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Ireland Team Talk XII: Farrell's First Fifteen

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    To be fair, there's a pretty obvious counter-point to this; would you expect them to maintain their respective try-scoring records if they had swapped teams for the season?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,391 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    I don't know tbh. Crowley might score more tries personally in the Leinster side, but Leinster overall might score less IMO as I don't think he would suit the attack as well. It's a kind of nonsensical hypothetical.

    My point was more about the fact that it was being repeated here ad nauseum that Prendergast is slow, that he isn't a running threat etc - and yet he scored 5 tries last season, some of which very clearly highlighted his pace and line breaking ability.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    And Leinster might concede fewer tries with Crowley, as he might suit the defence better. It is indeed all hypothetical.

    What's not hypothetical is that Leinster are a much better side than Munster.

    So my point is that direct comparisons to Crowley's and Prendergast's try-scoring records, as a means of comparing their running threat, are effectively meaningless when the teams they play in are so different in quality.

    Post edited by aloooof on


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,865 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    FTD isn't really trying to compare them. He is using it to make the point that claiming SP has zero running threat or runs like treacle is clearly not true.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,865 ✭✭✭sprucemoose


    thats cause russell goes missing when the game is on the line though, id pick either of the irish 10s over him all day in that regard



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,391 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    Exactly this.

    There is this kind of widespread view that any time people try to defend the, at times OTT, criticism of Sam Prendergast, that people are attacking or doing down Jack Crowley.

    I actually really like Jack Crowley as a player - I’ve said this multiple times before. If he reaches his full potential and becomes the long term Irish 10 I have zero issue with that.

    But too much of the criticism of Prendergast on here is OTT and sensationalised and ignores his obvious positive traits, and equally some of the praising of Crowley is OTT too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,965 ✭✭✭ionadnapóca


    Just a reminder regarding outhalf

    This time exactly 12 months ago Frawley was the preferred option at 10 for Leinster v Munster in Croke Park.

    Both Byrne bros. were on the bench.

    Whatever the need is to (so harshly) critique Prendergast; just remember he's come a long way in less than 12 months.

    Here's something else I want to be saying in 12 months:

    Joey Carbery has had a great start to the season with Connacht. Make it happen Stu Lancaster and IRFU.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    And all of that can be true and Crowley can still have a better running threat. Which is the case, imo.

    But like…. Whatever way you slice it, he directly compared. It’s silly to argue he’s not.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    To be fair, I don’t think I’ve said anything that suggests you were attacking or doing down Jack Crowley.

    Im just making the point that your means of comparison is flawed.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,865 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I don't think anyone was arguing otherwise. I think you are seeing something that is not there.

    The comparison was made just to highlight the absurdity of the claim that SP has no running threat. If that were true it makes no sense he would not have scored so many more tries than JC last season - gameplan and team around him regardless. It doesn't mean he's better for the reasons you highlight, but claiming SP has zero threat requires completely ignoring the comparison.



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  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 45,350 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    A more valid comparison is with Ross Byrne, a 10 with, as a general consensus, no running threat, has 11 tries in 193 games (averaging 52 mins) for Leinster.... At a time when Leinster were pretty free flowing.

    Prendergast has 6 tries in 36 matches (averaging 49 mins) for Leinster, so practically triple Ross Byrnes strike rate.

    Interestingly Prendergast also has a better try scoring rate than Jonathon Sexton had since he returned from racing (11 tries in 79 games, averaging 56 mins). No one would argue that sexton didn't have a running threat as part of his game.

    So using these 3 valid comparisons it's very easy to show that the argument that prendergast has "no running threat" is complete bollox.

    It's about as valid as that time sometime on here said that Ross Byrne was more athletic than him.

    Prendergast really does bring out the crazie in some people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,437 ✭✭✭Jump_In_Jack


    Only my opinion but Sam seems like he wants to play rugby behind the gain line like Ross Byrne did. Hang back and spray passes and make kicks, and only when a really obvious gap opens up would he run through it. I don’t think he is that fast if he made a break in his own half could he finish it?

    For example, Damian McKenzie poses a running threat, Beauden Barrett did in his day, Ntamack poses a running threat.

    Sam doesn’t pose a running threat any more than the average players out there. Crowley poses a bit more of a threat but I don’t think he has elite speed either,
    i would like a real running threat at outhalf for Ireland and to be honest I don’t see it with either of these two.
    Funny enough, from what I’ve seen, the best running threat is Jack Murphy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    And I think you’re not seeing something that is there.

    He’s not trying to compare Prendergast and Crowley… by comparing their try scoring records… as a means of illustrating Prendergast has a running threat…? I dunno, Podge.

    Fwiw, I'm not saying Prendergast has no running threat; I think Crowley's is better. My only point was that using their try-scoring records to illustrate that is - at best - deeply flawed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,437 ✭✭✭Jump_In_Jack


    To make a case beyond the eye test you’d need to show how often a player makes a line break against a set defence. Or a simple one might be how often they run the ball versus kicks or passes. Generally though I’d go off what I see, and you know by looking at a player if they are offering a running threat or not.

    Scoring tries is more a function of how often an opportunity arises, and if your team scores more tries the opportunities will more than likely increase. How many tries do outhalves from Dragons or Zebre score in a season by comparison.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    I think you'd probably need even more detailed stats than we are even likely to see available on generic stats sites; carries alone and metres alone doesn't really tell us a massive deal when there's no context of proximity to gainline, say. "average depth received from gainline per carry" would be an interesting one. The frequency of carrying vs passing/kicking is an interesting one tho.

    My own impression with the eye test is that, generally, Prendergast sits deeper and lets the gainline come to him, whereas Crowley takes it to the gainline.

    The other point here is that part of it is deliberate and systemic in the attacking system.



  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 45,350 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    really dont know how people are getting "doesnt offer a running threat" from.

    Sam is a very good kick passer of the ball, but that doesnt at all mean that he doesnt take the ball to the gainline to pick a hole when needed, nor take a gap if its presented. The argument that (other out halfs) are better at taking the ball to the line collapses when (other out halfs) end up at the bottom of a ruck after taking a crash ball. If you want a Handre Pollard bish bash out half fair enough, but i think most fans would prefer a ball playing, play making out half with a wide array of talent as options. Its the singular reason Ciaran Frawley will never be a top level out half. He will end up at the bottom of ruck way too often to influence a game.

    .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,690 ✭✭✭Yeah_Right


    Interesting numbers. Do you have NZ's? Similar population, 5 pro teams vs 4 and they awarded marginally less new caps than Ireland. How many of NZ's were against Tier 2 nations? Were any against Tier 3 nations?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,744 ✭✭✭ersatz


    On the number of tries Crowley/Prendergast score, ROG had 16 in his career between club and country. Not really what he was there for. 10s don't need to score tries, they need to kick their point and create scores for others. Both of them need to improve their kicking stats afaik. Neither are in the 80%+ range, thats not good enough for a top 3 test team.

    Unfortunately we haven't seen enough of Crowley in green to judge how well he might organise the team and the kind of difference he would make in attack versus what Prendergast has done. I'd still like to see him get some game time this November, particularly if he continues ot play we'll in red, though the kicking is a real problme.

    ON Prendergast being too deep and/or taking thing to the line, Dupont's disallowed try in the first 15 minutes in last years 6N was a disaster for Prendergast in my mind. He called the ball without any plan and telegraphed the poor situation he found himself in resulting in Keenan being tackled way behind the gain line, panic stations and another **** pass to Penaud. Brutal. that can be easily dismissed as growing pains in a pressure cooker situation, fair enough. But he did something eerily similar in South Africa.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 27,562 ✭✭✭✭phog


    we haven't seen enough of Crowley in green to judge how well he might organise the team and the kind of difference he would make in attack versus what Prendergast has done

    Wiki has Crowley on 26 caps v 9 for Sam, Crowley led Ireland to a 6Ns championship.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,744 ✭✭✭ersatz


    Im talking about since Prendergast took over. I liked Crowley a lot before then and thought his 6N season was excellent. The promise was that Prendergast would be a generational player who could manage attack in a superior fashion to what Crowley brought. I haven't seen it but seeing both operate in the same season would be a one way to put it to bed. For me the France match last season showed just how easily all the progress Ireland have made cold be frittered away. Lots of people played poorly but Prendergast looked way out of his depth, which compared poorly to Crowley's performance in France the year before.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,642 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    Crowley played 10 in the a team that won the 6Ns. FYP



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,865 ✭✭✭sprucemoose


    o gara had 16 tries in his international career, not his international and club career



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,744 ✭✭✭ersatz


    Right, 12 for Munster though which makes the other two look fairly exceptional.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,391 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    This is 100% it. Conor Murray talks about this in his book - Ireland prize having their halfbacks get multiple touches or involvements in phase play. The idea was you’re no use to anyone buried in a ruck.

    The obsession on this thread with carrying the ball and making hits is absurd to me.

    As I’ve said before - if what we wanted in a 10 was someone to carry hard to the line repeatedly and smash people in the tackle, then Bundee or Stu McCloskey are our best options.

    Those are not the core skills of an out half.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Nobody is saying the 10 should run it every time. They’re not even saying they should run it as often as they pass or kick the ball.

    But having a running threat is a valuable skill for a 10 to keep defences guessing, and to keep them honest.

    Like, the reason Ross Byrne has left Ireland at only 30 is precisely because he didn’t have that in his locker.

    I remember distinctly a number of times during the 2024 6 Nations for example, where Crowley took it to the line and got the pass away while also committing the defender, for really good inroads.

    I remember Gerry Thornley describing him in the URC final as “passing under the noses of the Stormers”.

    I think that’s what people are talking about.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,642 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    You're literally describing Prendergast's game to a T. He plays flat to the line, with delayed passes to put dudes in space.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 593 ✭✭✭exiledawaynothere


    Do you really think that? They are very different players. SP sits deep. Directs play. Yes he uses his pass to break the gain line and he kicks from deep. But he does not play as first receiver close to the gain line.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,642 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    He might receive the ball deep but he plays to the line. That's one of his strengths.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    He plays, and passes, flat to the advancing defensive line, yes. He doesn’t receive it as flat, or take it as flat to the gainline as Crowley, in general, imo.

    I think people are misinterpreting what’s meant by “line” here.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,573 ✭✭✭OldRio


    'Misinterpreteting'? on this thread? I for one are shocked.



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