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Presidential Election 2025

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Comments

  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Sure..I mean getting 5 numbers on the lotto is just the same as getting 6.

    I DESERVE that jackpot!!!!!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,783 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Why 2 votes? Why not 20 votes? Why not just let anybody at all have their name on the ballot?

    She obviously thought it was a good idea when she signed the nomination form. Think about it…

    Sometimes giving your political opposites a platform to make idiots of themselves is a smart political move. Case in point, Gemma's resulting campaign



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,805 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Lowry? Grealish? Canney?

    Have you been drinking? They had zero chance of nominating anyone outside the FFG fold.

    Lowry bleeds Fine Gael. He always has. He is Independent in name only. The most self serving TD in the Dail. He is a government TD and completely loyal to FG.

    Grealish against all the odds became a Minister of State after being disgraced a few years ago. He is a super junior minister now. No chance he is biting the hand that feeds him. He is from the same constituency as Connolly and is backing Humphreys.

    Canney - same as above. Minister of State thanks to Lowry's shady negotiations. He would never have expected that and will never rock the FFG boat now. Backed HH early doors.

    You don't leave the trough when you just got your snout in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,833 ✭✭✭liamtech


    Ok i appreciate your reply.

    On the semantics of Libel/Slander, i wouldnt debate on that point, i dont think anything hinges on it. When i came here for this thread, and in particular, to follow the steen nomination situation, people were accusing many users, including me, of being undemocratic. While technically not something i would worry about from a legal point of view, i viewed it as a slur, and something akin to name calling. Perhaps referring to it as slander was, as you say, a bit over the top. I think calling someone undemocratic, for supporting a clearly democratic process, is farcical. Perhaps a better word

    But il move on, as I said, nothing hinges on it.

    Where I think the real source of disagreement lies is in our view of Ireland and its political system.

    Il state now that i agree with you. We are VERY lucky to live in Ireland, and its political system has proven robust. Even during the troubles when support for the Provos was present in numbers, that support rarely if ever made it into the halls of power.

    Where i think the disagreement lies, is in whether or not this stability and robust system is permanent. I dont believe it is, i think we must fight to keep the stability that we cherish. Especially when looking at how things have destabalized elsewhere. If as you suggested, you sensed fear in my posts yesterday, you would not have been a million miles away. I would say i felt a great deal of apprehension.

    We have issues in Ireland, that we have had for generations. The housing crisis isnt new, and we have yet to resolve the issues with the health service. Within the later, i would add a growing mental health crisis in this country, which tends to be discussed, but rarely acted on. This issue has touched my family personally, and while i wont go into details, I think it shocking that huge waiting lists remain for access to proper mental healthcare. Now politically, i am left wing. Certainly I am not radical left, nor would i be labled woke. I dont like FFG, and have deep misgivings about the nature of coalition politics. I dont think junior parties of government have ever fared well at subsequent elections. But while i dont like FFG, i would not consider myself to be afraid of them. I believe in democracy, and so does FFG.

    The concern i have, is that the aforementioned underlying issues are being gamed by a growing right wing block in this country. I refer to it as a Neo Right Wing, because its a big tent, and it includes many different groupings, including a growing Christian Right affiliation. It also tends to be Chameleonic, in how it attracts support. Anyone who has anything critical to say about the current government and society, is more than welcome. And this new block seeks to address the underlying issues by blaming societal decay, and secularization, along with, immigration. We have disaffection with politics in this country too, as voter turnout declines, and people begin to 'give up' imagining that anything will be solved after elections. And these disaffected voters, many of whom are enduring hardship, are being successfully lobbied by these right wing groups.

    You only have to examine the Gript Platform, for evidence supporting this trend. For quite a while, RTE has been attacked as being 'biased' in favour of liberal policy makers, and for refusing to engage with this Neo Right Wing. Which is ludicrous, RTE has always remained painfyully unbiased, and yet it continues to be attacked. 'Anti Immigration' councillors whip up support for their views, and decry the fact that they are not interviewed on the Six One news. Now regardless of where you stood on Maria Steen, it is a fact at this stage, that the neo right wing in this country were fully prepared to roll in behind her. As i said earlier, these groupings tend to behave chameleonic, in that they are fully capable of attacking the system as being 'undemocratic', while simultaneously attacking actual democratic institutions and mandates, such as the previous referenda on Marriage Equality and Repealling the 8th.

    All of these tactics are straight out of the MAGA/Brexit Playbook - attacking RTE, is no different to farage wanting to defund the BBC, or Trump refering to CNN/ABC/NBC et al, as 'Fake News'. The fact that there is no evidence to support any of these claims, is meaningless; When experts point out the invalid nature of the accusations, these are reframed as 'Elites' and the 'Establishment pushing back'. If Maria Steen were simply to stand up and run on a platform of 'Christian Conservatism' that would be one thing. I would be entirely less concerned with that, as I would agree with you; She would be very unlikely to get enough support to make an impact.

    But cleverly reframing her candidacy as 'Maverick', 'Anti-Establishment' and 'insurgent', in support of the disaffected population - at best its entirely dishonest. But really, its an attempt to mirror the successes of Trump and Brexit. And down that road lies a severe damaging of our cherished stable political system. While its true that the presidency is a fairly insulated position, a victory for Steen would see those who support her gain publicity and media coverage. And this could easily roll over into the next local and general elections. Even getting on the ballot paper, would be enough for her, and her supporters to gain way more coverage than they otherwise would have.

    Id finish by going back to our political system. We both agree that it is stable, and robust at present. I think problems exist, and i am frequently annoyed that they are not dealt with. The HSE is just one part; I think withdrawing the energy credits this year, despite acknowledging the growing cost of fuel in this country, is also a mistake, but thats another topic. The point we disagree on seems to hinge on whether the political system could be jeapordized. I believe it could, and id be interested to hear your thoughts.

    With respect

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,049 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    This is spot on I think.

    I have respect for McDowell, but I think he let himself down here. Apparently, he refused to speak to Steen and wouldn't answer her calls. Talk about rudeness. I think he will come out of this damaged.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 967 ✭✭✭cheese sandwich


    Another day, another batshít crazy Connolly statement. The woman is a crank who would be a disaster as President. Shame on Labour for supporting such a manifestly unsuitable weirdo



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,330 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    There is nobody who believes that is why she nominated Gemma, it was in my opinion solely due to Gemma's admittedly good journalism on the Garda penalty points scandal and constant pushing up until around 2016 as an anti-establishment thorn in the government of the days side. However by 2018 it was clear to anyone paying attention to her she had gone off the rails a bit, Connolly however either was unaware or ignored this and chose to nominate her and platform her as someone deserving of at the very least to be nominated for president.

    Her judgement should keep being questioned in that regard until she gives an adequate answer which shes is miles off doing yet and her refusal to admit to making a mistake in nominating her is in my opinion pathetically narcissistic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,859 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    Given Aontu and Independent Ireland had committed to Maria Steen - the suggestion would have meant that Longford, Kilkenny and Carlow County Council would all have only 2 councillors able to vote, whilst Monaghan County Council would have one councillor eligible to vote.

    Meaning you could gain a nomination with just 7 councillors supporting you.

    Idiocy of the highest order.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,512 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


    As someone who's on record as hoping Steen would get on the ballot I also acknowledge she didn't get the required number of Oireachtas members to nominate her.

    Criticising this or that person for not agreeing to nominate her is just silly. She doesn't have an inalienable right to any Oireachtas member's nomination. They had the choice and decided not to sign, for whatever reason.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 326 ✭✭Aurelian


    That's exactly my point, how she explicitly took the phrase, "the welfare of the people of Ireland" as a segue into talking about Gaza, and making it a primary issue.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,859 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    Has she bothered to explain WHY she thought having O'Doherty on the ballot paper would be a good idea?

    CC and her supporters really take huge offence to anyone daring to question any of the poor decisions she's made.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,330 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    It really wont damage him in the slightest as this is how he has always behaved and for anyone who is actually familiar with him knows this is absolutely on form, he is a rude pr1ck of a man who only cares about himself. He is also guaranteed re-election to the senate if he wants it and couldn't care less about how this makes him look because nobody's opinion he cares about will think he did anything wrong here and again would just expect this of him.

    The only people surprised or angry by his behaviour and actions are people who mistakenly believed he held conservative views similar to theirs after last years referenda.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,049 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    In an era where there are many who rightly or wrongly perceive the democratic system we have, as not working for them, the last few weeks don't derail that sentiment.

    IMO, Steen and Sheridan should have both made the ballot, but were barred due to pressure from on high. Fine, that is democracy, one might say. But when the election results are in, and the whole thing is dull, boring, and the turnout will be the lowest in history, people will then be asking the question, "how do we engage people in politics more…" while the answer is staring them in the face.

    We are in danger of repeating the mistake of the UK and the USA by having a system where people feel utterly disenfranchised. We may not have to pay that price in the next year or two, but give it 5-10 years and we will see what happens.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Absolutely no one has put forward any valid explanation why anyone should have given Steen(or anyone else) a nomination "just because".

    You nominate someone because you think they'd do a good job, that's it.

    If McDowell or anyone else felt Steen would be unsuitable for the office then they are absolutely 100% correct in withholding their support for a nomination.

    That's exactly the point of the process.

    Not enough people felt she was suitable, end of story.

    If she'd like to change that viewpoint then she needs to spend a bit longer than a week trying to convince people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,049 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    I know full well the views ex-PD's have in regards the RCC and those of old Catholic Ireland. Sure, that is why the PD's split from FF in the first place. I don't think McDowell and Steen would share much common ground there. That is fine.

    But even to talk to Steen, to say "Thank you for your call, but I am not going to nominate you for x,y,z…"
    What is he? A child?

    I have heard he has an ego the size of Mount Everest.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,339 ✭✭✭1641


    Is this what you are referring to:

    "McDowell had worked with Steen previously and had a high regard for her abilities. But he had profound political differences with her and did not want to see her as president. He resolved not to nominate her, and did not engage with efforts to persuade him." (Irish Times).

    Why on earth should he engage with her - other than to say "No". And also reported in Pat Leahy's article is the grave exception that other independents took to efforts by Steen supporters to intimidate and abuse them into nominating her - and to Steen's failure to clearly call them out for doing so.

    I think they didn't nominate her because they were "unconvinced by her suitability" for the office - rather than policy issues.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 747 ✭✭✭feelings


    Saying CC's judgement should be questioned because she previously supported CD, MW or GoD is like saying a divorce proves it was a mistake to marry in the first place. Life and politics are more nuanced than that. Supporting someone on principle at a moment in time doesn’t automatically become a mistake just because circumstances or opinions shift later. CC has always acted on conviction, not convenience and that’s far from narcissism.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,894 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    Nonsensical argument. With the current nominations it would have resulted in:

    • Dublin City: 11 of the 62 councillors having a nomination
    • Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown: 5 of the 40 councillors having a nomination
    • Fingal: 11 of the 40 having a nomination
    • Kildare: 5/40
    • Laois: 7/19
    • Longford: 2/18
    • Louth: 7/29
    • Meath: 13/40
    • Offaly: 4/19
    • South Dublin: 13/40
    • Westmeath: 3/20
    • Wicklow: 11/32
    • Cavan: 3/18
    • Donegal: 13/37
    • Galway City: 5/18
    • Galway County: 13/39
    • Leitrim: 5/18
    • Mayo: 8/30
    • Monaghan: 1/18
    • Roscommon: 8/18
    • Sligo: 4/18
    • Carlow: 4/18
    • Clare: 3/28
    • Cork City: 6/31
    • Cork County: 12/55
    • Kerry: 12/33
    • Kilkenny: 2/24
    • Limerick: 9/40
    • Tipperary: 15/40
    • Waterford: 8/32
    • Wexford: 13/34

    In every council this would have a minority deciding who to nominate with some laughable situations such as Kilkenny or Longford where it's only 2 people deciding and Monaghan where it's just 1.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,512 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


    All Oireachtas members had the right to ignore, reject or nominate whoever they wished………..end of story.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    I get the point you are making , but how does giving extremists a platform for the sake of "balance" help Democracy?

    It's like challenge with the climate debate.

    You have a scientific speaker on a news show to discuss the problem and you feel you should have an opposing view "for balance" but by having it 1:1 you are giving outsized representation to the deniers.

    "Balance" would actually mean having 10 on one side and 1 on the denier side, but that never happens.

    Facilitating an extremist with sub 5% electoral support by giving them equal time as those representing the other 95% isn't balance.

    Let them earn their place at the table if they can.. Don't just hand it out to be "nice".



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,783 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    I think you're reading into it a bit too much, a lot of left wing independent TDs backed O'Doherty, largely because she challenged the political norms, was anti-establishment etc etc

    Some of them just didn't want another FF or FG candidate



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,859 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    And ignored a significant amount of crazy that had already become apparent about O'Doherty. Each and every one of them deserves criticism for it.

    Ignoring massive red flags because O'Doherty might annoy the Government isn't the ringing endorsement of her judgement that you seem to think it is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,330 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    The point i'm making is circumstances hadn't changed, Gemma was in the process of revealing her true colours prior to and during the 2018 election and connolly either ignored that or was ignorant of it.

    She could absolutely run with "I nominated Gemma for "blah blah" reasons, in hindsight with what we learned about her that may have been a mistake". There's no harm or foul in such a statement and it would put that entire question to rest for her but refusing to even acknowledge that she may have been wrong to nominate her is needlessly obstinant.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,783 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Again there's the difference between nominating a candidate to get them on the ballot paper and actually endorsing a candidate. A difference you seem unable to comprehend for some unknown reason



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,320 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    If you already oppose Steen's views, letting her talk to you is likely to make you less willing to consider a nomination.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,988 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    He doesn't give a flying fuk who thinks he is damaged I would say.

    I mean who does he have to woo or answer to.



  • Administrators Posts: 55,668 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,320 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    I recall Paul Murphy noted right winger after the last election when all these right wing "indys" were trying to get into government ,saying that this should have been when the penny dropped that a lot of these people are not indy at all and are pretty much at the beck and call of FF/FG and those voting for them to stick it to FF/FG were been tricked, maybe at least this time they may finally understand it.

    I don't want to say nice things about Martin, but on reflection lets say he said to FF "endorse Maria, no repercussions" and that got her on the ballot and she somehow won or more likely took away a lot of FF social conservative voters handing the election to CC , he would be a laughing stock , it made political sense to block a candidate who not only has spent the last ten years bashing the establishment which is obviously FF but could have cost his party the election.

    Politics is a ruthless business and also it seems water is still wet.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    What is the difference, because I don't see it?

    You either agree with them or at least feel they'd do a reasonably decent job.

    Essentially if you give someone a nomination in my view it means in voting terms you consider them worthy of at least a down Ballot preference.

    Maybe not your number 1 , but you'd be ok with giving them a 2nd or 3rd preference.

    If they don't meet that criteria for you then you absolutely should not be facilitating their nomination under any circumstances.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 747 ✭✭✭feelings


    "Do I regret what’s happened in relation to her? Absolutely. Do I support her in any way? Not at all" She goes on to say she doesn’t regret signing O’Doherty’s nomination papers at the time, because her view then was that O’Doherty had “done some good work as an investigative journalist.” And further goes on to say she wouldn’t make the same nomination today.



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