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General British politics discussion thread

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,422 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    TLDR News had a video mentioning Andy Burnham, Angela Rayner and Wes Streeting as potential contenders. I'd prefer either of the first two as opposed to Streeting who I find unlikeable. A new leader won't mean anything unless they change course and be more radical. We learned from the US that the steady-as-she-goes approach doesn't pay off. Voters want change of some kind and Starmer simply is not delivering. The Mandelson sh*te isn't helping either.

    I'd say people just don't see any real change from the Tories which is oddly wrong but understandable.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,958 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Unfortunately Kier Starmer is neither, and his iteration of the Labour Party reflect that. Starmer's Labour means nothing and stands for so little that people are turning to Reform. That's how bad things have gotten. Starmer's version of Labour has morphed into something so nebulous that all they have is still "we're not the Tories" and people need much more than that.

    You know, part of me thinks that maybe the UK needs to go through a period of really, really, bad political strife to finally learn something. I would have thought that over of decade of Tory misrule would have been enough, or that once the realities of Brexit kicked in that people would get it, or even looking across the pond to the omnishambles that the US is under Trump would serve to enlighten them.

    But it hasn't.

    But that doesn't and shouldn't let the disaster that is Starmer's Labour Party off the hook either.

    Post edited by Tony EH on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,527 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    @Tony EH - You said "You know, part of me thinks that maybe the UK needs to go through a period of really, really, bad political strife to finally learn something. I would have thought that over of decade of Tory misrule would have been enough, or that once the realities of Brexit kicked in that people would get it, or even looking across the pond to the omnishambles that the US is under Trump would serve to enlighten them."

    And I just said similar to a very good friend of mine is the US:

    "Yes indeed .. BUT like the US, UK has to go through this regardless of damage done, to eventually, maybe learn a lesson. Both US and UK still havent learned this lesson and a few other countries in Europe are the same. I am on about the citizens BTW.

    But I am resigned to this now purely because I / we cant change that.Thats another thing. the electorate in US and UK esp those who vote this way are utterly selfish and dont give a fck about the rest of the world. Listened to some of them on LBC all morning, the ignorance is horrifying."

    His reply was:

    "The thing about U.S. and UK learning a lesson is that other countries will suffer. Countries who have done nothing to contribute to this sh*t."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,006 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    A problem for the Greens is that they have grown their membership and list of candidates at a ferocious rate in the last six months under Polanski (currently 225k members). It was almost inevitable that some cranks, misfits and racists would be among the influx - it's something they will have to get a hold of.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,422 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    One could argue that the UK has gone through a few bad periods recently: Austerity, Brexit and then Covid. Nothing seems to have been learned at any point. The Americans were the same with Trump. They voted him in straightaway after Biden spent years cleaning up the mess.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,043 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Things wont change for Labour unless Labour become more radical in what way?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,958 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    "The thing about U.S. and UK learning a lesson is that other countries will suffer. Countries who have done nothing to contribute to this sh*t."

    Agreed, and the old adage of "when America sneezes the rest of the world catches a cold" is one that is being played out right now on a daily basis.

    Unfortunately other nations cannot really do anything to stop a retarded electorate from shooting itself in the foot. But what we can do, and should do, is try to distance ourselves as best we can from the policies that these nefarious governments enact. And that's possible to do in numerous cases, as has been shown by the majority of the world saying no to Trump and Netanyahu's war against Iran.

    Ultimately, though, it won't mitigate the economic fallout of that ridiculous and unnecessary conflict.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,422 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Anyway at all is what I'd settle for now. I was pretty happy in 2024 but it's largely all come to not very much indeed on the back of that stonking majority. We can't even blame Morgan McSweeney any more since he's gone.

    Thanks to the mess the Conservatives have made, cleanup is about all they can do. It'd be nice to see something courageous and radical like new wealth taxes for instance. Something that would raise a bit of capital that could go into the NHS.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,527 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    "But what we can do, and should do, is try to distance ourselves as best we can from the policies that these nefarious governments enact"

    Which is why I HOPE the UK dont go back in or get back into the EU. Unfortunately it would be very damaging to the rest of us because a good chunk of the UK electorate doesnt want this to happen, Brexit mindset is still alive and well.

    To me, the UK are the same as the US now - we cannot trust them anymore. For example I hear people saying re US, shur all we need to do is wait for the mid terms or the next US election and all will be back to normal. NO WE WONT. Even if a "favourable" new US president/gov comes next for 4 years we cannot trust that in another 4 years after that, worse than trump will be voted back in. The trust was lost because they voted trump in - not once, but twice - thats a lesson learned.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,422 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    The UK isn't that far gone. It's not like vast swathes of the population worship a fascist nonce, though they do seem to be awfully fond of his pal Farage.

    From the Guardian:

    image.png

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/apr/17/half-britons-support-rejoining-eu-10-years-brexit-vote

    Who the f*ck is voting Reform UK but also want back into the EU?

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,831 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Nothing learned is right.

    The Tories have been wiped out thanks to Brexit so the people have turned to the even more Brexit party. How Farage doesn't get the blame for that just because he changed the name of his party is beyond stupid.

    As the graph above shows many are dumb enough to not remember that Reform are UKIP.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,527 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    @ancapailldorcha you said: The UK isn't that far gone. It's not like vast swathes of the population worship a fascist nonce, though they do seem to be awfully fond of his pal Farage.

    And this - Who the f*ck is voting Reform UK but also want back into the EU? - is the big Q.

    Because if farage / reform get to be the new PM / GOV after Labour - back into the EU will be right at the end of the list. If Starmer or labour in next few years get UK back into EU and farage / reform are the next gov, then we would likely have a BREXIT 2 .. whats the point of that?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,422 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Agreed. That's why it's one of the few things Starmer's done that I approve of, one of the few times his softly-softly approach actually makes sense. He sadly won't reopen that debate and I get why but we're just giving more and more ground to Reform.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,527 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    By the way listening to callers one after the other coming on LBC ( Sheila Fogarty ) talking about one thing they want - CHARISMA - thats what they want. Starmer has NO Charisma.

    And yes .. Farage has this charisma. Thats where we are going lads, the cult of personality is what the electorate vote for now it seems

    https://www.globalplayer.com/live/lbc/uk/?source_caller=ui&shortlink=LBCWebsite&c=Listen%20Button%20-%20LBC&pid=Brand%20Sites&deep_link_value=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.globalplayer.com%2Flive%2Flbc%2Fuk%2F&af_xp=custom



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,422 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    I think they want a narrative more than anything else - a plan, a strategy, a long term vision. Starmer provides exactly none of this.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,831 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Essex +52 Reform -37 Tories.

    For all the talk of Labour losses the 4 Reform council wins are 3 straight from Tory control (and 1 from a local residents association party control)

    Most of the Reform gains in Scotland are from the Tories too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,527 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    BUT like i said above - They say FARAGE has this Charisma and thats why they voted for him this time. Farage definitely has no plan, strategy or long term vision other than too many imigrants and now going after people on social welfare and the disabled as the new demons so to speak ( due to imigration numbers down via labour I think? )



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,942 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    There is a massive issue today with the electorate simply not caring anymore about the realities of what they vote for. They do it on vague vibes.

    They want to be back in the EU but don't like the current govt so mindlessly vote for the upstart opposition. The downfall of legacy media has a large part to play in this - they have their flaws, but the absolute firehose of nonsense you get online instead just makes things so much worse.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,958 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    TBH, I don't think a lot of Reform voters have the first bloody clue what it is they want. But they know that they want "something". That is what the likes of chancers like Trump and Farage offer those people. They're willing to blow copious amounts of smoke of the arses of that portion of the electorate and say anything at all that will get them over the line.

    Of course, once they're in…

    The thing is, the likes of Trump and Farage actually have plans for what they'll do when they're in power, even if it is just to enrich themselves and their enablers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,422 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    I think we're on the same page but for one thing.

    Farage absolutely has a plan. His intentions are to carve up the NHS for foreign billionaires and turn the City into a crypto playground among other things. He won't reduce immigration but he will ramp up the performative cruelty. If he reduces immigration, he loses it as a political tool.

    Where sh*t gets really nasty is when people like James Orr enter the fray. The US billionaires who fund Reform aren't going to be patient when it comes to getting returns on their investments.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,681 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    I'd say people just don't see any real change from the Tories which is oddly wrong but understandable.

    The Tories have never governed the Senedd so not sure why you are linking them with Labour doing badly in the Welsh elections



  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 4,692 Mod ✭✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    Latest numbers from English locals:

    Reform 729

    Labour 547

    Conservative 312

    Green 113

    Independent 7

    2711 yet to declare.

    The Tories have lost 300 seats so far. Labour have lost 500 so far.

    Latest numbers of seats in Scottish parliament: (65 needed for majority)

    SNP 38

    Liberal Democrats 3

    Labour 2

    Tories 2

    Edit: Greens 1 (just now in Edinburgh Central where Lorna Slater elected. Described as Portillo moment as its Angus Robertsons seat. Hes the External Affairs minister in the Scottish government)

    Reform 0

    Vote share:

    SNP 40%

    Labour 20%

    Reform 16%

    Conservative 12%

    Liberal Democrat 10%

    Green 0.5%



  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 4,692 Mod ✭✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    I think Starmers policies on rapprochement with the EU are a lot better for Ireland and especially pursuing an SPS deal on food. But it wont last if Labour loses in 2029 or whenever. His support for Israel in Gaza, and clamping down on Palestine Action is a disgrace.

    Breaking. Latest english councillor numbers. Greens doing much better than previously as their areas come in.

    Reform 773

    Lib Dem 49

    Conservative 445

    Labour 442

    Greens 199

    Ind

    Also in Scotland, it looks like Reform wont get a single seat in the constituency ballot. However they might in the List ballot.

    Looks like SNP will get 59-63 seats. 65 are needed for a majority. The Greens have 1 so far and may get a second. Will the SNP go in with the Greens? The last time when they did it eventually fell apart possibly in part because of differences on trans issues. The SNPs vote is down around 9% but I guess the Unionist vote is so split and not necessary willing to transfer to each other along Left-Right and Remain-Leave lines that the SNP still come close to a majority.

    Regarding the Welsh Senedd BBC projections are:

    PC 41-46

    Reform UK 32-34

    Labour 8-10

    Conservative 6-10

    Green 2

    Lib Dem 0-1

    54 of 95 seats declared.

    Post edited by Ozymandius2011 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,681 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    The voting system in use for the Scottish parliament is designed to stop (as much as it can) one party getting an overall majority so it is not a great surprise despite all the media stating the fact that the SNP is unlikely to get a majority. What is clear is that there will be an overall majority in parliament for an independence referendum



  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 4,692 Mod ✭✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    Latest:

    Reform 816 (+814)

    Liberal Democrats 523 (+62)

    Conservatives 470 (+382)

    Labour 463 (-624)

    Green 228 (+158)

    Independents 95 (-11)

    40% of seats counted

    53 years of Labour control of Sunderland council are over. Reform has taken 43 seats, while all the others combined have 14.

    Reform just 1 seat short of majority in Isle of Wight. Independents are second.

    Reform



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,031 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    Back in my PhD days a Welsh colleague explained that nationalism over there was cultural rather than separatist.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,149 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Reform will likely get a rake of Scottish topup seats unfortunately

    Hilarious to see their 6 gaffed leader do so badly



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,681 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    The Scottish Greens have taken two SNP scalps in the FPTP vote for the Scottish Parliament. It was good to see zionist Angus Robertson of the SNP getting booted out in Edinburgh Central



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 57,077 ✭✭✭✭tayto lover


    It is nothing but an attempt to stifle criticism of what is happening in Gaza and the Lebanon. By calling everything as antisemitism all they are doing is weakening it's meaning and watering down it's importance. We've seen it on several threads here when anyone criticised the IDF or Israerli politicians for what was occuring in Gaza.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,681 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    My constituency count has just come in

    image.png


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