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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - Mod Warning updated in OP 12/2/26

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,142 ✭✭✭Widdensushi




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 179 ✭✭thenuisance




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,423 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    im more concerned about russia at the moment, but since both are cosying up to each other, we also need to be more aware of america, neither can truly be trusted now, their own relationship is also highly questionable, both potentially could slit each others throats if needs must, we ve entered an extremely turbulent phase



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,708 ✭✭✭yagan


    Well it would make sense if this takeover simply replaces Canadian oil with Venezuelan heavy crude. At the time when Chavez attempted his first coup he was accused of being a CIA operative.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,496 ✭✭✭✭Jelle1880


    I think generally it's good that Maduro is gone and I'm happy for Venezuelans.

    But anyone (Venezuelan or other) who thinks they will now all of a sudden become a prosperous nation due to their oil is buttoned up at the back. The difference is that instead of the money going to Maduro is that now it's going to the US.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,541 ✭✭✭bmc58




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,747 ✭✭✭✭martingriff


    Trump couldn't get Greenland or Canada so settled for Venezuela. Love to see if charges will stick in US courts



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,423 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    and he ll be grand, nothing gonna happen that chap, legally anyway



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,779 ✭✭✭amandstu


    I wonder if they will try to grease Maduro's palms and reinstall him in Venezuela?

    I mean crazy is the new norm ,isn't it?

    .They are looking for a new dictator and he is qualified .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,423 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,238 ✭✭✭FishOnABike


    The sonar planned to be deployed should improve our monitoring ability but it would still be little more than a slight forewarning of something we could do little about.

    Combined with a few strategic ground stations, it could leave Ireland isolated from a high speed communications perspective.

    That a substantial amount of this capacity is shared with other countries does provide some safety as attacking shared infrastructure would also be attacking those countries.

    The only real defense is in multiple redundancy in a distributed / decentralised communications system. Europe needs to be developing and deploying it's own starlink like system, similar to what the Galileo system provides for navigation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,552 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    The perp walk reminded me of how Putin brought all the oligarchs to heel.

    He brought the richest into court and literally stuck him in a cell around the dock and broadcast to the whole of Russia.

    Can't help but think that this is the start of it.

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,064 ✭✭✭thomil


    I disagree that we could do little about any attack. Such an attack would likely not be done directly by divers, or by a submarine firing a torpedo at the cable. Instead, it would likely consist of a device of some sort being positioned on, or near the targeted cable that would then be set off by a pre-planned sonar pulse weeks, or even months down the line. The Russian navy has two dedicated “special project” submarines for that purpose, BS-136 “Orenburg” and K-329 “Belgorod”, and there is a precedent for such activities in the shape of operation Ivy Bells, the tapping of USSR communications cables by the US Navy in the 1970s.

    As such, “all” that would be needed to secure the cables would be regular monitoring, combined with the ability to send down divers or ROVs once an unusual object has been detected. In that regard, it’s more akin to mine clearance than to regular anti-submarine work, although the latter would still be needed to detect the submarines themselves. It’s still a massive effort, but very much doable, once you have the proper equipment.

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,142 ✭✭✭Widdensushi




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,190 ✭✭✭✭J Mysterio


    The Trump period will definitely be marked as the end of the post WWII era and the start of a very terrible new period.

    Hard to define what that new period is, but seems to be bassically a resetting of what progress was made following WWII and what is now basically the rise of authoritarianism and tyranny in the US, marked by:

    • illegal/ extrajudicial state actions
    • gunboat diplomacy/ wars of convenience
    • contempt for international law
    • erosion of human rights

    Ironic really that the Republicans have been so besotted by the rapid development of an authoritarian tyrant when they have always sworn to protect against such with their precious guns. In particular, 'Tea Party' types are supposed to be isolationists against colonialism.

    Trump is acting like an overlord of a sovereign country of over 30 million people in Venezuela. Just plucking their leader out and saying US energy companies will 'run Venezuela' is utterly abominable and as bad as anything from colonial times.

    The EU needs to toughen up and act quickly to ensure our survival at this point. Unimaginably, Trump's US are as likely as not to side with Russia against us and our interests, and they have already been actively undermining the institutions which underpin our society, in addition to fermenting unrest to sicken our society so that it might model theirs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,064 ✭✭✭thomil


    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,190 ✭✭✭✭J Mysterio




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,402 ✭✭✭✭The Nal


    Theres been celebrations all over Latin America. All over the world actually.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,142 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    That an attack would only happen in the predicted scenario, there's too many other options to list



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,423 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    misguided unfortunately, although understandable, but just wait a while!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,619 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    Echoes of various Africans celebrating the ousting of their leaders in the last few years, saying it was great to be rid of the last traces of European imperialism. And thanking the Russians for helping stage the coup.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,639 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    When British troops went into NI in 1969, they were actually welcomed by the nationalist community….people thought they would restore stability and bring law and order to the streets.

    Very unclear what will happen in Venezuela, but the potential for things to go pear shaped is certainly there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,481 ✭✭✭Rawr


    A lot of what will happen in Venezuela kind of depends on what happens next and I have little faith in Donnie nor his people having that much follow-though on any plan, let alone something this complex.

    What’s happed so far is that Delta Force went in and did their special ops thing by storming in, taking Maduro and then getting out while Maduro’s forces are trying to figure out what it going on. But that’s pretty much it. I know the US have also been taking tankers over the last few days, but the Maduro capture hasn’t really done anything to progress the tactical situation yet. Instead of using him to pressure his people to accept an Occupation (as has sometimes happened with similar raids in history) they just brought him up to New York on some silly drugs charge.

    In the meantime, Maduro’s party and state structures are still there. Venezuela is more or less the same as before…just minus Maduro. Just like when Chavez died, nothing much will change unless the current government is taken away or forced into an actual democratic election. That…or the US actually attempt an invasion. Neither has happened yet, and until they do all Donnie has managed to do is capture a guy that few people like…but hasn’t actually changed anything on the ground in Caracas.

    Part of me suspects that Donnie thought that sending in Delta Force to capture Maduro would be enough to “win” this conflict…and that he isn’t really prepared for everything the needs to come afterward. He may end up finding himself under the same “Mission Accomplished” banner that old Dubl-ya used after “winning” the Iraq War.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,708 ✭✭✭yagan


    Trump's shown zero interest in reestablishing democracy, so essentially the US has picked up another security dependency like in the middle east. All that's happened is Trump has replaced Madura as autocratic ruler, and no doubt he'll be thinking about how to become autocratic ruler of the USA.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,192 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    Once the EU decided that it would speak with a single voice on Foreign Policy?
    The die regarding the need to at least militarise to the extent that it could reasonably be seen able to enforce and if necessary coearce its viewpoints and policies without recourse to relying on US supported interventions via NATO became immediately apparent IMHO.

    To borrow a phrase from Teddy, Speak softly and carry a big stick.
    Prior to Trump 1?
    That big stick so far as the EU was concerned, was market and regulatory dominance to the extent that access to "our" market was a proze worth toeing our line so far as rogue actors were concerned.
    In the new era of US supported adventurism?
    Those rogue states are relying on each other and accessing fringe markets.

    I'm not saying build an EU army, and torch the Atlantic alliance.
    I am saying, that when it comes to what matters in terms of security, indepence of action and if those ideals we as Europeans profess to value actually matter?
    We must be prepared to sanction friends and former friends.
    We cant do that currently whilst much of the EU's security is underwritten by US and by a reliance on imported or licensed US gear.
    France have long followed a path of strategeic autonomy and post the S400 buy, Turkey have been doing the same.
    Excise America from our intelligence and defence infrastructure.
    Share with them as allies, yes.
    Allow them to act as unfettered Hegemon? NO!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,138 ✭✭✭Stanley 1


    Trump will also squeeze out and away, whatever funds, crypto or otherwise, Maduro has in overseas account just as Putin is probably doing to Assad in Moscow.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,410 ✭✭✭mountain


    In Trumps head he is the star of a Netflix show



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 569 ✭✭✭midlander12


    The reality is that Trump will have lost interest in this by Tuesday. This was a decapitation rather than a regime change, with more than a hint of it being an inside job by elements of the Maduro regime who are prepared to work with Trump in return for a lifting of the blockade. The swift side-lining of Machado speaks volumes.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 55,577 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    how much of this was trump's idea, and how much of it was driven by the ultra-hawkish in the states whose crazy ideas would usually be tempered by more measured politicians?

    all it takes is for someone to convince trump it was his own idea (probably not that hard to do) and he'll agree to it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,901 ✭✭✭threeball


    I said many months ago that having Russia threatening the EU suits the US. It splits the attention that could be given should the US occupy Greenland. It makes their job much easier and they really do want to see splits in the EU. Its a divide and conquer strategy. Have EU states bicker over their national interests and ignore the collective. If that happens we're done for. We'll all be nothing more than vassal states.



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