Presidential Election.

He kept it up for close to a decade when managing one of the most hated sports teams in the history of the country so I imagine just being boring and saying nothing that will upset anyone will be easy peasy for him.

Oh There was a very short Jim Gavin interview with Gavan Reilly on Virgin Media, you need a login https://play.virginmediatelevision.ie/watch/replay/19310978/the-tonight-show-tue-09-sep?play_position=1

Mentioned last years referendums he was No, No,… Gaza, calls it genocide.

Sean Dafoe also https://www.goloudplayer.com/episodes/jim-gavin-wins-presidential-bid--NDU0YmExOWI2MWNjNzg1YWY1Yzc2ZTU4NDliNmY2ZTA%3D more on his Let Me Explain podcast tmw

Dafoe asked him if he was an FG voter, his answer was that he never endorsed a political party. So thats a yes.

Yates and Sheehan dismissing chance of more Independents !

Internal departmental records show the prosecution was proceeding as normal until a member of Humphreys’s staff passed the correspondence delivered to her by Wright’s associate to Gleeson’s office on January 25, triggering a review days later on January 28..

Id say that's what you'd call the letterr being acted upon.

People are not stupid and can read between the lines.

So IT says his local FF TD is John Lahart, so thats Dublin South West, so that the choice of John Lahart vs Colm Brophy, or before that Charlie O'Connor (and Conor Lenihan) vs Brian Hayes... $ https://www.irishtimes.com/politics/2025/09/09/inside-the-fianna-fail-presidential-vote-standing-ovations-thunderous-applause-and-tears/

I know it's not the same thing but it's very easy as President to just say nothing more than a few sound bytes.

He doesn't have to make policy decisions, he doesn't have to run a ministry , he just has to be the states representative and make speeches, shake hands, that's all there really is to the job.

Gavin seems very bland, a sort of Fianna Fáil AI candidate.

we will have to wait for SF to make up its mind before making firm predictions.

Don't think we do. Mary Lou was the only one they had capable of winning or even going close.

As thinks stand:

• Another Liadh Ni Riada (John Finucane) goes out on the first count
• A meh SF candidate (Rose Conway-Walsh) just about outpolls Connolly but goes out on the next count unless the FF-FG is weighted heavily one way or the other
• SF's best bet (Michelle O'Neil or Pearse Doherty) gets down to the last two but finishes a distant second after Gavin transfers massively to Humphries or vice versa

Remember the powers of the president are so limited that this is effectively a popularity contest and the winner will essentially have no effect on our daily lives

At this moment my money is on Catherine Connolly being backed by SF and she will come second behind Heather Humphries. I don't think there's enough to get Connolly over the line, but her previous backing of marriage equality and repeal of the 8th will make her a popular choice for young voters. Young voters are, however, a minority in this country

Outside of Dublin Jim Gavin is a nobody but FF need to make themselves relevant in Dublin again and this election might just help in that sense. They've effectively thrown this election to try and secure Dublin for upcoming meaningful elections. I can see Jims transfers mainly going to HH and that will be enough to get her over the line.

On the flip side I think Maria Steen will make the ballot, I think she has a good chance of convincing the councils of roscommon and donegal over their stances on the previous and then it's 2 more needed. She could also go looking for Aontú and a few indie senators but I doubt she'd make it to 20

Of course, everybody loves a good scandal and if one is brought to light about any candidate in the week before the election that could turn those predictions on their head. The current scandal of HH and the animal cruelty case is too early to make any impact and will be largely forgotten about by the 24th of October

It isn't unusual for a political party to give the backing to somebody not in the party but of similar political views. Take Mary Robinsons support from the workers and green parties at the time or how democratic left backed Adi Roche in 1997

The support of SF would be a huge boost to her campaign. Playing nicely with the other left wing parties is also beneficial from the POV of transfers in any upcoming elections for SF. If she polls well then it could be considered a shared win for the parties that nominated her. A shared win is better than a loss