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Northern Ireland 2125?

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,613 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    There was a precedent set by Wales, where it is reported that the establishment of a Welsh Language Commissioner has led to significant public expense and the imposition of language standards across the public sector even decreasing employment opportunities for non-Welsh speakers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,117 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Not the point.

    The point of the post was drawing attention to the bigoted footstamping and throwing toys because the DUP did something that was democratically agreed to.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,219 ✭✭✭itsacoolday


    Not everything democratically agreed, especially democratically agreed by a small margin,is necessarily the correct decision. There was lots of stuff democratically agreed in this country during the celtic tiger for example, which was not the correct decision.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,117 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    If they were footstamping because they had genuine fiscal concerns, aye.

    But we know this is just good old fashioned bigotry.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,219 ✭✭✭itsacoolday




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,117 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    An ‘opinion piece’ from Nelson McCausland, 8 yrs ago??? Really? 😁😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,219 ✭✭✭itsacoolday


    It gave a detailed breakdown of the cost then, itemising the costs that add up to an annual cost that it said could be estimated at around £100m a year if SF got its way. That is £2bn over 20 years.

    No surprising SF does not want to talk about costs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,117 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    It’s like folk do with talk of a UI, think of the scariest number they can then come up with.

    That’s what that DUP politician did. Last ditch politics - try fear



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,218 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    If we take a ridiculously exaggerated worst case scenario projection presented by someone vehemently opposed by anything Irish about the place, then the thing he opposed costs a ridiculous amount of money...I am SHOCKED. Yes, he gave a detailed breakdown that intentionally assumes no economies of scale, that training costs remain stagnant and that absolutely every possible cost that could conceivably be incurred is, it could hypothetically cost that amount in the same sense that I could win the lotto ten times in a row.

    Did you know Orange Order parades could cost us up to 50 billion a year if we just make up scary numbers too?

    Amazing statistical analysis as usual, buddy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,219 ✭✭✭itsacoolday


    With translators etc you do not get much economies of scale. 100 will cost ten times 10.

    Even if his cost estimation is 33% more than it could be, the figure would still be £15 billion over 20 years.

    No way could OO parades cost 50 billion because that would mean each OO member would equate to almost two million pounds just for marching. So stop making up figures.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,218 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    If my cost estimation on Orange Parades is off by 33%, the figure is still £37.5bn a year.

    See, when the number you start off with is total b*llocks, the rest of the argument is nonsense. That's the f*cking point.

    You absolutely build economies of scale comparing hiring ten individual contributors versus hiring ten teams of ten with one lead, two senior, three mid level and five juniors per team as an example. It's incredibly apparent you've never built a department up in your life.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,219 ✭✭✭itsacoolday


    I did not say the cost of £100 million per year was off by 33%. I gave a cost estimate if it was off.

    The £100 million per year was arrived at by looking at the costs of councils based on Welsh comparisons. Then Government departments and public bodies, such as the Housing Executive, Education Authority and Library Authority, as well as the PSNI and the Court Service are factored in.

    Translating technical and legal documents requires very special language skills. It cost around £10m in training translators when Irish was made an official EU language. He noted

    "Sinn Fein is demanding an Irish Language Commissioner with legal powers to police the Act and compel the entire public sector to meet the Irish language obligations imposed on it, with Irish/English documents, Irish/English websites, Irish-speaking staff and simultaneous translation.

    This would undoubtedly generate legal challenges, with litigants claiming legal aid. Language warriors and lawyers would have a field day at the expense of everyone else."

    "It also proposes Gaeltacht areas in Northern Ireland similar to those in the Irish Republic.

    There, the road signs and most other things are in Irish only and some housing is only available to people who speak Irish.

    Such areas also receive preferential public spend and have their own oversight body, Udaras na Gaeltachta.

    Of course, there would be hundreds of jobs created for Irish speakers across all our councils, departments and public bodies. Remember that little council in Wales with four Welsh language staff."

    Not surprised you or SF or the SDLP has made the slightest stab at estimating the cost of it, not even 8 years ago. And as we know here from the Children's hospital and bike sheds, when it comes to public money, costs usually increase.

    As you are asking taxpayers to pay for it, against most of their wishes, have you any idea how much the Irish language will cost over the next 20 years? No? Did not think so. Until then, the 2 billion pounds estimate arrived at in the paper remains the most accurate estimate.

    Economic was never Gerry's strongest point, or the fellows in the upstairs room. Not when it comes to other people paying for things.

    Post edited by itsacoolday on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,218 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    Just as an example; you say that it cost the EU €10m to train translators when Irish became an EU language. Following your DUP logic, thats €200m over twenty years (note the unit of time chosen to exaggerate the expenditure rather than for any reasonable fiscal reasons).

    But what did it actually cost this year? I suspect substantially less as fewer people need training in the following years and as the skill exists within the body, some training can be internalised. Taking initialisation costs and projecting them as stagnant annual recurring costs is just one of many problems with the DUP estimate you have presented.

    My estimate is 50p and half a curly wurly a week. There, now we have two completely useless, biased estimates.

    Sure if we average the two, we've almost halved your projected costs overnight.

    Garbage in, garbage out is a pretty basic principle to apply here when it comes to basing your arguments on such an obviously flawed starting premise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,117 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    To clarify - the proposers of an Irish Language Act are Conradh Na Gaelige.

    Those proposals are supported by -SDLP, SF, Alliance, PBP, Greens and Inds.

    They accept CnG's costings, summarised as:

    Costed proposals from Conradh na Gaeilge show an act would cost £2 million (€2.35 million) per annum with a once-off initial set-up cost of £9 million (€10.58 million).

    Explainer: Breaking the deadlock over an Irish Language Act – The Irish Times

    In Westminister a briefing document estimates the cost of the three 'authorities', 1.The Ulster Scots and Ulster British Tradition, 2. The Irish Language, 3. National and Cultural Identity as

    The UK Government estimates that the running costs for the three new authorities could amount to £9 million annually, which will include but not be limited to:

    • the production by the new authorities of the relevant standards, advice and guidance for public authorities;

    • the promotion of the National and Cultural Identity Principles and the relevant standards, advice and guidance by the new authorities;

    • the delivery of programmes and activities in accordance with the new authorities’ aims and functions; and

    • the administrative costs of running and operating the new authorities. As all provisions will be for the Northern Ireland Executive to administer, support and fund, these costs will be paid out of the Northern Ireland Consolidated Fund.

    CBP-9357.pdf

    Belligerent Unionists and anti-Irish Language bigots are not really reliable sources.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,219 ✭✭✭itsacoolday


    It cost around £10m in training translators when Irish was first made an official EU language, but costs have increased and there are currently over 200 Irish language translators working for EU institutions in Brussels and Luxembourg (where some translating is done).

    £100 million per year would be quite a conservative estimate now for the cost of the Irish language in N.I. were it to introduced as much as SF would like.

    Interestingly, Amazon is in the news as it is shedding jobs. Amazons workforce @ 1.5 million is approx. double the N.I. workforce, yet SF expect taxpayers to pay Irish language costs of 2 billion over 20 years. Madness.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,218 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    I asked how much they spent on training translators this year, you've spiralled off into total annual costs and a completely unrelated comparison between Amazon and NI.

    I am talking about a specific point here; assuming that initialisation costs will be annually recurring at the same level. You presented the initial cost of training Irish Language translators for the EU as €10m, so by your and the DUP logic, over twenty years the cost of JUST training the translators will be €200m.

    We can easily see if that specific projection holds water by looking at whether the cost of training Irish language translators costs more than year one, less than year one or the same as year one.

    We can get onto your broader costing points afterwards, but let's just nail this one down first without deflecting onto something else.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,613 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Genuine fiscal concerns, aye. Nobody is stopping anyone learning or speaking Irish. Fine hobby if you want a hobby.

    The cost of the Welsh language in Wales is pproximately £53.6 million for the 2024-25 budget, so £20 million a year for the Irish language would only be the start of it I'd say. When things are funded by the gubberment, costs usually if not always increase.

    Irish did not become a recognized official language of the EU until 2007, and it only attained full recognition in 2022. Now if over 200 people work translating EU documents from English to Irish what does that cost and surely nobody could say it is money well spent : otherwise how did the country survive years ago? Money should be spent building houses, then people can learn Irish in them if they want instead of sleeping on the streets.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,117 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Lessons learned - don't suppress native languages? It's gonna cost you in the long run.

    Lots of money is spent on lots of things.

    The argument that some of it is better spent elsewhere is just a simplistic weapon for anti Irish language bigots.

    Cuts no ice, in other words.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,613 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    So even though everyone is getting on fine without having to translate everything in to things that people will never read, you would prefer spend £200 million on the Irish language than build houses for homeless people in Ireland or take people off hospital trolleys in our Irish hospitals?

    Sounds as if you are the one who is bigoted if you want everyone else to pay for your hobby? Thats if Irish is your hobby? I'd say extremely few people in Ireland learn Irish as a hobby. Or as was admitted before, is not republicans pushing Irish in N.I. more a political act to "get back at the Brits", push the agenda of "every word of Irish is a bullet for Irish freedom" etc, rather than a love of the language? If people really loved the language, after 12 years of schooling in it, people would be using it on boards.ie



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,117 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    So even though everyone is getting on fine without having to translate everything in to things that people will never read, you would prefer spend £200 million on the Irish language than build houses for homeless people in Ireland or take people off hospital trolleys in our Irish hospitals?

    This is what I mean. This utterly simplistic view is adopted for the emotive and facile 'who will think of the sick and the poor' grandstanding.
    Modern economies do not function and never have functioned that way. Money and budgets are allocated for a myriad of things to enrich your life and my life.
    Your trite plea to the emotions is just that, a trite waste of time and effort.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,613 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.

    The EU was set up as an economic union. No surprise that since it lost its way by taking on hundreds of Irish language translators in the past decade for example, its share of global trade has been shrinking. The EU's share of global exports is dropping, hitting 13.7% in 2022 compared with 16.3% in 2016. The EU is in a poor state now, and getting worse. No wonder Catherine Connolly was for Brexit, but then again she is anti-EU anyway. In a speech in the Dáil shortly after the UK voted to leave the EU, CC said the Irish government "took an active part in the project of fear that sought to scare the British electorate into remaining" and that despite trying "to force a desired result, the electorate was not fooled".

    Is Irish your hobby? Or as was admitted before, is not republicans pushing Irish in N.I. more a political act to "get back at the Brits", push the agenda of "every word of Irish is a bullet for Irish freedom" etc, rather than a love of the language?

    As noted before, if people really loved the language, after 12 years of schooling in it, people would be using it on boards.ie



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,117 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


     No surprise that since it lost its way by taking on hundreds of Irish language translators in the past decade for example,

    😁😁

    Keep up the entertainment. Tá sé greannmhar.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,613 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Beag a chuireann siamsaiocht ar an simpli.

    Little amuses the simple.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,117 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Little

    Your impact on the issue in a word.

    The EU's global trade is shrinking because it hired a few translators is a new one on me, though. Funny stuff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,613 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    I said " for example", when describing how the EEC, now EU, has lost its share of the global exports market compared to what it had a decade or two ago. The EEC was set up for a relatively small number of countries to economically co-operate together. That is why it was called the European Economic Community.

    Decades later they end up wasting money left right and centre. To give but a small example, they NOW spend over 30 million a year employing hundreds of people to translate EEU legislation and documentation, stuff than will never be read, in to Irish.

    No wonder Catherine Connolly was for Brexit, but then again she is anti-EU anyway.

    Is she the first Brexiteer you support and admire?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,117 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The only one who seems to have a problem with the EU here is you.

    Hilarious tbh.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,613 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    I think the EU is great and has done a lot for Ireland and I always voted for the EU. Unlike some like CC.

    Do you agree with CC when she praised the British for leaving the EU, and after the UK voted to leave the EU, CC said the Irish government "took an active part in the project of fear that sought to scare the British electorate into remaining" and that despite trying "to force a desired result, the electorate was not fooled"?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,613 ✭✭✭Francis McM




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,117 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    You just criticised the EU for doing something central to it- supporting minority languages and attributed that to it’s demise as a global trader.

    Now you want to walk back from that and pivot to another bugbear.

    Incorrigible, dis-ingenuous and self defeating arguments (whinges) is all you have.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,613 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Wasting over 30 million per year on translating EU technical info, legislation etc in to Irish, which nobody will ever read ( probably never read it in English, never mind Irish ) is not supporting minority languages. It is just a waste. Now you want N.I. to waste £200 million stg over 20 years on Irish language there. Paid for by the hard pressed taxpayer again of course.

    You did not answer the question: Is Catherine Connolly the first Brexiteer you support and admire? Do you agree with CC when she praised the British for leaving the EU? After the UK voted to leave the EU, CC said the Irish government "took an active part in the project of fear that sought to scare the British electorate into remaining" and that despite trying "to force a desired result, the electorate was not fooled".

    SF are been the most anti-EU / EEC party over the past 5 decades : are you still anti-EU like CC ? 



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