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US/Israel conduct airstrikes on Iran again

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Comments

  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 13,592 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    There IS another alternative. Make peace. Atone for the crimes. Allow security over other people's land. Anything!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,085 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    If only there was some sort of a board set up recently that could try and attempt this.

    Not sure what is should be called but how about "Board of Not Starting Wars"?



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 13,592 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    K, that got my sarcasm meter going wonky again 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,888 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Iran began enrichment after Trump threw away the JCPOA treaty, which was working and reinstated sanctions on Iran.

    They began enrichment as a way to force the US back to the negotiations and they gave every indication of being open to ending all enrichment again. War was absolutely not necessary to stop Iran from developing Nukes

    Ban billionaires



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,174 ✭✭✭Glenomra


    Confession time!!! I was one of the optimists when Trump was elected. I expected that he would become a force of some good in the world and serve as an antidote to the extreme liberalism I saw enveloping the world. I now think that he is finished as a meaningful president. This Iranian debacle is unforgivable. No obvious planning, no realisation that the Iranians would suck in their neighbours and damage their economies, no understanding of the importance of Hormuz Straits and how the world economy would be impacted, surrounded by Rubio, Hesketh and other amadans, etc etc. Sanchez has called his bluff , Carney having second thoughts, Starmer reasonably defiant and others will increasingly do so. He is rapidly becoming a dead duck of a president.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,278 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,227 ✭✭✭Enduro


    I'm not sure about Hamas. There's a death cult irrationality to a lot of their thinking. There's no doubt in my mind that Hamas launched the attack with an intention to provoke a huge response from Israel (which they got), and drag all their allies (like Hezbollah) into a multi-front war on Israel (which they mostly got). But I doubt they expected to lose so badly across all of those fronts. They might still be happy with all the additional recognition they have received for a Palestinian state. So I'd say their more rational thinkers now know that it was a big mistake, but the more death cult side probably thinks they've advanced their cause from a stategic long term POV.

    As for the Israeli far right and extreme right, of course they are delighted. Gaza is now "in play", in a way that didn't seem remotely possible before. But that's small beer for them compared to the cover it has given them to ramp up their project to progressively take the West Bank. And they're all over that.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 13,592 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    You were impressed by Trump's first turn in office?



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,702 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Probably because the airports struck were military targets, and I suspect the points of aim were the military targets on the facility. Dual use has fallen out of favour in the West, but not everywhere.

    Three airports which have been known to have been struck:

    Mehrabad International Airport in Tehran. Top right you see hardened aircraft shelters. Bottom center is an apron with a bunch of military aircraft. Bottom left are munitions bunkers. The military aircraft (and ground-based defenses) based there are IRGC.

    image.png

    Bandar Abbas is an IIRAF base. The military end is North, with aircraft shelters on the left, munitions on the right.

    image.png

    Bushehr. Looks like an Air Force base to me, at least a squadron's worth of IIRAF can be housed in the HAS bottom right.

    image.png

    I have seen no reports of anyone wasting munitions on Imam Khomeni Airport. What do you not see in this image which you see in the above ones?

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,854 ✭✭✭weisses


    Reasons for the collapse by Trump were

    • Sunset Provisions: Critics argued that the deal's restrictions on Iran’s nuclear activities were temporary (some set to expire between 2026 and 2031), merely delaying rather than permanently preventing Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.
    • Ballistic Missile Program: The agreement focused strictly on nuclear enrichment and did not address Iran’s development of ballistic missiles, which the U.S. viewed as a primary delivery method for nuclear warheads.
    • Regional "Malign Activities": The Trump administration argued the deal provided Iran with a "windfall" of billions of dollars in sanctions relief, which it allegedly used to fund terrorism and proxy wars in Syria, Yemen, and Lebanon.
    • Inspection Gaps: Opponents claimed the IAEA inspection regime was not "anytime, anywhere" and did not grant sufficient access to Iranian military sites.

    The EU, China and Russia were in favour to keep the deal going but after Iran started to make weapons grade uranium the EU uses the snapback clause.

    Iran FAFO



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 975 ✭✭✭BettyS


    The sign of intelligence is admitting when we were wrong.

    I despised Trump’s brand of politics since I witnessed him mocking a disabled kid who was anti-Trump in the run-up to the 2016 election. To involve children is so uncouth and cruel. Nothing could redeem that for me.

    However, my brother genuinely believed that Trump was going to seize back America from the elites and make it more equitable for all. He believed that he was going to focus on domestic-affairs and no new foreign conflicts. My brother is not a bad person. He genuinely believed. He no longer believes and Iran confirms this. It is not as simple as Trump voters- bad, Trump critics- good. We need to understand what drives people towards populists, such as Trump, so that we can prevent it from happening again



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,888 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    The alternative is to not use this as an opportunity to steal more land like they do every **** time

    Ban billionaires



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,227 ✭✭✭Enduro


    Hezbollah's decision to attack Israel was monumentally stupid. The FO part of that FAFO decision is now evident. It was good to see the Lebanese government basically telling Hezbollah to cop the feck on.

    The problem for the Lebanese government is that Hezbollah remains a hugely powerful military/paramilitary force in Lebanon, with a very significant amount of support behind it. If their army was capable of dealing with Hezbollah, they would. But unfortunately, the national army is simply not powerful enough to realistically do so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,664 ✭✭✭amacca


    "Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff two of the best negotiators in the world"

    So says Hegseth......say what now, best negotiators in the world, really?

    Really?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,854 ✭✭✭weisses


    I hope they will use it only as a buffer zone to allow time to counter missiles and defend against the Iranian backed hezbollah



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,664 ✭✭✭amacca


    I suppose you have yo factor in extreme ideology/religious zealotry to any and all musings about what groups might do

    Maga is a cult of sorts too....look at the stupid **** many of their supporters want.....how many will look back and consider if they would change their actions

    Factor In some peoples extreme dislike of admitting they may have been incorrect...especially when they march themselves up a hill



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,438 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Some footage from Tehran airport with attacks on jets and a helicopter. You need to be careful when shooting off these expensive missiles.

    The old world is dying, and the new world struggles to be born: now is the time of monsters. — Antonio Gramsci



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,664 ✭✭✭amacca


    I think you may be incorrect about the bit about them having no idea about the effects on Hormuz Straits.....a total moron would be aware of that, even this administration

    I'd be surprised if they haven't found a way to profit from it through various avenues.....if they haven't then they really are the dimmest bunch ever to be in control......many of them strike me as the disaster capitalist types....they don't give a **** if the ordinary citizen loses as long as they themselves profit handsomely

    This one does look like it could get away from them however even in the short term never mind the long term....so it could be chaotic and part of that is because the guy at the very tippy top is a moron....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 795 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    That looks fake. If it was a painting on the ground, it would have been obliterated by the explosion from an "expensive missile".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,202 ✭✭✭Ardillaun


    The Azeris are the biggest minority. They could receive support from their fellow Azeris across the border in Azerbaijan. I think the Kurds might be easier to persuade to fight. They’d want to look at the small print, though.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 975 ✭✭✭BettyS


    it looks haphazard. However, the Venezuelan “special operation” and oil deals make me think that they knew exactly what was planned ahead



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,664 ✭✭✭amacca


    Fair enough....but an awful lot of simpletons must have voted for him too



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,202 ✭✭✭Ardillaun


    He and his minions have zero respect for the sovereignty of other countries. They don’t perceive them as real in the same way as the US.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,053 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    Hegseth says US has sunk an Iranian warship in international waters near Sri Lanka.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,202 ✭✭✭Ardillaun


    I have relatives who support Trump and Farage. They’re not bad people but they are seriously deluded.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,202 ✭✭✭Ardillaun


    The bright people also sound like simpletons when they try to justify what he has done.

    Post edited by Ardillaun on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 975 ✭✭✭BettyS


    A lot of people in America feel like they only can rely on themselves. They are supporting their own health-insurance and working every hour under the sun. They don’t feel like society has done anything for them. They feel like the elites only want to look after themselves. They don’t want other people to get a free-ride from society when they cannot even get a small break. They look at it, who would pay their rent if they could not work! Who would buy their medications if they didn’t have work. And you want people freeloading off the state, with cheap university fees for years. I don’t agree with this mentality and I believe strongly in a progressive taxation system, which looks after the vulnerable. But I have a good life. The more the divide grows and the more hardship that the average US person experiences, the harder that they become to the suffering of their fellow Americans. It is never economic boom times that leads to populist governments. Scarcity makes people hard, particularly when you can see the growing disparity between the haves and have nots



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,357 ✭✭✭Tazz T


    Like the old buffer zone in Lebanon. Like the buffer zone in Syria. Like the yellow line in Gaza. Some chance. Jordan will be next and part of the West Bank will be a buffer zone.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,753 ✭✭✭DayInTheBog


    You're obviously answering a different question to one one I asked.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 975 ✭✭✭BettyS


    what I have noticed about these type of people they seem incapable of realising that no candidate is perfect. They seem to not realise that decisions are made between two imperfect options and we have to choose the least worst option. By tarnishing all candidates, they are effectively supporting the worst candidate with their moral equivalency arguments. Also, another cardinal feature of their logic is letting emotions and instinct dictate how they think. They want simplistic solutions and are unwilling to accept the complexity of the issues at hand. Their solutions are superficially plausible. But if you try to probe and do back of the cigarette box figures with them, they become defensive and it becomes an ad hominem attack



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