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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - Mod Warning updated in OP 12/2/26

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,356 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    I had a random thought on whether one's antecedence could have a bearing on how one might vote in U.S. national politics, like for the presidential nominees. If one were of Russian or Ukrainian descent, how it might affect one's choice on the "all politics is local" basis, given how hot the political scene is there. The last survey on "Russian" voters seems to have been in 2012 showing it was recorded as 1% of the voting population. I don't know if there was a similar one done of Ukraine-descendant to register its percentage in the overall population.

    That'd be the business of the number crunchers etc. It's entirely possible that one's ethnic descent wouldn't have a hold on how one votes in any case BUT Trump has shown a remarkable display of not giving a fig about how the vote goes, except for along national party line results.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,687 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


    I hear in the news this morning that Trump has pushed the deadline on a tariff agreement with China out for another 90 days.

    Xi is playing him unlike the democracies who Trump can bully at will it seems.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,640 ✭✭✭✭RobbingBandit


    China tariff parked for 90 days.

    Genuine question at what point does all this nonsense start to be called market manipulation, Trump Elon and who knows how many more on both sides own massive holdings in stocks Gold Crypto and even managing sovereign debt.

    By causing turmoil like this it has to be making them some quick cash.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,687 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


    "Genuine question at what point does all this nonsense start to be called market manipulation"

    It's already being called that but as long as Trump controls the levers of power it's going nowhere.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 44,393 ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    It's not a wish, it's reality. The only way people, or most people, realise how stupid a concept American Nazism is is if they experience the consequences. It's the lesson of Brexit. The Conservatives shoved their grotty little project through and now people just don't talk about it.

    Until the American public see, and more importantly feel their freedoms disappearing, they will continue to mindlessly support a man who may well be a child molester. There's no headline that can cause his support to collapse at this point. Americans are now either anti-Nazi or pro-Nazi or bystanders. There's no fourth category.

    It takes a special kind of sh*tehole for a probable paedophile to be exalted as a god. Thank Christ for the Atlantic Ocean.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,356 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    What I'd be interested on is whether there'd be mobile patrols with D/C cops in lead car and an N/G saloon/jeep behind with two N/G Pers, NO armoured vehicles in style or size, making it 4 persons total. No N/G side-arms, just short batons to reduce tension. The intent should be to make any provocateur intent on mischief an annoyance to the locals. F*ck over any "investigative citizen-journalist" types from the start.

    I have no idea on whether D/C Cops do foot patrols on a Pro-Op basis to reduce street crime but hope it does. I'd hope for a drive out & park the cars, do a neighbour/business area walk on foot to reduce tension and show the public that the civil & military have an amicable working relationship.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,356 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    It would seem that Trump, and his back seat operatives, has side-lined the Congress GOP members, through MAGA-izing the state and local GOP membership, putting those Congress members in fear of him. That is something they can rectify themselves if they get some backbone.

    Ref SCOTUS and Trump, it seems to me that what you describe as it giving him a sweeping immunity from prosecution is not that. It is that they have not properly defined and laid out the borders of what are the presidents "official duties" and what are not his "official duties".

    Some can choose to argue that that is outside the bounds of SCOTUS duties, an improper limitation of presidential freedom to act. I disagree with that line. SCOTUS could and can remind, by way of inclusion in the courts publicized decision, that it is up to Congress to decide what is outside the remits of any presidents powers. That includes the power to initiate and use tariffs against other countries outside the emergency event limitations the president can utilize tariffs as a coercize trade weapon.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 17,427 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    A logical, rational and calm analysis as always Manic.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,717 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    I would submit that there is a zero percent chance that if in a position to interact with the public, they will not be armed. Go up the train line to New York City, as a current example. (Which folks here seem not to be complaining about all that much). They also seem to be operating in pairs on their own, without police accompaniment, much as one may find in European cities like Paris and Brussels.

    image.png

    https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/mta-subway-security-during-holidays-announcement/

    Similarly, the move by Governor Hochul (which seems to have attracted much less attention overall) has not been universally appreciated.

    https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/03/nyc-subway-national-guard-bratton/677700/

    That said, it does seem to have had an effect in hindsight.

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,356 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    You'll get a wow from me there. Never even knew the N/G had members of its N/Y units, armed or with batons, on static/foot patrols of NYC subways. Makes me wonder if Trump has been appraised of that by his team/Sec Defence, given how he seems to think the N/G should be deployed in several other cities to solve public order threats and street crimes.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,633 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Violent crime in 2024 in DC was at a 30 year low, so if the National Gaurd is not being sent there due to the crime rate then why are they being sent there by Trump. To clear the homeless off the streets ?



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,430 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Trump and the GOPs constant claims that the US is some dystopian hellscape is simply not supported by reality.

    Crime rates in general across the US were down substantially in 2024 ( the latest available complete data) and in D.C. in particular. They've also been declining in general for quite a long time , save for an increase during the Covid period , which is not altogether surprising.

    But that narrative does not suit Trump for now as it had nothing to do with him. He does all this stuff and then in a few months suddenly all those metrics that he's lying about today will become facts again as he claims sole responsibility for the reduction in crime.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,717 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    It's a reflection of where they started. The crime rate is certainly dropping, but it's also still higher than most other large cities in the US, not dropping as fast as in other large cities in the US, and has a long way to go.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8600x7dnn4o



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,684 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    I think you're pretty conveniently ignoring that this is more a demonstration of intimidation than anything else.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,077 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,361 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Exactly. The federal government, through Trump, has taken over the running of the states themselves, which I mistakenly thought the likes of the GOP were adamantly against.

    In essence, Trump, if one were to believe this particular set of lies, is so annoyed at the leaders of Washington DC handling of the homeless, that he has removed their powers and taken them for himself. He is now going to spend millions to get the NG in. Of course, one could argue that maybe that money would be better used in providing support to help the homeless, but that doesn't enable Trump to act the hardman

    It was simply protesting a few weeks ago, now it's the crime of being homeless. The universities are being attacked for thinking differently. The press are attacked ad nauseam for the cheek of asking questions. All the warning signs are there for everyone to see but many people are choosing not to see it. The comon thread is that should you not do as Trump wants then you will pay a price. Be that lose your job, get arrested etc.

    It is conditioning everyone to stay quiet, to stay in line, to not ask questions.

    America the land of the free? Don't make me laugh. A bunch of scared witless cowards who are more interested in proclaiming they love democracy than actually do anything to protet it.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,430 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Or for example if he really cared about Washingtons image he'd spend $200M on helping the cities homeless instead of building a tacky monstrosity of a ballroom that no one wants or needs.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,717 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Not directed at you specifically, but you know that meme which goes around every now and then along the lines of "Suddenly all the experts on vaccine theory on the internet have become experts in constitutional law instead?" There is an element of truth to it that in that if Trump isn't doing it, it doesn't get as much attention. Whilst this is understandable to a point as Trump is President and Hochul (or Abbott or Newsom) is but a 'mere' Governor, the reality is that things like the legal authorities and precedent of what the military can do in the US quite simply isn't something which folks at large have paid attention to. Fair enough, even in the military it's something to which many folks don't pay much attention. When I got my DSCA certification with a score of regular army Lt Colonels, I was the only one who knew what I would consider the most 'basic' levels of Title 32 vs Title 10 orders, let alone anything more complicated.

    So when folks pay attention for the first time to something like the use of the military in a domestic law enforcement role, they may not be aware of all the precedent both legal and practical. It's "new and shocking" to them, it's "business as usual" for some of us. Here's my old unit, 221 Cavalry, together with others, pulling law enforcement support in Las Vegas in 2017. There was no crime spree, no natural disaster. As you can see, it's only a party. Just the need for a bit more manpower to help Vegas Metro PD.

    image.png image.png image.png image.png

    To be fair, at least by last year they dropped the helmets and armour on the Strip:

    image.png

    This sort of thing is routine… but since Trump normally isn't doing it, most people haven't cared and so haven't noticed.

    As to Trump's intentions with other cities, D.C. is a bit of a unique case in that it's the only place (at least CONUS) where Trump can directly take action. He can, if he wants to (and if the money is there) offer to pay for the various governors to have troops patrol the other cities, but he cannot direct them to do so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,584 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    You are making these points as if Trump's stance is based on good faith, ie that he wants to lower crime rates.

    However, if you view what is happening in the context of;

    A) him pardoning actual criminals of the worst attack on the Capitol building and therefore he couldn't care less about crime rates in DC and

    B) his prior use of the National Guard in LA without any request from the Governor

    You can only conclude that he has an ulterior motive.

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,753 ✭✭✭yagan


    He's like a black hole, sucking in all around him because no one stops him.

    but is it really so odd in the land of fundamentalist individualism?

    Social stability isn't valued where everyone is wired to have a get rich plan. Trump is capitalism eating itself.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,781 ✭✭✭amandstu


    I can't find the source of that quote.(it is easily found in a google search but I can't see who said it first.I see it is being

    sold on tea shirts.It had better be genuine or it's an own goal)

    I agree with the sentiment and ,likely the historical veracity but I hope it doesn't give the appeasers ,followers and fellow travelers an easy win if it is "fake quotes"



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,717 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    I don't know if he does or does not want to lower crime rates, or if he considers 'common crime' vs 'Jan 6th' as different categories. Neither do you. You have suspicions.

    However: I know he has the long-standing, uncontroversial authority to do it, and that is not a matter of opinion.

    This is D.C in the 1930s, and it's not a parade. The President ordered the Army to clear out a peaceful protest, the cavalry ended up charging the line of protestors in the distance. When everything was done, two dead, 55 injured. Where does Trump's actions on the DC Guard fall on the authorities scale compared to this?

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,917 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    Is there a protest camp in DC at the moment?



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,430 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Your examples above are all cases where the Governors made use of THEIR National guard troops. None of those were the President using Emergency powers to send in the National Guard without the support and/or agreement of the State Leadership.

    The issue isn't really about whether Trump is allowed to do what he's doing (well it it sort of is) , it's about whether he should be doing it.

    The law allowing Trump to do what he has done in DC is there , but saying that his invocation of that law is reasonable based on the reality on the ground is a pretty weak argument.

    He has relied on the use of "emergency powers" for almost everything he has done thus far this term, when the grounds for calling any of the things he is claiming an "emergency" is beyond laughable.

    So yes , technically he has the powers to do these things under the various bits of legislation that were originally created to allow the President to act quickly in time of National Emergency - And that's fine , if there was an emergency.

    But there are no actual Emergencies in any of the places and circumstances that Trump claims they exist.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,753 ✭✭✭yagan


    The question your post inspires is where were the national guard when there was an insurrection?

    Oh yeah, he had assembled a mob outside the white house to "stop the steal!"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,917 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    Also the event they refer to is a protest by army veterans which perhaps precipitated the use of the national guard over ordinary police. I dont see an emergency in DC that requires their deployment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,361 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    But within your post is the source of the issue. Yes, things like this have been done before, and in most cases were required. But there is no reason for this apart from Trump wanting to control. There is no immediate issue to deal with (like a party in Vegas), no special event. Anyone who thinks that the NG solves homelessness has no idea what the NG is actually for.

    Trump is calling in the National Guard for political reasons. Nothing else. And that makes it entirely different from other times. And if this was a once-off, I could almost accept your laissez-faire attitude. But this is simply the next step on the ever-growing litany of examples of Trump using his power to intimidate. From the simple name-calling, to threatening and then sacking people. So, cutting off funds, threatening to arrest, deport, etc. For his political friends, he intimidates using the threat of being primaried or cutting funds. The examples are long.

    You want to simultaneously believe that Trump is concerned about crime, and yet now concerns that he has multiple convictions and is happy to pardon all those who attempted to overthrow the government.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,925 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    People might be reacting to it as a historic and unprecedented act, because Trump himself in his own press conference called it historic and unprecedented…..

    Trump is not doing this because it's a normal thing that every other president/governor does to bolster the civil law enforcement, he is doing it as a show of force, and he is also declared his intention, of rounding up homeless people and putting them in camps.

    You seem to be completely lacking context. Trumps actions cannot be taken in isolation. They are part of a much broader set of actions and policy decisions that are driving the US in one particular direction that has people very understandably alarmed and dismayed.

    Ban billionaires



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,717 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Nope. Does there need to be?

    And that is fair. It's a matter of policy. Any government is going to take actions as a matter of policy with which I am going to disagree, it is the nature of government. We as a society have set up boundaries as to just what the limits of those policy choices may be, the laws and processes which govern the functioning of government. Within those limits, deference is required.

    The question of what is a 'national emergency' is a long-debated one. In 1973, when the government took a deep look at it, they discovered that there were at the time 470 national emergencies declared by the president going on. To quote a senate report, "A majority of the people of the United States have lived all their lives under emergency rule".
    The response was the National Emergencies Act of 1976. The big thing about it wasn't to try to define what really was or was not an emergency for legal purposes (which is fair as it's inherently subjective), but instead to limit the duration of those emergencies, and to provide an option to congress to override them.

    There are currently 91 National Emergency declarations in force. 79 of them were in force when Biden left office. This isn't a new Trumpian concept.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,925 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    I think South Park have the perfect analogy

    When the hunters want to kill an animal even if they do not have a license or hunting is prohibited, they just shout 'It's coming right for us' as they're allowed to shoot the animal in self defense

    Ban billionaires



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