US/Israel conduct airstrikes on Iran again

He won't break up the NATO alliance Trump can only have America leave it. This would be a strategic mistake though leaving a military alliance the USA are not part of, right next door to them. They would become the new Russia.

is it likely iran are leaders in ultra high performance concrete?

i been reading about UHPC in investing blogs for a while now. Also reading online related to this war but i havent a clue what is true or not.

Does that stop the biggest US bombs?

Smelters in two of the worlds largest Aluminium plants Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) and Emirates ⁠Global ⁠Aluminium (EGA) were attacked by missiles in the last two days, following attacks by Israel on a couple of Iran's large steelworks.

Most of what they produced lately will not of been exported due to shipping closures, but this will likely take a good while to get operational again and Aluminium has been going up a lot due to a global deficit of 600Kt pre conflict.

From a U.S. and Israeli perspective this war they started against Iran on the 28th of February was truly idiotic. Trump clearly thought a shock and awe bombing campaign which took the life of the Supreme Leader would cause regime collapse.

The nuclear threat was a red herring especially after Trump triumphantly declared back in June 2025 they had destroyed Iran's nuclear sites. Bibi has been itching for the U.S. to join Israel in attacking Iran. His greater goal aside from regime change was to see Iran Balkanised. A Balkanised Iran was probably the last obstacle to a greater Israel removed. I'm surprised given the hits Israel took in June that Bibi had Israel get back into the ring with Iran. Stupid doesn't cover it.

Regime change has never happened before via a bombing campaign. Why would it happen now. You need boots on the ground. Iran's terrain is not invader friendly like Iraq. Iran is massive with a population of 93 million. In every which way Israel and the U.S. are losing.

1. 13 U.S. military bases across the middle east badly damaged plus billions of dollars of infrastructure gone unlikely to ever be reinstated.
2. Iran has not wilted under the combined bombing by Israel and the U.S. In fact as a nation they have come together to defend the motherland and get behind their government. It has made a change of government less likely.
3. Israel has expended it's defensive capabilities and is being hit at will by Iran. It's suffering catastrophic infrastructural damage which is estimated will take a decade to reinstate.
4. It is Israelis who are rising up against their government looking for change. Irony of ironies.
5. Israelis are leaving the country. It is no longer deemed a safe place for Jews which was the whole concept behind the founding of the country in 1948.
6. Israel stupidly looked to invade Lebanon again and are having their behind handed to them by Hezbollah.
7. U.S. has had to lift sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil.
8. The war has given Iran the confidence to start charging for safe passage through the straits of hormuz something not in place pre war.
9. Oil and LNG production has been hit in the gulf states of Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar and the UAE pushing up the price of oil. Also real danger of fertiliser shortage which will affect food supplies.
10. A ground invasion of Israel by either or a combination of Hezbollah and the Houthis could likely end the country as an entity. The IDF is deemed to be on the verge of collapse.
11. Any talk of taking Kharg Island or any other island in the strait of Hormuz is bonkers and is military suicide for the U.S.
12. A ground invasion of the Iranian mainland to force regime change would require millions of American troops and that is just not feasible logistically.

Their is no doubt that Iran is being hit hard and suffering massive infrastructural and economic damage. It's also taking casualties on a scale greater than Israel due to indiscriminate bombings. The longer Iran holds out the more of a fix Trump will be in via escalating economic costs. The greater the chance of Israel collapsing as a society.

Trumps 15 point plan to end the war is not something the Iranians will entertain. Their points for ending the war will be more amenable to Trump the higher the economic cost of the war escalates. Hard to see Bibi surviving politically. Given how reviled Israel is around the world hard to see how they recover economically. Can or will America foot the bill to rebuild Israel?

For us here in Ireland their is a looming danger of recession the longer oil shortages persist and the price continues to climb.

Kharg Island would indeed seem to be the potential target for Trump. But anything involving ground troops and face-to-face fighting would be very risky for the US - they could end up taking lots of wounded and fatalities, depending on how resourceful the Iranian defenders are.

Have you been counting the amount of strategic mistakes he has made in the past 15 months? You don't think he has been angling for it since he got back in. To me it's obvious how he will sell this to the US and it's obvious to me it's something he will do. NATO without the US is pointless. It will need to be called something else and resourced accordingly.

But they're not shifting thousands of marines and airborne troops out to the middle east for nothing

If it is done at Trump's insistence contrary to military advice then what are the odds it is being done for no other purpose than to boost his ego?

Or is it just so that he can have as many options to hand ? (aka flying by the seat of his shithole pants)

If the c*.t uses(or threatens) a n-bomb is Ukraine next in line?

Reading the biased news spouted by the BBC is the problem there. How you never realised this until now when I'm telling you I have no idea.