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Leinster Team Talk Thread (Love you Furlong time)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,192 ✭✭✭typhoony


    They need to address the structures that clearly have been lacking at the other provinces. Throwing money at it may not be good enough there has to be a concerted effort to bridge the gap, which requires the right people and vision to develop rugby in schools and areas that traditionally have had limited rugby



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,192 ✭✭✭typhoony


    Agreed throwing good money after bad is not a wise choice. The good of Irish rugby for now might be not to take money away from Leinster.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,462 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    That's all well and good - but if we go down this route, then we face into the prospect of seeing more of our big players move overseas. It's a short career, and players will go for financial security to protect themselves.

    Jean Kleyn, a guy who will turn 33 in August, got a 3-year deal out of Gloucester. He wouldn't have gotten that here - and so it's fully understandable why he's leaving.

    It's easy to discuss this in the context of the handful of guys who now look undeserving of their CCs (and there will always be some of those), but the idea that our world class players would continue to accept that kind of short term volatility and injury risk to their earnings and not accept a bigger money offer elsewhere is naïve at best IMO.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Leinster not having 10+ Central Contracts fully paid for is not "dragging Leinster down". No more than Leinster were "hobbled" when the split was 7:5.

    That's a take that many other club rugby fan in the world would laugh at tbh.

    Impressively, it's not even the most hyperbolic take in your post; there is practically 0 chance that an organisation as well run the IRFU are doing this to placate fans, as opposed to them thinking it's the right, and necessary, decision…..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,462 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    I asked you a direct question and still haven't received a response; so here I go again:

    Which factor has a bigger impact on Munster's ability to produce players of sufficient standard to warrant international selection and potential winning CCs in time between these two issues:

    • Leinster having a 10:1 ratio of Central Contracts at this moment in time, or
    • Munster giving (by far) the lowest proportion of minutes to young players, the least minutes to Academy players, the least caps to Academy players, the least starts to Academy players and the lowest number of Academy players utilised?

    The IRFU were well run under David Nucifora - he put a lot of the systems in place and drove a hard line on things like NIQ recruitment which were major factors in leading to the significant uptick in the fortunes of the men's national team.

    David Humphreys is a different story so far - he's brought in two major initiatives in his time in office:

    • Cut the 7s programme - to save a relatively paltry c. €500k per annum - when just in recent seasons alone we've seen the benefit of guys like Zac Ward, Joshua Kenny etc come through as a development pathway (and the obvious benefits it gave to guys like Hugo Keenan, Robert Baloucoune, Jimmy O'Brien etc).
    • Fundamentally change the payor model for CCs, to a system that weakens Leinster.

    The jury is very much out on the success of his tenure.



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  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 45,411 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    "Necessary" maybe, due to the failings of, mainly, ulster and Munster.

    "Right" .. well that's a completely subjective view point.

    Let's not forget that the irfu income, over the last 10 years in the main, through six nations positioning and competition play off gate receipts, has been build on the backs of a leinster heavy squad.

    If leinster drop off, irfu income drops off, and all provinces suffer



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,878 ✭✭✭realhorrorshow


    Don't forget publicly announcing a ban on NIQ front rows that lasted a year if even.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,462 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    How is that even a controversial viewpoint?

    Setting aside the reasons for it - it is an indisputable fact that materially changing the model as it currently stands, has the effect of essentially adding probably something like €2m a year onto Leinster's cost base.

    The effect of that - since Leinster have no option but to retain the centrally contracted players (when they would likely choose not to in certain instances if given the freedom to make that choice) - is that Leinster have no option but to let other good players go.

    There is no earthly way that isn't dragging Leinster down and making them worse, it's inconceivable to argue otherwise.

    So, in essence, this is literally a case of the IRFU making Leinster quite a bit worse right now in the vague and completely ill-defined hope the money will make the other three better in the medium term.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,011 ✭✭✭almostover


    I wonder what the rugby budget at Michael's or Blackrock is vs. that of CBC or PBC? Impossible to know for sure but I'd estimate it's higher at the former than the latter.

    Leinster have a huge demographic and financial advantage over all 3 other provinces at school level. I can't see how that point can be argued against. Much of that financial advantage is via private means. And the IRFU has recognised this disparity and is attempting to address it for the betterment of Irish rugby. It's basically means testing for rugby development.

    I got the below from Gemini to show the scale of the disparity.

    For the 2025 Ireland U-18 Men's Schools National Camp squad, the provincial breakdown consisted of 36 total players heavily dominated by the eastern province: [1]

    • Leinster: 18 players (50% of the squad)
    • Munster: 10 players (28% of the squad)
    • Ulster: 8 players (22% of the squad)
    • Connacht: 0 players


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    I've given you a response.

    Your second bullet point is based on this season. I'd absolutely dispute that if you looked over the last decade that Munster's record would be the same as this season.

    Do you honestly think the stats you posted for the last 3 seasons would be the same if you looked over the previous 4-5?

    I absolutely don't. Not even close. (I'm kinda surprised you don't have the stats tbh)

    There's also plenty more going on here; it's not just that Leinster play young players. Leinster are able to give more minutes to younger players because they are good enough to play. There are obvious reason why Leinster players may be further along in their development than the other provinces counterparts.

    The ringfencing, being directly put into player pathways, is designed to raise that floor for the younger players with a view to correcting the imbalance in the Ireland squad in the long-term. .

    And despite claiming to be Ireland first and foremost, you're now deadset against it.

    I understand why. But it rather goes against the Ireland first and foremost claim.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,462 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    Yeah, the rugby budget is almost certainly higher I'd argue, but, once again, I'd bet the disparity in budgets is quite a bit smaller than the disparity in player production.

    Let's not for a second pretend the likes of CBC & PBC are operating shoe string operations either :

    • CBC have a 7,000 sq metre synthetic turf pitch constructed to World Rugby standards, do pre-season rugby camps in Alicante or Portugal most years, have just announced the appointment of Johnny Holland - a highly regarded developing coach and former player as DoR etc.
    • PBC have four pitches, an all-weather floodlit training area, state of the art gym and ice-baths, go on multiple overseas tours (including recently to the NextGen XV Comp in Salou), have had a number of big name coaches involved.

    The notion that it's purely financial reasons for the disparity in player production is nonsense.

    I got the below from Gemini to show the scale of the disparity.

    For the 2025 Ireland U-18 Men's Schools National Camp squad, the provincial breakdown consisted of 36 total players heavily dominated by the eastern province: [1]

    • Leinster18 players (50% of the squad)
    • Munster10 players (28% of the squad)
    • Ulster8 players (22% of the squad)
    • Connacht0 players

    This speaks more to my point than yours I feel - if this was the ratio and balance of elite player production, where Leinster produced c. 1 in 2 and Munster and Connacht 1 in 4 each, then no one would have a problem with it. The issue isn't at those underage levels like U-18's Schools, it's what happens historically at the next level where players aren't being developed properly and there was virtually no ethos of giving them opportunities.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    That's one way of framing it. Another is that €2m per year is being redirected to development pathways of the other provinces for the long-term benefit of Ireland and Irish rugby.

    This could even be a positive change if one was an Irish fan first and foremast.

    But framing it as "dragging Leinster back" because they weren't allowed have 10+ of their most expensive contracts fully paid for?

    As if the Central Contract model was some kind of immutable doctrine that must not be changed for fear of blaspheming.

    Nah.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,705 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    I think at a certain point we have to accept that there is always a possibility of players chasing cash. You could offset that risk by increasing basic Provincial salaries across the board, to close the gap. I think it's fundamentally unsound to pay the international players the way we do, in a highly attritional sport. How much is Furlong making, and how often has he appeared for either Leinster or Ireland over the last few seasons. He got a big contract because he was seen as absolutely crucial to the national team, and has since largely been a non-factor, between injuries and form. The IRFU pays him a kingly sum to get fit for the Lions, only to then largely disappear again. Lads like Henshaw, Aki, Henderson on a central contract, long past the point where they are at their best.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,090 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    This is a bad take.

    It's not a take. It's a factually correct, perfectly rational assessment of the situation. The central contract system is there for the benefit of Ireland, not for one province or indeed any of them.

    Everything that follows from that - Leinster have all the advantages, the system is rigged, private schools etc - that's the take.

    If the argument here is that you believe Ireland players will perform to a different standard if 40% of their wages are coming from their club

    I very much don't think that and if your arguments are so thin that you need strawmen like that to flesh them out, then that's your issue.

    The concern for Ireland is this; if Leinster have to divert more of their cash into previously centrally contracted players, there must be less available to pay the second tier of Leinster players, we're agreed so far. However, the second tier of Leinster players is also a bulk supplier to the national squad.

    So what happens then? Either those players 1) suck up a lower wage, 2) they move abroad, or 3) they go to a different province. If 2) happens, then there is a distinct loss to Ireland. If 3), then it sort of defeats the purpose of pumping money into other provinces' development pathways.

    So the plan rests on people doing the same work for less money, which is always a sure-fire bet, right?

    you're going to have a hard time convincing anyone of the merits of this argument.

    I am under zero illusions on that front, don't worry there.

    The only negative consequence of this change is Leinster can no longer afford to maintain an insanely stacked squad and this is the only reason there's any moaning about it.

    No. We have no idea of the consequences of this because the consequences are in the future. We also have no idea how this is going to result in Ulster and Munster magically reversing their player development rate, you just assume that it will.

    My "moaning" is based primarily on the risk to a system that has been very successful for Ireland, but why shouldn't I also be unhappy about a change that affects my province? How much moaning have you done over the years about all the various injustices that have been visited upon Ulster?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,633 ✭✭✭daithi7


    a few inconvenient facts for you, though it's not really clear what argument you're trying to really make anyway, imho:

    1. Cork City & Environs populations (all on Google AI)

    Cork city has an official administrative population of 224,004, with the wider metropolitan area accommodating approximately 327,000 residents

    2. County Cork population

    The population of County Cork is 584,156, according to the Central Statistics Office (CSO) Census 2022. This figure reflects an 8% growth from 2016 and represents the second-most populous county in Ireland.Breakdown of the PopulationCork City: 224,004 CSO Census 2022Rest of County Cork (excluding city): 360,152 City PopulationAverage Age: 39.1 years CSO Census 2022

    3. Rugby playing Schools in Limerick: Number of Limerick based schools listed in the 2025 SCT draw

    Four not one.

    https://www.munsterrugby.ie/domestic_news/pairings-confirmed-for-opening-rounds-of-munster-schools-boys-senior-and-junior-cups/

    5. Total Number of Rugby playing Schools in Munster

    https://www.munsterrugby.ie/domestic/rugby/schools-rugby/affiliated-schools/

    School

    Ardscoil Rís

    Ballincollig Community School

    Bandon Grammar

    Carrigaline CS

    Cashel Community School

    Castletroy College

    Christian Brothers College

    Coláiste Choilm

    Coláiste Fionnchua

    Coláiste Íde agus Iosef

    Colaiste Mhuire Co-Ed

    Coláiste Muire

    Coláiste na Sceilge

    Crescent College Comprehensive

    Davis College

    Edmund Rice Secondary School

    Ennis Community College

    Gaelcholáiste Luimnigh

    Glenstal Abbey School

    High School CBS

    Intermediate School

    John The Baptist CS

    Killorglin Community College

    Kinsale Community School

    Maria Immaculata Community College

    McEgan College

    Mercy Mounthawk

    Midleton CBS

    Midleton College

    Mitchelstown CBS

    Mount Saint Michael

    Mungret Community College

    Newport College

    Newtown School

    Patrician Academy

    Pobalscoil Chorca Dhuibhne

    Pobalscoil Inbhear Scéine

    Presentation Brothers College

    Presentation Secondary School

    Rice College

    Rockwell College

    Salesian Secondary College

    Schull Community College

    Scoil Mhuire agus Íde

    Scoil Mhuire gan Smál

    Scoil Phobail Bhéara

    St. Ailbe’s School

    St. Anne’s CC

    St. Caimin’s Community School

    St. Clement’s College

    St. Joseph’s CBS

    St. Munchin’s College

    St. Patrick’s Comprehensive School

    St. Patrick’s Secondary School

    The Abbey School

    Villiers School

    Waterpark College

    I sincerely hope this helps you with some relevant facts

    Post edited by daithi7 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,881 ✭✭✭leakyboots


    Very interesting debate. Is there any merits of the argument that Ireland's most successful period coincided with the downturn in the fortunes of both the French and the English?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,462 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    My second bullet point is based on the past three seasons:

    This was the post I had back in Jan covering this:

    And I've recently refreshed this season's numbers: Ulster 30.4%, Connacht 20.5%, Leinster 24.6% and Munster 12.5%.

    Munster are a distant third over the totality of three seasons on this metric.

    So, once again, I'll make the argument: Munster's poor outturn of international quality players in recent years is orders of magnitude more to do with the distinct lack of opportunities successive Munster management teams have given to young Munster players than Leinster having a higher share of central contracts at this point in time.

    Do you disagree with that assertion?

    I don't agree necessarily with the view that Leinster just simply have way more higher quality players at the point they come into the system - I think the bigger disparity is the extent of the improvements that happen after they come into the Academy system.

    And despite claiming to be Ireland first and foremost, you're now deadset against it.

    This isn't the case - it's that I have no faith or conviction that the changes being proposed will achieve a benefit for Ireland, but I'm absolutely certain it will serve to make Leinster weaker in the short term.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,090 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    Possible, but that overlooks that it is also our most (only) successful period against the SH teams as well.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 789 ✭✭✭dubal


    Neil Treacy By Neil Treacy

    RTÉ Sport Journalist

    Leinster have confirmed that loosehead prop Paddy McCarthy will miss the rest of the province's season with a foot injury, and the 22-year-old now looks like a doubt for Ireland’s Nations Championship campaign this summer...

    Rushed back?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    And from the end of the 2023 season, minutes for players promoted from the academy from the previous 3 seasons:

    • Munster: 62 games - 5,691 minutes, 13 players promoted
    • Leinster - 72 games - 5,653 minutes, 13 players promoted.

    Like I said, over the previous 3-4 seasons, I'm confident Munster compare favourably.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,881 ✭✭✭leakyboots


    Very fair point, I'd argue though that the All Backs and Australia were also at a lower ebb compared to their normal standard before that. But maybe I'm wrong, and I'm not trying to detract from our achievements - you can only beat what's in front of you



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,011 ✭✭✭almostover


    Dublin city and environs population, 1.263 million.

    Dublin County population, 1.57 million.

    Greater Dublin area 2.1 million.

    Of those 4 schools mentioned in Limerick, Glenstal is private, as I mentioned. The rest are not.

    Again, which of those schools mentioned that play rugby in Munster have the same levels of private funding as the likes of St. Michael's, Blackrock etc? Maybe 1 or 2 might be slightly comparable, the rest exist in totally different demographic areas.

    There's a disparity there that some people just don't want to acknowledge. Now do the same comparison to Connacht, that's an even bigger disparity.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 896 ✭✭✭darkened_scrum


    Rushed back?

    Depends on what the injury is doesn't it? I've seen people say it was the other foot than the one that kept him out, if it's a completely independent injury then no.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,881 ✭✭✭leakyboots


    Also, if it is true that the IRFU are listening to whining and moaning and acting on it, any chance they could stop with the stupid piped music in Lansdowne



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Munster might've had an NIQ prop at that rate, leaky…. imagine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,090 ✭✭✭Former Former Former




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Which only further reinforces that the IRFU haven't arrived at this decision:

    • to placate the moaning 
    • or because of "gripes of the fans of the other provinces
    • or because of "the screaming of Ulster and Munster fans"

    They've arrived at it because they think it's the right decison.

    Disagree whether you think it's the right decision or not by all means. But the notion put forward by others as to how they arrived at that decision is laughable.



  • Administrators Posts: 56,565 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    For years Leinster fans on here insisted the Central Contracts were no advantage to Leinster. It was just an accounting trick. All the money comes from the same pot. There's no real advantage having your top players paid for you. Leinster dominate but it has absolutely nothing to do with money.

    Yet now, those same people, including yourself, are saying Leinster are being disadvantaged for having to pay their players 40% of their contract.

    Can someone square that circle for me?

    I like how you're trying to tie the success of Ireland to the success of Leinster. I suppose that's one way to try and spin it. If Leinster get worse, Ireland will obviously get worse, because it's absolutely impossible for any of the other clubs to get better. We should just continue with the old system of pumping maximum money into Leinster which has the added advantage of ensuring Leinster's dominance can never be challenged.

    I also like how you also tried to spin option 3 as a negative. The uncomfortable truth is Ireland would be better off if more of the talent was spread out. There's no change to the rule of getting caps from abroad, so option 2 is pure scaremongering.

    If the rumours are true, James Lowe may be the first high profile victim of this effort to rebalance. I'm sure there'll be lots of moaning. The rest of us will look on in bemusement as Leinster fans debate how it's fair that they're expected to compete when losing an aging 1 of their 20 odd internationals from their squad.

    I understand why you're moaning. I'd be moaning too. I just don't think people are being honest in their motivations why. This has nothing to do with making Ireland weaker and everything to do with Leinster's advantages being reigned in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,462 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    It's because the two aren't necessarily connected.

    There are been periods where the split of CCs has skewed more towards Munster.

    It is realistically foreseeable, for me, than maybe 5 years for now if Ireland have c. 13 CCs that the split could be something like:

    • Leinster - 4 (Sheehan, Doris, McCarthy, Clarkson)
    • Munster - 2/3* - (Crowley, Edogbo, Casey)
    • Ulster - 3/4* - (Ward, McNabney, Postlethwaite, Doak)
    • Connacht - 2 (Bohan, Hurley Langton)

    *likely one of either Casey or Doak

    And if that happens - it will be nothing to do with this change now being considered (though it probably would be trumpeted as such) and will be much more to do with those provinces backing and developing those players.

    But the changes happening to Leinster are happening right now, in real time, when we have our quasi-golden generation of players, and it will IMO weaken our ability to compete right now. That's why I'm frustrated.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,462 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    It's definitely not a point without merit - but our relative competitiveness against the big Southern Hemisphere sides over the same period still speaks to it being our most successful ever period, setting aside our 6 Nations performances.



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