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Nuclear - future for Ireland?

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Comments

  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 99,467 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Your cheap car has already halved the number of times you need uber so it's working for you. Improving it would keep reducing the need for uber.

    Or you could go on a path that means uber for the twenty years time and then you will only start to gradually reduce the number of uber trips to half what they are now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    It`s not the percentage of gas in the generation mix that determines the price. If it was only 1% gas would still determine the price.

    Storage like our present plan is something nobody seems to have a clue as what we would use or to be able to put a cost to. Batteries just seem like crazy monopoly money, and the U.K. strike price for green hydrogen is €280 MWh, and then their is the strike price for the electricity to produce it on top of that



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    “Nuclear+Renewables+Storage.”

    we have 128 pages of arguments against any nuclear

    Facts don’t matter

    Real world examples and results don’t matter

    It’s like arguing with some sort of organised religion practitioners who don’t realise their beliefs have been hijacked by those who want us burning fossil fuels well into the next century, Big Oil and Gas (and now Chinese) must be absolutely laughing themselves to the bank at how easy it was to hijack and repurpose the “green movement”

    or you can buy a car that actually works all the time, or a bus if you wish



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,235 ✭✭✭Markcheese


    Power from Sizewell C will be more expensive than Hinkley Point, says UK watchdog https://share.google/FquK8xqZGpFONv051

    The UKs extra grid connection costs wont be significant, because they're being built at sites of existing or decommissioned reactors , but they're still going with renewables as well ..

    Slava ukraini 🇺🇦



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    what’s this I wonder what the countries in the bottom left have in common

    IMG_6915.jpeg


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,736 ✭✭✭Consonata


    I mean Spain is in that corner and is building renewables non stop.

    What point are you trying to make?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,736 ✭✭✭Consonata


    I mean Spain is in that corner and is building renewables non stop.

    What point are you trying to make?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    Same Spain that’s also has nuclear and imports from their nuclear neighbour

    But hey enjoy the most expensive electricity in Europe and probably the world, it’s totally worth it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,736 ✭✭✭Consonata


    We import Nuclear too, and Spain is currently phasing **out** their nuclear power.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    meanwhile from UK national audit office

    https://www.nao.org.uk/reports/sizewell-c/

    Conclusions

    DESNZ believes Sizewell C will lower electricity system costs compared with alternative ways of achieving net zero. 



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    we don’t have the same level connectivity being only connected to UK with Celtic interconnector to France delayed another two years

    Speaking of interconnections nuclear France is keeping their nuclear for their baseload while exporting solar on their neighbours whom have double the prices

    https://archive.is/Pwbq6



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,517 ✭✭✭KrisW1001


    "we don’t have the same level connectivity being only connected to UK with Celtic interconnector to France delayed another two years"

    So, so close, to spotting the biggest reason for our high electricity costs!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Sanchez will be gone before nuclear. His poll ratings are no better than Trump and his wife has just been charged with corruption.

    The Iberian blackout focused Spanish minds on what renewables could and could not do. Solar will not provide the 20% electricity base load nuclear does. Nor will it provide electricity at night. Especially on Summer nights when their demand is at it`s highest.

    The Iberian blackout completely flipped public opinion on nuclear and now has two thirds favoring. Even the E.U. believes that it would be nuts for Spain to phase out nuclear. In an about face for them, they now believe Europe needs more nuclear to keep the lights on, not less.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    The level of connectivity hasn`t helped electricity costs in the other three most expensive in the E.U.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    Loads of wind and solar that does **** all most of the time hence requiring gas?
    while not having any green, clean and cheap nuclear like modern countries do??

    lol it’s gotten so embarrassing that Eirgrid dashboard is now blank



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 16,044 ✭✭✭✭josip


    Embarrassed we've been so slow to roll out fixed bottom offshore more likely.

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,235 ✭✭✭Markcheese


    Some of that i agree with -

    but where are we likely to get cheap nuclear - ?

    Neither in 20 years time when it'd be in production,nor 40 years after that when its cfd expires..

    Its only economic if it gets favourable funding rates , but then so is everything else ..

    Slava ukraini 🇺🇦



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,235 ✭✭✭Markcheese


    And just because its not cheap doesnt mean it may not be worthwhile -

    Although i'd be a little nervous shelling out nuclear reactor type money - for the benefit of data-centres - an industry that moves really quick, demand for power now doesn't guarantee they'll want that power in 10 or 20 years time ..

    Slava ukraini 🇺🇦



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    according to the greens in this thread and one in CA forum we will have to handover 28 billion in penalties to EU overlords in carbon fines

    That’s enough right there for funding

    And yes nuclear is cheaper compared to wind and solar, that has been repeatedly illustrated



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,517 ✭✭✭KrisW1001


    Our best option for Nuclear is to import it from GB, or better, from France. Both countries can produce nuclear electricity far cheaper than we ever could, because both have an established infrastructure that supports multiple reactors on multiple sites. We would have to build all of that from scratch, and pay for all of it. This is the strongest argument against domestic nuclear, given that costs of nuclear construction is at best price-stable, and at worst trending upward over time.

    The problem with GB is that we haven’t a whole lot to exchange with them: when it’s windy here, it’s windy there. When they have a wind surplus, they send it south, into Continental Europe, or North, into Scandinavia. That offset income allows them to sell us gas- or nuclear-powered electricity cheaper than we could make it ourselves and still make a profit.

    The interconnector to France will allow us to get a better price for our wind energy than the UK can offer; it also allows us to take surplus wind/nuclear from the Continental grid. Unlike Scotland/GB, with whom we pretty much share the same weather systems, France and the wider continent are generally not windy at the same times that we are. GB’s interconnections with France take advantage of this; much of the import/export across those interconnects is renewable surpluses, not gas or nuclear power.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 16,044 ✭✭✭✭josip


    They are not fines to the EU. We have to buy carbon credits from other EU members.

    (5th time)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    that’s a lot of money to be leaving the country because of failed green policies

    Whatever you want to call it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,235 ✭✭✭Markcheese


    What i mean is - if we decided (hypothetically ) to go all in on nuclear today .. we wouldn't be getting french levels of cheap power - for 55 to 60 years - if ever ..

    France subsidised nuclear power construction in the 70s to 80s , those stations are producing cheap electricity now .. the cost got absorbed into frances national debt ..

    On a cfd scheme the cost is index linked and firmly attached to the individual project ,

    in Polands case it looks like the US is doing most of the financing and underwriting - the polish gov is "only" fronting about 14 billion-in return for equity , and the other 70+ % is US and international funding.. .… The crucial thing is the strike price - and what its index linked to ..

    In frances case , nuclear is balanced by existing hydro - and backed up by massive interconnection -

    We'd likely have to balance with batteries+ some pumped hydro .. and back up with Gas ..

    Probably have to have large grid investments too to connect nuclear stations to the grid

    And suddenly - this is starting to sound like the expensive bits of having a lot of renewables on the grid ..

    The positive thing about nuclear is after 15 to 20 years of design and build costs - then 40 odd years of running - it should then be relatively cheap ( a couple of billion per reactor) to refurb to run for a further 10 to 20 years .. maybe more , the longer you go the higher the bill.. and more risk ..

    Slava ukraini 🇺🇦



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,235 ✭✭✭Markcheese


    Also - not all greens are anti nuclear .. some are very pro ..

    Slava ukraini 🇺🇦



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,736 ✭✭✭Consonata


    Given that redirecting all funding towards Nuclear likely will mean higher fines, I can't eee how this argument works.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    How would generating completely co2 free energy lead to higher finer, I can’t see how this argument works

    Where are they? Don’t they see the damage the Luddites are doing to their agenda ensuring we become more reliant on burning fossil fuels in perpetuity

    We are repeatedly told climate change is the biggest danger to humanity yet when it comes to technology that can and has proven to work they just go “nah” let’s buy coal power manufactured stuff from Chinese slave drivers and become dependent in perpetuity on gas to backup to unreliability



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,235 ✭✭✭Markcheese


    Some wind some nuclear , most land based turbines can refurbished at least once - possibly more than once .. its not really happening much at the moment , because the older turbines are relatively small - and size counts so if you have a valuable site - its worth upgrading.. obviously upgrading for a further 20 to 25 years has a cost..

    Similarly for nuclear, you upgrade to extend the life of the power station - it wasn't really worth doing for the earlier generations of NPPs , but for many of the 70s and 80s plants , a couple of billion can get you an extra 10 or 20 years ..

    In a way this is kind of advantageous for nuclear - the state doesnt Really pay upfront for either nuclear or renewable, they give CFD contracts - a renewable contract is about 20 to 25 years .. and nuclear in Ireland would probably take about that to design, build and commission.. i doubt that more than one reactor at a time would be built , so in relative terms itd come in gradually.. either as older wind ended its contracted time - or we'd be exporting energy to the UK ..

    Slava ukraini 🇺🇦



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,965 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    The strike price is expected to be under €120 per MWh for 40 years. Poland wanted to set it for 60 years but the E.U. insisted on 40. Why I have no idea seeing as it should have been none of their business as they are not investing anything. It`s a good rate when you consider that is the strike price for wind generation currently in Poland on 25 year contracts and that nuclear can deliver over twice the capacity factor and not be intermittent due to weather.

    Poland is "only" fronting €14 billion for 3.75 GW of nuclear which will be owned by the state. Something that, as Hungary and others have shown can actually make electricity cheaper for consumers.. We would have to front ~ €20 billion to upgrade our grid due to renewables, which would not be needed with nuclear, as unlike renewables with nuclear generation would be dispatched in the manner our grid was designed for.

    And who is going to "front" that €20 billion - nobody other than the Irish taxpayer and the consumer. Not a single red cent from renewables and to add insult to injury, not only is that €20 billion close to half what Poland is paying for state control of 3.75 GW, the consumer here will be paying for generation supplied to our grid by renewables when we neither want or need it.

    I-SEM may have started out as a policy of liberalising electricity charges by taking them out of the hands of monopolies, but it quickly changed to a policy of zero emissions with quotas, timelines and penalties for non compliance. All of which have now resulted in nothing more than replacing the old monopolies with a new one. A handful of renewable companies knowing the pressure governments are under with those timelines, quotas and penalties who will refuse to bid on any offering unless it is on their terms. They have done this in the U.K., Denmark and Germany with the result all three counties had to scrap their proposal and re-offer on the terms those companies wanted.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,736 ✭✭✭Consonata


    Because you spend 40 years whilst trying to build the thing redirecting all capital expenditure towards a NPP.



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