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Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

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Comments

  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 5,596 Mod ✭✭✭✭Rawr


    Actually strikeing the parade feels likes something that would just make the Ukrainians look bad. If it were possible to be cheeky and actually pull of a little bit of harmless sabotage, the crayons in my head has the following idea for the parade:

    • Sneak in and attach small remote-controlled charges near the axel or drive-trains of some of the heavier military veichles that they might still use for this.
    • On the day, wait until those veichles roll into Red Square.
    • Then in full view of Putin and the Russian public, set off the charges so that the pride of the Russian military is stuck in the way of everything.
    • A string of smoking metal tin cans all over Red Square….that can't be moved quickly because they are too heavy, and might not even have wheels anymore. They might even be stuck there for days until they break them up for scrap.

    The viewing public would not be harmed, but some people might expire from embarresment. Plenty of ways to ruin things for Putin without taking civilian life.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,204 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    He's also a target if Putin insists he joins and decides no. I can guarantee Putin has tried hard but he's resisted so far.

    I'm on the verge of a site ban. Please don't rage bait me, I'm easily triggered especially late at night!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,804 ✭✭✭✭Jelle1880


    Why do some here seem to think I am talking about hitting civilians ?

    Who cares what Russians think about how Ukraine might look ? A military parade is a valid target if you are at war, just like hitting training grounds, parade grounds,… is justified.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,204 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Well it's not a good look if they blow up dozens of women and kids. Plenty more useful targets.

    There's more important targets in Moscow itself but it can't be a coincidence the incredible successful strikes around Russia the last 2 weeks as AD was redirected to Moscow.

    If other parts of Russia are now unusually easy to hit that's what Ukraine should do.

    Like this one. Perm hit again. There's apparently 2 separate fires according to the satellite data and one is a pumping station far away from the storage facility previously damaged although that may have been struck aswell. Let's wait and see.

    I'm on the verge of a site ban. Please don't rage bait me, I'm easily triggered especially late at night!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,921 ✭✭✭memorystick


    That's when the IRA lost the moral high ground here. Just attack oil infrastructure and transport hubs. Killing women and children is bad for business.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,804 ✭✭✭✭Jelle1880


    Did you and RoyalCelt miss the first sentence in my post ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,804 ✭✭✭✭Jelle1880




  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,951 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    If they were generally looking to target the parade, they would actually just be targeting the Kremlin which is the backdrop to it - a perfectly legitimate target.

    However, I think it is fairly unlikely. They should take advantage of the inevitable lower levels of air defence outside Moscow as they get cannibalised to protect Dear Leader.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,392 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    Nobody suggests anyone cares what the Russians think. But Zelensky has been on a world tour of diplomacy for the past year and it's really starting to pay dividends now. Optics matter in that realm. I can't see how you hit a parade without civilian casualties. The benefits would be outweighed by the negatives IMO. Not to say I wouldn't love to see Ukraine pull something off that causes massive embarrassment to Putin, but I just think that in the real world there's a grinding war being waged and Ukraine has achieved its greatest successes by striking infrastructure that Putin can't defend. Why waste time and resources on trying to pull off a stunt that may not work (concentrated air defences and large scale security lockdown) and even if it did work would incur foreseeable civilian casualties and play into the hands of Putin, TACO and the rest of the right wing, totalitarian world.

    I guess we'll just have to wait and see. Ukraine hasn't put a foot wrong in the last couple of years so I'm sure that have a strategy ready to go.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 16,047 ✭✭✭✭josip


    I'd glitter bomb the parade route with tiny blue and yellow foil pieces the night before. No risk of civilian casualties. Mark Rober could help if needed.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,727 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    This is the route I'd go down aswell. There's plenty of ways that Ukraine could effectively show/say:

    You are not safe. We could bomb your parade out of existence if we chose to. Putin is a weak little man and cannot protect you, even in the very heart of Moscow.

    There's no reason this couldn't be done cheaply and without civilian casualties. But I guess Ukraine will make that evaluation themselves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 25,000 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    Glitter bombing the parade route is a great idea. Another option would be to use the gathered crowds as an opportunity to carry out pamplet drops detailing the real numbers of Russian dead, the abject failures of the Russian military, debunking Putin's "Nazi" claims etc: "Your sons are not dying pitifully to vanquish a Nazi invader as in the great patriotic war, they're dying while invading your peaceful neighbour whose only crime was to demonstrate to the Russian people what a slavic nation can achieve when freed from the shackles of a corrupt oligarchy presided over by a gangseter wanted by the IOC for war crimes" etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,392 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    Do people really think it would be that easy to get drones in the sky over Moscow on May 9th? And if so, why are there not drones in the sky targeting non-civilian infrastructure in Moscow the rest of the time, when the defences were/ are much reduced? It's not that I wouldn't love to see it, its just that it makes no sense to me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,773 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue



  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 5,596 Mod ✭✭✭✭Rawr


    Now that is how you celebrate Victory of Facism Day folks. Class act.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,204 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    The Caspian is going to be hit more and more as their drone production expands.

    There's been a few good hits in Russia tonight.

    I'm on the verge of a site ban. Please don't rage bait me, I'm easily triggered especially late at night!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,026 ✭✭✭eastie17


    go on the lads



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,767 ✭✭✭Infini


    They dont need to hit the parade itself to disrupt it, merely showing how weak Putin is by targetting AA themselves which are high value assets or the Kremlin itself and showing in front of all the cameras: "Putin has made Russia Impotent, He cannot even save you from Ukrainian Vengence anymore". Putin is getting nervous because the rest of the leadership is realising or has finally gotten brave enough to recognise Russia is fùcked completely now and that the longer Putin remains in power, the worse their inevitable defeat becomes. Theyre effectively facing a Germany WW1 defeat scenario.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,263 ✭✭✭keeponhurling


    Yeah they should do something around the parade.

    Making Putin lose credibility in Moscow might go further towards ending the war than killing another 100,000 troops on the front line. Some sort of disruption or bomb scare.

    End of the day, the one thing Putin cares values even more than invading Ukraine is self-preservation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,380 ✭✭✭Field east


    that leaflet drop is a brilliant idea. Apart from other other advantages it will show Putin that even his victory parade could be attacked if Ukr chooose to do so and also show the Ru public that they are not safe - even in Moscow



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,547 ✭✭✭RGARDINR


    Imagine they launched a drone and aimed it at Putin, no explosives in it etc. Just a camera and they had him on camera running and looking scared and they just plaster that video/pic all over the world. Probably be the end of him seeing him scurry away from the drone.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,886 ✭✭✭Dubh Geannain


    Putin's body double is a lot braver than the real Putin though so you couldn't guess his reaction.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,392 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    Nice short read…

    Meeting ‘Madyar’: the Ukrainian drones boss raining on Putin’s parade | Ukraine | The Guardian

    EDIT: " In Brovdi’s view, Ukraine has pioneered a “new doctrine of war”. Drones are responsible for 80% of destruction, he says, supplanting assault rifles and armour. “A blitzkrieg is now impossible. If Russia had a million tanks and tried to seize Kyiv again, it would be the biggest bloodbath in world history,” he says. “Two million drones would swarm over these tanks and burn them mercilessly.” "

    I keep getting drawn back to 2022 when I read these kind of statements. Crazy how much this kind of land based warfare has developed in such a short time. Can you imagine if Madyar's Birds existed back when there were kms of Russian armour in a traffic jam retreating from Kyiv?



  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 5,596 Mod ✭✭✭✭Rawr


    Assuming the body-double survives the war and a future Russia eventually gains some form of sense; I'm kind of fasincated to learn the story of the Putin Body-Double(s).

    It would make for one hell of a book / documentary. What kind of life would such a person have? Looking just like Putin and existing essentially to take a bullet for him. I can kind of imagine such a thing to be a living hell for that person. Could even be possible that this is person is a fairly innocent soul who had the supreme misfortune of being a Putin look-alike and was thus forced into the role under pain of losing his family or some such threat.

    All of this is of course fiction in my mind unless proven…which might never happen since I expect a possible Putin-double to be toast as soon as the Original meets his end.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,935 ✭✭✭zv2


    I wonder how drones would have affected the Viet Nam war. Don't even speculate!…

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,204 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Ukraine are now regularly hitting Russian logistics on roads 160km from the frontline specifically in the south. Footage is now regularly emerging from the likes of Mariupol.

    This is an important advancement and will make it harder for Russia on that front. For the first time since the failed summer 2023 counter offensive it's brought significance to movement down South.

    Recently Ukraine has stalled the Russian advancements here and even pushed them back a few KM which shortens the range these drones need to cover to hit Russian logistics on the Azov coast. Hopefully this trend continues.

    I'm on the verge of a site ban. Please don't rage bait me, I'm easily triggered especially late at night!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 25,000 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    If you're interested, a quick google should turn up a very similar book or documentary by one of Saddam Hussein or his sons' double. I remember hearing a fascinating radio interview with one of them who was promoting either a book or a documentary at the time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,935 ✭✭✭zv2




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 25,000 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    Moscow's Air defence could quite easily be overwhelmed with a drone swarm.

    So, yes, it'd be easy, but it would also be expensive as you'd lose a lot of drones. Lets assume a cost of 50k per drone that can reach Moscow from Ukraine's northern border. A patriot costs approx 4.2m. That'd let you fire off 84 long range drones at the parade ground for the cost of a single patriot interceptor. Google tells me that "Russian air defense missiles range from roughly $200,000 to over $4 million per launch" so even in the worst case scenario where Russa take down all 84, you've made them waste nearly 17m of air defence ammo and the parade will be held to a soundtrack of explosions, reminding citizens of just how vulnerable they are.

    You really only need one drone to successfully reach it's target to demonstrate Ukraine's ability to strike the Russian centre of power and to, almost literally, rain on Putin's parade. As a PR / psyops move, I think it could well be worth investing €5m in tbh.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,273 ✭✭✭Hoop66


    Thick jungle makes things more difficult, as the Americans found out to their cost.



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