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Hi all, please see this major site announcement: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058427594/boards-ie-2026

A global recession is on the horizon - please read OP for mod warning

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,507 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes


    Its so hard to know whether to buy goods and services NOW or wait to see if the prices comes down. Or will it go up. So scary.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,691 ✭✭✭yagan


    Haulier cost will go up of course, which will impact all products.

    On the other hand it will drive more businesses and individuals towards renewables to cut down dependence on imported fossil fuels, it might even spur domestic solar panel production.

    When we moved into our cul de sac a few years ago only one house had panels, now about 40% of the street have them!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,507 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,236 ✭✭✭wassie


    The longer this goes the greater the disruption to the global economy we may see, especially in Asia that is more reliant on middle east fuel.

    Sri Lanka has introduced weekly fuel quotas, the Philippines and Vietnam have introduced a 4 day working week. Thailand has told professionals to work from home.

    South Korea and Japan will start to hurt, even though they have diversified their gas (US is primary source), middle east is still a significant player.

    All export driven economies.

    China as usual is playing the long game. Its estimated that their strategic oil reserve could be as large as 12 months supply.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,691 ✭✭✭yagan


    Go for a walk? It's a nice evening.

    I'm just letting my dinner sit down a bit, then it's back out to a bit of gardening before dark. I am loving these longer evenings.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,420 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    america does not have democracy, freedom and tolerance, ffs! young irish are more likely to move eastwards, as they have been for decades, if a recession does in fact occur



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,114 ✭✭✭riddles


    There is a cumulation of events happening simultaneously that will create head winds from ireland and our unemployment rate. The growth in low-cost hubs is effectively the "missing growth" in high-cost ones.

    ​India alone added approximately 150,000 to 200,000 net new Global capability centre roles in 2025.

    ​By the end of 2025, the total workforce in Indian GCCs reached 2.4 million professionals.

    ​Estimates suggest that for every 3–4 roles created in a GCC, 1 role in a high-cost location is either eliminated, left unfilled after attrition (backfilled abroad), or "automated out" as the GCC takes over the process.

    Oracle announced 30k layoffs today.

    META laid off 700 people this week. Plan 15,000 more ASAP. Now, leaked internal documents reveal what comes next.

    Meta now requires 65% of its engineers to write 75% or more of their code using AI by mid-2026. Their Scalable Machine Learning org has a target of 50-80% AI-assisted code. Across Messenger, WhatsApp, and Facebook, 55% of all code changes must be “Agent-Assisted.” 80% of mid-to-senior engineers must adopt AI tools like DevMate and Google Gemini.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,653 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    I've had lots of opportunities to move to the US. Much of my family are American. But plenty of aspects of US culture including the likes of their approach to healthcare and their political system means that I ultimately have no desire to move there. I'm pretty confident that I'm not alone in that assessment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,114 ✭✭✭riddles


    65k H1B visas issued in the states 2025 which meant only 20% of applicsnts were approved. Lots of interest in moving there still. I believe when employment terminates on a H1B you have two.weeks to leave the country which would make it a challe ging decision to move there with kids etc



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,073 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    As of 2025, there were approximately 23.8 million millionaires in the United States, accounting for 41% of the world's total. And human rights, democracy there, while not perfect, is an awful lot better there than in many countries in the world. Show me a perfect country, ffs.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,420 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    yes exactly, wealth inequality has grown substantially in america, another reason why many are choosing not to go there, this is resulting in more and more unable to achieve critical needs such as adequate health care and housing etc, under such conditions, human rights and the democratic process tends to decline, as is the case currently in the states, yes there is simply no such thing as a perfect country, but…..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,073 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    There are millions of Irish people / Irish heritage quite happy in the States, driving new cars, going to shopping malls often, eating out often, living the American dream. Was over there recently (thank God my Irish public service pension allows me to take 6 holidays a year) and the buzz in restaurants on a Monday evening was something else. Yes, I realise many people in America are not so fortunate and cannot take 6 foreign holidays a year. However, would you prefer to live in Pakistan or North Korea or Saudi Arabia or Nigeria or Bulgaria?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,555 ✭✭✭PokeHerKing


    Id prefer madrid/seville/malaga/rome or paris over any US destination.

    When i was younger i loved the States. Now I only go for work. But that disdain had kicked in long before Trump took office.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,073 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    I love my 5 star hotel breaks in European cities like Madrid too, but the quality of life is not great there for many people. Average salaries in Spain are significantly lower than in the US, generally around €31,600 (approx. $34,000), whereas in the US average salaries often exceed $60,000–$70,000 depending on the state. Hence you tend to get a wider spread of locals there having luxury things like good cars, boats, memberships of golf clubs, nice housing etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,555 ✭✭✭PokeHerKing


    Ive lived in Spain so i know the quality of life is absolutely excellent for plenty.

    Ultimately theres more to quality then zeros on your salary.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,073 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    You probably had a lot more money to travel and spend on a luxury lifestyle than the average Spanish resident though.

    Weather is nice in Spain though, it is quite a nice place, I'll give you that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,555 ✭✭✭PokeHerKing


    Things are cheaper as well. No point claiming low earners in the US are somehow better off than low earners in Spain without that context.

    Id rather be a low earner in Spain/Italy/France than a low earner in the US.

    But again thats still only one aspect to the quality of life. Theres just better cultures in most of Europe. Not to mention healthcare, transport, safety etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,073 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    I met thousands of Americans in five star hotels around the world. Even go down to Killarney, not too many Spanish people can afford to holiday there. Not surprising if there are 23.8 million millionaires in the United States ( 2025 figure) , accounting for 41% of the world's total. 



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,218 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    All that cash and still begging to be noticed.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 892 ✭✭✭SodiumCooled


    The salaries are massive in the US for a lot of jobs compared to Europe but there are also massive numbers of people in poverty and in very pooly paid employment.

    For example a job that would have a salary around say 80k in an MNC in Ireland is probably a 200k job in the same company in many parts of the US. But someone working on min wage here in a restaurant earns a lot more than someone living of tips in a restaurant in the US.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,420 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    yea the inequality is fcuked, and its starting show with significantly high levels of mental health issues, addiction problems, particular types of crimes etc etc, so careful what you wish for!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,555 ✭✭✭PokeHerKing


    A strange post. Ive met many wealthy people from many countries.

    Plenty of millionaires in Spain as well im sure.

    No idea what that has to do with the quality of life in either country though.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,667 ✭✭✭amacca


    They are the Americans that have it.....there are many more that don't..........its the level of inequality of distribution of wealth that's the issue imo

    Tbh I think its complete fantasy to ever get anything like an equal distribution....but you can certainly tip the scales too far in either direction imo.....US too far in the direction of big gap between the have and the have nots

    After the war and the 50s maybe even 60s it was possible for more people to imagine they could live the "American dream" ie: the bog standard dream of house, car, kids ....since then the numbers thinking its possible to get there have been declining ...not enough can aspire to it now as wealth flows upwards faster to the top of the pyramid and resources decline .......



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,073 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    All those millions of Irish people who emigrated to the USA, they would have been better off migrating to Spain. Unemployment in Spain has exceeded 10% for nearly the whole time since 2008. The gross minimum wage in Spain is only €1,221 per month or 17,094 per year.

    That is why you can go on your holidays to Spain and it not cost a fortune. I have met middle aged managers there on €22,000 per year. Who never have and never will be in Ireland, never mind the States. If you have a family and earn €22,000 a year, you will not save enough to bring them to Killarney anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,890 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    Average wage does not tell the whole story. It's disposal income that is a much better metric as if you live in an expensive area or country, your higher wage may not mean as much.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,439 ✭✭✭brickster69


    ::

    The old world is dying, and the new world struggles to be born: now is the time of monsters. — Antonio Gramsci



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,073 ✭✭✭Francis McM


     Average net take-home pay in Spain typically falls between €1,700–€1,900 per month. Try living on that. Even in Spain.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,890 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    And what is the average cost? You seem to be focusing all on income not expenditure. Also need to consider social security, health/education costs, crime figures etc.

    If you want the highest standard of living you should not only consider the average income.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,073 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    The USA has a significantly higher average disposable income per capita compared to Spain, with the US leading globally at roughly $62, 722 in 2023 ( latest figures I could find).

    If you visit and travel extensively in both countries you will see a difference all right. Take away the tourists and ex-pats, head inland away from the coast and you will see a lot of poor people in Spain.

     



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,890 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    I have been to both countries, both very nice. I would rather live in Spain in the event I got a serious illness or was down in my luck with finances.

    The US disposal income figure doesnt take into account medical or education costs. I dont believe in Spain you can become bankrupt if you get a longterm illness.



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