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Cold Case Review of Sophie Tuscan du Plantier murder to proceed

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 145 ✭✭thoneaseessi


    Sample came from the rock

    No match yet

    If the above is correct the other journalist was getting ahead of himself



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,576 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    The most interesting part of that report is the pumphouse in the foreground of the photo of her house.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,248 ✭✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Very much so -I expect we’ll see more of these type of articles to fill in the no news gap over the coming weeks



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 145 ✭✭thoneaseessi


    Thats michael O'Toole i think.

    Usually seems well in the know



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 802 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    I agree it would face a challenge, but it likely depends on the DNA findings themselves. In addition I think the gardai would use the initial DNA finding to come down like a hammer on the suspect, re-check alibis statements etc., seek a confession or accusation from someone who may know more. Perhaps do some searches etc for a weapon, similar to the Annie McCarrick case.

    If they just find one persons DNA it would likely be strong evidence unless they have a very good reason for it being there. If they find multiple people's DNA, then I think the challenge would be much stronger, and combining this with the shambles of an original investigation, the DPP may feel it is unwinnable.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 802 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    I also have a feeling that the other journalist was getting ahead of themselves, I wouldn't be surprised if he just talked to some of the employees at the company and got some information about their general process and timing etc., and since he doesn't have a clue about the science put two and two together and got five.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,576 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    I think he just wasn't up to speed. This is what he said in the report;

    "The discovery marks the first time viable DNA evidence has been recovered in the case. Previous efforts to extract genetic material from the murder scene — including during a 2008 review and the French-led investigation in 2011 — failed to yield any foreign DNA.

    So he's either ignorant of the DNA found by the French on Sophie's boot or just being disingenuous.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,473 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    The issue with somebody else's DNA would be grave it it was really a Guard.

    I think they would prosecute for sure if it was DNA beyond reasonable doubt from the murder, not under any other circumstances. They would also prosecute if the suspect was still alive, say Finbarr Hellens or Leo Bolger or that man in France the Garda visited. Legally there is also no statute of limitations for murder in Ireland.

    It is most likely the killer is already dead and the results would bring some rest to this case.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,248 ✭✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    So, did Ian Bailey “lean over the body” as some “reports” say he did- or do we believe the statement in the Garda file that categorically states that he didn’t “lean over the body”?

    Are the papers trying to muddy the waters here, in advance of the DNA results? Who are these people who “report” that Bailey lent over the body? I find it bizarre that even the most rookie of guards would have allowed that at the time.

    As we approach what is rumoured to be the results of the latest DNA testing, the media are printing ever more bizarre stories. And there’s plenty to keep the conspiracy theorists going -

    From my own perspective, if Bailey’s DNA is found, regardless of how it got there then for me it’s “case closed” - and if you’re stupid enough to go near an obvious crime scene and contaminate it with your DNA, that’s just your own tough luck. Bailey was old enough to enjoy episodes of Columbo and as we know he never allowed the crime scene to be disturbed 😀

    My mind will be made up. But if Jules is writing a book, I think it would be advisable to await the outcome of these latest tests first before publishing - otherwise it may date very quickly.

    The few newspaper articles we’ve seen are talking “around” the issue of Baileys DNA being found - but the cumulative impact is that they’re hyping up the expectation that his DNA will indeed be found.

    My own view is that if the killer didn’t wear gloves, his DNA will likely be found in this latest round of testing . All we can do is wait

    “The new development in the cold case comes amid reports that a garda blunder in the original investigation may have allowed Ian Bailey to gain access to the crime scene and deliberately contaminate it with his DNA.

    Sources have claimed Manchester-born Mr Bailey was at the scene on the morning after the murder and ‘knelt down over the body of the dead woman’.

    Gardaí reportedly feared at the time that Mr Bailey was trying to shed genetic traces via the transfer of flakes of his hair or skin to explain why his DNA was found at the crime scene.“

    https://www.southernstar.ie/news/claims-ian-bailey-accessed-sophie-crime-scene-4338169



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,473 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    If the Guards were that dumb that anybody ( and Bailey would be anybody ) could come and bend over the body and contaminate the crime scene than the crime would never be really solved.

    I also don't know if that's what really happened, or if it's just an attempt to muddy the waters here.

    Ulitmately it would be the fault of the Garda if they let the crime scene to be contaminated, as the suspect can always argue that he bent over the victim after the murder.

    I think what is most likely going to happen is that the latest round of DNA testing will only result in some kind of statement that it is very to most likely pointing to this suspect, and this suspect is already dead.

    No prosecution, no legal verdict as the suspect is dead, and a bit of reasonable doubt still remaining.

    It'll be a similar situation as with the Jack the Ripper case, where all the latest understandings of the case would to a strong degree point to two or maybe three suspects.

    As to Bailey, yes, he could have done it, he had the time, he had the opportunity, he had no alibi, but so did a lot of others that night, drinking or heavy drinking included. Motive, I still don't see for Bailey and even if everything in the DNA tests would point to him, I'd still be speculating about the motive.



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  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 43,924 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    There's no evidence that Bailey (or anyone else) got past the Garda cordon. These were bullsh1t rumours spread years ago to implicate him.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 802 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    Technically murder is still a high bar to prove. How could the DPP determine murder beyond a reasonable doubt vs manslaughter? Especially given the shambles of an investigation. Is there a statute of limitations for manslaughter? In any case I think a confession is about the only way things can go, prompted by a DNA finding of course. There have been cases where even when an obvious perpetrator didn't confess the prosecution was unable to win a case.

    If there is a DNA finding it would appear that the MVAC company may not be able to keep that secret, which would be a major concern for the gardai.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 145 ✭✭thoneaseessi


    Im tending to believe only the second article that they have a dna profile off the rock

    That may amount to nothing i feel ,could be unknown ANother

    I'd disregard the other articles about "jubilation" and bailey leaning over the body



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,248 ✭✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    “Technically murder is still a high bar to prove. How could the DPP determine murder beyond a reasonable doubt vs manslaughter?”

    Without going into the gruesome details, I think the fact a brick was used in the destruction of her body and mind would give a fair indication to most reasonable jurors that it was murder.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,576 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    Well he did actually, Just after Christmas, while the cordon was still in place, he managed to wangle an opportunity to accompany Leo Bolger up to Alfie's. Bolger had to attend his horses in Alfie's field every day, and Bailey helped him carry provisions up to Alfie. They were escorted up. The route did not take them up the lane through the gate and the murder scene. They took the same route Shirley Foster took when she came down to her car and the route Leo Bolger is seen taking in a photo posted here earlier by @bjsc.

    ROUTE TO ALFIE.jpg

    As they went up to Alfie's they would have passed within view of Sophie's kitchen window.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,248 ✭✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Not in the manner described and implied in the articles above though-



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 802 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    I certainly agree, and have said as much, however without a confession there is the possibility for reasonable doubt. If it could be claimed that the perpetrator went into a blind rage killing, and it could be claimed that the brick was used during that temporary rage phase, that would likely be enough to say manslaughter imo.

    Some people say the brick wasn't even used. Personally I think if there was DNA evidence then the DPP would offer a manslaughter guilty plea to draw a line under it, and not have to go through a trial. However I don't know if there is a statute of limitations for that.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 43,924 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    As per the reply from @Oscar_Madison I was referring to the suggestion that Bailey was wandering through the murder spot doing his best to leave fibres and DNA.
    Any key evidence (which is currently being tested) would have been removed by the time Bailey went up to Alfie's - the article is sensationalism at its finest



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,473 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    I think looking at the gravity how she was killed, I would say, that it was clearly murder not manslaughter.

    However that's a layman's opinion.

    The real difference is intent and this would lead us into the premeditated vs non-premeditated debate.

    The fact that Sophie was so rarely at her cottage and that the killer must at least have known that she was there is most likely not enough as he could have had just intent to meet her, social chit chat, natter, chinwag…..

    If it was a rage killing and that rage was provoked say whilst walking with Sophie to the gates, it would be classified as voluntary manslaughter. However this is also rather fluid in this case. Was the rage provoked is one thing, but if that rage existed for longer it would be premeditated and thus clearly murder with intent.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 145 ✭✭thoneaseessi


    Yes that article was unintelligible scutter

    Im wondering now was it maybe AI generated some way



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,767 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


    So how long before the FBI lab comes up with a result?

    I mean it would be nice to know if we can elect a President whose DNA isn't on that 'murder weapon'.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,248 ✭✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Better vote for Gareth Sheridan so, to be on the safe side- he was only 6 at the time of the murder


    https://www.rte.ie/news/presidential-election/2025/0814/1528483-gareth-sheridan/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,767 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


    I'm told I used to chase my brothers with a hatchet when I was three, I could have been a serial (cereal?) killer by age six.

    Anyway it'd be nice to know if we'll be still waiting by Christmas, or at least which one. 🙄



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 393 ✭✭bjsc


    The idea that he went up with Leo comes from a statement that he (Leo) made many years later. In it he says that either 24th or 25th he went up to the horses and Bailey, who was at the cordon, went with him. Unfortunately for Leo there is a scenes of crime photograph, taken at the timetime, which clearly shows him, on his own, walking up the field towards Alfie's.

    In his house to house questionnaire Bailey says he did go to Alfie's, possibly on 27th, to take him briquettes and a present and undoubtedly to try and get the inside line. There is no suggestion that Leo was with him.

    There are also pictures of Bailey peering through the windows of the house. I will have to check the date but they were after the cordon was lifted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,806 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    No match doesn't mean a full DNA profile won't be or isn't raised. Maybe it just means that the killers DNA profiles aren't among the ones they have available now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,473 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    Just wondering, did Bolger and Bailey know each other and see each other socially? If so, they would have shared ideas on who the murderer was.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,576 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    I remember Leo saying in a video that Bailey wangled an excuse to accompany him up to Alfie's. I'll see if I can find it, I think it was French, and the subtitles were not great.

    Edit; Video here, Leo Bolger at about 23 mins;

    https://youtu.be/OxZQTOaqwXk?t=1403

    The photo of Bailey peering through the windows;

    appeared to be taken by the same photographer at the same as this one, a while after the cordon was lifted. Original gate is gone, pier rebuilt and postbox replaced.

    Post edited by chooseusername on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 802 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    Leo says that Bailey told him that he was bringing fuel up to Alfie and Shirley as they couldn't leave their house. Was that accurate? Once Shirley got back from the dump did they have to stay at home afterwards?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 145 ✭✭thoneaseessi


    The one credible report (imo) is saying they have a profile



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  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 43,924 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle




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