Football ranking table

Of the 6 games predicted to be draws, the winning margins lay between 5 and 20 points…..not so close in the end!

Updated ranking table below, big wins for Antrim, Dublin, Clare, Laois, Louth and Tipperary.

Ranking table update after Round 6.

Roscommon were far and away the biggest winners, while London, Wexford, Leitrim, Fermanagh and Armagh all gained 2 rating points or more.

The table seems to be shaping up, with one clear leader (Kerry), 4 teams hovering around 100, and then not much seperating 6th from 13th.

Prediction model output for the final round of games in this year's NFL.

Again, predictions to be taken with more than a grain of salt where one team is battling against relegation/looking for promotion, and the other has little to play for….or are saving themselves for a league final - Down, are you listening (please!!!)

Updated ranking table below after all 7 rounds of the league - only 1 game with no rating points exchanged, and big gains for Laois and Longford.

It's more so the record against the opposing team that drives the prediction rather than home/away, although that does play a minor role. I did a dummy run again with no rating points difference between the teams, and it predicted Longford by 1.4.

I had at one stage managed to plot out how each team performs against other teams and it was clear that there were some major deviations from the normal - must have a look at that again when I get some time.

It definitely felt like a compelling league - the link with the Sam Maguire has heightened excitement for those at the bottom of Division 2 and the top of Division 3. And with the recent demise of Dublin as a powerhouse, more counties are seeing an opportunity to establish themselves as serious contenders.

Big winners:

• Roscommon were the league's biggest winner, moving up 9 ranking places and gaining 9.6 rating points after some fine wins in Division 1
• The surprise package in Division 3 was Wexford, who, on the way to gaining promotion, picked up 8.6 rating points
• Louth had a solid Division 2 campaign, and were within one win of getting promoted as they added 6 rating points to their tally
• Honorable mention to London, Cork and Mayo who all increased their worth by 4.2 rating points

Big losers:

• Seven losses in Division 1 ensured relegation for Monaghan and 9.1 rating points lost
• Tyrone had a surprisingly poor league campaign, losing 8.3 rating points and 7 ranking places
• Another team that will be disappointed will be Wicklow, who had promotion in their hands, only to see it slip away
• The All-Ireland champions normally suffer in these league reviews, as even one loss costs them dearly. Kerry's league record will read: 4 wins, 2 losses, 2 draws. Seven rating points lost, and a slip to second in the rankings.
• Limerick, Fermanagh and Leitrim will also be glad to see the back of NFL 2026, losing 6.2, 5 and 5 rating points, respectively