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Presidential Election 2025

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,458 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    She was Director of Elections in Labour for Michael D's Dail elections before that, would be funny if she came to follow him along as President all those years later.



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 10,973 Mod ✭✭✭✭Jim2007


    And the more they talk on those subjects the more they will fall in voters preferences…. they will come across as activists and that is not what an Irish presidency calls for. The president does not dictate policy nor try to impose they opinions on the Dail, the Government or the people in referenda. If you come across as like to do any of that, you are not going to make the cut.

    The Irish voters have twice rejected changing the PR system, twice rejected the dissolution of the upper house, rejected dropping the age requirement for the office of president, voted on the provisions to remove members of the judiciary and rejected Brian Lenihan for attempting to influence the president and threatening the career of an army officer. On top of this three times in the past one hundred years an Irish president has had to act to defend the constitution against the Dail/Government on one occasion having to invoke his authority as CINC of the defence forces. That is the political reality in which the voters are trying to decide who they prefer.

    The ideal candidate would be someone with a lot of political experience, but without holding very strong views on anything put perhaps Irish social issues. Failing that perhaps a retired senior member of the judiciary.

    At this stage it looks like the voters will have to make the best of a bad lot…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,587 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Reminds me of that famous US election speech where the speaker tried to use words that seemed sinister and nefarious when talking about an opposing candidate. 'Did you know he matriculated in full sight of the student body?' etc.

    The way you use the term 'activist' is similar here, as if it is something nefarious or sinister.

    All TD's, MEP's and local councillors are 'activists' Jim…or should be.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,586 ✭✭✭RoTelly


    That is what she is trying to do. I think that is problematic in itself, it seems the left honestly believe that the vast majority think that MDH's second term was a success and that everyone agrees with them. I have a feeling that many don't.


    ______

    Just one more thing .... when did they return that car

    Yesterday



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,911 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I'm not so sure. If a candidate campaigns as if they are already President and bound by convention, they could come across as very bland and grey and without any character at all. Why shouldn't we know what their opinion on contentious topics like Trump, Gaza and Irish neutrality is? If they start going down the 'no comment' route in the debates, that hardly sounds like a vote winner.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,091 ✭✭✭✭dulpit




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,586 ✭✭✭RoTelly


    Not always too sure about those polls but interesting to see. I wonder if it was just a poll on him rather than across other leaders would that change things (The next leader is at 49% is Micheal Martin, would I rate MHD over MM, probably). Perhaps she can ride that MDH wave.


    ______

    Just one more thing .... when did they return that car

    Yesterday



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,587 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    It would be a perfect time to address the question.

    'If you wish to express an opinion, will you moderate that opinion to stay in line with the government of the day's opinion?'

    Not so sure the electorate will look favourably on someone who answers 'yes' to that, in this day and age. That ship has long sailed, it's not the '50's anymore.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,639 ✭✭✭✭expectationlost


    LP and FF have the opportunity to present a 'centre-left' candidate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,586 ✭✭✭RoTelly


    LP are not centre-left in their current guise. The are the left.

    Can you imagine LP lining up with FF … oh! yeah I can. The only reason is to support Colm Eastwood, perhaps Clint Eastwood would have a better chance of winning the Irish Presidential election.

    image.png

    Also FF don't need Labour they have enough Oireachtas Members to nominate a candidate.

    Post edited by RoTelly on


    ______

    Just one more thing .... when did they return that car

    Yesterday



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,509 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    All TD's, MEP's and local councillors are 'activists' Jim…or should be.

    But the president is not an activist and should not be..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,587 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Mary Robinson was an active activist for women and emigrants while in office. Mary McAleese was on NI issues.

    The world has changed Mark, quite a while ago. And it hasn't ended because a President is vocal on an issue that is of concern to them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,509 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    No, they were not activists, as they were not advocating for specific groups. They may be symbolic alright, but day by day they did the usual ribbon opening and meet and greets you expect from someone who holds the office.

    The idea we should turn the President's office into another form of anti-government, anti-establishment protest is for idiots and fools.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,929 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Rubbish.

    They are elected for their record of public service and their principles to uphold the State and its people.

    The President is the guardian of the Constitution, above all. If we got to a situation where we had an American, or Hungarian or previous Polish type regime, that threatened the integrity of the Constitution by passing improper laws, or to circumvent its provisions for their own gain / power / enrichment, not only would I want the President to be an 'activist', I would be the first to expect and demand it of them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,509 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    I presume that was directed at @FrancieBrady and not me, as I agree with you.
    We dont want the office to become a mouthpiece for whatever populist rent-a-gob that is in vogue.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,587 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    You are defining what an 'activist' is to suit your own argument.

    Mary Robinson was an activist on behalf of women and emigrants during her term.

    Here she faced down the government and had her say on the X case, which had women's rights at the very core of it.

    President Robinson told Taoiseach Charles Haughey that she had "extreme difficulty in accepting such a narrow and restrictive interpretation of the role of the President".

    While she agreed that the President should not get involved in matters of Government policy and should always take care to avoid any public conflict with the Government, she pointed out that she had "a mandate for developing the representational role of the Office".

    In Government Buildings, officials complained that the President was giving media interviews without informing the Government, never mind getting permission first. They worried that Presidential "actions or statements, which can be interpreted politically, will inevitably lead" to conflict with the Government.

    And then came the X Case, in which the Attorney General sought a High Court injunction to prevent a 14-year-old rape victim leaving the country to have an abortion.

    Addressing women's groups in Waterford a few days after the news broke, President Robinson said: "I hope we have the courage which we have not always had to face up to and look squarely and to see this is a problem we have got to resolve".

    The Taoiseach’s spokesman tried to calm the resulting media storm, saying the President was "echoing" the Government’s concerns on the issues. But the Assistant Secretary to the Government, Frank Murray, disagreed, saying that the President had created "a situation of controversy" by her remarks.

    *Bolding mine.

    Higgins is not unique, the trail was blazed a long time ago and the electorate seem comfortable with that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,586 ✭✭✭RoTelly


    How would you feel if she went the other way on social issues. Let's say any president came out and said something more conservative that perhaps you'd not like them to say?

    For example should MDH have asked for a Yes/Yes vote in the last referendum?


    ______

    Just one more thing .... when did they return that car

    Yesterday



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,587 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I'd feel like disagreeing with them or ignoring what they said. That's my prerogative as a citizen. The president is giving an opinion, they are not issuing decrees.

    I disagreed with Robinson inviting the Queen over contrary to government (led by Reynolds) wishes, for instance, nor do I agree with everything Higgins has to say.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 54,770 ✭✭✭✭tayto lover


    I don't believe that MLMD will run at all nor will there be a SF candidate. SF just trolling. Many of the other names being put forward will contest the election either. If Mairead McGuinness puts her name forward then she'll walk in at her ease.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,586 ✭✭✭RoTelly


    Why do you think Mairead McGuinness will walk it with easy?

    IMO this time round it will be on political party preference. The Opposition and the government both really need this to be a vote on the government.

    It would be a bad sign if SF and FF decide not to put a candidate forward because middle Ireland want a former TV presenter that know one under the age of 40 remembers from the TV, and many voters who probably never watch Ear to the Ground or know what the show is.


    ______

    Just one more thing .... when did they return that car

    Yesterday



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,911 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I would say the chances there will be a SF candidate (whether ML or someone else) are very high. They don't look the type of party who would want to sit a presidential election out, unlike FF for example, especially as the main opposition party and trying to bring focus on themselves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,059 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    I don't it's that much of an open-and-shut case for SF. In retrospect they would have been better sitting out the last presidential election than coming in at 6 % FPV and a case could have been made for supporting MDH as a soft-left, soft-Republican Gaeilgeoir, alleged poet etc. Similar argument could be advanced re CC this time. I'd say they'll be investing heavily in private polling right now…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,911 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    One theory I've heard is that it's not necessarily a good idea to go up against a sitting incumbent, as happened in 2018. But it's hard to imagine they would pass up the opportunity to at least run a candidate this year, especially with a chance to push their agenda and message during the campaign and the TV debates. They are by far and away the biggest opposition party : sitting out the campaign and leaving it to FG (who are already in government) and the Left wouldn't make a whole load of sense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,587 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    MDH expressed the view that SF should not hold the office of President. I think them supporting him would never have been a runner.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,299 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The word on the street is that the boys in Belfast want to move on from MLMD as leader. If she runs for President, it is an each-way bet. To run, she has to step down as leader, so face saved and a new leader, even if she loses. A bad performance can be blamed on her, and new leader starts again. If she wins, SF have President.

    Cynical politics, but it might get them President.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,587 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    'Word on the street' passing as fact now. 😁
    If these folk wanted to move her on, why would they not just do it, the membership is apparently (according to word on the street) under their control and do everything they are told.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,299 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    You yourself have claimed that you have no connection with anyone in Sinn Fein, and I believe you on that.

    However, I know a few people involved in Sinn Fein locally in their area and this is being openly discussed by them.

    As for why they would do it this way, that is simple, looks better than throwing out a leader who isn't bringing you anywhere. Promoting people out of an organisation is always a good solution.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,435 ✭✭✭Allinall


    I really don’t think she has a hope of winning the presidency.

    If they can dig up dirt on Gallagher, Lenihen, Norris etc.; imagine what they will come up with for MLMD?

    Not a hope.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,587 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    But we get told the inside, dogs on the street take all the time. Remember they said MLMD would be getting chopped after the election?
    And now we have this hot take.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,299 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    If CC, MLMD, MMcG and some non-entity FFer run, MLMD has a good chance, if she can stay ahead of CC. She will get CC's transfers, propelling her into first place, and enough of FF transfers will go nowhere or get lent to SF that she will be neck and neck with MMcG in the end.



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