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Venezuela

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,630 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Yes. Anyone being absolutist about Trump not going after Greenland next is misguided. While i do see it as unlikely, i would put nothing past Donnie given his loathing for Europe and how emboldened he will feel after this kidnapping. The EU really needs to grow a pair and tell him going after Greenland is not on, but will they?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,610 ✭✭✭mulbot




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,943 ✭✭✭20Cent


    just trying to figure out the VP Rodríguez is president now. She presumably supported everything Maduro was doings. She will need to hold the country together and follow Washingtons orders regarding oil. If they had to jail and brutalise opposition before this that will surely have to continue probably even more severely. Also when oil companies move in won’t there be paramilitary groups, attacking and sabotaging them. Those celebrating might be in for a rude awakening if things end up much worse. Looks like another quagmire in the making. Hope I’m wrong but what ye think?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 17,419 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    You have changed your tune.

    Not so long ago you were adamant Trump was going to invade Canada, Greenland and Panama.

    Was that all just a ruse on your behalf ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,273 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    I’m sticking to the big picture Nacho, I don’t tend to go down rabbit holes or claim to know the Donald’s innermost machinations.

    Time maybe will reveal all Mr N



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,223 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    That's quite naive. You have no clue what will happen next. Previous US interventions in Central/South America have mostly been catastrophic for the local population. Some examples.

    Guatemala - Arbenz deposed via CIA backed coup even though he was democratically elected. Resulted in 36 year civil war.

    Nicaragua - Sandinista government (not a dictator) overthrown. US funded and armed the Contra rebels. Civil war, economy devastated.

    Honduras - Elected president Zelaya removed via US backed military coup. Led to corruption, drug trafficking and one of the highest murder rates in the world. Long term instability.

    Chile - Allende deposed despite being elected. Pinochet took over. Replaced democracy with savage dictatorship.

    Brazil - Goulart deposed via US backed military coup. 20+ year military dictatorship.

    The list goes on - El Salvador, Argentina, Bolivia, Cuba (Bay of Pigs made Castro much stronger), Dominican Republic, Haiti.

    The aftermath of all these interventions follow the same pattern - civil wars, human rights abuses, mass migration, often military dictatorships.

    Can you point out some success stories?

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,610 ✭✭✭mulbot




  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 55,570 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    on that note, the phrase 'banana republic' was actually inspired by the actions of the US (corporations backed by the US government) in honduras, in the early 1900s.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,630 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    What is the bigger picture, Brendan. Might makes right? With this in mind would you be ok with Xi kidnapping the leader of Taiwan. Or is it that you believe in might makes right selectively- if the Americans do it, then it's justifiable, but not if others do so?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,630 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    So you mean they will "wait for the facts" and "monitor the situation "



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,610 ✭✭✭mulbot




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,698 ✭✭✭yagan


    Other similarities between the populist paths of Trump and the rise of Chavez/Madura is the attacks on independent media, borders disputes as a distraction and the deployment of national troops in areas where opposition was strong.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,479 ✭✭✭Cordell


    The aftermath of all these interventions follow the same pattern - civil wars, human rights abuses, mass migration, often military dictatorships.

    This one is different, as it had almost all these before US intervention. Different times also (no more of those far left paramilitaries), and different means (not CIA covert but open). You can't judge this one based on events in the 70s and 80s.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 17,419 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    Yes Maduro is out but his top allies and the military are still in power, so not much has changed, its still a sprawling web of loyalists and security organs.

    Perhaps Maduros allies might be willing to sell oil to the US and allow them drill for oil in return for being left in power.

    I dont think much is going to change for the Venezuelan people, this is all about Trump and the US getting oil and they couldnt care less what happens internally in the country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,479 ✭✭✭Cordell




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,223 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    That's utter naive nonsense. History has repeated itself in Central/South America since the 1950s. I asked you to point out a single success story, you failed.

    Trump only cares about the oil. He has no interest in democracy or the local people. They will leave Venezuela as a basket case and the next US administration will blame the previous one and turn their backs on it (but will ensure the oil keeps flowing).

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,728 ✭✭✭swiwi_


    Romania was Romanians. Not Americans intervening.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,610 ✭✭✭mulbot


    What outside country interfered in Romania though. Was it not the Romanian people themselves?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,673 ✭✭✭Busman Paddy Lasty


    I understand where your figuratively coming from now. I wanted Maduro gone but ideally by his own people or the U.N. I'd be happy for Putin for Xi to spend the rest of their lives in a freezing cold gulag.

    That doesn't mean approval of what happened here though. The U.S. and many other countries rejected the result of the 2024 elections. If they don't install Edmundo Gonzalez as president, then they are working with a government whose legitimacy they question and it could be considered a bloodless coup.

    If they run Venezuela directly they just performed an invasion. That's way more important IMO than holding the figurehead and family to justice.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,679 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


    And I've read some, the Americans are claiming they assaulted Maduro's compound and forcibly seized him having gathered intelligence regarding his security and movements. If some of this intelligence came from inside sources that doesn't change the fact he was forcibly removed.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,750 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    I was waiting for you :)

    He was serious at the time but he bottled out when he was put in his place by other countries, mainly because he is a coward. He was and is serious about Canada and Greenland and Panama, he just has more resistance with them, and he is terrified of the actual repercussions.

    As I’ve said, Venezuela is different, and even at that, he hasn’t done anything other than arrest the leader. No government has been overthrown.

    Stephen Milers wife just posted today that Greenland is next for feck sake, so they want it, but they won’t get it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,610 ✭✭✭mulbot




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,479 ✭✭✭Cordell


    First step is to remove the head, what happens next we will discuss when it happens, so far it's just a tyrant removed.

    These kind of regime changes are almost never free from foreign interference.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,834 ✭✭✭joe40


    America has always been capable of this sort of thing but for me two things make this very dangerous.

    The stupidity and unpredictable nature of this administration is totally new. Hegseth talking about this in the press conference was like some clown down the pub spouting from a bar stool.

    Also they're not even pretending to follow laws or precedent. The Dirty Harry attitude of just get the bad guys to hell with legality or due process is great in movies but always a disaster in real life.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,442 ✭✭✭brickster69


    A UK cabinet minister getting a good grilling on Lbc this morning while explaining how the rules based order works.

    Sounds like they are waiting on the US to lay out what they did before any condemnation. Obviously he never saw the footage of missiles flying into Caraccus, big explosions, helicopters flying in and then Maduro turns up in the Us handcuffed after Trump announced to the world on social media him and his missus had been kidnapped.

    The old world is dying, and the new world struggles to be born: now is the time of monsters. — Antonio Gramsci



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 363 ✭✭CardF


    We live in absurd times.

    Trump is a loose canon.

    We're never joining nato. 😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,974 ✭✭✭✭briany


    It's a feature, not a bug.

    MAGA, as a whole, will eschew the US constitution with pleasure as and when it gets in their way. That they have no regard for protocol and precedent was really apparent from early on in Trump's 2016 campaign.

    As for them being stupid, I don't think this is true. In fact, I think this is a dangerous thing to believe and something that has constantly worked to Trump's advantage in the last decade. Trump is a massive ignoramus, yes, but he's been nudged and controlled by a college of schemers on the far-right, like Stephen Miller, Steve Bannon, Roger Stone, Sebastian Gorka, et al These are not stupid men. Evil? Yes, but not stupid. They're currently and merrily gutting the machinery of US government and remoulding it in Trump's image in such a way that will not be put back together again by a succeeding Democratic administration. While we look at the latest shiny headline, this work continues unabated. In fact, like everything else, it's become quite normalised.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,064 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    Venezuela has 17% of the worlds oil reserves but only produces 1% of the worlds oil output (1 million barrells a day) according to someone on CNN just now.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,706 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    I don't see how it can bode worse for Ukraine given that they were invaded over three years ago and are still in a major conflict on their own.

    On the other side of the coin, things didn't seem to get any worse for DPRK after they tried to raid the Blue House.

    The main reason China hasn't done anything bigger than what they are doing now (territorial expansion in unoccupied Islands) is that they can't, yet. The US has cracking miltary capability and pulled this off against a second or third rate miltary. Taiwan isn't first rate, but they have been specifically building anti PRC defenses for most of a century and the capabilities gap is far smaller. As for other countries, i don't see them having to reach to hit Manila, and they have less motivation against most other nations.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,223 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    We have known about massive oil reserves in Venezuela for around a century. There are many reasons why they aren't a leading producer.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



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