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How many of us think that unification is no longer a priority and don't really want unification ?

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,439 ✭✭✭SupaCat95


    I do remember Pinochet being caught for (cancer?) treatment in the UK. He said "Dipolmatic immunity", I was wondering why the UK when he was within the grasp of the International Court of Human Rights and Interpol, left him off soft. After the Falklands Conflict, the Falklands had the best road and shortest waiting lists on the NHS in the UK. The Falklands outsources its more serious health care for locals to Paraguay/Uraguay. There is an Air Force Radar installation and at least a Company of Marines on rotation there, it used to be a Platoon.

    The Roman Catholic Church was an entity unto itself back. If you ever met a member of (*shudders*) Opus Dei, my blood run cold, they are outside the law to this day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,063 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    What 'insult'?

    The poster didn't seem to know that a Unity referendum here will involve a formal proposal made by the Irish government. They mocked my use of the word. I.E. insulted my understanding of the process.
    I expect that the proposal will be in the form of a white paper with a question on changing the constitution here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,550 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    You wrote (post number 232) that "Like anywhere there is a binding international agreement the sitting government will present a White Paper ('formal' proposal detailing their plan. That you don't know this is pretty poor."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,063 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    And it is.
    Why anyone would think that the Irish government is going to hold a concurrent Referendum (a binding agreement contained in the GFA) without a 'formal' proposal completely escapes me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    What you said is there in black and white. You made two erroneous factual statements about White Papers. You claimed another had poor knowledge because he differed with you.

    What you are now saying is completely different, and is also factually incorrect. A Unity referendum has absolutely nothing to do with a formal proposal made by the Irish government, it is the responsibility of the British Secretary of State for Northern Ireland. The Irish government, Sinn Fein, you or anyone else can jump up and down, sing and dance, write White Papers, make formal proposals, but nothing happens without a decision from the British. That is a fact, not an opinion or expectation.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,063 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    A Unity referendum has absolutely nothing to do with a formal proposal made by the Irish government

    Of course it does. The GFA means that any decision on re-unification

    is for the people of the island of Ireland alone, by agreement between the two parts respectively and without external impediment, to exercise their right of self determination on the basis of consent,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,550 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    There is no guarantee there will ever be a referendum. And certainly no guarantee there will ever be "a white paper".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    We can hold as many pointless referenda as we like in the South, but not a single one is worth anything unless the British decide that unity is likely.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,063 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    No guarantees about the sun rising tomorrow but it likely will because it did yesterday. And in every referendum I know of, the Irish government made a formal proposal on what they wanted.

    Who believes they won't if a UI referendum is called? And why would you think that?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,063 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    So a referendum on Unity when another is taking place in the partitioned part would be 'pointless'.. okie doke, who knew!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    Where is the White Paper on the 40th Amendment?

    On the 39th Amendment?

    On divorce?

    On blasphemy and the Presidential election?

    I can't find any White Paper in relation to any of the last five referendum.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    I don't think you understand my post.

    You claimed that a referendum on unity required a formal proposal by the Irish government. It clearly doesn't, all it requires is the view of the British Secretary of State that unity is likely. Only if that decision is made, does the situation in the South have any relevance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,063 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Already clarified this. I think it will be a White Paper because of how much will need to be included in it.

    One way or another it will certainly be a 'formal' proposal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,550 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Making a formal proposal on something they want ( a "United Ireland") is an awful lot different to hammering out the details of such a proposal. For example


    "pensions ( always paid out of current year tax receipts in this jurisdiction as well as the UK),

    healthcare ( would northerners lose the NHS and have to pay towards doctor visits, VHI etc ),

    splitting up of UK national debt as would be only fair if the UK split up,

    loss of public sector jobs in N.I.,

    loss of access / free trade to UK market,

    ….never mind contentious issues like anthem, flag, politics, Irish language, response to tit for tat violence again in N.I., security, NATO etc

    Would public sector workers in Newry expect to be paid the same as public sector workers in Dundalk, and how much extra would that cost? And unemployment and pension rates? A minefield"

    Since Brexit, nobody is going to vote for airy fairy proposals. Given the shambles that was the Brexit negotiations, do you really think the issues above could be resolved in the next 100 years, never mind the lifetime of a government? You could have whatever coloured papers you want and it would still be only as good as …… paper.

    Hence why there has been no planning for a U.I. and never will be, certainly not in our lifetimes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,063 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    You claimed that a referendum on unity required a formal proposal by the Irish government. 

    I didn't.I said, if there is a referendum there will be a formal proposal by the Irish government.
    Please stop altering what is said.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,063 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    A formal proposal/White Paper will not be airy fairy. Within it will be costings and commitments on our part as to what a UI will look like.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    How do you know this?

    Are you part of a group working on it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,063 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    If you read the Annexes to the GFA you will be aware of what needs to be guaranteed and committed to in any proposed UI legislation and constitutional change.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,960 ✭✭✭csirl


    The work/contributory pensions thing is very clear. There are rules over this and pensions are accured benefits, so hard to change. UK public sector pensioners will still be paid from the UK public service pension scheme and UK contributory pensioners will also still be paid by the UK. Same as any UK pensioner who currently lives in Ireland or elsewhere outside the UK.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,550 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    During the Scottish Independence referendum, it became clear that in the case of an independent Scotland, existing state pensions would be paid by the Scottish government and not by the UK or English Government.

    The taxpayers in N.I. in 2026 are paying the pensions of pensioners in N.I. in 2026.

    Same as here. Governments here in 2026 pay pensions in 2026 out of tax take in 2026. There is no magic pie in the sky.

    Next thing : splitting up of UK national debt. Agreed it should be done on a per capita basis? Would be very unfair on English taxpayers if not.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 307 ✭✭Alfaguy


    I was watching a documentary on the Blair / Brown saga that went on during Tony Blair's period in power and was surprised that in it he (Blair) is supposed to have said to his cabinet or officials after the handover of Hong Cong "Lets not loose anymore territory - we can't loose anymore territory". This coming from the man who spearheaded the good friday agreement. If that was his thinking then just imagine what more conservative hardliners were / are thinking now.

    Brexit was all about a subconscious desire to bring back the glory days of empire when the UK was a world power in much the same way Mussolini wanted to bring back the glory days of the Roman empire - and we all know where he ended up.

    So there is still that mindset in the UK. Scottish independence can now only be voted on again if the London government agree to it - my point being that even if the majority in the north want a united Ireland that is no guarantee that the UK will even allow a vote on it and even if they do and it passes I am sure it will be a very diluted form of independence with the british wanting ports and sovereign military bases Cyprus style before it agrees to it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,063 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The 'British' are by their own volition out of it, if the people of Ireland agree to unify.
    Westminster cannot impede a UI with unreasonable demands or risk breaking the GFA, something they recoiled from even during the reign of their looniest PM's. They are bound to introduce and pass whatever legislation is necessary if the people of Ireland vote in favour.
    It's a nice if not very convincing bit of scaremongering.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    I have read the Annexes to the GFA, and they contain a list of things that can be done under the GFA without any referendum.

    The GFA and the Annexes are completely silent on what needs to be done for a referendum, other than some looking into his heart by the British Secretary of State. In fact, if I recall correctly, and it may not have been raised on here before, a Court Case in Northern Ireland has already said that the SoS doesn't need to do any preparation or set any criteria, they can just decide.

    https://www.judiciaryni.uk/files/judiciaryni/decisions/Raymond%20McCord%E2%80%99s%20Application%20Border%20Poll.pdf

    Here it is, the Raymond McCord case.

    "The rationality of the decision is clear given what was agreed in the Multi-PartyAgreement and in the British-Irish Agreement. Those agreements did not specifythat a policy was required rather two sovereign governments and the political parties invested the power in the respondent without any constraints."

    The courts were absolutely clear, it has nothing to do with British government, it has nothing to do with the Irish government, it is up to the Secretary of State to decide if a Border Poll is justified. All the nonsense that we see from people calling for a Border Poll or for preparations, is just nonsense. It isn't required anywhere.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,960 ✭✭✭csirl


    The "national debt" issue also has to consider UK assets. The UK is a very solvent country where the value of its assets is way more than the value of its debts. Taking your approach would mean a massive transfer of funds or assets to a U.I.. Not sure the UK will go for this, but worth asking.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,550 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    So you think that in the event of a U.I. the Dublin government should buy assets off the UK government, like railway stations, seaports and airports, hospitals, universities, schools, military bases, government buildings, roads etc. Interesting. I'd say if FrancieBrady and his SF comrades lived to 100 they could not work out a price on that.

    During the Scottish referendum it became clear that an independent  Scottish state would  become responsible for a fair and proportionate share of the UK's current liabilities, perhaps 8%.

    If N.I. became responsible for just 2% of UK national debt that could be the best part of 80 billion? Who would pay the interest on that per year in a U.I.? At least a few billion per year?

    You'd need to rob a good few banks to accumulate that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,960 ✭✭✭csirl


    Pensioners are entitled to receive their work pensions fron their (former) employers pension schemes.

    Pensioners who have a contrbutory UK State pension are entitled to receive that pension regardless of where they live worldwide.

    I think what you are talking about is non-contributory pensions not all pensions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,960 ✭✭✭csirl




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 937 ✭✭✭GSBellew


    Bit difficult when herself has long since departed.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,896 ✭✭✭Hoboo


    How are the British “out of it” when the only person who holds the legal authority to call a border poll is British.



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