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Fighter jets for the Air Corps?

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,250 ✭✭✭Psychlops


    Be cool to see what the new Commander in Chief has to say.. 🙄



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,150 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    A lease deal on these would be the ideal solution for Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,423 ✭✭✭dinorebel




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,150 ✭✭✭saabsaab




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,213 ✭✭✭sparky42


    UKDJ reporting that the UK is about to announce a new deal with Turkey for 40 Typhoons, 20 new builds and supposedly 20 from RAF stores.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,820 ✭✭✭roadmaster


    Major General Harris will give you 3 Gripens and no more.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,213 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Ah but DPER vetoed the fuel allowance for them so they are just nice garden ornaments in reality.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,171 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    That deal has been in the office for quite a while.
    I am very curious as to what the "in service" airframes transferred will actually be though.
    The Turks will want more capability than the T1s and the delivery timeframe also seems very compressed for 40 airframes with 20 new build and 20 refurbed.

    There's also rumours that Turkey have a deal in place with Qatar for the transfer of their most recent batch of 12 Euro fighters.Apparently, part and parcel of a deal for future KAAN deliveries.
    I dont think the RAF can risk reducing their current front line strength but, I do think that transfers from Qatar and Oman of T3 Eurofighters and follow on orders for Turkey and to backfill the transferred aircraft will keep the Britisih line active for a while yet.

    The landscape for Fighter acquisition and the diplomatic fallout of the shifts away from US supply in particular is really one of the most incredible developments of the rise of multi-polarism.

    China, France, Eurofighter, South Korea, Turkey, Pakistan and India are all now competing for middle East, Central Asia and SE Asia contracts.
    A slew of suppliers of all kinds of gear who are happy to sell without US style end user restrictions.

    Post edited by banie01 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,815 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    Has a deal with SAAB Gripens for Ireland been signed now? I suppose that's all wishfull thinking and Irish politicians dragging things out in hopes the public forgets about it?

    Is there a date by when a deal will be expected to be signed? I haven't read anything. I would also expect they would need a couple of years to be built?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,820 ✭✭✭roadmaster


    Nope and not likely any day soon. I know the austrians had a lot of issues with the Tranche 1 eurofighter. What are the actual operational costs of a Tranche 1 eurofighter? The Tranche 1 were bascially a Air Policing aircraft.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,815 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    As far as I know the Austrians had more political issues selling the idea of fighter jets to the public. It's a common problem for most neutral countries, except Switzerland. I think the Austrians may have had initially 15 Typhoons and incresed that to 19 over the years and upgraded them technically in some way shape or form?

    I don't think that Ireland would ever really consider fighter jets for the Air Corps. Every now and then an article in some aviation newspaper that it is a consideration, but nothing more.

    Ireland would probably always rely on the "luck of the Irish" together with the "who would ever attack us" attitude and if push came to shove, the "evil" British will step in with the RAF.

    Irish politicians will most likely also hope that the public forgets about the fighter jets plan for Ireland, until every 2 years or so some newspaper dares to write an article on the "undefended airspace"…..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,150 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    That's changing. Russia and others aren't concerned about neutrality just take what they can get away with. We did have jet fighters (Vampires) many years ago when we were broke. No reason not to have a few now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,815 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    I see it the same way. Neutrality doesn't protect, unless Ireland has a similar attitude like Switzerland.

    Around 15 to 20 fighter jets with decent interception capability would be a requirement, SAAB the technical minimum, Typoon, would certainly better, but SAAB isn't a bad choice. Preferably stationed at Shannon airport, and exercises over the Atlantic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,973 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Its a measure just how long they've been talking about it, they've grown old.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,973 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Ireland dragging its feet on a relatively small order isn't going to have many salespeople banging on the door.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,973 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    People need to move on.

    However the Eurofighter is one of the more expensive options. What ever about the roundels, paying through the nose to supply and maintain them would be harder sell for people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,171 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    I'm young enough that I still have all my own hair and most of its not grey yet!
    But old enough to regret the mess I've made my body 🤣

    Standing up would nearly give me G-LOC these days 👀



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,973 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    There are people and aircraft that have retired during this thread. Aircraft that were an option are long gone from inventories.

    Older Aircraft even if capable get too expensive to maintain with age unless you've very deep pockets like the US. Especially complex ones.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,420 ✭✭✭jonnybigwallet


    I see there is a video on the Internet of Princess Leonor doing her first flight in a PC21. Our next major investment in the "Air Force"…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,882 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    As you all know, I have a preference for twin-engined interceptors and European types.

    And as we say in project management, you can have something quickly and good but not cheap, quickly and cheap but not good, or cheap and good but not quickly, never all 3.

    But there is one plane that is plentiful, proven, economical and versatile, and does exactly what it says on the tin.

    1000044933.jpg


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,815 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    A sale of 20 Typhoons to Turkey does make the headlines, - it would also for Ireland. Even an order of 15 to 20 Saab planes isn't a small order.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,973 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Turkey has about 500 aircraft in it's inventory and around 200 fighters. Its planning to get up to 40 Typhoons. It wants new build F16s and F35 but not likely to get them at the moment. Its about diversity and politics and being less reliant on the US.

    Theres quite a bit of difference between that and the catalogue shopping Irelands been doing. Ireland haven't got to the tyre kicking stage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,171 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    There is a very glaring topic in the Turkey Eurofighter deal that highlights a huge loss of Israeli influence, particularly in Germany IMO.
    The deal includes the Meteor missile, it completely erodes the current US/Israeli qualitative/range advantage in their AAMs.

    The Egyptian AF operates a tiny pool of Meteor as confirmed by their President back in 2018 and that led to a huge amount of diplomatic pressure on France and UK at the time.

    Israel and Turkey are in serious geopolitical competition both in Syria, the wider Levant and the eastern Med.
    The recent Israeli efforts over Syria, Iran and more particularly over Qatar, can only have hastened and focused Turkish procurement of more capable platforms than the F16 and in particular of AESA equipped aircraft and an AAM that can outperform AIM120D.

    Not that I think there is an imminent Turko/Israeli war risk, but in areas where they are butting heads, Turkey needs to feel it can adequately defend against and even deter Israeli adventurism.

    Fighter diplomacy to the fore and more surprises to come yet in ME aircraft procurement IMHO.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,815 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    It's my bet that Ireland will never have fighter jets of Saab and above for the Air Corps and neither get that mentioned military primary radar system.

    Sadly there are no bookies who take bets on that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,472 ✭✭✭Negative_G


    probably the most accurate summation of the future.

    That said, I think there will be a radar acquisition which will give rise to some form of "alliance" whereby the data received will be shared with Neighbours.

    Anyone expecting to see a squadron of supersonic intercept aircraft in the best decade is going to be sorely disappointed.

    The CoDF will soon be 4 years old and was already out of date within 6 weeks of publication.

    A few passing remarks from Government members counts for little. The glacial pace of any meaningful change and the insulting amount of allocation in the short to medium term is indicative to the desired level of "ambition".

    Much of europe and the western world is investing heavily in Defence across all spectrums, while Ireland is generally the last and slowest to respond.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,820 ✭✭✭roadmaster


    It was a very amateur mistake the DOD made saying that every 1/4 they would publish there updates on how much work they had done. Id say that civil servant got sent to the RSA in Mayo for punishment.

    It really is shocking how slow the whole thing is moving.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,472 ✭✭✭Negative_G


    I've no doubt that if it was sole projects that the DF are lead on that have fallen behind schedule, there would be updates.

    Problem is, its not a good luck to publish that DoD lead projects are behind also.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,815 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    That military radar will problably be the most likely thing that'll be reality on Irish soil at some point, but in the very distant future. Originally anounced for 2026, there will be another excuse in 2026, and maybe a firm decision in 2028, with maybe a live operation by 2030. But that's all a very very positive prediction.

    Fighter jets for the Air Corps in Ireland will be wishfull thinking for eternity. Politics will gamble on the public forgetting that and there is also no majority in public opinion for that. The majority of the Irish still thinks "Who would ever attack us?" so no politician in Ireland will risk changing that as long as re election is possible. Irish politicians don't get elected for military spending anyway.

    The war in the Ukraine may be fading off by 2030 and the matter of fighter jets for the Air Corps will be forgotten by then. The British RAF will remain responsible for any kind of inception whilst Irish politics will still speak about "Neutrality as an identity".

    Another situation where I'd say, I love to be wrong, but sadly I am not…..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,213 ✭✭✭sparky42


    it’s not really shocking when you remember it’s not just the DOD, you also have DPER and Finance, all three departments historically and openly opposed to defence spending and the existence of the DF. I imagine all three are agressively fighting any investment.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,882 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Its not shocking at all.

    But apart from the usual civil service glacial pace, I go back yet again to that issue of capacity.

    As well as not having enough regulars to crew ships and planes, we simply do not have the capacity among the officer corps to manage day-to-day taskings, and also to form project teams and to onboard new equipment, systems and duties.

    In other countries, whole permanent units exist for such work, across the services. We just don't have the critical mass of experienced people yet.



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