2025-26 UEFA Champions League

Lang was down for ages. Was surprised it was only 6 mins added on after that, all the subs, 3 goals, 2 disallowed goals, and Salah also got injured which delayed a small bit

If you look at this thread I've made this point nearly every single CL game we've played this season: CL refs are not adding on enough time at the end of Liverpool games. It's not even close. I feel like it's blatantly obvious every single round and nothing is done about it

Can't comment on the disallowed goals as I haven't seen them back yet but regardless, 6mins is shocking. Sure there were 5mins added in the first half and nowhere near as much stoppage, but that at least seemed reasonable for that half. I was waiting for 9 or 10mins at 90 with the length of Lang stoppage. I will time it later on watch back

Arsenal will never get a better chance of reaching a UCL final.

Something phased them, they couldn't get anything going all night and seemed overawed by something

In fairness though only 1 of the 4 goals scored was from a set piece

They created 3.97 xG from Open Play and the other 3 goals were good open play moves, it's not like they relied on them tonight.

If anything they were poorer at set pieces missing a penalty and having a goal disallowed from a foul by van Dijk from a corner

The computer is back!

But it doesn't need to equal 100%?

The 3rd column should because it includes only the remaining teams. The winner will 100% come from those 8 therefore the cumulative total (of each individual teams chance) should be exactly 100.
(The other columns are correctly less than 100% as there were 8 other teams involved at the time).

Equalling 100.8% makes no sense when there's only those 8 clubs left

I wonder if the supercomputer is actually AI because that's the sort of inaccuracies you see from AI and then you point it out and it's all "great catch! I will adjust to 100%"

I had to tweak it slightly, because, apparently I captured it before last night's ties had completed!

Here is the "Gospel" - apologies for earlier, and hats off to the early morning mathematicians :)

I'll go for a PSG vs Bayern and Barca vs Arsenal semi final.

Would be a great set of games.

Bayern vs Arsenal final.

They are favourites because they are best placed to get to the final due to the draw but whoever comes through the other side of the draw has to be the favourite. I fully expect Arsenal to reach the final, I don't rate that Barca team highly at all.

That Barcelona team have Phenomenal attacking talent and Pedri is a brilliant midfielder. They’ll have a tough quarter final against Atleti, get through that and I think they will make the final. Over 2 legs I think a team will need to score at least 4 to knock them out, very possible the way they defend but not easy with the ball control they have through Pedri and others.

Interesting that computer thinks Arsenal are in the difficult side of the draw. The four teams odds on that side are above 50% combined.

Doesn’t pass the sense check I’m afraid.

Real Madrid definitely too low. With only 8 teams left, their odds shouldn’t be less than 1 in 8 given their pedigree in the competition and the quality of players they have.