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Charts ( Up to T120 ) Spring 2025 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST*

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    The upcoming week will feature dry weather and warmer-than-average temperatures, transitioning gradually to more unsettled conditions by Sunday and into the start of the following week.

    Daytime highs will span 15-19°C, peaking in the western regions.

    Overnight temperatures will dip near freezing, with light frost possible in inland areas.

    Winds will be light variable throughout the week.

    Abundant sunshine will persist through Thursday, though it will turn slightly hazier as the weekend nears.

    On Sunday, showers or extended periods of rain will move northward from the south as high pressure shifts away from Ireland.

    Temperatures will also drop a few degrees to 13-15°C.

    The subsequent week will offer a blend of dry intervals and wetter spells, as Atlantic frontal systems bring further rain or showers.

    Precipitation amounts will range from light to moderate.

    As the Easter Bank Holiday Weekend approaches, high pressure will begin to regain dominance.

    By the last 10 days of April, mostly dry and stable weather is anticipated to return.

    The below graphic, data provided by Meteociel.fr, shows high pressure waning later this week before rising as we move toward Easter. Precipitation increases and decreases during the same period.

    Weather forecast codnitions.jpg

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    The warm and dry spell will gradually come to an end this week as temperatures and rainfall totals return to the seasonal average.


    Saturday will start dry and sunny, but clouds will build from the west in the late morning with light rain or drizzle developing there by early evening. Feeling cooler than lately with top temperatures of 12 to 17°C.


    Light rain and drizzle will clear eastwards overnight as temperatures drop to 2°C to 7°C, mildest in coastal locations.


    Sunday will start bright, but scattered, heavy showers will push into the west as the day progresses. Some of the showers could be thundery and prolonged. It will feel colder in a gentle west-southwest wind, turning moderate to fresh later. A cool day with highs of 9 to 12°C.


    Monday will bring further scattered heavy showers, most frequent in the west, with some more prolonged rain by evening in the northwest. It will be less showery further east, where there will be spells of sunshine. Temperatures will range from 10 to 13°C. Winds will initially be moderate southwesterly until late afternoon before strengthening to fresh south-southwesterly by evening. It will be even windier in the northwest with strong SSW gusts.


    Winds will gradually turn to light northwesterly on Tuesday, which will be drier than the previous day with sunny spells and occasional light showers. It may stay overcast in eastern counties for much of the day. Feeling cool with daily maximums of 9 to 11°C.


    Frost is likely in sheltered inland locations on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday nights.

    Wednesday and Thursday will bring a mix of showers and sunny spells, with western and northwestern regions seeing the highest precipitation amounts.

    More widespread rain is expected on Good Friday with a return to showers and sunny spells for the Easter Bank Holiday Weekend. Temperatures will be close to the seasonal average, in the range of 10 to 13°C.


    There is a growing signal for drier and more settled conditions becoming established for the final week of April as high pressure builds close to or over Ireland.

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    Sunny spells and April showers will dominate Ireland’s weather over the next week and into the Easter weekend, with slightly above-average sunshine amounts and temperatures (11–13°C) close to the seasonal norm.

    Precipitation totals will generally be close to average.

    Each day will bring scattered showers, in between which there will be good spells of sunshine.

    Winds will be gentle to moderate south-west on Sunday and Monday before swinging to gentle to moderate north-westerly on Tuesday and light to gentle westerly beyond midweek.

    From Monday night through the rest of the coming week, temperatures will drop low enough for frost to form in places sheltered from the prevailing breeze.

    For farmers, there will be a reduction in soil moisture deficits in the coming week, but grass growth will remain stunted in eastern counties.

    The long-range outlook to the final week of April shows an increase in high pressure with below-average rainfall and a slightly above-normal temperature range.

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    A positive indication of a return to more settled weather is seen in the air pressure output from the GFS ensembles, indicating that high pressure will be build over or close to Ireland as we move through next week and into the following week.

    graphe_ens4cea3.php.gif

    www.weatheire.com



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,398 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    This seems to be a trend since late January, the GFS and other models begin to show a deeply unsettled period and then it quickly reverts back to settled and high pressure after a few days. A trend i'd like to see last throughout the summer.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    Typical April weather will take hold over the coming 7–10 days with a mix of sunshine, scattered showers, and more prolonged outbreaks of rain at times.

    Daytime temperatures will be close to the seasonal average of 9–12°C, while temperatures will drop close to freezing in many places at night, ranging from 0–5°C.

    Overall rainfall amounts will be above average, with the highest totals (30–35 mm) in the Atlantic coastal counties of the west and northwest, as well as in the eastern and northeastern coastal counties.

    Winds will generally be gentle to moderate westerly until midweek, before shifting to light southerly on Thursday and moderate to fresh easterly for a time on Friday.

    Details:

    Outbreaks of rain in eastern Leinster will slowly clear on Monday afternoon. Scattered showers, some of which will be thundery, will continue to feed in from the west but will become more isolated as the evening progresses.

    Showers will retreat to the west coast on Monday night, leaving a largely dry night with frost forming under clear skies. It will remain slightly cloudier in northeast Ulster and Leinster.

    Showers will be well scattered on Tuesday, leaving a largely dry day with the best sunshine in the western half of Ireland, particularly along the north coast.

    A widespread frost will form in many areas on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

    Wednesday will begin dry everywhere, but a frontal system tracking over the Irish Sea may bring some rain for a time in the northeast.

    By late afternoon, scattered outbreaks of rain will extend from the south and push north. It will be heaviest in the west and south but patchier elsewhere with lower rainfall totals.

    Scattered outbreaks of rain will continue in the northwest during the first half of Thursday and will be followed by scattered heavy showers through the remainder of the day.

    A frontal system may bring a period of heavy rain to the southeast on Friday morning, followed by scattered heavy showers pushing across Ireland from the west.

    Showery conditions interspersed with sunny spells are expected through the Easter weekend.

    It will remain cool by day (8–12°C), with an ongoing risk of overnight frost.

    High pressure will build to the north of Ireland during the following week, eventually introducing drier, warmer, and more settled conditions as we enter the final week of April.

    www.weatheire.com



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,626 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Bit of a spread in the models showing heavy rain in parts later Thurs through to early Sat. Possibly parts of Munster, the NE and possibly parts of the E getting the biggest totals into yellow warning territory for some counties, looks like most areas getting rainfall accumulations maybe up to 20 to 30mm by early Sat, 30 to 50mm in aforementioned areas and higher amounts over elevated ground. Hard to predict those slow moving pivoting LP's and their associated fronts. Models could change a fair bit before Thurs/ Fri.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    There will be a west-to-east split in weather conditions over the next two days as heavy rain in eastern and northeastern counties contrasts with largely sunny and dry conditions further west.

    Apart from some scattered showers, Munster, the South Midlands, and parts of Connacht will stay largely dry until Thursday evening.

    Temperatures here will range from 11 to 13°C with some overnight frosts in sheltered inland locations.

    East Leinster and Ulster will bear the brunt of the heavy rainfall over the next 48 hours as an occluded front spreads north along Ireland’s eastern seaboard from Tuesday night into Wednesday.

    A Status Yellow Rainfall warning has been issued for Northern Ireland. The UK Met Office is warning of persistent, and at times heavy, rain bringing some disruption to travel and potential for local flooding.

    There is a risk of sleet and wet snow on high ground before the system clears Ulster’s north coast on Wednesday evening, with settling snow likely over parts of the Wicklow/Dublin Mountains.

    Temperatures in eastern and northern counties will struggle to rise above 7°C during Wednesday.

    After a frosty, dry, and sunny start to Thursday, it will begin to cloud over from the southwest as a warm front approaches.

    Scattered outbreaks of rain will push into southern and southwestern counties around nightfall and will slowly extend to the rest of Ireland on Thursday night and during Good Friday.

    The system will introduce milder temperatures in the range of 11 to 14°C on Friday.

    The remnants of the system will be slow to clear some places during Saturday morning, particularly in parts of the northwest.

    Good dry spells are expected to develop in most other locations during the day.

    Temperatures will once again drop to between 9 and 11°C as winds swing east to northeast.

    Largely dry, overcast and cool conditions will persist through Easter Sunday.

    An Atlantic system approaching from the west may bring some rain for a time on Monday before clearing to scattered showers.

    The remainder of next week will bring a mix of sunshine and scattered showers carried on a cool north-to-northeast wind as a large area of high pressure builds to the northwest of Ireland.

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    GFS precipitation totals up to Thursday evening. The East/West imbalance is corrected by Friday night.

    51-777UK.GIF 81-777UK.GIF

    The Wicklow Mountains could see some significant snowfall over the next 24 hours.

    canvasect2.png

    www.weatheire.com



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,626 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    That is a lot of precipitation forecast over the East into tomorrow as the Low rotates into cold air and moves very slowly, will see how much snow settles and how low down it settles over the Wicklow Mts, cold day in general, not too bad in the S and W, looks very cool in the East and breezy to windy also for a time.

    FSXX00T_36 (5).gif modez_20250416_2000_animation.gif xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025041512_29_949_63.png xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025041512_23_949_108 (1).png xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025041512_22_949_1.png xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025041512_28_949_1.png xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025041512_27_949_93.png xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025041512_15_949_308.png


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,626 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Rain spreading into the SW/ W on Thurs into Fri looks heavier again from the ECM, bit breezy to windy also in parts and continues to rain in some areas into Saturday especially the S and SE. Bit to go yet for exact details but looking like some high rainfall accumulations.

    xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025041512_76_949_63.png xx_model-en-324-0_modgfs13_2025041512_76_949_63.png xx_model-en-324-0_moddeu_2025041512_84_949_63.png xx_model-en-324-0_modgbr_2025041512_78_949_63.png

    xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025041512_99_949_157.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,142 ✭✭✭Chris_5339762


    Its quite rare that Cork gets a sustained nice(ish) couple of days while warning level amounts of rain fall in Dublin. They are having a bad time of it up there.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,626 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Below some of the models projections for 24hr rainfall to Fri night and a few of total projections into Saturday. At least the rain is pushed out further now until later Thurs evening moving into the SW, W.

    xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025041612_57_949_63.png xx_model-en-324-0_modharmonie_2025041618_51_949_63.png xx_model-en-324-0_moddeu_2025041618_51_949_63.png

    xx_model-en-324-0_modgbr_2025041612_57_949_63.png

    xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025041612_73_949_157.png xx_model-en-324-0_modgfs13_2025041618_67_949_157.png xx_model-en-324-0_moddeu_2025041618_67_949_157.png xx_model-en-324-0_modgbr_2025041612_81_949_157.png

    So far two counties in yellow warning level but could be more.

    image.png

    • Status Yellow - Rain warning for Cork, Kerry
    • Met Éireann Weather Warning

    • Spells of rain, heavy at times.

      Possible Impacts:
      • Localised flooding Valid: 23:00 Thursday 17/04/2025 to 12:00 Friday 18/04/2025Issued: 16:53 Wednesday 16/04/2025


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,626 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    More counties coming under yellow rainfall warnings.

    Multi global model below and multi Hi res model showing a lot of areas getting high accumulations.

    image.png xx_model-en-324-0_modmulti_2025041700_63_949_157.png xx_model-en-324-0_modmulticeur_2025041700_60_949_157.png
    Post edited by Meteorite58 on


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,626 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ICON Rainfall prediction model is one of the better I reckon. Showing widespread heavy rainfall.

    Breezy to windy in parts at times.

    24hr accumulation predictions

    xx_model-en-324-0_moddeu_2025041706_42_949_63.png

    Total accumulations predictions up to 13.00 Sat

    xx_model-en-324-0_moddeu_2025041706_54_949_157.png

    Untitled Image


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,136 ✭✭✭adocholiday


    Could see Wicklow going orange yet, nearly at red level in the highest areas with some of those totals. Met Eireann's ensembles showing strong orange level probability.

    1000068804.png


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,626 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Yeah and a quick snow melt would give a strong run off of water, possibly problematic with potential flooding.

    xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025041700_54_4884_63.png

    xx_model-en-324-0_moddeu_2025041706_48_4884_63.png xx_model-en-324-0_modukmo2km_2025041706_48_4884_63.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 626 ✭✭✭Captain Snow




  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,626 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Some of the latest model output. Interesting to see if ICON verifies, out in front with projections.

    xx_model-en-324-0_modezrpd_2025041706_57_949_157.png

    xx_model-en-324-0_modmulti_2025041706_57_949_157.png xx_model-en-324-0_moddeuhd_2025041706_57_949_157.png xx_model-en-324-0_modgbr_2025041706_57_949_157.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    With the ground reaching saturation point in many places, some spot flooding is possible in places on Thursday night into Friday. Rainfall totals could exceed 30mm in parts of Connacht and south Munster.

    GpOreNqXYAAcYHO.jpg

    www.weatheire.com



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,136 ✭✭✭adocholiday


    Sorry wrong thread



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,626 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Yeah Wolf a nice bit of rain to come in over the next two days, fair spread in the models at this late stage, some uncertainty in how far inland the fronts will move, how quickly and how much rain they hold all moving very slowly coming up against the HP over Europe slowing down the progress. UKMO and ICON look very heavy and a lot of models now showing along the South picking up high accumulations. French models showing Connaught , West / North Midlands and along the South getting the biggest totals, ECM has around Clare picking up the highest close to 40mm. The Multi Hi Res model below might be a fair average atm but would need more fine tuning with the model output tomorrow morning, fairly complex setup.

    Fri will see if there is some thunderstorm potential especially around the mid West where a few parameters are showing potential, would depend I think on how much clearance behind the main fronts allow heating to occur, looks like could get up around 16C or so in the Mid West and there looks to be a nice bit of Deep Layer Shear and convergence zones available in the afternoon along with the upper Trough aiding the instability. Could produce some heavy showers but could be a messy set up so will see tomorrows charts.

    Saturday looks like the best chance for some outdoor weather with decent enough temperature's into the mid teens quite widely.

    FSXX12T_24 (2).gif FSXX12T_36.gif

    FSXX12T_48 (1).gif

    xx_model-en-324-0_moddeuhd_2025042318_60_949_157.png

    xx_model-en-324-0_modmulticeur_2025042312_60_949_157 (1).png


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,626 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The latest output from the Multi Hi Res Model fairly consistent now where the highest rainfall will occur. Roscommon and surrounding areas looks to be center to some of the highest rainfall from the slow moving fronts.

    FSXX00T_36 (7).gif xx_model-en-324-0_modmulticeur_2025042400_45_949_157.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    Rain has already pushed into the southwest and will progress further inland as the day progresses. It will stay dry further east until nightfall. The last of the rain will clear the northeast and east late on Friday, with a clearance following behind.

    lastsnowradar_uk.gif animdnf6.gif

    www.weatheire.com



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