Interesting Maps

It’s interesting that except for Spain and Italy, most of Western Europe will not have changed noticeably by then, but Eastern Europe and especially south east Europe will have suffered catastrophic declines. What’s even worse for the Ukraine is that the population will be 61% down on current levels, but current levels are already way less than they were compared to communist times. The country’s population has been in freefall ever since the end of that period.

Ireland’s 0% change is not bad for a country of our size and peripheral location.
It’s worth noting that nearly all the decline you see in that map will be absorbed by rural villages many of which will be completely abandoned. Big cities will continue to grow. In fact as a population enters a doom loop, with less and less people every year, the remaining people are more likely to go in big behind a few remaining places that are seen as still being economically dynamic, which means major cities. So even in 2100 in a country with a huge decline such as Lithuania or Bosnia, I would still expect their cities to be pretty big and possibly still continuing to grow.

Yep, agreed. Globally even by 2100 the middle East and Africa will still have strongly growing populations and my guess is in Europe, rather than suffer massive losses in working age people we will have made our peace with the idea of having lots of Africans and Muslims in our societies and they will prop up our populations in a major way.

I don’t want to speculate how that will work in practice, like if they will be guest workers or permanent residents, but it doesn’t mean a radical change in European culture as long as permanent residents are integrated property. There is certainly still a fair bit of work left in that respect.