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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 929 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    Overly simplified example.

    Right now if 70% of electricity is generated by wind and 30% we pay the gas price for 100%. Wind can be sourced for 100 per mwh gas at 200 per mwh. So we are paying 100% more.

    If we increase wind to 110% of what we need then we can just pay 100 per mwh. We potentially have to pay for the extra 10% we don't need if we cannot store it or export etc. So we might end up paying 110 per mwh rather than 10%.

    That is assuming we have to pay 100% for what we ask the wind farm now to produce which isn't always true. Newer contracts can share the cost. Interconnectors, battery storage, green hydrogen(if it ever becomes a thing) can all help address this by making better use of the over supply.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    And I have shown you why Hungary`s electricity consumers have massive discounts on electricity which you still refuse to acknowledge, as well as answer anything you have been asked. It`s because Hungary uses it`s state asset nuclear to keep down the cost by using the profit from the marginal pricing policy. Unlike renewable companies that pocket that excess profit and make out like bandits.

    Your " Above the 2500 it doubles" does not hold water either. Their peak demands, like ours, are in Winter. The Eurostat data you have been shown here by me and other posters shows that for the second half of 2025 their electricity is €0.1082/kWh one quarter of our €0.4042/kWh.

    In Winter their solar is as useless as ours for adding anything significant to the grid. We have the rare sub-zero nights in Winter. They have frost and ice lasting weeks resulting in them importing ~40% of their electricity during Winter. Mainly from Slovakia which generates 65% of it`s electricity from nuclear, and Ukraine which now supplies practically all of Ukraine`s electricity from nuclear.

    Low capacity Winter solar panels being covered in ice and snow are not going to change that no matter how many they add. It`s why they are increasing their generation via nuclear to 70%.

    Now how about you for a change addressing some of the questions I asked you ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    you are still disputing eurostat figures linked just for you and widely reported upon in our media ?!

    It’s like arguing with flat earther who after being flown around the world on a rocket keeps insisting the earth is flat



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 929 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    I cannot help you if you cannot read. It shouldn't be that hard to understand that comparing electricity prices that are subsidised at source to ones that aren't subsidised, or where the government issues credits after the rate is calculated, isn't a like for like comparison. Surely even you can wrap your head around that.

    I am not disputing that electricity generated by a reactor built by the Soviets 40 odd years ago will be very cheap. It's just not a short term solution in a country like Ireland where building a hospital costs billions and takes 10 years+.

    It's odd that you are disputing a fact that you can easily search. The exact figure is 2523. It was unlimited until 2022 when gas prices went through the roof forcing the government to put a cap on it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    And here we go again the arrogance of assuming that you know better than the EU statistics body whom shown clearly that Ireland as most expensive in Europe and nuclear powered eu countries are consistently some of the cheapest

    And at the time of this post France is producing 13.5x less co2 than Ireland as yet another day we are having to import and burn gas to backup unreliable renewables

    Were you one of em Covid deniers too? Disputing official figures and basic science economics and engineering



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 929 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    No point continuing this when you cannot grasp even the most basic of concepts.

    It's as if you are a low quality AI bot stuck in a loop. We cannot use what we don't have, and likely will never have.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,647 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    With logic like that, you should go straight to the CRU and tell them everything will be OK.

    Quoting mwh - milliwatt hours? Really? Basic concepts indeed!

    How's this. We currently have 6GW of wind plus 8GW of conventional installed capacity on the island. It's 4am-5am and the night valley. We only need 3GWh but it's windy. By some miracle almost all wind is available. Do you think we should pay for the availability of all 6GWh of wind despite it not being needed? Or should we just pay for the 2.25GWh we actually use and pay for the 750MWh of thermal plant along with it?

    Worse still, our prices are higher than GB, so we're importing. However SONI have probably hit their valley floor so some will need to be traded back on the Moyle (at yet more cost). Let's assume they can only import 250MWh safely. Should we still pay for the 6GWh of wind despite only 1GWh being used (plus 1.25GWh from the interconnectors and the 750MWh of thermal)?

    Now, explain how that's cheaper than just paying for 3GWh of thermal (or 1.75GWh of thermal plus interconnectors)?

    Assume that wind is "just" €100/MWh as per your post above and you can stick with your €200/MWh of gas too. My maths says we pay wind €600,000 and thermal €150,000 in the first example. It would have just cost €600,000 if it was 100% gas. That's before we consider that the marginal price would have likely seen wind paid the same price as the gas due to the market design. So instead would get €1,200,000 - for a 0 fuel cost provider don't forget.

    But you inexplicably want to add more wind and further increase the curtailment?

    Post edited by machiavellianme on

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    It appears that you are a believer that when you are in a hole the way to get out of it is to dig deeper.

    Had you bothered to do even a small bit of research you would have found that Hungary completely decoupled household electricity from the wholesale market in January 2013. For your 2022 when the wholesale market price was €272 per MWh, household were paying €0.108 per kWh. How Hungary still had that low charge is down to what you have repeatedly been shown and still refuse to acknowledge.

    When wholesale electricity prices are high there is a lot of excess profit to be made due to the marginal pricing policy. With the Hungarian state owning their nuclear plants, unlike their solar counterparts who just pocket the excess profit, Hungary used it to keep prices low for the consumer. It`s why Hungary and others who have own their nuclear plants have affordable electricity, and why others such as Poland and Belgium are now moving to do the same.

    For someone who has so much belief in solar somehow lowering prices, in 2024 Hungary had a long hot sunny Summer. Ideal for solar to show how it would lower prices. In the real world their wholesale market price peaked at €940 per MWh. Solar did sfa to lower prices. It just pocketed the excess profit due to the marginal pricing policy while Hungary used that profit from nuclear to protect the consumer. While wholesale prices were €940 per MWh Hungarian consumer were paying between €0.09 - €0.10 per kWh.

    Not that you will ever answer a question you are ask with anything other than waffle, but if the reason that countries that have reasonably priced electricity is due to 40 year old reactors, how come Finland, - whose latest nuclear plant went operational in 2023, - now have the third cheapest electricity in the E.U. In August 2022 the price was €261.49 per MWh. For 2025 €35.20 per MWh.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 929 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    You asked for an example, I gave you one. As I said it is overly simplified and best case scenario. Your scenario is worst case scenario and assumes all wind farms are on the old contracts.

    You are also ignoring that habits/power usage will change. There will less of a drop-off at night when more people are charging their cars over night. There will be more data centres running 24/7. More people will have solar and batteries etc.

    There are definitely more things that need to be managed with a renewable system and you might be correct in the long run but most of the issues you raise are ignoring existing solutions to the problems let alone solutions that haven't even been thought up yet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 929 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    You are making my point for me. Hungary has decoupled the price, partly as a tool to buy votes - low prices are popular, so you cannot compare the unit cost in Ireland and Hungary for a like to like comparison.

    And before I am accused of saying something that I haven't - Hungary does have cheaper electricity than us - a lot cheaper, but the 10c figure isn't a true reflection.

    I have already explained why Finland has cheap electricity. It's not all down to 1 nuclear power plant.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    Nuclear France reached 12g co2 per kWh today while we are 15-20x that

    https://www.rte-france.com/donnees-publications/eco2mix-donnees-temps-reel

    So much winning



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    If you wish to keep making a fool of yourself do not let me stop you.

    Hungary has cheap electricity because it owns it`s own nuclear plants that are supplying 50% of it`s electricity and is increasing that percentage to 70%. Unlike your "cheap" solar that when it had it`s time to shine did sfa to lower prices and just trousered the extra profit. If you want to keep on that their low price is not a true reflection, take it up with Eurostat.

    Finland is the third cheapest in the E.U. for electricity because it generates 40% from nuclear. Do you seriously believe that anyone of sound mind would not look at OLK 3 adding 14% of that total (equivalent to 36.6% of our present requirements) for €11 Billion and the instantaneous massive drop in price to the consumer as well as the equally massive drop in imports and believe it was just sheer coincidence ?

    You are talking nonsense on both Hungary, Finland and solar completely ignoring the verifiable data you have been shown in favor of the first thing that comes into your head



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    It’s gone beyond farcical now

    For years we were promised cheap and green electricity and 9GW of both were built in a country with peak demand of 5.5

    And we got neither, ending up the most expensive in Europe (and the world) and one of the top three dirtiest

    But hey who needs real world facts when have good intentions and great marketing



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,647 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    You gave an example in milliwatt-hours (an AA battery will provide that) while having the audacity to lambast a poster above about basic concepts.

    I developed your very basic scenario, which is entirely wrong, into something more realistic (it happens several nights that wind exceeds demand, so hardly worst case) and explained the futility of adding more wind. Your response now is demand response? On top of all this extra wind and solar you want the demand to suddenly manifest as the wind blows? What do you think will happen then? More gas will be brought on to account for the 25% of the mix that cannot be served be asynchronous sources, so the price will increase even more and the wind will take an even larger windfall.

    Bravo, you've outdone yourself in missing the point entirely.

    As someone who was responsible for implementing the last SEM design during I-SEM, I have a certain shame in knowing how ridiculous it has all become because ultimately, wind and solar are taking record profits and masquerading as the good guys at our expense. Worse still, they seem to have hoodwinked the population, including lots of smart people, into thinking that only they can save the world by building more. They want priority dispatch and compensation for any energy they might have, whether we need it or not or use it or not. Cake and eat it springs to mind. Except they've made too many cakes and want us to pay full retail price and not just costs, regardless.

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,453 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    And its even worse.

    Greens think we can and should add more while neglecting grid improvement. That will result in even higher profits for producers and higher prices for consumer. Guess who will be on the hook when they will have to improve grid to manage new additions? Taxpayer as usual. But that may not happen since green renewable energy producers are not really interested in generated power even going anywhere when they will be paid either way.

    Prime example is on what is happening in India, despite grandiose plans of quadrupling solar nobody talk about cost of upgrading grid so quadrupled solar will be just cash generator for producers and country will still run on coal.

    3rd most polluting country but but somehow Ireland is going to save the planet.

    https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Indias-Power-Demand-Hits-Record-High-as-Heat-Drives-Coal-Use.html



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I-SEM may have originally been to liberalise electricity from monopolies and create a competitive open market to ensure affordable electricity, but it was quickly transformed by elements within the E.U. into a policy based on zero emissions with little or no consideration for the subsequent affordability of electricity.

    With their zero emissions timelines, penalties for non compliance and guaranteed 20 year inflation linked strike prices they have created what I-SEM was supposed to eliminate. A monopoly by a handful of renewable companies that backed by those E.U. policy are now dictating to state governments what the terms will be on strike prices and on payment for electricity generated by them regardless of it being wanted or needed. If they do not get the risk free guaranteed profit they seek, then they just sit back and refuse to bid on offering knowing that due to those E.U. policies governments will panic and re -run those offering on the terms they want.

    They have already shown this in their no bids for U.K., Danish and German offshore offerings where all three governments rolled over on their backs with re-run offerings to suit those offshore renewable companies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    82 dead in a Chinese “solar power” manufactury

    This is a country that that proudly builds a coal plant every week that outputs as much as this country does in a year, yet according the to tick tock consuming watermelons they are “green”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,071 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Coal mine, and don't be a sh!t misrepresenting what happened with that many dead. I would edit your post.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    why are they digging up and burning so much coal contrary to the marketing spin that China is a “green” power? Coal that kills a third of a million people there per year according to their own studies

    IMG_6920.jpeg

    It’s yet another example of marketing spin being completely contrary to the reality of building a Moneypoint sized plant or larger ever week to burn coal to sell us greenwashed products

    IMG_6919.jpeg

    And save me the faux outrage, China has a long history of using slave labour but the Greens are ok with that as well as burning coal, the ends justify the means and all that

    Post edited by bored65 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 417 ✭✭SpoonyMcSpoon


    If there truly was a climate crisis, these data centres would not be built - what a scam to try to make ordinary people responsible while faceless corporates and their shareholders rape the planet’s resources.

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/13/utah-approves-datacenter-backlash



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65




  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 4,728 Mod ✭✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    A Lazard report (linked to at the links text just now) in recent days that US renewables are cheaper than gas, but US energy inflation is high because of reliance on fossil fuels.

    A report released by Lazard in the US this week highlights that renewable sources of energy, namely wind and solar, are the cheapest and quickest way to generate power for the nation. In comparison, the cost to build new gas-fired power plants is the highest it has been for 10 years. Furthermore, the report highlighted that renewables remained the cheapest and most efficient option, even without the need for government subsidies…………

    However, under the current administration, there are growing backlogs on renewable energy projects. Despite the cost per megawatt hour being significantly higher to build gas-powered plants instead of solar or wind plants, the government continues to favour fossil fuel options to meet the increased demand.

    And from Reuters on this report:

    The cost to build a utility-scale solar farm ranged from $38 to $78 per megawatt hour, while costs for natural gas combined cycle plants were $48 to $107 per megawatt hour. Smaller-scale community solar and gas peaker plants, meanwhile, were considerably more expensive.

    Trump has deliberately hampered renewables, including forcing a Danish company to drop plans for windfarms in the Atlantic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    That Orsted (bankrupt and had to be bailed out by Denmark at cost of 10bn) wind farm right offshore from Rhode Island quite likely contributed to that piece of 💩 victory in 2024 as the locals were well pissed off and there was a massive swing against democrats leading to victories for Trump in what used to be solid blue municipalities , there’s a lesson right there for politicians and what failed green policies lead to.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,392 ✭✭✭Exiled Rebel


    You have no idea how backwards US utilities are in the US. The rules and regulations differ not only from state to state but from utility to utility. I only had a call yesterday with a NY based consultant who laid out some of the mind bending regulations utilities have in NY and NJ.

    Along with that the landscape is a bureaucratic nightmare. A number of utilities will not use email and insist on the use of FAX and hard copies to communicate designs.

    When it comes to making payments a cheque is all they'll accept. I once received two barely legible hand written invoices for $80k each. It was like something you got from a local hardware store back in the 90's after buying a bag of nuts except it was for $160k!

    Is it any wonder infrastructure is crumbling over there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    But you have to take into consideration on a like for basis that solar is intermittent and unreliable. Especially if your peak demand is in Winter. Plus the capacity factor for both and that solar - or indeed wind - will not provide base load and neither solar or wind can be ramped up if required.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,647 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    To be fair, both can be ramped up if they pre-curtail first, but they'll want compensation for that.

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    How do you ramp up solar or wind when there is barely any sun or wind?

    IMG_6948.jpeg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,495 ✭✭✭✭ted1




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    The fools are the population being taken for a ride with most expensive electricity in Europe while China adds same amount of extra CO2 by building a coal plant every week as we emit in a year



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Of course they will, but they can only deliver what the wind is providing at the time. Nuclear can load follow by ramping up as required.



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