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How many of us think that unification is no longer a priority and don't really want unification ?

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,960 ✭✭✭csirl


    There's no provision for this in the GFA - a vote cannot be conditional on this.

    Anyone saying Ireland will be landed with a % of UK national debt is scaremongering. Legally speaking the UK cannot hand over debt without providing the equuvalent credit/assets on the other side of the balance sheet. Either the UK gets divided pro rata in everything or not. I very much doubt the UK will take an approach that would cost them this much or where e.g. a % of the Crown jewells or Windsor Castle or BOE cash reserves is given to the Irish government.

    The reality is there will be no debt or assets transferred either way.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Correct, in the hypothetical event of a split up of the UK, the UK gets divided pro rata in everything. Thats means N.I. gets its share of the UK national debt ( maybe just 2% ) but it gets to keep N.I. infrastucture and roads, hospitals, universities etc freehold. It means pensions in N.I. will continue to be paid by the taxpayers in N.I., as is the case now. Same as if there was an Independent Scotland the pensions there would be paid by the Scottish government. The English would not be paying the Scottish pensions, the Scottish would not be paying the N. Irish pensions etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    Anyone saying that Ireland will not be landed with a % of UK national debt is believing in fantasy.

    Using your analogy, the UK is handing over the assets of Northern Ireland - its land, its future tax revenue, its public parks, its hospitals, schools and universities etc. - so there is nothing wrong with handing over an equivalent % of national debt.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The GFA and the Annexes are completely silent on what needs to be done for a referendum,

    They are not silent they have requirements to introduce legislation in both parliaments.
    Legislation that will have to have commitments to equality and human rights etc.

    I think you are arguing for the sake of it here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,844 ✭✭✭✭maccored


    more power to SF pushing the agenda of an united Ireland. Makes sense economically for both parts. It will take a bit of thinking though, as the idea of the republic absorbing the six counties is exactly what a UI is not. There needs to be a nationwide discussion on what a UI means to different people so the ball can start on a very long roll that might take decades - but thats how it needs to start and SF are the only ones trying to do that. The gov needs to decide to organise some form of long term nationwide discussion at local levels so we can all get an idea of what everyone thinks an UI will be, and then start and the process of defining and agreeing what it is as the conversation develops - excluding no-one.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    So nothing on economics or any of the issues we were actually discussing.

    I have never seen so many non-points and red herrings posted in relation to any internet discussion.

    My sense is that there is a fear of real debate and discussion. Going to walk away from this silliness and only if there is a rational discussion will I return.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    All good and roamantic and wishy washy, but despite all the SF guff there has been no real planning for a U.I. and never will be, certainly not in our lifetimes.

    After Brexit, nobody is going to vote for a pig in a poke again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The issues you think we were discussing.

    I said there would be a 'formal' proposal from the Irish government - you disagree…ok, whatever you think you are entitled to think.
    Every major party has accepted and endorsed the idea that a fully thought out plan is necessary before a referendum is called. This is so that voters will know what is being proposed from here. It's not exactly rocket science just good sense.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,954 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Every major party has accepted and endorsed the idea that a fully thought out plan is necessary before a referendum is called.

    Good for them, but it remains entirely out of their control.

    While we are getting back into generic NI issues, the answer to the thread title is straightforward. Unification is not a priority for Ireland and has not been in living memory.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Good for them,

    Yes. Question remains, how or why does somebody come to believe there won't be a plan/ proposal from the sitting government here.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    You are arguing with yourself and contradicting yourself.

    Firstly, you claimed that the Government always publishes a White Paper for the ratification of international agreements. In doing so, you insulted the intelligence of another poster. That was shown to be false.

    Secondly, you disagreed with yourself by claiming that the Government always publishes a White Paper for constitutional change. That was again shown to be false.

    Thirdly, you again disagreed with yourself and claimed that the Government will make a "formal proposal" before a referendum on unification. Again, given your credibility is shot, based on your previous statements on the issue being shown to be false, how could anyone accept that, particularly as there is no provision in the existing GFA for such a "formal proposal". In fact, there is nothing stopping the British (yes, the British, not the Irish) government through its SoS for Northern Ireland calling a referendum tomorrow, without any proposal, formal or not. That is the sequence laid down in the GFA. Anything else is supposition, is thinking aloud, is proposal, nothing more than that.

    Just because you have claimed that every major party has accepted and endorsed the idea that a fully thought out plan is necessary (how can this be true when quite a number of them have said that there is no need for a referendum?), doesn't mean that the British SoS will pay any heed to any of them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Slight shift in what was said AGAIN in order to disagree.

    There is not one major party that does not believe we should properly and be fully prepared for a referendum.

    That they also believe the time is not right now is a seperate issue. But of course you know this. Arguing for the sake of it.

    Post edited by FrancieBrady on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    A plan or a proposal from a sitting government here? Sinn Fein have had the proposal for decades, that N.I. should join the Republic and become one big socialist Republic. That is the proposal. There is no proper realistic plan, on how to deal with issues like pensions, division of UK national debt if the UK was to fragment, security, loss of easy access / free trade with Britain market, increased cost of social welfare in "the 6 counties", loss of NHS, NATO, etc, Irish language, flag, anthem issues etc etc.

    Another ultra-nationalist, Trump, had a proposal to take over Greenland, but no plan.

    The Canaries are much closer ( only 60 km ) to Morocco and Western Sahara in Africa rather than Spain, which is over 1000 km away. Why not have an independent Canaries / OR better still come up with a plan for Morocco taking over them while you are at it?

    No realistic plan, never was, never will be. Must be sad for you while that sinks in. Instead of 70,000 posts arguing for a U.I., how about you come up with a plan?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,198 ✭✭✭ArthurDayne


    I think sometimes what people might not consider is whether, in fact, a United Ireland is already happening. People tend to look at it as a moment in time rather than a process, and I would tend to argue that the process has been in motion for some time. It's been happening on several fronts: the growing development of all-island commerce, all-island infrastructure, the dissolution of a physical border, the softening of ideologies with a new generation and overall a greater sense of growing entwinement of north and south. We also cannot discount the fact that the British administration, notwithstanding some pro-Union bluster when Unionist support is there to be won in Westminster, have only ever been all too happy to gradually nudge NI with the barge pole away from their shores.

    There is a contradiction ever at the heart of Unionism which on one hand dismisses a United Ireland as a pipe dream that nobody really wants, but with the other hand acts out of clear concern that it is inexorably taking place all around them. If a United Ireland really was a pipe dream, one wonders why certain sections of the Unionist community fiercely supported Brexit as a status-quo shattering event. Well, because they saw it as a means to halt the chemical reaction that was welding North and South together. Misguided and ultimately counter-productive as that was, it is also indicative of a political ideology that sees the writing on the wall.

    When we talk about 'planning for a United Ireland', many of the fundamental blocks are being gradually laid day by day. It's the last big official moment people tend to aggrandise and debate, rather than taking stock of why it seems the river is pulling us inevitably towards that last big referendum moment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    There is a contradiction ever at the heart of Unionism which on one hand dismisses a United Ireland as a pipe dream that nobody really wants, but with the other hand acts out of clear concern that it is inexorably taking place all around them.

    This is 100% bang on the money.

    Political Unionism knew the GFA and who was at that table was the tacit withdrawal of GB. They've been railing against it since and are paralysed by it and the ever closer integration of the partitioned parts.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,954 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    There is an argument that this simultaneously makes an actual UI not so much of an imperative though. Plenty of people will enjoy their "best of both worlds" existence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    And in all the years since the GFA, has the border moved one inch? Has Republican come up with a plan for a U.I. yet? Seems to me, with the ris of Kneecap etc, it has created more divisions than healed. Has Republicanism come up with any ideas to solve the issues in a new 32 county Republic ? eg to do with "pensions, division of UK national debt if the UK was to fragment, security, loss of easy access / free trade with Britain market, increased cost of social welfare in "the 6 counties", loss of NHS, NATO, etc, Irish language, flag, anthem issues etc etc."

    At the time of the GFA, if there was a U.I. then the 6 counties would still have had free trade access to the UK market. Now, in the hypothetical case of a U.I., there would be tariffs in the 12 mile strait between Antrim and "the mainland". So a U.I. further away than ever. Also, some people like Rory McIllroy are very happy with the N.I. identity. He is a Catholic with a British passport. And he does not even have to worry about paying the higher VRT on cars here, VAT on housing here, doctors bills here, VHI here etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,844 ✭✭✭✭maccored




    Wishy washy? SF are atpresent pushing to get people to talk about a UI - how else should it start other than finding out what everyone wants? Only idiots voted for brexit - nothing at all like a UI.

    Do me a favour - if this is the level of debate you have, just put me on ignore like a good lad. Havent time for waffle.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 61,055 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    Personally I don't know of anyone who gives a fiddlers about Ireland united. I never ever come across it being discussed. It's just not anywhere near a priority in people's lives. People far too busy just living day by day.

    BTW, is boards very slow today?

    Post edited by walshb on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Alex Kane, a reasonable and committed Unionist believes, like me, that a UI is not inevitable but a BP is. The government here, frightened by different things than unionists will get caught with its pants down no doubt.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    As the polling shows, most people have more to be thinking about than a border poll.



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 11,253 Mod ✭✭✭✭Jim2007


    Well you make a good point about BREXIT, Ireland is a direct democracy with over 100 years of experience doing referenda and so the voters are very politically aware, something SF regularly fail to appreciate.

    One issue SF will need to address is the impact 1.5m Conservative Christians will have in a UI. It will go directly to issues such as divorce, gay marriage, abortion etc…. Do you think the tax payers will want to fund a new state so fundamentally different to the current one?

    The UI want is no more achievable today than in 1922. And if it does come about, I would not be at all surprised if they were opposing it, because it won't be anything like what they wanted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    The same Alex Kane who wrote : "Our day will come? I’ve been hearing that for 70 years". He writes for the mainly nationalist Irish News, of course he is going to tell his readership ( avg daily circulation of 20,000 odd ) what they want to hear. Not going to tell them even S.F. has no plan for a U.I., and without a plan a Referendum vote for a U.I. would not have a snowballs chance in hell of passing, especially after the fiasco of the Brexit referendum. People will not vote for a pig in a poke again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Same was said about Divorce, Abortion, Same Sex marriage etc.

    It won't be a priority until it is made one by a sitting government.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Sitting governments tend to have more to do than deal with unresolveable issues like pensions, division of UK national debt if the UK was to fragment, security, loss of easy access / free trade with Britain market, increased cost of social welfare in "the 6 counties", loss of NHS, NATO, etc, Irish language, flag, anthem issues etc etc. By the time even one of those issues was sorted out to most peoples satisfaction, in the unlikely event agreement could be reached on just one issue, a new government would be in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Shooting the messenger again - ok.

    There will be a plan/proposal in place. It won't be from a single party either, that's a comical idea if you give it 2 seconds half serious thought.

    BTW Bertie Ahern
    Colum Eastwood

    Leo Varadkar
    Simon Coveney
    Billy Hutchinson

    Alex Easton etc

    have all alluded to a a Border Poll happening soon. Happy shooting because you don't want to deal with it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Most if not all of those issues would be easily sorted out if both governments want the same outcome.

    Do both governments want the NI situation sorted out?
    Yes, I fundamentally now believe they do.

    A UI is now in everyone's interests,

    The South (except partitionists who will be bitter but otherwise fine),

    The North itself (except a small band of belligerents who will shout and roar, as they have done for decades but ultimately get on with it)

    The rest of the EU,

    GB,

    and most countries in the world, definitely all the powerful ones.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    You've got that one the wrong way round. Divorce, abortion and same sex marriage only became priorities for politicians because the people were interested.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I lived through those years and was active in one campaign.
    There was no massive appetite for change and it wasn't until activists got politicians to signal change that they became 'priorities' for the public.

    Par for the course mostly all over the planet.



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