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Nuclear - future for Ireland?

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,491 ✭✭✭✭ted1


    Is that a serious question? would a turkey vote for Christmas?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,491 ✭✭✭✭ted1




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    That may seem very little over a year in that it is an average of just over 30 minutes a day, but when gas under the marginal pricing policy sets the price for all sources in the generation mix, for a day that 30 minutes can double the price or even more



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,736 ✭✭✭Consonata


    France have had >60 years to build out their Nuclear industry as you well know, 90 years from when they started building Nuclear to net zero.

    Why are you continuing to be so bloody disingenuous. Clearly Nuclear isn't a panacea, nor are renewables! Stop pretending there is a clear quick and easy solution to this issue when every approach has drawbacks



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    On current approach we will never reach net zero

    There literally gas power plants being planned and built all around the country today specifically because wind and solar makes us reliant on gas as backup for their unreliability

    Germany spent over a trillion on the approach we taken over last two decades (prematurely shutting down their nuclear plants too!) with their Energiewende and what do they have to show for it? Second most expensive right behind us in Ireland and one of the most polluting while being fully dependent on France to maintain their grid



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,736 ✭✭✭Consonata


    And Nuclear won't get us to Net Zero for a very very long time

    Renewables objectively will put us closer to Net Zero by 2050, than investing in a NPP would at this point because no Nuclear Power Plant can be built in that time frame



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    How close would renewables get us to Net Zero by 2050 and how would they achieve that and at what cost, or are you just blowing hot air ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,491 ✭✭✭✭ted1


    without wind and solar they would be needed more and the less efficient plants will be running driving on the price. Additionally they don’t just run for 30 minutes. Its 1-2 hours



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    There used to be those who said we would never have gay marriage or abortion on this island

    I suspect ever increasing prices ontop of what is already most expensive electricity in Europe coupled with billions in taxes leaving the country on “carbon fines” and more Eiffel Tower sized turbines on coasts and fields converted to industrial estates would focus minds



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,491 ✭✭✭✭ted1




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    The reason we run peaker gas plants is because wind and solar are unreliable and when they drop off rapid response peaker plants are needed to prevent collapse, and the cost of doing so have little to nothing to do with the volume of gas they use.

    If you run peaker plants to prevent that happening for 30 minutes the daily price due to the marginal pricing policy will more or less double. For 1 hour X3 and for 2 hours X6.

    When wind and solar are doing little or nothing adding more of them will not increase the percentage any additional turbine or solar panel is supplying to the grid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    making empty statements contrary to real world facts doesn’t make them true

    Just like claiming earth is flat and covid is a hoax doesn’t make them statements true either



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,491 ✭✭✭✭ted1


    we ran peakers long before wind and solar came along. ….



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,491 ✭✭✭✭ted1


    you don’t use real World facts. You bang on about France , but can’t accept that their nuclear plants were built on the 60s when it was Cheap.

    Why not look at a who didn’t have nuclear up to recently and use them as an example.

    You are like someone who would get into the pumpkin business in November.

    The earth is round. Covid is real and I’m On the fence with the moon landings…..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    We did, but you do not appear to understand the difference in how the price of electricity was calculated then and now.

    Prior to wind, solar and the marginal pricing policy the price was determined by the average price of all the components in the generation mix. Now it is determined by the most expensive component in the mix.

    The hike in price due to peaker plants I gave you was based on €2,000. Peaker plant operators can charge up to double that, so for 2 hours it would increase the price by X12.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Finland added 1.6 GW of nuclear (14% of their demand) in 2023 and it immediately drastically reduced the cost of their electricity and their imports.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,491 ✭✭✭✭ted1


    Finland has had nuclear for the last 49 years


    and you are only telling half a story. They added significant amount of wind and some solar in 2013.

    Also you didn’t mention the nuclear plant was delayed over a decade…

    Finland cancelled a SMR in. 2022 as it wasn’t feasible



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I posted just yesterday that showed that wind or solar had done sweet fanny adams to lower their imports or their charges. Do you somehow believe that the massive reduction for both was just a coincidence in that the happened as soon as OL£ came on line ??

    The story you are running from is that even over budget and years late Finland`s OL3 cost €11 Bn. and would supply over 35% of our present requirements.

    Not that you will even make an attempt to give a coherent reply, but what would €11Bn. of renewables supply us with ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,491 ✭✭✭✭ted1


    it’s price of €11bn is because it was the red reactor built on an existing site.
    wind and Hydro are giving credit for lower prices including negative pricing

    Also the plant size itself reduced costs. But our network couldn’t handle that much and would need investments.

    Any comment on tyenlnany going offline in November 23? We’d need to build a second Poland if that’s size to provide redundancy



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    As per usual no attempt even made to answer what you were asked.

    If your line of reason was followed that nobody other than those that already have a NPP could build another, then we would all be living in caves and our main energy concern would be where would we find a piece of flint.

    I posted the verifiable data that renewables in Finland did nothing to reduce the cost of their electricity or their imports until OL3 coming on line in 2023 reduced both massively. Where is your verifiable data that wind and hydro suddenly did that in 2023 ?

    Evert day that we import electricity from the U.K. there is nuclear generated electricity in our grid and it works just fine. It`s our grid doing what it was designed to do. Distribute electricity from a large generating plant built as close as possible to supply the needs of an area which consumes a large volume of electricity. It`s not designed to both supply and receive electricity. To do that, due to renewables, the latest estimate of the cost for our grid to do so is €20 Billion. €20 Billion of which those generating electricity that requires that upgrade will not pay a cent towards. It would be paid for by Irish consumers resulting in even larger bills for electricity than they are being hammered with now.

    I have no idea what or who was tyenlnany on November 23. Was it like the Iberian blackout on 28th. April 2025 that left Spain and Portugal in darkness ?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,491 ✭✭✭✭ted1


    I haven’t seen you data anything I’ve looked at attributes nicely , hydro , wind and solar as all contributing factors.

    People can build nuclear. But when using counties with a nuclear program that goes back to the 60s is very misleading and can’t be used to give an example of pricing


    Moneypoint is about 900 MW , we have 400kV lines. Nowhere else in the grid can transmit that. Why you are talking about distribution, it’s the transmission network that will need upgrading.

    The distribution network needs to be upgraded regardless. Poles are rotting. Woodpeckers are running amok. Winter storms are getting worse.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    So effectively you are saying that you chose to ignore verifiable data posted at least twice in the last two days in favor of some unknown mysterious data that you do not post but expect others to accept your interpretation.

    I know timber is not getting any cheaper, but €20 Billion would buy a lot of poles to replace those that are rotten and those attacked by woodpeckers. And why have they not been replaced by regular maintenance. Same as cutting away tree branches from power lines which cause the majority of storm damage. Have we sacrificed basis maintenance for the funding of renewables ?

    At one stage it used to annoy me that those opposed to nuclear would never outline what their proposals were or how much they would cost while pulling numbers out of thin air or orifices when it came to nuclear. Now I just find it amusing that even they know they would be laughing stocks if they did what is asked.

    Nuclear is flowing through our grid every day and our grid has no problem with it. €20 Billion added to consumers bills is not needed for nuclear. It`s needed for renewables.

    Some more verifiable data for you to ignore. 30th March 2025 31% of the island`s demand was supplied by importing electricity and our grid didn`t fry.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Birdnuts


    The question is why we are indulging these Turkeys at the expense of domestic energy consumers, rural communties etc.??



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,491 ✭✭✭✭ted1


    because that the legal and financial framework that they signed up for. And are thus contracted for.

    While we could and should change it for future projects. Legally it would be very hard and expensive to retrospectively change existing contracts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,491 ✭✭✭✭ted1


    Why would the grid fry ? An electron is an electron. Regardless of how it’s converted


    what would cause it to fry is injecting 1.6GW at a single point and trying to force that through the grid. .

    I’ve no issue with nuclear other than the time it would take to plan and commission a plant and the costs it would be


    you seem to be of tha illusion that we could do it tomorrow and a very unrealistic cost.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    A few posts ago you were telling us how our grid needed to be upgraded because it cannot handle nuclear and I showed you the date last year where it had no problem handling 31% of our demand. Next thing you are off on some tangent of some unnamed reactor somewhere frying a grid if it supplied it with 1.6 GW 😕

    This is where you get to run away again. "a very unrealistic cost" compared to what ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Best of luck attempting to change that.

    Try it and you will not be long being put in your place by these renewable companies the same as the U.K., Denmark and Germany were. All three countries tried and came crawling back giving them the terms and conditions they wanted.

    All thanks to the power the E.U. handed them with the legislation on energy liberalisation which has allowed them to become the monopoly. As well as the E.U. sword of Damocles on emissions targets with fines for non compliance that they are hanging over the heads of any government that will not give them the terms they want.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,736 ✭✭✭Consonata


    Gay Marriage and Abortion required a simple majority in a referendum to be legal.

    If a referendum could create 6GW of Nuclear supply tomorrow for free, I would support it. Thats not what it would take in reality.

    A NPP could not be completed in this country before 2050, that is the reality.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    we spent 30 years building 9GW of wind and solar and still can’t generate 6GW using them especially during winter peak

    Yet ended up with dirty and Europes most expensive electricity

    Post edited by bored65 on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,235 ✭✭✭Markcheese


    https://ycharts.com/indicators/ireland_electricity_generation

    Slava ukraini 🇺🇦



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