Advertisement
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/.
https://www.boards.ie/group/1878-subscribers-forum

Private Group for paid up members of Boards.ie. Join the club.
Hi all, please see this major site announcement: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058427594/boards-ie-2026

Northern Ireland 2125?

18788909293188

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,194 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    41% in favour of a UI

    48% against
    10% undecided.

    7% without a plan/White paper is phenomenal.

    Nobody has a definitive figure on a cost.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Nobody is producing a plan for at least the next decade, and it has the potential to turn as many off a UI as in favour. Fantasy economics won't do it.

    The North is going to prosper based on access to both the EU and UK markets, at a time when free trade will be restricted. Sabotage of that prospect by Sinn Fein badly governing is the biggest risk. Their absymal performance in government will turn people off more and more.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,194 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Nobody is producing a plan for at least the next decade, 

    I can safely say you have no idea when a plan/White Paper will be produced. None…nada.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,194 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady




  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,219 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    Coming up on five years of the NI Protocol and ten years on Brexit and I'm still not seeing this alleged prosperity. Ironically the parties most in favour of continued membership of the UK are doing their best to dismantle and block it too.

    NI is fundamentally dysfunctional, be it through Unification or another way, it'll continue to be so unless there is absolute root and branch reform.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    I agree with most of what you say, but are you for real that you think the only people who describe themselves a British are in Northern Ireland?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    Francie you are doing what republicans have done for decades ie assumed that the natural anti-establishment attitude of young people will continue into middle age. Doesn’t happen. I think if you check the number of vegans by age you will find a much larger percent in the young ages. A huge number of those kids will not be vegans when they are 40.
    it’s a depressing picture for you.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    so why do the majority of people in ni not want to join a ui?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    I just read there how blessed I am. I had a 0.023% percent chance of being born in OWC. What a privilege 😎

    Over 99.9% of people do not get that chance 🙏



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The next decade will be much tougher economically for the South, there won't be the same dividend from MNCs, increased conflict will depress growth in non-military economies, housing will still be difficult for young people, and pensions will come under pressure with the democratic bulge. Older people seeing their pensions suffer and younger people seeing taxation rise to pay for everything won't be interested in taking on another burden, politicians won't be interested in a united Ireland.

    The only way is if Northern Ireland can stand on its own two feet. SF are determined that won't be the case. No border poll.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,219 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    That does absolutely nothing for your claim about the big Brexit benefits coming NI's way.

    The question was simple, if the NI Protocol was going to bring NI to the economic promised land, why do we see absolutely f*ck all of it almost five years later?

    While we could discuss the potential downsides impending for the Irish economy and overdependence on FDI, we've been hearing that it's all going to come crashing down any day now for years too. It's not a coincidence that your totally unsupported predictions always happen to land down on the side to justify your preexisting position. I'm absolutely confident you work back from your position to find the point instead of the other way round.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Well, actually it does. Northern Ireland may do much better than the South over the next decade.

    Northern Ireland will outperform the rest of the UK over the next few years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,219 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    I don't believe it is an entirely economic argument for a lot of people, Downcow. I imagine some people value their connection to the UK and their Britishness more than they value the benefits I might value in a United Ireland. For others, we see in all parts of live that some people are risk averse and inherently reluctant to change. Rightly or wrongly, some might feel like Unification would lead to unrest and more instability.There are an awful lot of reasons that people vote the way they do, none of those reasons change the fact that economically and politically, NI is an absolute sh*t show.

    If you disagree and feel like people favour remaining in the UK solely because it's better for their pocket, I'd be curious to hear the cash value per year that your vote would cost?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,219 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    You just now worked out the population of NI or the population of the world? Odd boast that in and of itself says absolutely nothing.

    What privilege exactly over anywhere else in Western Europe for example?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,219 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    First point, unsupported speculation. I can say with just as much authority and evidence that it may do much worse than the South over the next decade.

    Second point.....that's an awfully definitive statement. Why hasn't it for the last five years if you're basing this all on the magical Protocol?

    If the UK is doing so badly that NI is outperforming the rest of it by any reasonable metric, the UK is as good as dead.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    NI is outperforming the rest of the UK, closing the gap. What does that mean?

    In the long-term it means that NI is not a burden on rUK…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,219 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    Ah come on now, Blanch. Closing the gap and outperforming aren't even close to the same thing. The kid in the classroom who has gone from an F grade to scraping a D isn't outperforming the kid who dropped from an A+ to an A.

    You still keep dodging the substantive point; if the NI Protocol is the panacea for all economic ills of NI, why are we sitting five years later with no progress of note towards your prediction? If you can't answer, say so and I'll move on, but otherwise I'll keep asking so long as you keep pretending to miss the question.

    I don't disagree that NI becoming less of an economic burden is a positive, I just don't believe it happens without the level of reform I can't see happening without a hard reset like Unification would present.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    I thought you were from the north fionn. I’m surprised you don’t get a little bit of northern humour 🙂 - having said that, I do feel privileged to be in the 0.023%



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    What I find interesting is this ongoing wishful thinking that we are all living in poverty in OWC.
    it’s a pity it’s so difficult to get from ni to roi, or we could all flood across to paradise.
    that big powerful navy you have should get organised to block the flotilla of dinghies that will no doubt be leaving Kilkeel soon to cross Carlingford lough.

    At least we don’t pay for our trolly 🙂

    And as for rent etc:

    IMG_0930.jpeg IMG_0929.jpeg


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    I wonder does Paddy from Sligo want a united ireland?

    IMG_0931.jpeg

    https://www.farmersjournal.ie/life/health/patients-head-cross-border-for-affordable-obesity-drugs-878383



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,194 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    There is no doubt successive governments here have not had the competency to sort the HSE. But your system is equally failing the people and getting worse. Here's what your favourite Internet resource ChatGPT throws up, I would have thought you'd have used that before coming here to gloat like Jamie Bryson:

    Northern Ireland: Performance in EDs is poor. A large share of patients wait over 4 hours. For example, in the quarter ending 31 March 2025, about 44.4% of patients spent less than 4 hours in an ED, slightly up from previous years, but only ~34.2% at Type 1 EDs. 16% waited over 12 hours in some cases.

    Republic of Ireland: Data is less fully comparable in what I found (at least in the sources I checked), but ROI has also been under pressure in EDs, especially during winter surges. However, ROI has made some improvement in scheduled care and reducing long waits in recent years. The more structured “Waiting List Action Plan” and regular publication of outpatient/inpatient wait times suggests more active management.



    • Resource levels / funding: ROI has committed funding via WLAP (Waiting List Action Plan) and has targets under Sláintecare, with regular reporting. NI has less stable funding, and system disruptions (e.g. political, workforce) affect capacity.
    • Cross‑border dynamics & private sector: ROI uses a mix of public/private and also sometimes refers people to private providers to clear backlogs. NI’s system is more strictly public, with fewer options for private referrals or moving out of trust boundaries.
    • Population size & density, geography: Differences in scale and how dispersed populations are can affect service delivery especially in rural areas.
    • Management & policy agility: Ireland’s reforms (Sláintecare etc.) emphasize reducing waiting times and building capacity; NI has had more challenges in implementing reforms.
    • Workforce issues: Both jurisdictions face staffing shortages, but NI’s are acute in some specialities, often exacerbated by budget constraints and recruitment/retention difficulties.

    What we need, and anyone genuinely interested in patient welfare would agree, is root and branch reform of BOTH systems and an island wide system that isn't stupidly doubling up on services and staff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,194 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    This should be a warning to the Irish government.
    There is zero excuses left not to have a Plan ready to go. It is tantamount to recklessness now.

    Until very recently, the proposition that anyone judged worthy of ministerial office would act so dangerously might have seemed fantastical.

    But this is to assume that all those likely to be in power in years to come will share their predecessors’ values. Already, it is clear that this is not so.

    A wily minister wanting to subvert the system wouldn’t go anywhere near the civil service. There is no legal stipulation that a minister must involve the civil service.

    That assumption rests, as with so much in politics, on convention.

    There have long been unionist suspicions about Farage’s commitment to the Union. At various points he has appeared indifferent to Northern Ireland.

    Two weeks ago, Farage’s deputy, Richard Tice, suggested rewriting the Good Friday Agreement without the consent of nationalists.

    In pushing her desire to leave the European Convention on Human Rights, senior Conservative Suella Braverman said of its implications for Northern Ireland: “If there needs to be a border poll, then the people should have a vote.”Some of these people are zealots who care more about their vision of post-Brexit Britain than they do in keeping Northern Ireland within the Union.

    Nigel Farage, leader of Reform UK (James Manning/PA)If a Farage-type figure was Prime Minister, it might be attractive to some of these people to simplify post-Brexit trade rules and immigration law by calling a border poll.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The opportunity is there for Northern Ireland, the reason it hasn't happened is poor governance from those in Ministerial positions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,720 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    You are right that the NHS in N.Ireland is not as good as it was 5 or 10 or 20 or 40 years ago ( everything else like Lough Neagh pollution seems to be getting worse under SF rule up north too) , but it still cares for a lot of people from the 26 counties who have been let down badly by our HSE.

    For example, take the hundreds of busloads of people from Cork and Kerry alone whose sight was saved by the UK health system.

    Quote : "the initiative has helped to remove thousands of people from the waiting list who were in desperate need of cataract surgery. Many of the passengers were aged between 75 and 99 had been slowly going blind."

    If there was a U.I., instead of hundreds of bus-loads of people going from Kerry and Cork to N.I. for healthcare, we might need extra ferries to take people from the whole island over and back to Britain for health needs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,194 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I'll let @blanch152 field those questions.

    FF and FG governments have made a mess of the HSE as the British government make a mess of the NHS.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    NHS is under local control from Stormont.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c24n20vq575o

    This is what you get with Sinn Fein in charge of health.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,720 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    SF cannot even field a candidate for the Presidency so what hope would you have of running the HSE?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,194 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I thought you might have pointed out to @Francis McM that nearly 4000 people from NI used the Reimbursement Scheme to get medical care and operations in the ROI.

    As usual @Francis McM is pathetically under-researched



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,720 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    That is what you get with SF in charge of health in N.I.

    Never happened before that.



Advertisement
Advertisement