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Nuclear - future for Ireland?

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    But would it be?
    Can you tell us how much Nuclear will cost?

    You keep spamming this thread about how crap renewables are, yet you will not engage in any debate on what you are FOR?

    It seems to me you lack conviction or are insecure about your position on nuclear, that you will not engage in good faith on that. I have asked repeatedly about your proposals, yet you offer none. It seems to me you have no plan, strategy or proposal. You just want to **** over renewables and shout "nUclLEar PoWer!" as if it's a valid argument.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 99,489 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    They've started one new plant since 1991. And instead of costing €3.3Bn it cost €23.7Bn. To rebuild France's 63GW would cost €933Bn which would have to be paid for in higher bills.

    The economics of sweating out assets paid off a long time ago are very, very different from starting out from scratch.

    Solar is very similar, O&M costs are minimal. The only reason to replace 40 year old panels is that new ones are twice as efficient. It's a question of labour costs vs. payback time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Cheaper to build in China, well I guess if the CCP runs the country like a dictatorship where no one has any real rights, you can get to build a lot of stuff for cheap. Still, though, can you tell us what the cost will be to build nuclear in Ireland?

    @bored65



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Instead of having cheap and green electricity for few dozen billion 

    OK, so you think we can build some nuclear power plants for approx, €24-€36 Billion.
    What are those figures based off?
    Is there some research paper done on this? Are you using the UAE example as a comparable benchmark?

    Are you sticking your finger in the air and going with your gut?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    So twice less than Germany spend on Energiewende so far and still emit 6x co2 of France and rely on France to balance their grid with French nuclear and still burn gas and coal

    Thanks for furthering my point that wind is neither cheaper nor greener



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    You don’t see the issue with them providing almost all the materials (especially rare earths for magnets) for wind and solar and batteries that are used in Europe? While making us more reliant on gas

    These wind generators and solar and batteries don’t grow on trees in China, they are made using slave Labour and coal

    I rather trust the French or Finns or UK or Koreans or Canadians for nuclear and Canada and Australia for the tiny amounts of fuel needed



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Thanks for reminding me China can bring our grid to its knees at a flip of a switch

    Do you have proof of this, or are you watching too many movies?

    There is no European wind and solar industry left, it’s bankrupt and gutted by China

    Solar Panels are made in Poland, I think, but yes, China is the obvious world leader here. Wind, Europe has lots of manufacturing capacity here, enough for 85% of its needs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    There is no wind and solar industry left in Europe, few places like the one you mentioned just repackage Chinese components to bypass tariffs onto the single market

    Chinese backdoors are being found in buses and routers they sell, why wouldn’t they put em in inverters that are connected to the internet in 99% or Irish homes that are availing of solar grants for Chinese solar panels and batteries and inverters and electronics? Wouldn’t be too hard for em to bring our grid to its knees with such a large install base remotely accessible



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    OK, so how much would nuclear power build by the French/Finns/UK/Koreans cost in Ireland?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Now this is misinformation, but would care to answer the question I have asked about 20 times so far?
    Why are you so insecure in not answering it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    I will tell you as soon as you find the figure for 37GW offshore + another 10GW solar and onshore + hydrogen + BESS + interconnection to completely remove gas from grid

    So far you been very demanding but not very helpful in providing figures yourself for your argument, probably because it would illustrate that we are being taken for a ride

    you shouldn’t have any issues then listing companies in the space, a lot like Orsted mentioned earlier went bankrupt or are on their knees or just repackage Chinese inputs



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    I gave you an estimated figure above, didnt I?

    Why won't you show your hand? Why are you so insecure in yourself and your position on the topic at hand, to show us what Nuclear Power will cost us in Ireland?

    You keeping saying renewable is too expensive. Grand, so if you think Nuclear is cheaper, surely you have done some sums or have some evidence on hand. Surely you have this, right? Like you are not making this up on the whim or purely based of vibes, right? As that would be very embarrassing all round.


    Its an odd position to take tbh.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    Myself and others have repeatedly provided facts and figures and real world examples and comparisons, scroll back in thread

    Only to be met with hostility as these expose the just how messed up the path the consumers in this country are being dragged down by a the wind and gas lobby who have failed to deliver cheaper and greener energy that they promised and keep promising in tv and radio adverts

    Even if you double the cost of Korean tech you still endup multiples less cost than the current trajectory

    Dozens of billions to have cheap green electricity vs hundred of billions

    “Insanity Is Doing the Same Thing Over and Over Again and Expecting Different Results”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    In fairness, there are over 3,000 posts in this thread. I am not going to read it all.
    Can you not link me to those facts, figures, it would be much easier.



    Even if you double the cost of Korean tech you still endup multiples less cost than the current trajectory

    Dozens of billions to have cheap green electricity vs hundred of billions

    I think even doubling would not be enough.


    I used to be a fan of nuclear, in theory, but it's really, really hard to justify it due to costs. Numbers just don't stack up, and your evasiveness just proves the point.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,493 ✭✭✭✭ted1




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,811 ✭✭✭Busman Paddy Lasty


    So your diverting away from your giving out about Ørsted being bailed out when EDF were too.



  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 4,711 Mod ✭✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    I'm a sceptic but the recent disruptions in fossil fuel energy caused by the invasion of Ukraine and the constant wars in the Middle has made me a little more open to the nuclear question.

    I'm still opposed to Sellafield style plants. But I've heard it claimed that new Fusion plants are less susceptible to health side effects.

    I would prefer we go more aggressively towards renewable energy path though. If you dont built the wind farms and people then say wind doesnt provide enough energy, then that is a self fulfilling prophesy. We need to build them where the wind is, which is mainly on the west coast.

    The arguments against wind farms are often of the "it spoils the view" kind, or the "they are near my house and too noisy" kind. The government should look at using state land and liberalising the planning regulations for renewable energy. But I have some sympathy in the noise issue.

    I heard a suggestion yesterday on the radio that the government should do a national roll out of renewable energy like they did with broadband. I agree on this.

    I've read that on some days, wind was the main source of domestically produced energy in Ireland.

    40% of world energy consumption is now renewable. China is playing a big role in this because 25% of the worlds population lives there, and its building solar farms in Africa. The US oil will eventually run out. The US domestic heavy crude oil seems to be running out but the largely extract light crude oil now. So they end up importing heavy crude oil to be refined in their refineries, which are mostly for refining heavy oil.

    The US is going to find that when they do run out of oil, China will have stolen a march on them as an energy superpower. This is what happens with reactionary politics and its resistance to change.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    Both EDF and Orsted received almost similar amounts from their governments ~9bn

    Except France is a much bigger economy than Denmark by every measure so you are comparing grapes to watermelons

    And as I type France is producing 22g co2 vs Denmarks 135g and has much cheaper electricity for their consumers while being Europes energy powerhouse

    In 2025 EDF exported 5.5bn in electricity to it’s neighbours earning French state a tidy source profit paying its bailout many times over since 2022

    Meanwhile Orsted continues to bleed money losing billions for pension funds and suckers around Europe

    IMG_6776.jpeg


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Care to show me how much a nuclear plant in Ireland?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    I think the debate would be settled once Ireland has a few offshore windfarms completed and generating electricty.
    Take Codling and the Dublin Array, which will have a combined capacity of 2,124 MW.

    Estimates of a 45% capacity factor will indicate an approx 8.3 THw generated over a full year.
    This will mean these 2 wind farms could contribute approx 26% of all of Ireland's electricity use.

    The cost of these 2 farms is around €4Billion.

    Am I wrong with these figures? If not, show me where.

    If so, why would anyone spend €30-60 billion for a nuclear power station that will not be ready by 2040 at the earliest?
    These 2 farms above could be ready by 2030 (planning is in for both at the moment, and we should get a result from one of them this year)

    Given all this, why the push for nuclear? Is it not a lot easier just to build interconnectors to the UK/France/Spain and leverage their nuclear and base load?

    We can sell the excess wind on the windy days and when our capacity comfortably covers us.
    The goal is to reduce gas to a small minority. What is the quickest way to get there?
    Solar and Wind, which is scaled up rather quickly, or Nuclear, which takes decades?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,493 ✭✭✭✭ted1


    both EDG and Orsted are Multinationals. Population of ther home country isn’t relevant.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    The international investors (and quite likely our pensions) lost quite a bit as per spectacular graph higher up


    It matters to the population of the country that had to rescue them, particularly small Denmark as per article linked earlier, whom will never see their investment back unlike the French whom are laughing supplying Germany etc whose spent trillions on wind and can’t power their country and paid itself over several times by now

    Wait till the lot here realise they can hold country ransom and get bailouts



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Can you tell us how much a nuclear power plant will cost in Ireland?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,811 ✭✭✭Busman Paddy Lasty


    Experience shows there's no place for mature rational debate on this thread 😬

    I would love a discussion on nuclear for Ireland rather than relentless renewable bashing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    Still waiting on your figures for 37GW offshore, batteries, interconnectors and 10GW onshore and solar to go completely carbon free



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭bored65


    If 7GW of wind can’t provide more than 1GW on a day like today (with majority falling back to gas) why do you think an extra 2GW of more wind would help

    In schools they still teach that something multiplied by zero is still zero right?

    When this is build are we gonna have cheaper and greener electricity than France or Finland, yes or no?



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 99,489 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Can you please provide a link to backup those cost claims as they are out by a factor similar to nuclear costs.

    image.png

    German electricity imports. 2024 18TWh of nuclear 1vs 33TWh of Renewables. And there're be a lot more renewables installed than nuclear in the foreseeable future so nuclear will be less relevant.

    2022 saw just 4.5TWh of nuclear because it's soooo reliable.



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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 99,489 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Please explain how nuclear can meet winter demand here without the use of storage and/or zero carbon peaking plant.

    Whichever you choose please explain how renewables don't win especially when solar will wipe nuclear for half the year.

    Please explain how you can provide zero carbon spinning reserve and backup for nuclear.

    If you go for de-rating high inertia generators please explain how nuclear can fund the lost income of the other generators.

    Nuclear is not a fit for an Irish grid that has to be carbon free long before multiple reactors could be up and running reliably.



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