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US/Israel conduct airstrikes on Iran again

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,628 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,788 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Pictures circulating now of an E-3 awacs destroyed on the ground in Saudi Arabia. A big blow to US losing one of those, especially in a war they have air superiority



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,920 ✭✭✭Brief_Lives




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,441 ✭✭✭brickster69


    The old world is dying, and the new world struggles to be born: now is the time of monsters. — Antonio Gramsci



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 927 ✭✭✭bored65


    This destroyed awacs plane is great illustration of American military arrogance in not having learned anything from Ukrainians while Trump was busy going on about “cards” and giving out about suits

    Arab states being attacked don’t have the luxury however and busy trying to buy the expertise as seen here

    and here

    https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/03/28/zelensky-says-ukraine-and-uae-agreed-to-cooperate-on-defense_6751895_4.html



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,036 ✭✭✭rogber


    Then China will screw Europe over and all our lame leaders will ask "why did we make the same mistake twice?" and issue a few strongly worded letters.

    The US under Trump is an enemy, not an ally, but only a very naive person would think that makes China a reliable alternative



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,285 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    Looks like a very precise hit and that aircraft is destroyed (not just damaged as the US claimed)

    HEkrkgybYAAYBdO.jpg

    I am surprised how many of those critical aircraft the US has just sitting around Saudi Arabia in the open



  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 8,114 Mod ✭✭✭✭circadian


    China has it's own set of issues but economically they are reliable. The Chinese state thrives on stability, the US has been repeatedly unstable economically over decades either through financial mismanagement, wars or through self centred political endeavours that impacts the rest of the world.

    Do I think Europe should cosy up to China? Of course not, but there should be an effort to become more self reliant and anything that we can't do by ourselves we deal with China or someone else who can be trusted to remain relatively stable.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 927 ✭✭✭bored65


    How do you trust someone who spent four years funding and suppling a war right here in Europe

    China should be forced to choose, trade and good relationship with Europe or they can continue supporting Russia, who in their own minds are at war with all of Europe (using hundreds of Iranians drones every night against European cities and just yesterday striking yet another maternity hospital)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,891 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    China is too powerful to be forced to do anything. They were the only ones to resist the United States tariff policy to show their power.

    I can see a limited US invasion now but doubt any other country will be involved. What a mess, living up to the saying , Failure to prepare...



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 266 ✭✭rayman10


    I wonder what kind of invasion we might get?

    A few incursions captured on multiple drone cameras to show the mugs back home how great they are doing 🤔



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,620 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Iran are saying that Trump is up to his old trick of saying he is very interested in "negotiations" whilst secretly preparing for a surprise ground invasion. At least they have his number at this point.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,891 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    Im not really sure, since there is so much commentary online that any invasion won't even open up the strait of Hormuz but the Trump regime is desperate now and may try to leverage any land seized to give up later in negotiations.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,695 ✭✭✭yagan


    That looks very precise.

    I can't help but feel that all sending more troops to the region does is just give Iran more targets, especially as their on the ground intel is very accurate. If the stories about the troops hiding off base in civilian settings like hotels being hit is confirmed then they won't be able to sneeze without being seen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,584 ✭✭✭Marty Bird


    🌞6.02kWp⚡️3.01kWp South/East⚡️3.01kWp West



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,620 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I can't help thinking this may go disastrously wrong for the US. The Iranian army are professional and well organised and led (arguably much better than Iraq in the two Gulf wars). Probably not dissimilar to Ukraine in 2022 - it's clear that Putin hugely underestimated how effective the Ukrainian army would be at defending their land.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,089 ✭✭✭Bishop of hope


    I can only think that the US are trying to reopen the strait with these soldiers. Take control of areas near the coast perhaps, but that seems even unachievable given the area it would need to cover. It could be something towards Yemen and the Houtis either. An invasion to try to seize Iran as a whole it would take much more than the US has available to it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 266 ✭✭rayman10


    As was the argument with Brexit. If you put a customs post on the border you crate a target for people to attack.

    That's as far as Trump will get, a few holds here and there for Iran to bomb.

    And let's not forget what their response might be.

    They can hit energy or desalination plants in GCC to cause mayhem.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,219 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    The IDF are very busy doing what they do best in the Lebanon.

    Killing babies and children. Well over a hundred in 1 month.

    Killing the press

    Bombing ambulances and hospitals

    Killing healthcare workers

    Killing civilians

    Where are all those posters who rationalised these terror attacks in Gaza with a flippant "war is hell" response? Only muslims. No honour.

    Post edited by Cluedo Monopoly on

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 24,348 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    I saw a post from a US military blogger who was saying that there is a lot of befuddlement (my word) amongst the Trump administration and military leadership at how Iran is misrepresenting that they are actually "winning" the war.

    The blogger quoted someone saying that things are so destroyed within Iran, that the Iranian leadership and speakers, don't realize how badly they are being beaten.

    The whole way through the clip, I was thinking that the exact same thing could be said about the Trump administration's position on the conflict.

    They are now likely going to be proceeding with boots on the ground, the strait of Hormuz is effectively blockaded, the Iranian regime leadership architecture is still somewhat intact, the US has had to beg other countries to get involved, and they have refused.

    No matter what happens, the US won't be able to describe this as the successful endeavour they thought it was going to be, but no matter what happens, Trump and his acolytes will claim it was the most successful military endeavour ever carried out.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,779 ✭✭✭amandstu


    "I can't help thinking this may go disastrously wrong for the US"

    I am getting these vibes too.Much as I want (and we need) Trump to be humiliated ,I now fear the consequences of this "excursion"

    The Iranian regime is a fearful excretion but has a very clear focus now.

    I don't know if ,in the event of an invasion there is any chance of the people of Iran taking back control of their own country with the help of the Americans.

    It would have to be a case of "slowly then suddenly" -once you start a war you cannot foresee the consequences.

    Is it possible that America's Arab allies will fold and "go over to the enemy "? They seem to be in an awfully hard place and let's not forget the Americans are led by a certifiable fruitcake with delusions of adequacy who does not trust his own state apparatus or the armed forces.

    There is no one else for the Gulf States to turn to as Nato is persona non grata and only of transactional use to America.(even if Nato could help them)

    (Jeremy Bowen has this analysis on BBC

    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5y969pnxgvo

    )

    Post edited by amandstu on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,174 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    There is a huge disconnect between what the planners hope the outcome of their bombing attacks in Iran are achieving, versus the actual results.

    As an example, reports from a range of sources yesterday that Israel struck Yazd, one of the "Missile cities"
    A successful strike too by all accounts, yet Iran immediately launched a retaliatory strike from the bombed location.

    Now there are multiple reports that the Israeli bombing was actually in response to a launch, rather than there being an immediate Iranian counter launch.
    That said, Yazd has been hit at least 17 times since war began, and they are still launching missiles.

    If the US/Israeli strikes can't prevent counterfire from locations they are aware of?
    One can't help but wonder how effectively any troops put ashore will manage counter battery fire, when the battery they are countering is a pile of fibre optic guided drones rather than MLRS or tube artillery.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,360 ✭✭✭Tazz T


    Can you imagine being a a US soldier landing on Iranian soil under fire? You'd literally be wondering out loud 'wtf am I doing this for?' No rationale whatsoever.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 13,601 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    This may well go down as the biggest US military blunder of modern times, even surpassing that of Iraq.

    I'm probably jumping the gun here, but the potential overturn of the Gulf states' security arrangement could be a major geopolitical outcome. The US may well lose their foothold in the region.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,058 ✭✭✭thomil


    I don’t think they’re even going to go for any mainland areas. A few dozen pages back, I outlined how the Abu Musa island group forms a choke point on the Persian Gulf approach to the Strait of Hormuz. I suspect that this remains a priority target for the Marines, as their small size and relatively small garrison sizes make them easy targets.

    It’s worth remembering that at this point, we only have two thirds of one Marine Expeditionary Unit, the 31st, confirmed to be heading to the area, in the shape of the USS Tripoli and USS New Orleans. The third ship of that task force, the landing ship USS San Diego, detached from the group prior to entering the Indian Ocean and returned to Sasebo in Japan.

    The 11th MEU, centred on the helicopter assault ship USS Boxer (LHD-4) as well as the landing ships USS Comstock and USS Portland did leave San Diego back on March 20th according to USNI News, but I’ve seen no credible indication that they’re heading to the Gulf. My personal suspicion is that the 11th is going to take the 31st’s place as forward positioned MEU for Southeast Asia. That would also explain why USS San Diego returned to Japan, to keep some token amphibious asset in the area prior to the arrival of the Boxer and her strike group. For what it's worth, even if the 11th MEU does end up being redirected to the Gulf, it'll take weeks for it to get there, given that they literally have to go halfway around the world.

    It's worth mentioning here that the US doesn't have an unlimited number of MEUs and landing ships available. There are seven MEUs in total, three based out of Camp Pendleton near San Diego on the west coast, three based out of Camp Lejeune on the east coast, and the aforementioned 31st MEU based out of Okinawa. There's also a limited number of amphibious assault and landing ships. There are a total of nine helicopter assault ships in the US fleet, and only the seven ships of the Wasp class can carry landing craft, as well as a total of 24 landing ships. Between maintenance, refit, training and workup periods, it's safe to assume that only fifty percent of these vessels are operational at any one time. Sending two MEUs into one theatre would tie up a significant percentage of the US' amphibious warfare assets.

    Personally, I can't see a landing on the Iranian mainland. The US simply don't have the manpower for a protracted ground offensive against a country of that size and population, even if we ignore the terrain which heavily favours the defenders. I suspect they're only going to secure the islands I mentioned before, as well as possibly Qeshm island, although that latter island would require a significant number of troops due to its size and population. That might be why parts of the 82nd Airborne are being prepared for deployment. I can't see the US making a move against the Houthis to be honest. Once again, that'll require significant numbers of troops and the terrain once again heavily favours the defender.

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 452 ✭✭tarvis


    I think those planes could be described as ‘sitting ducks’. That’s not the first attack on this airfield in this war.
    The Americans don’t, won’t, can’t learn it seems.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,055 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    It is just yet one more in a long list of examples of autocracies making incredibly ineffective armed forces. The "hard man leader" trope is one of the most frequently debunked, yet constantly yearned for, one in existence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,851 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    Indeed. However Europe really has to accelerate any and all significant reliance on the US.

    You can bet that despite Trump not asking for permission or even advising his 'allies' before starting this war, he will use the fact that none of the EU states or indeed NATO came to 'help' them when asked to further break up the NATO alliance and potentially see the US gone for good from it.

    The only nations this turmoil suits are Russia and to a lesser extent China.

    The EU unfortunately have to increase arms spending or do the smart thing and in parallel build up diplomatic relationships where possible with those nations that currently pose threats.

    The thing is, it's not just Trump, there seems to be a whole cohort of people in and around government who seem to think this is how affairs should be conducted and have no issues with the thought processes that brought us to this point.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,695 ✭✭✭yagan


    They had the hard man and ousted him. The revolution was a ground up movement via the local mosques.

    Btw the cia used the mullahs to undermine the progressive move to nationalize irans oil production.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,055 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl




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