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STORM FLORIS.

  • 02-08-2025 05:42PM
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 800 ✭✭✭


    Storm Floris is not looking too severe for us with Scotland taking the full brunt. However with it being a bank Holiday here ,it's no harm to be extra cautious and keep up to date with warnings and storm track and intensity. Alot will depend on when this depression crosses over to the the northern side of the powerful jet while also being pushed along by a following high pressure. The North West will be interesting for records etc.



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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    Absolutely 💯 local records could be beaten, being summer there's warnings for us but if this was winter it most likely wouldn't have been named with Scotland being the exception, I can see them going into an orange warning by tomorrow as it will still deepen as it passes over Aberdeen for example and some signs of a sting jet there before it heads towards Norway, Sweden and Finland, even a small area in Scotland could go red but I'm sure met Office are keeping an eye on tracks and wind speed etc



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 176 ✭✭DRedSky


    for the average idiot like me it’s confusing how you can have headlines about weather-bombs and then someone saying it wont be too bad.

    As a keen gardener I hate storms when the trees are in full leaf. The potential for damage is magnified so much.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,479 ✭✭✭✭RobbingBandit


    Stick to reliable sources like here

    Dublin live has it like it's an apocalypse storm like they do for every weather event



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,168 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    George Lee has an article up on RTÉ website about this storm - “exceptionally strong” he says - it is concerning:

    https://www.rte.ie/news/2025/0802/1526612-storm-floris/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,196 ✭✭✭adocholiday


    Scare mongering at its worst, George Lee is no better than any of those other clowns that sensationalise these things. It does look like the storm will just about meet the criteria for explosive cyclogenesis but it's still only going to be about 984 hPa while passing our shores so it isn't a very deep low. Its wind field is relatively small so beyond the central area of the storm it won't have much impact.

    It will be impactful for Scotland for sure, it passes right across the north of the country there and is deepening as it goes so they will definitely take the brunt of it. However here in Ireland it won't be anything more than a windy day for the vast majority of us. The media of course will make a big deal out of this for clicks and engagement, but I don't think anyone here should be too worried aside from taking the usual precautions if you're on the West coast.

    Here's the latest ECM showing the storm tracking well to our North:

    xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025080212_45_7347_93.png xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025080212_48_7347_93.png

    And the overall model forecasts for peak gusts at Malin head:

    Screenshot_20250802-191157.png


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,440 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    He was telling us the economy was doomed aswell in the last recession!! Our great grandchildren would still be paying for it, yet 5 years later the Economy was booming again....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,168 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    my elderly neighbour rang me to mention the George Lee article - she believes the RTÉ app is “gospel” - she is very worried - I said to her stick with Met Eireann advice and not the sensationalist stuff



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,095 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    UKV has gusts of up to 75mph/120kmh for a small part of NW coastal Donegal. Aperge has 110-120kmh for a tiny portion around Malin head.

    Going back through Malin heads highest August gusts in the 30 years averages back to 1961, the highest gust I see for August is 67knots/124kmh. At present it seems unlikely that will be broken unless there is a southward correction.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,658 ✭✭✭An Ri rua


    Well, no, they will be paying for it. Thats partly why its booming now...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    1000026985.jpg

    I'm sorry but this looks like an orange warning more than a yellow



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 392 ✭✭Thunder87


    If I'm not mistaken, ME's warning system is purely metric based and doesn't take into account variables like the fact trees are in full leaf or that it's a bank holiday where a lot of people will be out and about



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 800 ✭✭✭Robwindstorm


    That looks funny alright Dazler, certainly looks the colour orange 🍊. The temperature charts has Ireland like a desert as well.

    Storm Floris still looks like a Scottish storm. The bank Holiday leaves it tricky for Met Éireann forecasting warnings because of extra outdoor activities and using their new warning criteria. As I mentioned before, I don't think we should be sharing storm names with neighbouring countries as we have a completely different climate to the likes of the British Isles. We should be using our own system which would include a strongly worded Advisory for this type of depression which Met Eireann has already issued and that to me would suffice in this case scenario. However it's now tangled up in county warnings and UK named storms.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    Absolutely 💯 does look like the colour orange 🍊 I probably should have said that , it sounded like I was saying this storm should be orange warnings so my bad if people got confused, does indeed look like a Scottish storm and same with Norway, I can even see Denmark getting warnings as well from this ,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    It sounded like I meant there should be orange warnings issued instead of yellow so My bad, , yes I think it is metric what they go by, I've also said this before and I'll say it again the warning system Met Eireann use shouldn't be by county it should go by area Like what the met Office use , it just gets people saying why am I in yellow warning but 1km away in the next county is orange etc sorry I went on abit of a rant there



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 392 ✭✭Thunder87


    Yeah sorry I misread what you meant!

    I generally ignore all the warnings and media hype so doesn't affect me either way, but by right they should take the context of the forecast into account when deciding warnings, a bog standard gale in December is barely worth mentioning but the same gale on a bank holiday in the summer is obviously a different story, yet currently both would get the same warning



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    Yes they will certainly need to change this and dig into changing something around



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 435 ✭✭Rain from the West


    UK Met Office have upgraded to an Amber alert for Northern Scotland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,095 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Glasgow/Edinburgh included as well.
    Gusts of 50 to 70 mph are expected for many parts, and are likely to reach 80 to 90 mph on some exposed coasts, hills and bridges.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,095 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Marine orange

    Status Orange - Storm warning from Bloody Foreland to Malin Head to Fair Head

    Westerly winds may reach storm force 10 at times.

    Valid: 09:00 Monday 04/08/2025 to 12:00 Monday 04/08/2025



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,609 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Storm has shifted a tad North on ECM meaning anything severe will miss Ireland. Possibly 50 to 55knot gusts the max at Malin Head. Maybe 60knot. 40 to 50knot most other parts of North and West. 15 to 25mm of rain so hopefully not too bad.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,576 ✭✭✭batistuta9


    where was this shown? i watched yesterday's 9 & 6 forecasts on the phone there and they looked yellow, maybe a dark yellow but not as orange as that



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 466 ✭✭michael-henry-mcivor


    Amazing that that map has the storm missing the 6 counties-



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    Yes it was shown like that , I thought I was seeing things and I know I'm not colour blind either so I had to post it as it does look like orange warnings on the map doesn't it , its not just me



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,576 ✭✭✭batistuta9


    they were included on the forecasts, that image is out of the main news looking more closely at it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    I know ye I think they showed it after but as the UK



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,576 ✭✭✭batistuta9


    yeah it looks orange alright, knew exactly what you meant in your post last night.

    Where'd you see it, on the main news was it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,264 ✭✭✭Mr.Wemmick


    oh my goodness, could hug you, pauldry! I’m out in the garden staking and securing everything. Hundreds of plants grown from seed since March are going to get flattened as I’m further north.

    Are the other models showing the same?

    “Female is real, and it's sex, and femininity is unreal, and it's gender.

    For that to become the given identity of women is a profoundly disabling notion."

    — Germaine Greer



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    ye the 9pm news thought it was strange but probably a blunder



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 11,998 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Looks like you are going to beat the brunt of this one Donegal. Hope it's not too bad.

    I am still reminded on a daily basis about how severe Storm Eowyn was. Incredible power.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,948 ✭✭✭Bleating Lamb


    Hi folks,living in NW……didn’t see any news today…..how severe are the wind gusts likely to be in Sligo/Leitrim area?

    Main reason I ask is we got a big new trampoline a month ago,haven’t had time to sink it in yet so it’s standing in middle of a large open garden and if gusts were severe it might get lifted and damaged!🙈

    Cheers for any replies on likely conditions in NW…….would go out and try and drag it into a sheltered spot but would have to get a few neighbours to help lift it and would rather avoid that if the winds aren’t going to be too bad.

    Thanks for any feedback.



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