of relative mediocrity, relative to his ceiling and his talents. When he can stay healthy and is at his best, he has the potential to be a world class winger potentially, he has absolutely everything. He just has not been remotely close to delivering on his ability.

    I focused on Lowe’s 6 Nations minutes because it’s the tournament the IRFU consistently prioritises, and where we don’t rotate heavily the squad. I used the numbers there to show how Lowe has played the 4th most minutes of any player in Irish rugby in that tournament since making his debut, to illustrate very conclusively that he has been an absolutely integral player for Ireland for years now. My point was - he absolutely should have had a central contract, and there are very few logical arguments looking at his record as to why he didn’t get one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,087 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    very few logical arguments looking at his record as to why he didn’t get one. 

    Lowe likely didn’t get a central contract because Stockdale had one until 2023, at which point Lowe was 31 and probably too old to get a first CC. Whether that’s logical or not is up for debate I guess.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    I’m reasonably comfortably with my assertion, given what we saw in this past 6 Nations, that any combination of Hansen, Baloucoune and TOB would be ahead of Lowe in Farrell’s eyes. Alas, we won’t get to find out now.

    Balacoune has, because of injuries, effectively has had a career of relative mediocrity, relative to his ceiling and his talents.

    Two uses of the word “relative” is indicative of a serious level of backtracking, imo.

    And again, there absolutely is a clear argument that Lowe should have had a central contract these past few years. I haven’t denied that.

    But only highlighting Hansen’s 6 Nations minutes - where he’s been injured - as a means to comparatively illustrate that is more than a little selective.

    Fwiw, the fact Lowe wasn’t on a Central contract just further demonstrates that the IRFU have a remit beyond Central Contracts and Leinster. Otherwise we might’ve been having this “40%” conversation earlier.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    You’re moving the goalposts with a lot here.

    But before we disagree with anything else, do you at least accept that your assertion that the centrally contracted players “rarely play for the province” was completely factually inaccurate?

    Cos if you can’t accept that than I daresay we are indeed done here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,456 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    I’m not backtracking, as I didn’t make the original comment ffs, so I don’t particularly care about this at all.

    It’s hard to argue though he’s had any kind of great career - he turns 29 in a couple of months from now, and he’s on 80 caps for Ulster and just 8 for Ireland. It’s not his fault, he just hasn’t been able to stay healthy, but when he burst on the scene it would have looked like the sky was the limit for him.

    If Lowe or Conan were playing for one of the other provinces and all else was equal about their international representation over the past few years, they’d have had CCs.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 263 ✭✭JeanRasczak


    Explain which goal posts I moved? I doubt you can because I didn't

    The centrally contracted players are restricted to play for their province is what I should have posted but claiming it is "completely factually inaccurate" :-)

    The likes of Sexton, Furlong etc have rarely played for Leinster over the years.

    Yes I think we are done here when you made up that Munster could only sign a NIQ with that money.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,191 ✭✭✭typhoony


    That phrase if it aint broke dont fix it applies here, the broken pieces were in the other provinces where the structural improvements are not going to be addressed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Well for starters you’ve gone from saying:

    Leinster having more [Central Contracts] than others doesn't affect the development of players in that province. That is totally seperate budget

    To now saying:

    The budget for development is seperate to the budget to run the provinces

    The latter is certainly true. But is a completely different argument to the former.

    The fact that 40% of the Central Contract budget is now being redirected to player development pathways is literally where this whole conversation took off.

    Indeed, saying “the likes of Sexton, Furlong etc have rarely played for Leinster over the years.” is also complete goalpost moving when your original suggestion was that that’s the case for all Centrally Contracted players.

    Separately, it’s widely accepted in Munster circles that the 1014 group paid for De Allende and Snyman as marquee signings. So no, that money wasn’t given to Munster to do with as they please. They couldn’t have put it into player pathways, even if they wanted to. And they’d have been fools not to take that money for NIQ signings.

    But your initial assertion was:

    How does Munster spending money on NIQ help the IRFU or Ireland?

    Are you consistent with this argument and think Leinster shouldn’t sign NIQ’s? Let’s see if you answer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,327 ✭✭✭TRC10


    It’s not hard to understand why Lowe was never on a CC. He wasn’t developed by Leinster. He was already an established, high quality Super Rugby player before he signed. A Māori AB regular who was in and around NZ squads. I think he was supposed to get capped in 2015 but he got injured. Plus the fact that Leinster had nearly their whole team on CCs, it would have been very bad optics, and I’d argue, plain wrong for the IRFU to be fully funding his contract on top of the 11 they already funded. People may bring up JGP, but he was nowhere near the calibre of player Lowe was when he came to Leinster, and developed massively in his time there. Lowe was a shoe in to play for Ireland after 3 years the minute he signed for Leinster.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,008 ✭✭✭Ben Bailey


    Why, in your view, was the funding from the 1014 Group conditional on being spent on NIQ players ?. Whose idea was it, 1014 or Munster Rugby ?.

    Were Munster Rugby unable to persuade 1014 that investment in IQ players was the wiser course ?. Did MR even try ?.

    Simply stating that MR were somehow presented with a 'take it or leave it' choice from people presenting themselves as Munster supporters and that MR failed to persuade 1014 that their funding could be better used seems incredible even now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,087 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    Not sure anyone ever made the comment which is causing such anguish, but he absolutely has had a disappointing career through a combination of injury, bad luck, limited chances (not all of which he made the most of) and most importantly, playing the same position as some really good players.

    But with Lowe gone, Stockdale very unlikely to hit the heights and Hansen picking up a lot of injuries, we suddenly look very light on the wings so it would be fantastic if Baloucoune can deliver. TOB is great but just not as exciting as I would like and after that, is there anyone coming behind? Not as far as I can see.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,057 ✭✭✭johnh6767


    Tommy O’Brien is excellent with room and time to grow



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 312 ✭✭jimbob955


    Who are these 1014 shady group exactly?

    They have funded some big NIQ signings in the past de Allende and RG - who did not work

    Who else did they fund?

    Is the 1014 group still on board, would they fund someone like Lomax?

    Lastly could this 1014 group be advised to help in a different way, not all NIQ funding but more maybe funding into pathways, foundations, things like:

    coaching at schools/youths/AIL

    Facilities - 4G pitches or gyms for clubs/schools

    Helping more schools to get to A level

    Identifying new underage competitions etc

    Would the above funding be a better long term investment from 1014 rather than shiny expensive and ultimately useless signings like RG



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,087 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    Ah he is, but a) he's 28 now and b) I don't think he'll ever be a superstar. He's more of a Keith Earls type rather than Lowe/Hansen player who's going to create things himself.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    What’s shady about them? Just because they want to remaining anonymous?

    That’s not shady.

    Munster won a URC with De Allende in the team. Which, prior to this coming weekend, is the same as Leinster over the last 4 seasons.



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