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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - Mod Warning updated in OP 12/2/26

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,891 ✭✭✭threeball


    Its difficult to know which way this goes in the next while. If Europe retaliate with economic measures, Trump may well up it again and start to push the military options.

    I think the EU need to start looking a few steps ahead to a worst case scenario. Its not inconceivable that this ends up in a military conflict. To that end the EU should look at developing a purchasing thousands of sea drones similar to those used by Ukraine but more stealthy and capable of longer distances. The US rely on their Aircraft carriers for force projection. Without them they can't gain air superiority and everything else starts to fail. The east Atlantic should become a forest of mobile mines should it ever come to pass. This could all go south within 6 months. I hope they're not naive enough to think it can't happen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,852 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Tariffs are applied to the country of origin. Trade agreements mean some countries are treated the same (or as one in the case of the EU).

    Yes it may be illegal and yes I'm sure the EU will retaliate by targeted industry specific tariffs. (I hope every NATO country in the EU sends a military representative to Greenland to piss Trump off even more)

    However as I have stated Trump can impose country specific tariffs on EU countries. The EU can complain and bring a case to the EU or impose counter tariffs etc… but that doesn't change the fact that Trump can impose those tariffs. If/When he TACO's is irrelevant, we're debating about if Trump can actually do it, which he can. If he actually does it, is a completely different matter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 31,310 ✭✭✭✭looksee


    This is what I asked a couple of pages back. If Trump were playing by the rules, no, of course he can't separate individual countries, but he can't go and kidnap a foreign head of state, he can't threaten to take over a country that is part of his own defense agreement, he can't do a lot of things that he has done, or threatened to do.

    Its not suggested that his plan to tariff individual countries of the EU won't have repercussions, but he can and will do any damn thing he wants. Its his own country and government that should be stopping him, and they are not, they are encouraging him - probably giving him the hymn sheet - and there are limits to what the EU can do in the face of total ignorance or ignoring of international laws. Certainly its hard to see how they can prevent Trump from declaring that a tariff be taken on imports from particular countries, the goods are in the country at that stage, how are they going to stop him?

    Yes of course the EU can retaliate, and no doubt they will, but they can't stop some sort of cobbled together ruling that certain goods be taxed as they come into the country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,134 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    If they lie down for him he will ride em,if they stand up the few sensible people left in America will stall things until he dies, he doesn't have the dictatorship he desires, it's fairly obvious if he survives until the end of his term he will be declared incompetent before it's end, they can't hide him away.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,815 ✭✭✭Thepoet85


    300 posts in a day, has he died or what?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,340 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    The U.K posted one officer to the multinational military force so recently established on Greenland as a sign of solidarity with the Greenland citizens objecting to Trump's threat to take the island by military means if the Greenlanders wont accept his offer of a cash deal. Trumps response must be a kick in the teeth for the U.K's PM after he allowed the U.S military land large cargo planes on two air bases in the U.K carrying the disassembled Chinooks and Apache attack copters, along with the U.S special Forces teams, to seize the trans-Atlantic Russian flagged oil tanker last week. A week is a long time in politics…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,679 ✭✭✭amacca


    Yep...I hope the fawning bought time to come up with an effective coordinated response that hits where it hurts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,544 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,679 ✭✭✭amacca


    **** that...up the ante on the prick

    When you are in a position to do it, the only thing a bully understands is a punch in the nose followed by another and another and then keep pummelling

    That's the psychology.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,750 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    Again, it would be illegal for him to do so. Trade happens between markets, not countries.

    He can try, but again this isn’t as easy for customs to perform within the US, so that’s another hurdle for them to jump over. Goods move freely with the EU, so the country of origin could be where a good was made, produced or altered. For tariff and trade policy, the US deals with the EU, so they treat the good as coming from one source. So even if that says Germany or France, the tariff would be applied to the EU.

    The EU is already united in this and is probably preparing its retaliation, so we can just wait and see on that front.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,891 ✭✭✭threeball


    I still wouldn't take the chance. Its a small investment to develop and purchase a few thousand of these things. Europe becomes a fortress with them and the ability to ramp up production if it were ever needed. We should have a few hundred in Ireland alone. They wouldn't even need to be armed at this stage. No different than having tanks or planes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,782 ✭✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    I wonder will the threat of tariffs be met with a ban on certain military activities in Europe? It’s hard to know what will “hurt” the US though simply because:

    1. Trump doesn’t give a sh1t about polls and public opinion polls in the main
    2. America as a whole is in a coma right now so there really isn’t anything that will bother Trump - and if something does, he’ll roll out troops and national guard and ICE and quash it
    3. As long as the American billionaires are happy and making money, unemployment or health or whatever won’t register in his little mind

    Limiting American military activity in Europe will likely be met with a “we’re gone from NATO” response or he’ll start helping Putin take Ukraine more openly than he’s doing right now



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,599 ✭✭✭joseywhales


    Us targets specific EU states with tariffs. EU should target red us states with tariffs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,599 ✭✭✭joseywhales


    Furthermore, China have been hit hardest with tariffs. It might be time for the EU to coordinate with China to disrupt us industry in red states. A collective action from both



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,716 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    That can't be done. I can remember during Brexit the UK had memorandums of understandings with various US states which the UK stupidly thought were trade deals. They learnt the hard way that they could not do individual deals.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,852 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Illegal under what law… US law? That's the only law Trump can be held uncountable to (at that's even wishful thinking)

    Yes it's extremely easy for customs to perform, it's country of origin. If I buy a BMW from Germany and ship it from Ireland, I enter Germany as the COO for it. If I ship some Waterford crystal to the US and it gets routed through FedEx in Germany it's marked as Ireland as COO, despite shipping from Germany. If I ship an IPhone from Ireland to the US, the COO is China.

    We're debating if Trump can target individual countries within the EU, yes he can, every package entering the US as a country of origin. He can base the tariff on that.

    The legality or the united EU response is completely separate. Yes he may target a single EU country, but the EU as a whole will implement counter tariffs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,599 ✭✭✭joseywhales


    What I am not understanding is why we think that trade rules apply anymore, the US seem happy to ignore them, the laws are only as useful as our ability to enforce them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,852 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    It's not incorrect, the EU target certain industries where red states suffer the most… think whiskey etc…. it hits red states hardest.

    Likewise if you want to target Germany you tariff the motor industry, Ireland the pharma, France the wine etc….



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,189 ✭✭✭✭J Mysterio


    Yes, but don't even wait. Do it now. Let's get aggressive ourselves and put it to this sonofabitch



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,750 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    The country of origin is primarily used for logistics, labelling and stats, things like that. Tariffs etc are applied at the EU level, so again, that would be another shift in how they perform trade and logistics. It’s not as simple as looking at a docket for a shipment, they are usually like books, not leaflets.

    Under WTO law, of course he doesn’t care about that, and he himself won’t pay a price. As always, Americans will, but we know that already.

    We aren’t debating it, it’s a simple fact that trade happens at the EU level, as it has done for years. The tariff isn’t based off the country of origin, it’s based off the market. It’s under its own trade policy that the US does this. The tariffs and trade remedies are at the EU level, it’s just that simple.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,701 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    That was the aborted response that was planned to happen to the first set of Trump tariffs (selective tariffs on products of the "Red" Trump-worshipping areas of the US).

    I think at this stage it is probably too weak and the correct reaction (or part of one) to this US aggression and hostility is to do that, but also target the US technology companies who all make vast amounts of money out of Europeans.

    Start taking some of that profit off them, and shoving them out of these markets.

    Am doubtful it'll happen though, unfortunately.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,750 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    You’re getting closer now. The US can target specific companies from certain countries, so BMW, Audi etc, with pharma America would be targeting a lot of American companies, which I wouldn’t put past them.

    But the EU haven’t targeted specific states within the US.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,852 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    OMG no, the Country of Origin is not an after thought ffs. Apple don't slap a made in china sticker on their products for the fun of it. You're trying to diminish the whole worldwide trade order with those statements.

    Yes, a simple single piece of paper can suffice, you do not need pages of documents unless you're transporting certain goods, usually live food goods and they require veterinary certs etc…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,891 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    Wonder what the plan is when the 25% tariffs doesnt work? I guess The EU wont sign the US-EU trade deal so it looks like we will have economic uncertainty for a number of months. Maybe until the American Mid-terns.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,852 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    OMG no, how inept are you. One side is rogue and does what he likes. In this case he can tariff any country with a vowel in it's name or any country who didn't win a world cup. Under that person's law, it's legal for him to do that (pending a Supreme Court Case)

    The other side (The EU) abides by rules and regulations and cannot target individual states, they have to target a product. So they target products where the majority of sales come from Red states, like whiskey. They cannot exempt a blue state's whiskey from tariffs, all Us whiskey will be tariffed the same as the EU abide by international laws and norms.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,750 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    Apple has nothing to do with this. I also said it would be used for statistics, you can include labelling on that.

    You’re struggling to understand how markets work here, and tariffs are applied at the most basic level.

    You don’t need pages of documents? Whatever you say.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,750 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    Inept…I understand how the basics of trade work with the EU, it’s a concept that seems to be causing you issues. It’s only been operating since…checks notes…1993.

    That persons law? He doesn’t have a law, as rogue as he is going, he doesn’t undercut trade policies or international law, you’re giving him far too much credit on that one.

    Yes, the EU are strategic with industries they target…imagine that. I’m well aware of how targeting specific industries works, that’s exactly what America could do, I use the world could because Trump clearly doesn’t understand that either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,852 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    You seem to fail to acknowledge that tariffs are at the sole discretionary of the country who apply them to imports.
    Trump can impose a 10000% tariff on anything he likes. He can can and has undercut trade policies and international law.
    His reciprocal tariffs undercut trade policies and WTO rules and yet here were are months later and US companies and citizens are still paying those tariffs. US laws trump international laws (in the eyes in America)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,852 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    I figure it will be a wait and see approach from the EU. He's only threatened them. If/When they kick in, I would expect the EU to invoke tariffs on products from the red leaning states. After that… who only knows, I suspect Trump will threaten higher tariffs. I guess he really wants Greenland.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 15,631 ✭✭✭✭retalivity




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