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General British politics discussion thread

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,031 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    @midlander12

    It would be interesting to see similar polls for the likes of Liverpool and particularly Manchester which also looks likely to be a Lab-Green dogfight.

    I live Manchester part-time for work and am wondering whether there is some sort of Green-LibDem pact going on. Plenty of literature from LibDems and Labour, but nowt from the notionally second-placed Greens.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 192 ✭✭buckmulligan16


    The snp are 'useful idiots' with their crackpot schemes-their current rise in the polls are a protest against Labour's admittedly shakey start and will disappear when the chips are down.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,683 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    I presume shakey start comment refers to Labour forming the UK government? I took a snapshot of the graph in the wikipedia link since May 2024 (nearly two years ago!). The yellow line is the SNP and the red line is Labour

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,869 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    One of the least informed and most incorrect posts I have seen on this thread.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,683 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    Labour continue to dig their own hole here - Robbins was sacked for following the rules



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,273 ✭✭✭Hoop66


    SNP have been in power for the last 5 years at least. I don't know where you're getting this from. Are you perhaps reading Reform election leaflets?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,292 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    New Labour Advert about reform just dropped, cannot wait to hear the howls from reform about this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,438 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    The elections will be interesting. They're not terribly relevant but they will be used as an early test for Starmer and his government.

    I think in the grand scheme of things, Reform have past their prime. The cancerous baboon their leader spent years cosying up to and posing with at the expense of his constituents is now a liability. There's also the fact that the councils they've controlled have been disasters with Farage saying that raising taxes does not break the promise to lower taxes.

    I can see the Greens and Liberal Democrats doing well. Labour will probably lose seats to both sides. I expect the nationalists in Scotland and Wales to do well also.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,962 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    The thing is, none of what was said in that ad will be of any concern to Reform voters because that's what they are in favour of. But I suppose it isn't aimed at them anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,438 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    I would disagree.

    I'd say a lot of Reform UK's cohort is largely uneducated people who fall for their shtick of blaming migrants for everything. They'll vote for them and if they get in, they'll act surprised when the NHS is cut to ribbons because they didn't bother doing even the most basic of research. Remember, this is the first country in history to voluntarily and unilaterally worsen its trade situation.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,014 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Bizarrely, a lot of those Reform voters live in run down areas that don't even have many immigrants. Imagine blaming immigrants for everything and you scarcely even see one from day to day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,438 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    It's a bit like radicalisation. My aunt, a woman who exclusively hires Romanians for business ("These ones are trustworthy".), lived in perpetual fear of Türkiye joining and voted leave in 2016. Of course, the fact that both David Cameron and Boris Johnson aggressively supported Turkish accession was ignored.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,962 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Perhaps. But that ad isn't going to change the minds of people like that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,438 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    We had this with Brexit where people voted to leave and then Google reported a surge in search queries like "What is the EU?" and "What happens if we voted leave?".

    But yes, this ad will convince very few people who were planning to vote Reform before seeing it.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,962 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    This is a problem when you have a set of the voting public who vote for a certain type of politics because they think that the other side are lying when they warn of the consequences of voting a certain way. And when it comes to pass that what the other side were saying is actually a fact, they'll then pivot to the narrative that the bad shit that's happening must be the fault of the other side somehow.

    In the first couple of weeks after Labour got in, I had a some conversations with a few Tory voters who were complaining about the state of the UK. I pointed out that it was that way because of 12 years of Tory misrule. They then tried to make it that it was "left wing" policies that the Conservative Party followed that had the country in a mess. So, magically, in their heads it was "the left" that was at fault for the UK's woes. At least one of them was pushing for Nigel because he felt that there were too many brown people walking down his street.

    You can't reach people like that. Not with reasoning, not with logical argumentation and certainly not with ads.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,788 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    It's sad really that these events could bring down the least foolish government Westminster have had for a long time. Brits are like americans though, voters lap up those 3/4 word slogans or lies printed on the side of a bus and then after the event say "oh, I didn't mean for that to happen"



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,956 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Simultaneously bizarre and not at all uncommon. You get the same thing in Switzerland, every single anti-immigration reform is voted down in the areas that actually have immigrants (and only citizens can vote) and it is the hinterlands and countryside that overwhelmingly vote for them. Regional towns and the countryside have been impacted by globalisation and urbanisation - and mostly just by the fact people don't want to stay there and now have the option to leave - but it is just easier to blame immigration, or the EU or whatever.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 751 ✭✭✭moon2


    No, but you might convince enough people who are inclined to vote against reform to actually go out and vote against them. It's probably not the best way to combat voter apathy, but maybe it'll help?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,438 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    There might be a few waverers who might be convinced but otherwise I would agree with you. Nobody who says that the Tory party of 2010-2024 was left wing is a serious person who bases their opinions on facts. I've given up largely trying to convince anyone of anything and am all the happier for it.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 985 ✭✭✭midlander12


    It's interesting too that the Greens seem to have emerged in some very unlikely areas as the main challengers to Reform - the took a seat off them in a council byelection in Kent last week and nearly another one in Cornwall last night. I was wondering if the LD's were effectively standing down for them in some areas where they don't do well themselves.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 985 ✭✭✭midlander12


    Pity they weren't doing this for last year's locals instead of Keir's dismal Enoch Powell 'island of strangers' cosplay.

    I admit it's good. I actually thought it was more like something the Greens would come up with.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,014 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    One of the better explanations of Labour's current woes I've seen is that Starmer was brought in by Mandelson, McSweeney and 'Labour Together' to destroy the Labour Left and to get rid of Corbyn - succeeded in this, but that the new right wing led party doesn't really stand for anything, has no identity and is now being badly found out (as is Starmer himself).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,962 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Well, that's not only a "better" explanation, it's the only explanation. There's no controversy about this.

    Labour is now pretty much a soft Neoliberal entity, much like most of the western world's governments in modern times, while the Cons are lurching further and further into hard right territory in order to try and compete with the far right Reform, whom they're bleeding support to.

    Gone are the days of Labour being a left wing party though. That damage was already well set in with Blair (and look what he's become) and it's being further eroded by Starmer's lot.

    As for standing for something, Starmer himself stands for nothing and his Labour Party reflect that. I think he's been one of the most ineffectual PM's in my lifetime because of it. Now, is he as bad as Boris Johnson or Lettuce Liz or indeed any Conservative leader from Cameron onwards? No, of course not and nobody serious would venture into such territory. But it's clear that this Labour Party has been an absolute shambles so far and the low satisfaction of the UK public with them clearly show that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,683 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    So Starmer was appointed by Mandelson to get rid of the 'bad guy' so the quid pro quo was Starmer appointed Mandelson to curry favour with the Epstein class, yes the adults are definitely back in control!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,014 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Annihilating the Labour Left was actually a terrible mistake. Like them or loathe them, whether you agreed with them or strongly disagreed, they were passionate in what they believed in, actually stood for something and gave the party a sense of identity (whilst co-existing with other more moderate factions).

    Labour becoming a pro-Israel and anti-immigration party under Starmer and his cabinet is shocking stuff - it would be like the Tories trying to rebrand themselves as left wing, without explicitly using the term.

    As for Starmer, nobody has a clue what the guy stands for or what he believes in. He actually does seem to be firmly in the Zionist wing of the party though and not just there for performative or opportunistic reasons. Probably the one really good thing he has done is falling out with Trump, but it won't help him or the party (nobody likes Trump at this point).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 192 ✭✭buckmulligan16


    It's what happens in the UK wide general election that really matters when the Scottish people backed Labour.SNP popularist crackpot schemes don't cut it when the chips are down.When the SNP did have real sway in Scotland it balls'd it up with its various well documented crackpot schemes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,683 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    You are all over the place - Labour did win the majority of the seats in Scotland at the last UK wide election (along with the swing to Labour across Britain). What were the numbers for the previous elections? Current polling does not look good for Labour at all. You do realise that the election on the 7th May is not a UK wide election but an election to the Scottish parliament where Labour are struggling to become the third largest party.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 192 ✭✭buckmulligan16


    I see whataboutery features frequently in your replies as with the comments made about the ambulances being destroyed and now what about the general election before the last one...SNP have had their chance and fumbled the ball-swinney is as bad as Mary lou over in Ireland,jumping on any bandwagon if he thinks it'll curry favour with the voters.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,956 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Mandleson did not "appoint" Starmer ffs. And much of the Labour "left" annihilated themselves with their own stupidity (eg Corbyn, Abbott)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,438 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    This is ultimately it. Most party leaders get a single election. The Labour left got two and squandered both chances with their stupidity, vanity, corruption and grandstanding.

    Good riddance.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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