Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

I guess the Moscow parade is fair game then.

I wouldn't in the past have advocated for this. But it honestly feels like the tide has turned on putin.

• Orban lost badly and even Fico is sounding more reasonable towards ukraine right now + 90bil loan.
• The US has limited leverage over Ukraine since dropping sanctions against Russian oil and aid to Ukraine.
• Reports of Putin hiding being more paranoid than usual.
• Bloggers/ Milbloggers openly challenging Putin.
• Russia making virtually no gains on the battlefield at great cost and oil raining on Perm/ Tuapse.

Its just a gut feeling but it honestly seems like one or two more embarrassments and shows of weakness from Putin and his cronies might eat him to save themselves.

Even a non lethal interruption to the parade could be the final straw.

good luck trying to attract any business interests to Russia in the future. Their economy is finished

Ukraine Launching the Mowcow Dildrone Parade would likely be enough to do it even, if his precious parade sees military targets blown up around Moscow on May 9th and people left in bunkers the humiliation might be enough to see the rabid dogs in the Palace turn on him. Theres a reason Putins back to being the Vatnik Bunker Bitch, hes afraid someone might have had enough of him and be willing to take a swing at the Tzar.

I think he's done that this week? Along with increasing pay for front line soldiers.

As much as I'd like to see it, I don't personally think that dropping a few Flamingos on the parade is the correct answer.

Even a few dozen dummy drones(without explosives) hovering overhead and the clap of AA fire while the parade is active would be a wonderful and embarrassing scene. Or some smaller drones scattering blue and yellow smoke everywhere. Just something to make Putin look like the weak, inept little coward he is.

Putin very obviously does not want his fanfare interrupted. He's already declared his stupid unilateral ceasefire, called Trump and threatened nukes if Ukraine spoil his fun.

Their economy is in deep sh1t, I know everybody is predicting crashes everywhere right now but Russia even with the current blip in sanctions/oil prices is actually in trouble, nobodies getting paid, people outside the cities are staring to get hungry, Ukraine has cost them billions of barrels in lost production. There are literally bank runs happening right now. I dont think Putin has another year in him.

Aye there's just a feeling that like a dam ready to burst, something is going to give way in the next few months and it's all going to come crashing down for Putin. His forces are all but ground to a halt in Ukraine and the culmilative damage has already been done to Russia. Even increasing oil revenue thanks to Diddling Donnies fuckery in Iran is offset by Ukrainian Kinetic Sanctions and it's come too late at this point. The depleted revenue of the last year has reached a breaking point.

The Vatniks make all sorts of threats but the truth is Putin's Russia only understands one thing: Brute Force. Ukraine slapping the shít out of them, dildroning their shítty parade and humiliating them and making it clear they do not control the narrative, Ukraine does would expose Putin to all in Russia as the weak impotent little shít he is and maybe, just maybe it might get enough of them in the Kremlin brave enough to decide he's done. He brought Russia to ruin with his bullshít and should crash and burn for it. At least that might possibly bring someone who realises that there's no way to win only to cut their losses, give up on Ukraine and try and reconstruct whats left of Russia if it doesnt balkanise or erupt in chaos with the fall of Putin.

The Ukrainian drone advantage seems to be growing both in terms of quantity (1.3 to 1) but perhaps more importantly in quality

And that’s due to innovation, as an engineer I think books will be written about Ukraines agile approach and rapid iteration and ruthless discarding of what doesn’t work, they go from frontline requirements direct to small producers and back to kill Russians in a week, that’s insane and it can be seen in the reports coming out I posted a small bit up, greatly increased mortality and no forward progression (as long as there was any progress even millimetres it could be sold to Putin)

The funny part is it was Russia who had the drone advantage but their usual corruption killed this small industry in its infancy, due to internet and telegram restrictions the guys on frontline can’t offer feedback, due to corruption the small factories got either taken out or rolled up into oligarch owned enterprises that move at Cold War pace, producing a lot eventually yes but by that time those drones are useless on the front (easily jammed etc)

And from here on it will only get worse especially as EU money starts arriving now and number of bilateral arms deals multiply, even Japan is there now working closely on development of interceptor drones

And even with Trump handing Putin easy money ended up burning up now

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/5/2/800031874/community/adaptive-indomitable-ukraine-krasnov-gave-putin-10/

This is the first time in four years where I'm leaning towards believing that myself. A lot of red lights flashing - militarily, and economically, with political murmurings around Putin's behaviour starting to bubble in mainstream media. All that's missing really is for social unrest to start bubbling. Unless Putin can turn the war and the economy around, that's only going to be more likely than less likely. Not anytime soon though is my feeling. As others have pointed out, the State Apparatus will probably look to 'move Putin aside' rather than risk social upheaval, if that starts to be on the cards.

Europe's slow but consistent turning of the screws and tightening of the noose is now starting to bear fruit. The only fear would be a rash move by Putin to try and buy himself more time/ reorder the chess board - something like a grey area probing of another Eastern European country and/ or major false flag incident.

The innovation with cheap SDR's has already trickled down into amateur and professional arenas. With offshoots into networking etc...

EW and Counter EW has advanced massively. There is already a massive market for Ukrainian contractors with SDR, FPGA and DSP experience... a lot are still locked into staying in Ukraine until the war ends, but it's mental some of the stuff already coming out.

You are correct. Zelensky proposed his own ceasefire, it was rejected, so he suggested game on for the Orcs May 9th parade.

On 4 May, Zelenskyy announced a ceasefire starting from 00:00 on the night of 5-6 May. Russia did not respond in any way and continued its attacks on Ukraine.

Zelenskyy stated that Russia has violated the ceasefire introduced by Kyiv since the beginning of 6 May and said Ukraine will respond in kind.