Advertisement
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/.
https://www.boards.ie/group/1878-subscribers-forum

Private Group for paid up members of Boards.ie. Join the club.
Hi all, please see this major site announcement: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058427594/boards-ie-2026

January 2026 Boards weather forecast contest _ new participants welcome !

  • 30-12-2025 09:30AM
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭


    1. Predict the IMT (Irish mean temperature, an average for five stations, Casement, Claremorris, Mullingar, Oak Park and Shannon). The 1991-2020 "normal" value is 5.3 C.
    2. Predict the MAX, the highest daily maximum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.
    3. Predict the MIN, the lowest daily minimum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.
    4. Predict the PRC, the average rainfall expressed as percentage of normal at the eleven stations we normally use, which include the five mentioned for IMT and also Ballyhaise, Belmullet, Malin Head, Johnstown Castle, Cork and Valentia.
    5. Predict the SUN, the total sunshine expressed as a percentage of normal at the six stations used (Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork, Valentia).
    6. For the BONUS question, predict the lowest maximum daily temperature during Jan 2026, no location or date is required.

    Deadline as always 0300h 1st of month with 1% penalties each portion of 4 hours late to 1500h 2nd, after which, 1% per hour.

    M.T. Cranium _____ 4.5 __ 14.8 _ -8.5 __ 055 _ 133 ___ -1.5

    NormaL __________5.3 __ 15.0 _ -7.5 __ 100 _ 100 ___ 0.8

    … Good luck and I hope you'll enjoy the contest(s)



«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,114 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    Artane2002 __________6.1 __ 15.4 _ -8.1 __ 100 _ 115 ___ -0.8



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,177 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,729 ✭✭✭esposito


    Esposito__________5.0___13.9__-9.8__065__125__-1.3



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,334 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Gonzo _____ 4.4 __ 14.3 _ -9.2 __ 051 _ 138 ___ -1.2



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,935 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    DOCARCH__________5.5___14.2__-7.1__085__115__0.2



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 369 ✭✭kindredspirit


    𝙆𝙞𝙣𝙙𝙧𝙚𝙙 𝙎𝙥𝙞𝙧𝙞𝙩 _____ 5.0 ___ 13.5 __ -8.2 ___ 80 ___ 108 ___ .02



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,916 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    WolfeEire _____ 4.8 __ 14 _ -9 __ 85 _ 115 ___ 0.8



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 606 ✭✭✭dasa29


    Dasa29__________5.0___14.0__-6.0__090__110__0.5



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 13,378 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Meteorite58_________4.4_____13.8____-9.2____075_____111____-0.8



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 364 ✭✭ClimateObserver


    Climate Observer _____ 3.7 __ 12.9 _ -10.1 __ 072 _ 115 ___ -5.2



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 889 ✭✭✭omicron


    omicron __________4.9 __ 15.0 _ -7.9 __ 90 _ 110 ___ -0.1



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 213 ✭✭sunflower3


    Sunflower3_________4.7_____15.8____-6.7____90_____120____-1.2



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 700 ✭✭✭talkabout


    Talkabout _____ 4.8 __ 13.8 _ -9.3 __ 070 _ 114 ___ -1.2



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,879 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    Dacogawa ______4.7 __ 14.5 __ -8.2 __ 95 __ 108 __ -0.7



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,195 ✭✭✭John mac


    JOhn MAC__________6.3 __ 16.0 _ -6.5 __ 120 _ 98 ___ 1.1



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭Bsal


    Bsal __________4.3 __ 12.5 _ -6.0 __ 90 _ 109 ___ -1.0



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 419 ✭✭mrskinner


    Skinner___4.6___14.2___-7.6___92___102___-0.2



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 794 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Tae laidir __________5.4 __ 14.5 _ -5.5 __ 88 _ 111 ___ -2.1



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 415 ✭✭Condor24


    Condor24 _____ 5.9 __ 15.3 _ -7.2 __ 110 _ 105___ 0.4



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,168 ✭✭✭CH3OH


    C2H5OH___5.0___14.7___-7.1___82___105___-0.7



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,807 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    Joe Public _____ 4.6 __ 13.6 _ -11.5 __ 76 _ 123 ___ -3.2



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,267 ✭✭✭mr.stonewall


    Mr stonewall____5.3___15.1___-7.8___78___102___-2.2



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 404 ✭✭waterways


    waterways ______4.5 __ 14.4 __ -5.8 __ 77 __ 119 __ -1.1

    Happy New Year!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 7,866 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Appledrop___4.7__14.6___-7.8___65___120__-0.5



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 66 ✭✭Cornerstonelad


    Cornerstonelad__4.3__12.8__-10.0__79__122__-3.0



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,770 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Pauldry___4.5___14.0___-7.4___91___101___0.1



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 904 ✭✭✭bazlers


    Bazler_____ 3.8 __ 14.8 _ -11.8 __ 75 _ 133 ___ -3.8

    Sorry a bit late. HAPPY New Year All.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,523 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    Jpmarn __________4.8 __ 14.5 _ -7.5 __ 90 _ 100 ___ -1.5

    Sorry I am late, it’s due to New Year fever.

    Please check out my varied content on YouTube.com/@jpmarn. That’s includes some weather.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,496 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    Rebelbrowser __________4.3 __ 13.6_ -9.5 __ 78_114 ___ - 0.7



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Welcome to several new participants (in some cases very well known forum members) and also to everyone returning whether from regular or occasional previous entries … here's our table of entries.

    __ Table of forecasts for January 2026 __

    FORECASTER _______________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN ___ low max

    John mac __________________6.3 _ 16.0 _ -6.5 _ 120 _ 098 ___ +1.1

    Artane2002 ________________6.1 _ 15.4 _ -8.1 _ 100 _ 115 ___ -0.8

    Condor24 _________________ 5.9 _ 15.3 _ -7.2 _ 110 _ 105 ___ +0.4

    DOCARCH _________________ 5.5 _ 14.2 _ -7.1 _ 085 _ 115 ___+0.2

    Mr stonewall _______________ 5.3 _ 15.1 _ -7.8 _ 078 _ 102 ___ -2.2

    Tae laidir __________________ 5.4 _ 14.5 _ -5.5 _ 088 _ 111 ___ -2.1

    __ NormaL _________________ 5.3 _ 15.0 _ -7.5 _ 100 _ 100 ___+0.8

    CH3OH ____________________ 5.0 _ 14.7 _ -7.1 _ 082 _ 105 ___ -0.7

    Dasa29____________________ 5.0 _ 14.0 _ -6.0 _ 090 _ 110 ___+0.5

    Esposito ___________________ 5.0 _ 13.9 _ -9.8 _ 065 _ 125 ___ -1.3

    Kindred Spirit _______________ 5.0 _ 13.5 _ -8.2 _ 080 _ 108 ___+0.2

    omicron ___________________ 4.9 _ 15.0 _ -7.9 _ 090 _ 110 ___ -0.1

    Jpmarn __________ (-1) ______4.8 _ 14.5 _ -7.5 _ 090 _ 100 ___ -1.5

    WolfeEire __________________ 4.8 _ 14.0 _ -9.0 _ 085 _ 115 ___+0.8

    Talkabout __________________ 4.8 _ 13.8 _ -9.3 _ 070 _ 114 ___ -1.2

    Sunflower3 _________________4.7 _ 15.8 _ -6.7 _ 090 _ 120 ___ -1.2

    __ Con sensus ______________4.7 _ 14.3 _ -8.0 _ 081 _ 111 ___ -0.8

    Appledrop __________________4.7 _ 14.6 _ -7.8 _ 065 _ 120 ___ -0.5

    Dacogawa _________________ 4.7 _ 14.5 _ -8.2 _ 095 _ 108 ___ -0.7

    MrSkinner _________________ 4.6 _ 14.2 _ -7.6 _ 092 _ 102 ___ -0.2

    Joe Public __________________4.6 _ 13.6 _-11.5 _ 076 _ 123 ___-3.2

    M.T. Cranium _______________ 4.5 _ 14.8 _ -8.5 _ 055 _ 133 ___ -1.5

    waterways _________________ 4.5 _ 14.4 _ -5.8 _ 077 _ 119 ___ -1.1

    Pauldry ____________________4.5 _ 14.0 _ -7.4 _ 091 _ 101 ___+0.1

    Gonzo _____________________4.4 _ 14.3 _ -9.2 _ 051 _ 138 ___ -1.2

    Meteorite58 ________________ 4.4 _ 13.8 _ -9.2 _ 075 _ 111 ___ -0.8

    kermit _____________________4.4 _ 13.1 _ -8.9 _ 075 _ 110 ___+0.6

    Rebelbrowser _____ (-1) ______4.3 _ 13.6 _ -9.5 _ 078 _ 114 ___ -0.7

    Cornerstonelad ______________4.3 _ 12.8 _-10.0 _ 079 _ 122 ___ -3.0

    Bsal ______________________ 4.3 _ 12.5 _ -6.0 _ 090 _ 109 ___ -1.0

    bazlers __________ (-1) ______3.8 _ 14.8 _-11.8 _ 075 _ 133 ___ -3.8

    Climate Observer ____________3.7 _ 12.9 _-10.1 _ 072 _ 115 ___ -5.2

    ===============================

    Our consensus calls for a cold, somewhat dry and bright month. However, given the

    model output for the first week, assuming the forecasts took that very cold spell into

    consideration, I would say the forecast consensus for the rest of the month was close to average

    for the period after the 7th. If we were to start off first week at 1.5 with 050 PRC and 130 SUN

    then our monthly consensus would be reached with rest-of-January averages of 5.5, 100 and 100.



Advertisement
Advertisement