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New Government of FF + FG + Regional Inds + Healy Raes

189101113

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 132 ✭✭The Venus Project


    FG family myself but I want to help FF, I want to help Martin, he sacrificed himself and his party for me and my family. So what? He’s kind of checkmated me because I’m someone who doesn’t screw people like himself who act in service and with honour over?
    I still probably won’t vote for him but I won’t see him destroyed after imitating me with his orange ties and having Niall Collins and others come out in such a way. It’s a death knell to take such stances in Ireland and we saw that confirmed by the vote.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,052 ✭✭✭✭Galwayguy35


    I think the voters will bury this government if they aren't seen to have got a handle on housing by the time Nov 2029 rolls around.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,420 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    hard to know, you d be surprised of the amount of ffg voters that will turn out, and the fact, the alternative, i.e. sf, are completely sh1t and scare the bejesus out of many voters



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,217 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    FFG have a new record.

    Almost 17,000 homeless in November in another record high

    Homelessness has reached another record high with 16,996 people accessing emergency accommodation in November.

    The Department of Housing's homeless report shows that 11,675 adults and 5,321 children accessed emergency accommodation in November.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,217 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Why are the government going soft on the Mercosur deal? It is certainly not a good deal for Ireland.

    It will also 100% impact our food quality.

    Brazilian beef with banned hormones entered Irish market

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,049 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    The banned beef will remain banned under Mercosur. Trade deals do nothing to change phytosanitary restrictions.

    The deal is absolutely fine and significantly more relevant now that we are at loggerheads with our current biggest trading partner. Gaining easier access to the Mercosur market seems a significantly bigger deal than allowing 1.5% of total EU beef production into the single market at a slightly lower tariff level.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,034 ✭✭✭Packrat


    What goods or services do we produce which you expect this deal to increase sales of in Mercosur counties?

    I'm not aware of any.

    There is NO upside for Ireland.

    But as long as it upsets the farmers then it must be good eh?



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,049 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    But as long as it upsets the farmers then it must be good eh?

    I find this is generally a good rubric yeah.

    However to answer your question we currently have about 1.7B€ worth of exports to Mercosur. Biggest ones being pharma and farm equipment.

    Service exports are currently 1.8B€

    Seems to me significantly reducing or eliminating tariffs and streamlining service provision in return for allowing one point five percent of total EU beef production to be imported at "only" 7.5% tariff is a pretty decent deal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 632 ✭✭✭Coolcormack1979


    but just **** the fact that Brazilian beef is produced with no standards and pumped full of everything thing banned here.feck or I have to jump tru hoops with Bord Bia inspections every 18 months and they going tru every tiny detail.felt like telling the Bord Bia guy today that rang for my next inspection to go run and jump.

    Ya **** the farmers and fcuk quality food



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,049 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Banned beef remains banned beef. This changes literally nothing about what is and is not allowed.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,034 ✭✭✭Packrat


    Keep telling yourself this. You, we and more importantly the Brazilians know exactly what's going to happen.

    It's about 0.075% of Brazils production...

    You think this is all they're intending to send??



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,049 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    You think this is all they're intending to send??

    That is all they will be able to send under the lower tariff rate under Mercosur. This is just conspiracy theory stuff now - the law is incredibly clear around this and importation of animal products is strictly regulated.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 632 ✭✭✭Coolcormack1979


    front page of today’s farmers journal would beg to differ



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,217 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    It looks like Lowry and Healy Raes told Martin and Harris to vote No.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,049 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Good for them. They are wrong.

    The 100 or so tons of improper material that was imported will be just as illegal to import after Mercosur.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,052 ✭✭✭✭Galwayguy35


    If the government vote for this I hope they get destroyed in the next election.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,480 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    They've said they won't; but the reality is that only a very small number of people actually care; and they are more likely to be voting for the Government supporting Independents than FF/FG, if they voted for the Government in any way.

    Quite a lot of those TDs are late seat, heavy transfer recipients; and plenty of those transfers are anti-government and will not go their way again. Two of them were elected solely on SF transfers. Those are all almost certain to lose their seats next time out.

    Marian Harkin got the last seat by 900 votes (ahead of II). She got 200 PBP, 500 Labour and 1800 SF transfers.

    Grealish got the last seat by 900 votes (ahead of II, again, oddly). He got 300 Aontu, 500 Mike Cubbard and a few hundred other definitely not FF/FG transfers.

    Gogarty got the last seat by 900 (ahead of SDs). 100 Green, 200 Aontu, 200 Labour, 500 PBP transfers.

    Heneghan is in the second last seat, 1600 ahead of sixth (FF). 900 Labour, 900 Aontu, 1700 SF transfers.

    These four clearly got in as ABFFG candidates, and they went and joined such a Government. Only one of them is getting a Ministerial pension out of it, and she's already retired from politics previously so is probably not determined to keep going anyway.

    Of the rest, Toole is last seat but has 3500 margin - but is likely somewhat an ABFFG candidate too; Canney and Moran were elected relatively early on; Lowry and the Healey-Raes are safe til they retire.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 17,921 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    This effects a very loud small group of people who are unlikely to be impacted anyway.

    It's also easy for Ireland to vote no given there is no veto in this case and the deal will end up going through anyway (or if it doesn't, it won't be because Ireland voted no). It's a bit of parish pump politics for that small loud group.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,882 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Ultimately, they aren't in cabinet.

    Martin Heydon - Agriculture, Helen McEntee - Trade and Peter Burke - Enterprise, are all against it. They hold the crucial portfolios to sink it.

    But as a whole, I don't think the government would be announcing this in advance without knowing that enough others are going to vote against it too. It would be a strange hill to die on just for tokenism.

    They must know that either France or Italy, or both, are going to sink it. On top of Poland, Hungary, Holland and Belgium. They need 5 of those six to block it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,217 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    The Regional Independents and Michael Healy Rae are clearly calling the shots. As soon as they got mouthy yesterday, Martin did a climbdown.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,049 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    But as a whole, I don't think the government would be announcing this in advance without knowing that enough others are going to vote against it too. It would be a strange hill to die on just for tokenism.

    Or they think it is going to pass, think that is a good thing, and now get to just play silly buggers with it politically.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,034 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    France might vote against, and therefore block, it. The Italians got a lot of concessions they were looking for so I think are likely to approve it

    If it gets approved I don't see it making much of a difference here. The main issue as I understand it is that Brazilian beef will potentially be on our supermarket shelves next to Irish beef. A bit of healthy competition might help prices be more stable but I don't see it making a huge difference



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,217 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    It looks like the government conveniently decided to vote against the deal when they knew it would be passed and it was safe to do so.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,397 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Healthy competition? More like destructive competition.

    Irish producers will simply not be able to compete with their Brazilian counterparts. As any farmer here will tell you, they are subject to very stiff environmental and quality standards. Who's going to be checking Brazilian beef isn't pumped full of anti-biotics or growth hormones? Who's going to be checking whether the animal was reared on land that wasn't formerly the Amazon rainforest. Who's going to be checking that Brazilian farmer paid the Irish equivalent of carbon taxes for the emissions that the animal/farm machinery produced?

    If the goal is simply cheaper prices, then at least let Irish producers compete on a level playing field.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,049 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    It is 1.5% of European production and not even tariff free.

    Who's going to be checking Brazilian beef isn't pumped full of anti-biotics or growth hormones?

    The same people who check European beef isn't? It isn't an honour system.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,034 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Oh please, Irish beef is far superior to Brazilian beef. There's no competition!

    Irish cows are filled with those exact same antibiotics and growth hormones as and when they need them. Only difference is the documentation that goes with it

    Our farmers got a derogation on the nitrates directive in the middle of a climate emergency so we can't say much about environmental concerns to be fair



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,397 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Oh please, Irish beef is far superior to Brazilian beef. There's no competition!

    The vast majority of consumers won't care about quality. If they see an Irish steak and a Brazilian steak on the shelf, they will go with the cheaper one. Sustainability, traceability, what additives are used, quality, etc. just won't be a factor.

    Irish cows are filled with those exact same antibiotics and growth hormones as and when they need them. Only difference is the documentation that goes with it

    This statement is completely false. For a start, growth hormones are banned in the EU.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,217 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    A farmer told me 2 years ago that we are heading towards a 2 tier society when it comes to food. Only the richer folks will be able to afford the better quality and healthy foods (e.g. Irish grass fed steak, organic veg/fruit) and the rest will eat wherever they can afford. Big Food will happily provide poorer folks with processed toxic cancerous sludge.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,049 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Truly shocked to hear farmer's talk conspiratorial nonsense. There is nothing healthier about grass fed beef or organic fruit/veg. If anything the latter is worse for the environment. They do love charging a premium for it though. Grass fed beef is definitely tastier though, I'll give you that. It it, however, much more expensive to produce.

    "Big Food" 🙄 thanks to them food has never been cheaper or more plentiful.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,049 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    For a start, growth hormones are banned in the EU.

    They are also banned in imported beef.



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