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Northern Ireland 2125?

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,346 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Not the thread for a discussion on NATO.

    Suffice to say joining a military alliance requires a clear mandate from the people of the island IMO

    If they (the electorate) decide it is in our interests, I, as a democrat, will accept that outcome.

    That is all that will be asked of the people of NI too, to behave as democrats.

    Because they have no say in their fate, they had to accept being taken out of the EU even though a majority there voted to remain.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,884 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    Wrong.

    The Nazis did drop bombs on Dublin, on their way to Belfast.

    Let's keep NI within NATO.

    Let's not unite if there are too many differences.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,346 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Let's leave a failed region stewing in it's juices until there is another of the cyclical crisis's it has had since it came into existence.

    Not going to happen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 690 ✭✭✭michael-henry-mcivor


    The nazi / brit was defeated-

    No one is going to invade Ireland today because they know what Ireland would do to their citys-

    Nato / Russia is sh1t scared of us like the desperate brit-



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,982 ✭✭✭rock22


    You seem determined to highjack this thread in order to further your love of NATO.

    Most Irish people want nothing to do with NATO. In a united Ireland, I don't believe that would change but if there was to be a discussion then I am sure citizens of a future united Ireland will make up their own mind. Personally, I would argue strongly against it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,884 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    I am not here to highjack anything here. It's only that currently the ROI doesn't offer anything better for NI. It's something everyone knows in NI, even in a now catholic majority.

    NATO is just one example. The armed forces of the ROI are simply underfunded. Especially the Air Corps seems a joke as it is right now.

    Also the HSE is worse off than the NHS. One needs a private plan in the ROI a lot more than in NI.

    Same as the Euro currency where the stability criteria has been weakend every time, just think of Greece in the crisis.

    You'd understand these are matters that can't be easily dismissed and at this point only met with some republican fanatics kind of thinking, - similar to Brexit or Scottish independence.

    Sure it doesn't make any sense to split an island apart, but currently for the majority of the people in NI there is no benefit joining the ROI. At the same time the economy of NI is way to weak as well to deliver enough to fund public services and there would be unclarity or better said a level of distrust on whether Dublin would pay for everything Westminster is paying now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,346 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    😁 NATO isn't going to fund us, we would be expected to fund NATO.

    Nobody in NI has 'decided' to be in NATO, that decision was made for them, they had nothing to do with it.

    As a UI we can decide by democratic majority to join it.

    All of us, voting in our own interests.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,222 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    This insistence that the NHS is better......maybe a few decades back, but it has gone to piss. Despite the (many) shortcomings of the HSE, ultimately healthcare outcomes are notably better in Ireland than the UK. Free at the point of service isn't much use when you can't get seen, and I've no issue paying (or in real terms for most with health insurance, my employer paying) as long as there is a safety net for those who can't afford it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,884 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    No. Take a look at Iceland and they are part of NATO and don't have that attitude like Ireland. Of course you could ask yourself who would attack Iceland.

    I remember those seniors in the ROI organizing bus trips to NI for routine eye surgery, which apparenty can't be done in the ROI. The NHS isn't good, but it's better than the HSE any time, - that is unless you can afford a private plan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    do you believe that ni is a legitimate state and that the people of ni have the democratic right to resist being pulled out of uk or do you think that the intire island should have a democratic right to vote and if majority says Britain should leave then they should leave?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,222 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    ....cross border medical treatments work both ways on this island. Considering you haven't spent a second addressing the better health outcomes this side of the border, it seems a bit like you're interested in having about as much of a good faith discussion as Downcow with his rapid decline into gloating about marching.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,219 ✭✭✭itsacoolday


    Tell that to the people who have waited 4 years in Ireland for healthcare and gone to N. I instead.

    Ireland had the third lowest number of hospital beds available in the EU in 2019, above only Sweden and Denmark. It has been worse (relatively) in the past: we ranked in last place in 2012 and 2013 before we overtook Sweden, and have remained at the lower end of the spectrum ever since.

    That is despite the taxpayer being fleeced here. Ireland is well above the EU average (€3,197) and spends just under €1000 per capita more on healthcare than the UK.

    Ireland has just 181 doctors per 100,000 of the population, lower than the UK, Bulgaria and Lithuania.

    Ireland ranks 22nd of 29 in Europe for doctors per capita, which ties in with the availability of hospital beds. However, of the countries that have fewer doctors per capita than us, each one has more hospital beds available – suggesting that their hospitals may be understaffed in relation to ours. Ireland remains four places behind former EU member state the UK

    Ireland has the second highest rate of obesity in the EU, behind only Malta. More concerningly, we had a staggering rise in obesity numbers since 2014 – a 7.7% increase, the highest in the EU by far. 

    Those currently enjoying the free NHS would be mad to want our HSE with its long waiting lists etc. and building new infrastructure is not something we are competent, never mind good at: look at the new Children;s hospital etc



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,346 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Of course you have democratic rights. They have and will be observed. You’ll be allowed to make your case for the existing Union and will have one vote like everyone equal to you.

    The entire island will be voting. If there is a majority for a UI the British administration of the region will be leaving. That’s what they agreed to in the GFA



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,346 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Iceland is sovereign and can decide what is best for them. Nothing to do with me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,222 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    Do you have a source for anything beyond the Healy Rae claim?

    Per WHO, we have 38.8 doctors per 10k population, above the European average of 37.6 and above the UK at 33:

    https://data.who.int/indicators/i/CCCEBB2/217795A

    Our healthcare expenditure per capita is slightly higher than the UK, but pretty middle of the pack compared with other countries, his tracks with better outcomes prettt strongly; we have a higher life expectancy than the UK

    1000049963.jpg

    If this is considered as a percentage of income per capita, it looks even more favourable for Ireland vs UK with our much better GNI per capita.

    While our wait times certainly need improvement, they're better than in NI

    https://factcheckni.org/articles/are-nis-hospital-waiting-lists-over-twice-as-long-as-they-are-in-ireland/

    The NI secretary of State agrees with me too;

    https://www.irishtimes.com/politics/2024/09/19/the-system-isnt-working-one-in-three-people-in-northern-ireland-on-a-medical-treatment-waiting-list/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,572 ✭✭✭arctictree


    The answer is so simple and its been the same answer for over 60 years. Train more doctors! Double/Triple the spaces. Its not like we would have a lack of applicants as the CAO process shows.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,884 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    One can produce similar figures for military and defence in the ROI as well.

    The fact is, if the ROI had a health care systems like Switzerland and military and defence like Switzerland then it would be beneficial, most likely very beneficial, for NI to join the ROI.

    Ever been to a hospital in Switzerland or a doctor in Switzerland?

    Ever seen the air force of Switzerland, their technology, their fighter jets, and compare that to the Irish Air Corps in the ROI?

    And then look at the infrastructure Switzerland has. Landing at Zurich Kloten airport, taking a train right from the airport to anywhere in the country. Something one can only dream about in the ROI.

    Yes, Switzerland is neutral, but their neutrality is taken way more seriously than what is called neutrality in the ROI. That Irish lame joke "Who would attack us?" is a reason to despise the ROI's neutrality attitude. As harsh as it sounds but it needs to change preferably yesterday.

    In the current situation, the ROI has nothing to offer to NI.

    The fact is: The ROI is not as "rich" as many believe.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,346 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    A UI offers all of us the opportunity of a full say (one person, one vote) in our affairs.
    As a UI we can look at good things in other health, education systems and build a better society for all of us.

    It's quite clear that partition has failed everybody on this island.

    Bar a bit of hollow and tribal triumphalism about how long it has lasted, it has brought nothing but oppression, conflict/war, death and injury and serious paralysing division.


    You do not need to be a nationalist or republican to want change, and that will be a conundrum for Unionism. Convincing those who can swing either way without any allegiance. It has nothing to do with being 'rich' if those with the riches simply don't care what happens to you.

    Unionism as an ideology with support is declining, more and more are identifying as Northern 'Irish'. For them the future is not one with a British identity, they are clearly saying their national identity is more Irish now than it was.

    It follows that they can be convinced because frankly they realise a British government that doesn't care a hoot about them, who will not 'die in a ditch' rather than separate them, is never going to make where they live better.

    Next step is for an Irish government to begin making a plan that those signalling that they are changing can get behind.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,222 ✭✭✭Fionn1952


    Don't think anyone is petitioning for NI to join Switzerland, but even if it was relevant, you're talking out of both sides of your mouth on the topic; you criticise Ireland for having a higher per capita expenditure than the UK even though it achieves better outcomes.....and then give the example of Switzerland, which has an even greater per capita expenditure....

    Ireland may not be as rich as many believe.....but it is in almost every measurable way per capita when compared to the UK, and streets ahead when compared to NI, which has been left to wither on the vine since the decline of textile/shipbuilding industries.

    While you could definitely make a point about the relative military power loss in transition from UK to a United Ireland, I've yet to see any figures which paint it as a significant deciding factor, but I would be interested in seeing this?

    On a personal level, I would be of the opinion that Ireland should invest significantly more in our military, particularly when it comes to navy/air force, I'm just not convinced it'll be a major contributing factor to convincing people toward Unification.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    you’re dodging of that question was a bit transparent to everyone.
    I didn’t ask if I had democratic rights and self-determination for the northern Ireland people.
    I asked if you think it is appropriate and acceptable that Northern Ireland has the right to veto a United Ireland and that it is a legitimate democratic area?


    it is really a very simple question with a yes/no answer!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    Simple fact is Francie if what you say is true, then nationalism and republicanism must have disastrous leadership and hopeless PR.
    you have had over 100 years to convince the people of Northern Ireland of the utopia and land of milk and honey that awaits – the problem is the vast majority of people don’t believe you -

    of course we have been told every year for the last 50 that next year they will believe the nonsense and want a united Ireland

    Explain that one for us



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,584 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    If there is a democratic vote by the residents of NI and they vote against unification then of course it shouldn't go ahead.

    Now, would you accept the result if they voted in favour of a United Ireland?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,346 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Here is what you asked:

    do you believe that ni is a legitimate state and that the people of ni have the democratic right to resist being pulled out of uk

    I answered that you do have democratic rights, now and always. You have the right to argue against a UI and the right to protest about being in a UI. I accept that NI currently fulfils all the criteria to be a legitimate region of the UK. I do not accept it is a country or a state as Scotland, Wales is.

    You will not be 'pulled out of the UK', it will be the democratic will of the people to leave the UK

    or do you think that the intire island should have a democratic right to vote and if majority says Britain should leave then they should leave?

    Yes, this is what I believe. If a democratic majority decide to end partition, NI no longer has 'legitimacy' as a region of the UK and will become a region of a UI.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,346 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    downcow etc really needs to get up to speed as to what the GFA is and what it says.

    He has been asked what the plan is to get the British to break the GFA and support him and his 'homeland' plan.
    The GFA has bested 5 of his PM's largely ending their political careers.

    They could not break it and ended up having to shaft/ignore his community as a result as they were always going to do.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    you are missing the point of my question. I was asking he accepted the legitimacy of the Northern Ireland people having the right to veto a united Ireland.
    As for your question. Yes, absolutely I accept the roghy of the ni people to decide the future of Northern Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,584 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    Ok so the people of NI vote in favour of a United Ireland, this does not leave Northern Ireland as a democratic state, the population all become part of the new 32 county republic of Ireland, with parliament in Dublin, you'd accept that if it was democratically voted upon by the majority?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    Weasel words
    I am absolutely not asking the British government to go against the gfa or to provide a homeland.
    If the people of Northern Ireland decide they want to leave the UK, then the British government will enact that - that’s what we all agreed on the gfa.

    as far as I am aware, there is absolutely nothing in the gfa about what that ui would look like.
    In fact, my assumption is that the gfa would cease to exist the day that Northern Ireland left the UK (I am just guessing that but).
    Then the crack begins. The people of Ireland must decide what this new arrangement looks like. If they want to try and impose Dublin rule in Ards or Comber or anywhere else in the north that doesn’t want it, we will be set for interesting times - and the British forces will have left the stage - unless of course you’re going to call them back.

    I think the people of Ireland will want to support either a devolved Northern Ireland or our ‘homeland’. Anything else would be absolutely nuts



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,346 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    What you need to realise (the pesky GFA again) is that the 'people of NI' as a whole, do have a veto on a UI. If they say No it doesn't happen.
    However, if they say Yes and the south say Yes, then NOBODY, not you or the British have a veto on that decision.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,346 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Give us your pitch for it?

    How do you sell a 'belligerent Unionist homeland' (I can't see settled Fermanagh farmers etc, upping sticks to move) to the Irish as a whole? You will need permission to set up this enclave after all.

    Will the rest of Ireland be expected to fund this homeland?

    Who will live in this 'homeland'?
    Will it have different laws to the rest of us?
    Will it be in the EU?

    Lots of hard questions.



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  • Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    You would hope that in 2125 people are not arguing about whether NI should exist or not.

    Whether you think setting it up was a good idea or not, the fact that it is still so divided after more than 100 years shows the idea failed spectacularly. You would hope that there will either be a united Ireland or a more sated NI in 2125.



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