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2025-26 UEFA Champions League

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,070 ✭✭✭✭NIMAN


    The EPL is a standalone Super League.

    It has all the money. Every transfer window now proves this, with lower level EPL teams outspending all the top teams in other leagues.

    There is no reason why the epl should not be dominating the CL for the last few years and the next decade, but maybe its almost as if football isnt a very predictable sport?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,438 ✭✭✭✭Fitz*


    They should.

    But they won't, as the current PL is a blocking, pushing, stop-start, second ball, set piece league. It's not a footballing league where teams will play the opposition off of the park, like it was a few years ago.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,676 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    EPL teams are mostly losing to a handful of super teams who can match them financially. The list of recent Champions League winners isn't exactly egalitarian.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,737 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    Look at Bodo glimt the goals they are scoring, power directness great to watch. Fearless. I know the team will probably break up after this year. But it is teams like that keep the interest in the CL for the neutrals.

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,150 ✭✭✭Pauliedragon


    Does other countries having a winter break hurting the PL teams when it comes into later in the season. We keep hearing the PL is more physical than other leagues so players are more tired. Maybe the PL just isn't as superior as people think.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,070 ✭✭✭✭NIMAN


    I think this nonsense about it being a more physical league is now outdated. .maybe back in the 70s and 80s, but now that the league is full of foreign players its very technical and based on possession, same as all other leagues.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,156 ✭✭✭✭citytillidie


    Round of 16 2nd Legs
    Tuesday 17th March

    Sporting Clube de Portugal (POR) V FK Bodø/Glimt (NOR) (Agg 0-3) - (17:45) - Live on Virgin Media Two / TNT Sport 3
    Arsenal FC (ENG) V Bayer 04 Leverkusen (GER) (Agg 1-1) - (20:00) - Live on Virgin Media Two / TNT Sport 1
    Chelsea FC (ENG) V Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) (Agg 2-5) - (20:00) - Live on TNT Sport 2
    Manchester City (ENG) V Real Madrid C.F. (ESP) (Agg 0-3) - (20:00) - Live on Amazon

    Wednesday 18th March
    FC Barcelona (ESP) V Newcastle United FC (ENG) (Agg 1-1) - (17:45) - Live on Virgin Media Two / TNT Sport 2
    FC Bayern München (GER) V Atalanta BC (ITA) (Agg 6-1) - (20:00) - Live on TNT Sport 4
    Liverpool FC (ENG) V Galatasaray A.Ş. (TUR) (Agg 0-1) - (20:00) - Live on RTE Two / TNT Sport 1
    Tottenham Hotspur (ENG) V Atlético de Madrid (ESP) (Agg 2-5) - (20:00) - Live on Virgin Media Two / TNT Sport 3

    ******



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,438 ✭✭✭✭Fitz*


    The Premier League is absolutely not based on possession right now.

    Teams sprint backwards after losing the second ball, which follow s a long punt forwards, and sit back in their block of 10 players behind the ball forcing the other team to start a sterile cycle of passing around the defence before eventually launching it forwards is not possession based. It's sterile passing around the centre backs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,676 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Well after tonight I hope nobody put money down based on his predictions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,070 ✭✭✭✭NIMAN


    Is sterile passing around of the CBs not the very definition of possession football?

    Every team i watch now, play the same type of game. Pass it around in a horse shoe shape in front of the defence, down the wings, no cross back to midfield, often back to the keeper. I see it in LOI, I see it in the EPL, I see it in La Liga.

    There is no hit and rush football, 50/50 take a chance any more. Its all about not conceding possession.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,438 ✭✭✭✭Fitz*


    I'd have possession football as Pep's Barca & City, Sarri's Napoli, peak- Wengers Arsenal or latter Klopp's Liverpool amongst others.

    All of those teams were very high up the pitch, often with 7,8, or even 9 players in the opposition half but critically they were constantly passing forwards and probing, looking for space. It wasn't over and back. Hleb, David Silva Bernardo Silva, KDB, Iniesta, Xavi etc etc who were all once known as attacking midfielders or wingers now being the 'deep' centre midfielders dictating the play from deep. They weren't dawdling on the ball for sterile possession, it wasn't their nature. They were getting it forwards and doing it quickly.

    I like that you mention that horse shoe shape pass map, as it's a big no-no when it comes to teams who don't have ideas in possession. As coincidence will have it, I see it a lot with current Liverpool. ETH had lots of it, and Van Gaal had it more than anyone I've seen it from. Maybe it's a Dutch thing. Latter Wenger teams were this way alright.

    It's basically when teams don't have that cutting edge, and no real conviction to pass through the middle.

    Wenger, Pep, Klopp et al were not afraid to pass through the middle, not at all.

    Edit: sorry, I should say that the above are the good possession teams. It's easy for the poor teams to fall into the trap of the horseshoe type over and back right back to centre back to left back to left winger and back again type stuff. That's horrible, and sterile.

    Post edited by Fitz* on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,586 ✭✭✭ronjo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,676 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Pep's Barcelona done an absolute ton of just passing it from one centre mid to the next and back.

    Used drive me nuts when people would fawn over their passing numbers because most of it was totally no danger 5 metre passes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,070 ✭✭✭✭NIMAN


    Spain Once passed the ball something like 1100 times in a WC game, and scraped a 1 nil win

    Some call that perfect tika taka, it was painful to watch.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,676 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Barca did also have plenty of fairly magic pieces of play but that Spain team was tiki taka without the magic. Awful to watch and on top of that David Villa just had a face that was easy to hate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,798 ✭✭✭✭pjohnson


    It wasn't too bad when there was Villa and Torres in the squad. When it was Cesc as striker it was dire.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,461 ✭✭✭jacool


    Couldn't "Celje" a busted docket, could I?

    In bad news for you, I said Arsenal would win the league!!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,461 ✭✭✭jacool


    There have been 51 previous occasions where a team has lost the first leg of a CL knockout game by three or more goals.

    Of these, only 4 have (famously) progressed, and one of them was helped by the away goals rule.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,879 ✭✭✭✭8-10




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,461 ✭✭✭jacool


    The super computer has been wheeled out, and had redone the chances of each team winning, after the 1st leg results.

    Here are the current "chances" compared to what they looked like after the draw was completed.

    After L16 draw

    After 1st Leg

    Bayern Munich

    16.4%

    26.34%

    Arsenal

    26.7%

    22.07%

    Barcelona

    9.7%

    12.1%

    PSG

    4.3%

    10.17%

    Real Madrid

    1.9%

    8.34%

    Atletico Madrid

    2.6%

    6.14%

    Liverpool

    11.4%

    4.46%

    Newcastle

    3.6%

    2.63%

    Man City

    11.1%

    2.27%

    Bodo/Glimt

    0.7%

    2.15%

    Leverkusen

    0.5%

    0.99%

    Galatasaray

    0.4%

    0.85%

    Chelsea

    6.4%

    0.76%

    Sporting Lisbon

    3.1%

    0.5%

    Tottenham

    0.7%

    0.05%

    Atalanta

    0.6%

    0.03%



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,879 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Real Madrid having a 1.9% chance of winning it before a knockout ball is kicked is wild. Doesn't matter who they've drawn, it's like everyone is surprised every year when they go deep in the competition.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,586 ✭✭✭ronjo


    Was just about to write this

    When will we ever learn? 🤣



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,111 ✭✭✭Did you smash it


    real will win eff all this season. They are in chaos and one match doesn’t change it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,879 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Both players in concussion protocol and can't play in the PL this weekend

    Highlights how crazy it was to try and keep them on the field at the time



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,461 ✭✭✭jacool


    I'd say this was factored in

    image.png

    and if you get out of there, to be rewarded with this

    image.png

    Then you are in the final (which, yes, Real would win, because that's what they do.)

    That side of the draw is full of the better teams, and why their chances were so low.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,879 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Sure but City had a virtually identical draw and had over 11% chance



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 36,136 ✭✭✭✭~Rebel~


    That tie was probably the crux of it… like, City were slight favourites to win on Wednesday in the Bernabeu, after already beating them there this season 2-1, so they must have been quite heavy enough favourites to get through that tie, which would scuttle Madrid's odds right away.

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,857 ✭✭✭mikeybhoy


    Just put a fiver each way on Bodo/Glimt to win it 28/1



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,027 ✭✭✭cmac2009


    Which is the pick of tonight's games - City or Chelsea to mount some sort comeback?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,150 ✭✭✭Pauliedragon


    Can't see either City or Chelsea making a come back. If I had pick one It would be City.



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